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DISTRICT UPDATES: 

  • CA10 (Stanislaus): added veterinarian and former Turlock councilman Ted Howze (R)
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AURAL PLEASURE 

  • On the Bee's California Nation podcast, Bryan Anderson sits down with Pete Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Indiana who is emerging as a star of the Democratic primary for President. Buttigieg was on Bill Maher last night and has come out with a shirt to help you pronounce his name. I needed that before his name has come up on recent podcasts.
  • On KQED's Political Breakdown podcast, Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos sit down with Congressmember TJ Cox (D), who defeated incumbent David Valadao (R) in November. They talk about the moment he knew the Democratic Party was abandoning his race, his childhood and the early death of his father, the Green New Deal, high-speed rail, and his bi-coastal family.

Happy Saturday! What a week! It really has been. The good thing is that I finally broke a stretch of insomnia on Thursday night and repeated it last night, even though I saw Jordan Peele's "Us." Great flick, but I don't think I've ever had more spine tingles. 

At 3pm, Gibran and I are are getting behind the mic for another What a Week episode of the pod. We'll try to get to any of your questions/issues that you have. [contact info]

LINK PROBLEMS: I know that some links within bullet points aren't coming through. I'm working on the code and hope to find a fix soon. In a few thousand lines of code, I think I found the bug last night. I've fixed yesterday's Nooner and others earlier this week as well, which also created the cascading errors in bulleted lists. It's amazing what a simple missing \" can do.

POLL POSITION: DEATH PENALTY: Lots of folks jumped on the PPIC poll this week about its death penalty question on both sides and you know how I like to rip apart polls. So, let's dive into it on this Saturday morning.

On the morning of March 13, Governor Gavin Newsom announced a moratorium on carrying out the death penalty while he is governor. He granted a reprieve for the 737 individuals currently on the state's death row at San Quentin. It was neither a commutation to a lesser offense that would result in a different penalty nor a pardon that would wipe out the sentence, essentially saying the crime never occurred. The latter is what Paul Manafort and George Papadopolous are hoping for.

It also doesn't affect any offender whose sentence is not final. Each of those will require a subsequent reprieval. Reprievals are revokable at any time by Governor Newsom or a future governor. 

That morning after Newsom's announcement, the PPIC team got together to talk about it, knowing that they had their monthly poll in the field. As of that date, they had three nights of polling data (March 10-12). From the crosstabs, it appears that roughly 35% of the respondents had been queried by that point. No question was included on the death penalty because nobody was expecting such quick action by the new governor.

As explained at Thursday's briefing by Dean Bonner, associate director of the statewide survey, the team knew that it was an important issue on which to seek findings from respondents, but also inherently complicated. To adequately test the question, it would likely require multiple questions. PPIC is very sensitive to survey instrument length. The longer the poll, the more difficult it is to collect the quantitative respondent goal. This has always been the case but has become even more so with the transition from landlines to cellphones. The latter accounted for 70% of respondents in the PPIC poll.

I wrote about a similar quandary relating to a question on the "split roll" property tax in February where there was a single question a very complicated issue. More accurate polling will occur when campaigns actually occur. In the case of "split roll" it will be funds for our schools and local governments and for the property owners it will be about chasing business out of California. 

Therefore, the PPIC team decided to ask a single question as a "trend question" asked previously:

"Which of the following statements do you agree with more? [rotate] (1) The penalty for first degree murder should be the death penalty; [or] (2) the penalty for first degree murder should be life imprisonment with absolutely no possibility of parole."

The response was as follows:

  All Adults Likely Voters
death penalty 31% 38%
life imprisonment with no parole  62% 58%
don't know 7% 3%

Among likely voters, only 21 percent of Democrats and 37 percent of independent voters, while 72 percent of Republicans support the death penalty.

Let's look at the trend over time, which is what the researchers were looking for:

Death penalty trend

 

I can think of two issues that affect this topline question--demographic change and the growth in the usage of DNA technology and stories about exonerations. It's a pretty remarkable shift in public opinion over 19 years. Among likely voters, there is a similar shift, but not as remarkable. Support for the death penalty has gone from 49 percent in 2000 to 38 percent this month. 

Like with split roll, if the question is on the ballot next year as envisioned in ACA 12 (Levine), it would be amidst significant noise on both sides. Proponents of eliminating the provision in the constitution limiting changes to the death penalty by the Legislature without a vote of the people would use ample evidence with personal stories of those who were on death row but have been exonerated and released. Opponents of the change would shower the television with examples of victims, particularly police officers. 

I am sure that there is private polling being done by both sides. For now, we have the great look at the trend by PPIC.

Guns and #CAKEDAY after the jump! 

