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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

DISTRICT UPDATES

My Current Projections:

  • Congressional delegation: 39 Democrats/10 Republicans/4 Unknown
  • Senate: 26 Democrats/14 Republicans
  • Assembly: 55 Democrats/25 Republicans

 

TRIVIA: In which Assembly district did Hillary win by 6 points, Dems have a +8% reg advantage, but had only one candidate in June? That candidate raised/spent $0 between 4/21 and 5/19 and apparently forgot the July 31 filing deadline. Throw in that the Legislature spent a lot of money to settle harassment/employment complaints against him when he was in the Assembly. And, he's a lawyer. 

 

Happy Thursday to you! It's going to be another beautiful day here in SacTown. Yesterday, crowds came out to the farmers' market at Cesar Chavez Plaza. Today, the Capitol Mall market should be beautiful, as it's forecasted to be 80 at noon. The market (6th/Capitol) runs until 1:30pm.

Yesterday, Governor Jerry Brown appeared at the Office of Emergency Services to tie the wildfires to the issue of climate change. He also pushed for a deal on limiting the liability of utility companies for power-line caused fires, which is certainly going to be one of the most contentious issues in the 25-day sprint ending the legislative session. The governor argues that he needs the partnership with utility companies, particularly Pacific Gas and Electric, to be partners in clean energy and other climate efforts. Of course, PG&E isn't particularly crazy about the governor's initial proposal, but they are desperate for something.

I frankly don't know all the issues as it wasn't something covered in Maggie Johns's torts class at King Hall and my on-the-job education for twenty years was in budget and, well, education. However, as I understand it, one of the biggest points is that utilities can be held liable for fires triggered by power lines, without the plaintiff proving negligence by the utility in maintenance of the lines or trees around them. The utilities want to cap that "inverse condemnation," with a promise of greater planning and state-reported maintenance.

Consumers and insurance companies note that proving negligence after a fire, even if there is proof the fire was connected to a fire line, is extremely difficult. Proving exact weather conditions at the time of ignition, and the exact status of the lines, structures, and trees, may be impossible. 

The Bee's Taryn Luna reports that PG&E spent $1.7 million on lobbying in the first six months of the year, with the biggest focus on the wildfire liability issue.

It's going to be a crazy end of session.

 

CARR FIRE (Shasta/Trinity):  This morning's report finds a 10,000-acre expansion and the same containment as yesterday. Additionally, 90 more structures were reported destroyed, including 42 residences, 6 commercial and 42 other. It's unclear whether these are new destructions or an increase in the accounting of the weekend's destruction. The Carr Fire remains the 6th most destructive in recorded California history.

The pattern continues, with firefighters gaining ground during the day with air support, but losing gained ground when the sun goes down, the wind picks, up air support lands overnight. 

  • Acreage: 125,842
  • Containment: 35%
  • Deaths: 6 (2 firefighters, 4 civilians)
  • Structures destroyed: 1,555  (1,060 residences, 18 commercial, 477 other)
  • Structures damaged: 258
  • Structures threatened: 1,658
  • Personnel: 4,271
  • Engines: 369
  • Helicopters: 17
  • Dozers: 125
  • Expected full containment: Unknown

MENDOCINO COMPLEX (Lake/Mendocino): While there was significant increase in acreage over the last 24 hours, it was mostly in the largely uninhabited Mendocino National Forest, where the terrain is rugged. Containment picked up significantly (24%-39%), and repopulation of the evacuated towns is foreseeable over the next 48 hours. The much talked about flare-up on Tuesday night appears to have only destroyed four more residences and damaged six more. Not to downplay it, but it could have been much worse.

  • Acreage: 110,168
  • Containment: 39% 
  • Structures destroyed: 38 (14 residences, 24 other)
  • Structures damaged: 15 (8 residences, 7 other)
  • Stuctures threatened: 12,200
  • Personnel: 3,069
  • Engines: 373
  • Helicopters: 15
  • Dozers: 40
  • Expected full containment: 08/08/18

CRANSTON FIRE (Riverside County): The Cranston fire is largely out of populated areas and most evacuation orders have been lifted. All evacuation orders are expected to be lifted by this morning. 

