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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

Happy humpday! It should actually be a nice day to get out for lunch--not to smoky and a forecasted 82 at noon. As I was walking back from the movies last night around 9:45, it was glorious outside. After being cooped up to avoid the smoke and heat for a few days, it was perfect. Lots of people were out riding the popular fire engine red Jump bikeshare bikes.

I spend all the time checking and double-checking fire numbers while also working on campaign finance reports. Then, I forget that yesterday was the last day of July, not August, which wishfully would be the end of the legislative session. I also wrote in one graf that the Dodgers were away and in the next that they were in town. You can tell when I started to drink my coffee yesterday.

Anyway, Dodgers dropped the game against the Brewers 1-0, bt I hope out of state NCSL attendees enjoyed a Dodger Dog. Meanwhile, the Giants won the second game of a two-game series against the Padres 3-2, again in extra innings. The Brewers continue IN Los Angeles tonight at 7:10, the Giants and Padres are both off, Angels are in Tampa (4:10) and the A's host the Blue Jays (12:35).

Last night was the campaign finance deadline, and the reports were rolling in up until the midnight deadline. While I, along with many others, have criticized the Secretary of State's Cal-Access system over the years, it performed admirably last night. Anyway, while I was up late building the spreadsheet for NOONER Premium subscribers, we'll go through some campaign finance highlights after the jump. However, we must start with the latest fire numbers. 

CARR FIRE (Shasta/Trinity):  At 1,465 structures destroyed, the Carr Fire is now the 6th most destructive in recorded California history. While last October's Tubbs's fire at 5,636 is number one, as a percentage of structures in the affected counties is actually likely higher in Carr. Napa/Sonoma also have much stronger economies and community resources. This also means that, as a percentage of government revenues, Shasta County and the cities and towns are going to face a huge challenge even after the fire crew heroes return home.

I don't compare to write to ask whose fire is bigger, but rather the economic and policy consequences. Both are huge disasters, but recovery in Shasta/Tehama is going to be far more difficult without significant state intervention. 

  • Acreage: 115,538
  • Containment: 35%
  • Deaths: 6 (2 firefighters, 4 civilians)
  • Structures destroyed: 1,465  (1,018 residences, 12 commercial, 435 other)
  • Structures damaged: 248
  • Structures threatened: 2,546
  • Personnel: 4,151
  • Engines: 366
  • Helicopters: 17
  • Dozers: 119
  • Expected full containment: Unknown

CRANSTON FIRE (Riverside County): The Cranston fire is largely out of populated areas and most (if not all) evacuation orders have been lifted. We don't have a morning report again from this fire.

  • Acreage: 13,139
  • Containment: 89%
  • Personnel: 899
  • Expected full containment: 08/09/18

FERGUSON FIRE (Yosemite area): The story from Ferguson yesterday was less about fire than smoke. The containment of the fire continues to increase, but Yosemite National Park officials decided to maintain the evacuation until Sunday, rather than the previous plan to reopen on Friday. Reportedly, that has more to do with the quality of the air in Yosemite Valley than actual fire threat. Further, a significant "repopulation" of the park at one time would lead to traffic that could impede the movement of fire equipment and other public safety vehicles.

  • Acreage: 62,883
  • Containment: 39%
  • Deaths: 2 (firefighters)
  • Structures destroyed: 1
  • Injuries: 7
  • Personnel: 3,558
  • Engines: 203
  • Helicopters: 14
  • Dozers: 62

Yosemite National Park announces Yosemite Valley, Wawona Road, the Mariposa Grove of Giant Sequoias, the Merced Grove of Giant Sequoias, Hetch Hetchy, and other areas will remain closed to all visitors through Sunday, August 5, 2018 due to continued unhealthy smoke impacts and ongoing firefighting operations. For information on Yosemite National Park, go to: nps.gov/yose or call 209-372-0200. Road Closure map and public health and safety closure.  

MENDOCINO COMPLEX (Lake/Mendocino): While there is clear overall progress, the afternoon yesterday was tough around Lakeport as the winds picked up leading to erratic spot fires. More houses were consumed. The below numbers do not account for last night's structures that were reported to be burning, as the assessments don't take place overnight. A few evacuations were lifted yesterday in Big Valley Rancheria, Finley, and Kelseyville. Despite last night's flare-up, fire officials hope to repopulate most of Lakeport today.