Probolsky Research

 

GUNS: The Legislature may have taken yesterday off, but that didn't mean it was quiet. U.S. District Court Judge Roger Benitez yesterday ruled that state's voter-approved limit on ammunition magazines over 10 rounds violated the Second Amendment of the United States Constitution. AP's Don Thompson reports:

"Individual liberty and freedom are not outmoded concepts," San Diego-based U.S. District Judge Roger Benitez wrote as he declared unconstitutional the law that would have banned possessing any magazines holding more than 10 bullets.

California law has prohibited buying or selling such magazines since 2000, but those who had them before then were allowed to keep them."

In the 84-page summary judgment order, Benitez relied on cases of three women who emptied their magazines but were still killed by intruders. He thus relies on the right of self defense in finding the limit in violation of the Second Amendment, as most recently defined by Heller v. District of Columbia (544 U.S. 570). The provision providing for the retroactivity of the 10-round capacity limit was approved by voters in Proposition 63 in 2016 with 63.1% of the vote. The ruling enjoins the enforcement of Penal Code §32310.

The ball is now in Attorney General Xavier Becerra's court. The ruling by Benitez, a George W. Bush appointee, could be appealed to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, which very well may reverse it.

It's a roll of the dice based on Benitez's ruling. Heller was about the right for individual possession of firearms for lawful purposes, including self defense, as in the cases cited in Benitez's summary judgment ruling. D.C. had tried to ban handguns altogether, and require rifles and shotguns to be stored with trigger locks. But, it did recognize the rights of government to provide reasonable limits on guns and gun ownership.

The most recent test of this was the Trump Administration's ban on "bump stocks," the device used in the Las Vegas shooting that allows a semi-automatic rifle to be used similar to an automatic one. Opponents of the ban argue that it was a reasonable modification to lawfully owned guns. However, the Supreme Court refused on Thursday to step in and block the ban in an appeal from Gun Owners of America of a decision by the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals. The SCOTUS action means that the ban goes in place and sustains the decision against a preliminary injunction in the lower court.

So, the question is whether, if Benitez's opinion is appealed to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals and is reversed, would the Supreme Court act similarly as it did on "bump stocks," sustaining California's ban, or would it reopen Heller and further block the ability of government to restrict guns and gun ownership? 

It's a tough strategic call for Attorney General Becerra and I'm sure he's hearing strategic advice on both sides.

I'm sure there's more out there, but that's a lot to chew on. After all, it's Saturday.

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Kristina Brown, Austin Heyworth, and Ashley Martinez!

 

 

Classifieds

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Deputy Director of Legislation and Regulatory Affairs (CEA-Level A) (Sacramento)

Join the California Gambling Control Commission (CGCC) Executive Team and make a statewide impact as the primary legislative and regulatory advisor. The Deputy Director of Legislation and Regulatory Affairs is responsible for the development and management of the CGCC’s legislative and regulatory program; representing the CGCC before legislators, legislative committees, the Legislative Analyst’s Office, the Governor’s Office, State control agencies, local and Tribal government, and stakeholder groups. The Deputy Director of Legislation and Regulatory Affairs advises the Commissioners and Director on legislative and regulatory matters and is influential in the construction and implementation of CGCC policies and programs.

Excellent written and oral communication required. Free Parking. Salary $7,190-$10,334.

Full job description and application

Associate Director, Government Relations

Take on a high-profile role in an award-winning health organization. Become a strategic advocate for the healing mission of one of the world’s most respected health systems. Take your professional expertise to the next level. UCan do all this and more at UCLA Health.

As the Associate Director of Government Relations, you will be a key member of the team that is driving strategies designed to influence public policy, promote advocacy and build relationships at the federal, state and local government levels. You will be responsible for evaluating complex issues and implementing initiatives and programs in health policy and advocacy by interacting with elected officials, legislative staff, public agency representatives as well as campus administrators, leadership and faculty. This involves collaborating closely with the UCLA Health Marketing & Communications leadership, the University of California, and relevant trade associations. The position is based on the UCLA Health campus in Los Angeles.

Full description and application information

Policy and Government Affairs Associate/Counsel (Oakland)

The Center for Responsible Lending is seeking a Policy and Government Affairs Associate/Counsel to join our team in Oakland, CA. As part of CRL’s State Policy Team, supporting stakeholders throughout the 50 states, the Policy and Government Affairs Associate/Counsel will work with stakeholders in California and other Western states to develop and advance strategies for legislative and regulatory reform at the state level to prevent predatory lending practices.

 

This position will have a significant focus on California, with responsibilities in supporting other Western states as well.