  • Acreage: 13,139
  • Containment: 92%
  • Personnel: 580
  • Expected full containment: 08/09/18

FERGUSON FIRE (Yosemite area): As a reminder, if you or any friends have plans for Yosemite this weekend, the valley will not be open until Sunday at the earliest. Aramark, which runs the Yosemite hotels now, is cancelling reservations and contacting guests.

  • Acreage: 68,610
  • Containment: 39%
  • Deaths: 2 (firefighters)
  • Structures destroyed: 1
  • Injuries: 7
  • Personnel: 3,344
  • Engines: 145
  • Helicopters: 14
  • Dozers: 49

Yosemite National Park announces Yosemite Valley, Wawona Road, the Mariposa Grove of Giant Sequoias, the Merced Grove of Giant Sequoias, Hetch Hetchy, and other areas will remain closed to all visitors through Sunday, August 5, 2018 due to continued unhealthy smoke impacts and ongoing firefighting operations. For information on Yosemite National Park, go to: nps.gov/yose or call 209-372-0200. Road Closure map and public health and safety closure.  

 

PROPOSITION 10 (rent control): In the Times, Liam Dillon looks at the big money being raised in opposition to the ballot measure which would partially repeal the Costa-Hawkins Act, yielding more authority to local governments to impose rent control.

Top donors to the campaign include apartment developers Essex Property Trust of San Mateo and Equity Residential of Chicago, which gave $2.3 million and $1.7 million respectively, according to state campaign finance reports released this week. The California Apartment Assn. has estimated its members will raise approximately $60 million to defeat the initiative, Proposition 10.

MR-T/SR-T: So what happened to Sebastian Ridley-Thomas after his abrupt resignation from the Assembly for unspecified health reason, as colleagues were resigning under sexual harassment allegations? The LAT's Matt Hamilton and Harriet Ryan report:

The [University of California], which sits in his father’s district, hired him as a professor of social work and public policy. USC also gave Ridley-Thomas, who lacked a graduate degree, a scholarship to pursue a master’s program in social work, according to sources familiar with the matter.

The unusual arrangement has come under scrutiny in recent weeks as the scandal-plagued university attempts to adopt more transparency in its affairs. Administrators launched an investigation and Sebastian Ridley-Thomas was fired last month, said the sources, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to comment publicly.

After the internal probe, USC approached the U.S. Attorney’s office in Los Angeles. The university told federal prosecutors it had concerns about a recent $100,000 donation from a campaign fund controlled by Mark Ridley-Thomas.

The gift to USC’s Suzanne Dworak-Peck School of Social Work ended up in the account of a nonprofit group outside the university run by Sebastian Ridley-Thomas, according to sources and public records.

Mack Jenkins, head of the public corruption and civil rights section at the U.S. Attorney’s office, confirmed that a lawyer for USC briefed him on the Ridley-Thomas matter and referred it “for criminal investigation.” He declined further comment.

HARASSMENT: A second complaint against former Assembly Appropriations chief consultant Pedro Reyes  was found to be legitimate, reports Alexei Koseff in the Bee. Reyes retired from the Legislature last December after being informed of the complaints.

CA48 (Huntington Beach): Sherry Bebitch Jeffe and Doug Jeffe look at the challenges facing Congressman Dana Rohrabacher, as he seeks his eleventh term in the House.

  

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Event: Capitol Seminars lobbying workshop
  • Job: California Welfare Directors Association
  • Job: Cargill Director of Governmental Relations (Newark-Bay Area)
  • Job: Local Health Plans of California seeks a Program Manager
  • Job: Serna Center @ Sac City Unified: Chief Business Officer
  • Job: Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels   

 

ABORTION: For McClatchy, Emily Cadei writes that, while abortion is unlikely to be outlawed in California even if the Supreme Court overrules Roe v. Wade, there are still likely ways that opponents could restrict access to the procedure.

CEQA: For CALmatters, Dan Walters writes that while Jerry Brown has talked about the reform of the California Environmental Quality Act as a priority, little has been done under his watch. That is, except for fast-tracks of state buildings and sports arenas.

TRUTH IN TAXATION? Joel Fox writes that, while there is a good argument that money is needed in the City of Sacramento and other local governments to maintain services, the issue of pension costs needs to be conveyed to voters as they consider sales tax continuations or increases.

 

Probolsky Research

 

 

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Jose Cornejo!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.