  • Acreage: 90,912
  • Containment: 24% 
  • Structures destroyed: 11 (10 residences, 1 outbuildings)
  • Structures damaged: 3 (2 residences, 1 outbuilding)
  • Stuctures threatened: 12,200
  • Personnel: 2,677
  • Engines: 326
  • Helicopters: 15
  • Dozers: 47
  • Expected full containment: 08/07/18

THIS IS SHOCKING - Human-cause or a climactic cycle, I won't preach to you. But, we've got a major problem here that has to be addressed on both preparation, response, and recovery planning.

Wildfires in the last 12 months (actually 9 months) in context of recorded California history:

Deadliest
#3 Tubbs (October 2017) - 22 deaths
#10 Redwood Valley (October 2017) - 9 deaths
#13 Carr (July 2018) - 6 deaths
#14 Atlas (October 2017) - 6 deaths
$20 Cascade (October 2017) - 4 deaths

Most Destructive
#1 Tubbs (October 2017) - 5,636 structures
#4 Carr (July 2018) - 1,465 structures
#7 Nuns (October 2017) - 1,355 structures
#8 Thomas (December 2017) - 1,063 structures
#12 Atlas (October 2017) - 783 structures
#18 Redwood Valley (October 2017) - 546 structures

Four of the 20 deadliest fires in California's history have been in the last 9 months, along with 5 of the 20 most destructive. Only 2015 had duplication (2 most destructive). 

That is unbelievable. We think of the awful Oakland Hills fire in 1991, and they rebuilt smartly, although the eucalyptus debate rages on. 

Over the last nine months, more than three times as many structures have been destroyed by wildfire. 

 

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Who’s Who of LA’s Political Movers and Shakers Honor Freshman Policymakers: Los Angeles County Business Federation (BizFed) together with the BizFed PAC will host its 4th annual Freshman Policymakers Reception on Thursday, August 2 at the Avalon in Hollywood from 5pm – 8pm. Meet more than 100 government officials shaping the future of business in LA County. Tickets available at bizfed.org/freshman

WHAT: Over 100 statewide elected officials, State Assemblymembers, State Senator, Mayors, and City Council members from around Los Angeles County will be the guests at Los Angeles County Business Federation’s (BizFed) annual Freshman Policymakers reception. The event will honor all newly elected office holders from LA County. Over 300 leaders from the LA County business community will be in attendance.
WHERE: AVALON Hollywood, 1735 Vine St, Los Angeles, CA 90028
WHEN: Thursday, August 2, 2018 at 5:00 PM PST to 8:00 PM PST
VIPS: Congresswoman Nanette Diaz Barragán
Congressman Jimmy Gomez
State Controller Betty Yee
State Senator Steven Bradford
State Senator Ling Ling Chang
Assemblymember Jesse Gabriel
Assemblymember Sydney Kamlager-Dove
Assemblymember Miguel Santiago
LA County Assessor Jeffrey Prang
* More to be announced

 

A FEW CAMPAIGN FINANCE HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Cash-on-hand (minus non-candidate debt):
    • GOV: Newsom (D): $10,863,113.29, Cox (R): $1,349,790.05
    • LG: Hernandez (D): $303,029.81, Kounalakis (D): $713,371.38
    • SPI: Thurmond (N): $397,870.67, Tuck (N): $463,200.20
    • IC Lara (D): $158,442.34, Poizner (NPP): $23,196.43
    • Interesting: AD72 (Huntington Beach): Diep (R): $106,046.83, Lowenthal (D): $530,506.81 

Parking structure:

  • Former state treasurer Bill Lockyer  still has $1.4 million on hand, ostensibly for a run He is essentially retired, but could certainly be influential in this cycle or the next. Or he could donate it to fire relief. Just sayin'.
  • Disgraced former assemblyman Matt Dababneh transferred $1.1 million to a 2022 account for lieutenant governor. Significant money has been spent on legal services out of that account. If the spending relates to the harassment allegations, it is of questionable legality, even if the funds were in a separate "legal defense fund." This is particularly true in Dababneh's case, as the allegation that brought him down took place at a Vegas nightclub on a non-official trip, not on Capitol grounds, or Capitol or campaign business.
  • Former Assemblyman Mike Gatto  has $2.1 million in a 2022 account for lieutenant governor. Obviously, that would mean running against an incumbent of either Ed Hernandez or Eleni Kounalakis--not going to happen. Of course, Bob Hertzberg's State Senate seat will be open in 2022, although a funds transfer would have to "downsize" contributions from the statewide to legislative seat limits.
  • Senator Kamala Harris  has $1 million in a state account, ostensibly for governor in 2026. It will be interesting to see if she spreads that money around to stimulate a presidential bid or sits on it as a safety valve. It's unlikely she would need the valve. If she runs for President in 2020, it's a free Senate ride. Yes, governor would be open in 2026. However, a high profile, safe United States Senate seat without term limits is far more interesting than eight years in the governor's corner office.  