Full job description and application

SEIU-UHW – Political Coordinator (Oakland or Sacramento, CA)
This position is responsible for directing the work of multiple staff, contractors and member leaders in support of objectives. The Political Coordinator is responsible for strategic planning, developing programs to build and strengthen our infrastructure, and leading on issue and electoral campaigns within the union that empower our members to be a strong force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in their communities and at the ballot box. Under the supervision of the Director, the coordinator collaborates in the overall development and implementation of the department’s strategic organizational plan. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.
SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles and San Francisco, CA)
The Political/Community Regional Organizer is responsible for a broad range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box. Proven track record is a must. Competitive salary and excellent benefits. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.
CCST Expert Briefing: Environmental Impacts of Wildfires in California
Join the California Council on Science and Technology on Thursday, April 4th at Noon in Capitol Room 437 for our latest CCST Expert Briefing: Environmental Impacts of Wildfires in California. A panel of experts from CSU Chico, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, and Stanford University School of Medicine will discuss the impacts of wildfires on air and water quality. RSVP to puneet@ccst.us by 5pm on Wednesday, April 3rd.
Women in Solid-Waste & Recycling Networking Event and Panel Discussion April 2nd
Join State Treasurer Fiona Ma, Assemblymember Susan Talamantes-Eggman, and waste and recycling industry experts for a discussion about how policy is shaping the industry’s future. April 2nd from 5-8pm at the Sutter Club, 1220 9th St, Sacramento. Visit wisrwomen.org to register and stay connected.
A nonprofit leader on why she attended Capitol Seminars:
"I had read all the generic, glossed-over descriptions of the Calfornia legislative process. I wanted to learn about the nuances or the 'behind-the-scenes' way the legislature actually works, from folks who are real practitioners." -- Amy Vierra, Nonprofit / Environmental Policy and Communications Consultant. "Real practitioners" make Capitol Seminars California's No.1 advocacy training resource. Moderator Ray LeBov, a 45-year Capitol veteran, and all our guest subject matter experts are presently active in governmental advocacy or California state government. Anyone tasked with advocacy in a nonprofit, for-profit, trade / professional association, lobbying / public affairs firm, state or local government agency, will benefit immediately from the unique and valuable training we provide. For complete curriculum information, or to register for our April 4-5 seminars or future dates, visit www.capitolseminars.net or call (916) 442-5009.
McKinley + Pillows Fundraising: Administrative Assistant
McKinley + Pillows Fundraising seeks a full time, entry-level administrative assistant /scheduler/receptionist, for our fast-paced office. Must be detail-oriented and possess solid computer and phone skills. Wages DOE. Please send cover-letter and resume to carrie@mckinleypillows.com.
SAVE THE DATE - JUNE 26th – 12th ANNUAL CAPITOL VETERAN OF THE YEAR LUNCHEON
This annual event is co-sponsored by major California veterans’ organizations. Last year over 65 Assemblymembers attended the event with their veteran honoree. This year the event is open to both the Assembly and Senate to participate. This event will be held at the Sheraton Grand Hotel.

SPONSORSHIP OPPORTUNITIES ARE NOW AVAILABLE
FOR SPONSORSHIP OR INFORMATION


Contact Pete Conaty at 916-768-8940 or pconaty@sbcglobal.net, or Dana Nichol at 916-558-1926 or dana.nichol@sbcglobal.net.
Future of California Elections Conference on April 11, 2019
Join us on April 11 in Sacramento for the Future of California Elections (FoCE) 2019 Conference “Leading the Way: What Lies Ahead for California's Elections.” FoCE brings together election administrators, reform advocates, civic engagement groups and civil rights organizations each year at its annual conference to discuss and share strategies for modernizing elections and expanding voter participation. Participants at this year’s conference can expect to hear about what happens after election day and updates on California’s voter centric reforms, such as Voter's Choice Act implementation and Same Day Registration. For more information visit www.futureofcaelections.org/foce2019.
Pruitt Consulting LLC, seeks a part-time Fundraising Associate in Sacramento.
Pruitt Consulting is a consulting firm that specializes in fundraising for Democratic members of the California State Legislature, Constitutional officers, nonprofits, and political action committees. The Political Fundraising Associate assists the Political Fundraising Director and Chief Executive Officers in identifying donors, planning and attending fundraising events, and other business operations. This position requires analyzing political contributions, improving fundraising database, and assisting in various office duties. Email your resume to Gabriel Castellanos Jr, gabriel@pruitts.us or call at 916-400-4044.
Digital/Social Media Professional
Office of Senate President pro Tem Toni G. Atkins is looking for a digital/social media professional to lead all aspects of the Senator’s presence online – including website, social, SEM and channel strategy. Candidate must be digitally fluent with an understanding of the complex and fragmented digital media landscape and have strong communications skills. Candidate should be able to bring together a cohesive digital strategy that delivers results. Salary starts at $5,910 per month.
Full announcement
Submit Cover Letter, Resume, Writing Sample and Senate Employment Application to: Lizelda.lopez@sen.ca.gov.
Political Data Inc.
For 30 Years PDI has been California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week:
 

Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing scottlay@gmail.com with a headline, paragraph of up to 100 words, and what you'd like the end date to be.

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