 

  • Job Openings – Account Executive
    OPR Communications is seeking account executives for its media relations and public affairs teams. As the leading public relations firm in the Inland Empire, the award-winning OPR team specializes in developing and executing public affairs, media relations, public education and community outreach programs on behalf of a wide range of land-use, transportation, healthcare, energy and government agency clients. Salary DOE. Detailed info here
    Apply at aherrera@oprusa.com.

  • Former Compton Board of Education member LYNN DYMALLY discusses what makes Compton politics unique in this exclusive interview: vimeo.com/282368059
  • CA School Boards Assn- Legislative Advocate (West Sacramento) Under supervision of the Assistant Executive Director for Governmental Relations, researches, analyzes, and evaluates proposed and current state and federal legislation, legislative issues, statutes, regulations, and policies; communicates and advocates for the Association’s position to influence opinion in favor of public education; develops, summarizes, and maintains reports and records; fosters cooperative working relationships among Association staff and acts as liaison with various legislative, educational, community, public, and government agencies; and performs related work as required.

    Details here:onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=151143621

  • Attorney General's Office is seeking a Legislative Advocate with subject matter expertise in areas such as civil law, criminal law, public rights and law enforcement. The Advocate represents the Department of Justice on legislative matters before the State Legislature. The job can be viewed here.   
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Bay Area)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:
  • https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407117 
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Orange County)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407120
  •  CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Joaquin North)

    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407122

  • WE CAN HELP MAKE YOUR LOBBYING EFFORTS MORE EFFECTIVE. Numerous nonprofits and private sector organizations, lobbying firms, trade associations and government entities use Capitol Seminars as their No.1 training resource -- for new lobbyists, support staff, executives who hire and manage lobbyists. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, our Lobbying 101 & 201 seminars offer you comprehensive coverage of the Legislative process, along with best practices for Legislative, Budget, and Regulatory Agency advocacy, Lobbying the Administration, and Media Strategies. You’ll refer to the extensive curriculum materials long after the seminars are over. Next dates: August 2-3, October 4-5, December 13-24. More information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916-442-5009.
  • The County Welfare Directors Association is hiring a Human Services Policy Analyst focusing on county-run programs serving children and adults. The Analyst supports the advocacy work CWDA is engaged in, at the direction of senior staff, including but not limited to legislative and budget efforts and implementation of policy changes enacted at the state and federal level. Competitive salary, excellent benefit package. Open until 8/1. Details: www.cwda.org/job-opportunities
  • CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER (CBO)
    SERNA CENTER Sacramento City USD 5735 47th Ave. Sac, CA 95824
    Salary Range: $157,252 – $197,031 yrly. Medical, Dental and Vision; $4,800 annual travel stipend
    CBO’s role is to create a structure incorporating the District’s annual budget process with the Local Control Accountability Plan (LCAP) and Single Plan for Student Achievement (SPSA) using the SCUSD Guiding Principle and Core Value Statement. The ability to incorporate them into one seamless process could lead to more equitable outcomes for all students.
    Apply: www.edjoin.org/Home/Jobs?stateID=24&countyID=34&districtID=583
    Contact: Monica Garland monicaga@scusd.edu
  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Donation From Prominent L.A. Politician Roils Usc, Which Referred Case To Federal Prosecutors
Matt Hamilton, Harriet Ryan @
latimes.com
The $100,000 gift from Mark Ridley-Thomas, sources said, ended up at an outside nonprofit organization run by his son, former Assemblyman Sebastian Ridley-Thomas.

Bolton: Trump 'will Not Tolerate Interference' In U.S. Elections - Politico

National security adviser John Bolton said in a letter to Senate Democrats Thursday that President Donald Trump is doing more to defend U.S. elections from foreign influence than any previous administration, and he offered to hold classified briefings for Congress on the White House's efforts.

Trump Calls On Sessions To Stop Mueller's Russia Probe, Raising Specter Of Attempted Obstruction
Chris Megerian, Noah Bierman, Eliza Fawcett @
latimes.com
Trump is already reportedly under investigation for potential obstruction of the Russia probe led by special counsel Robert S. Mueller III. His tweet early Wednesday was the president's most explicit statement to date seemingly aimed at getting his attorney general, the nation's top law enforcement officer, to end the probe.

Trump Pushes for Interview With Mueller Against Lawyersâ

The special counsel has agreed to accept some answers in writing, but the president’s lawyers believe that answering any questions could put him in legal jeopardy.