    Pete Wilson was the last United States Senator to run for governor, but he wouldn't have won re-election in against Dianne Feinstein in 1992. Before that, it was John B. Weller in 1858. That's it.

    Of course, Hiram Johnson served in both roles, but he ran for Senate in 1916 after being governor. Fellow Republican William F. Knowland left the Senate to run for governor in 1958, but was unsuccessful.

THE SPRINT: Our friend, lobbyist Chris Micheli, counts the bills (that we know of) for the last month of session:

As we head into the final month of the Legislative Session, the following is a snapshot of the number of measures [over 1,370 bills - 480 in Assembly and 890 in Senate] still pending that will be considered during the four weeks of August (note that there are a number of bills to be heard in policy committees still and additional bills that could be pulled off the Inactive File to increase these numbers):

Assembly 

The Assembly has about 480 measures to process in August.

On the Assembly Floor, there are roughly 30 Assembly measures and 120 Senate measures. [150 measures]

Assembly Appropriations Committee has 303 measures scheduled for its August 8 hearing (although a few may be pushed over to its August 15 hearing). It has 27 bills currently on Suspense File. [330 measures]

Senate 

The Senate has about 890 measures to process in August.

On the Senate Floor, there are roughly 15 Senate measures and 285 Assembly measures. [300 measures] 

Senate Appropriations Committee has 502 measures scheduled for its August 6 hearing (although a few may be pushed over to its August 13 hearing). It has 88 bills currently on Suspense File. [590 measures]

The Senate and Assembly Appropriations Committees are likely to vote on their respective Suspense File measures on Thursday, August 16, upon adjournment of the Floor Sessions.

 

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Event: Capitol Seminars lobbying workshop
  • Job: California Welfare Directors Association
  • Job: Cargill Director of Governmental Relations (Newark-Bay Area)
  • Job: Local Health Plans of California seeks a Program Manager
  • Job: Serna Center @ Sac City Unified: Chief Business Officer
  • Job: Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels   

 

Probolsky Research

 

 

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Senate President Pro Tem Toni AtkinsAndy Kelley and Christopher Wilson!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.

 

  • Former Compton Board of Education member LYNN DYMALLY discusses what makes Compton politics unique in this exclusive interview: vimeo.com/282368059
  • CA School Boards Assn- Legislative Advocate (West Sacramento) Under supervision of the Assistant Executive Director for Governmental Relations, researches, analyzes, and evaluates proposed and current state and federal legislation, legislative issues, statutes, regulations, and policies; communicates and advocates for the Association’s position to influence opinion in favor of public education; develops, summarizes, and maintains reports and records; fosters cooperative working relationships among Association staff and acts as liaison with various legislative, educational, community, public, and government agencies; and performs related work as required.

    Details here:onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=151143621

  • Attorney General's Office is seeking a Legislative Advocate with subject matter expertise in areas such as civil law, criminal law, public rights and law enforcement. The Advocate represents the Department of Justice on legislative matters before the State Legislature. The job can be viewed here.   
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Bay Area)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:
  • https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407117 
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Orange County)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407120
  •  CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Joaquin North)

    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407122

  • WE CAN HELP MAKE YOUR LOBBYING EFFORTS MORE EFFECTIVE. Numerous nonprofits and private sector organizations, lobbying firms, trade associations and government entities use Capitol Seminars as their No.1 training resource -- for new lobbyists, support staff, executives who hire and manage lobbyists. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, our Lobbying 101 & 201 seminars offer you comprehensive coverage of the Legislative process, along with best practices for Legislative, Budget, and Regulatory Agency advocacy, Lobbying the Administration, and Media Strategies. You’ll refer to the extensive curriculum materials long after the seminars are over. Next dates: August 2-3, October 4-5, December 13-24. More information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916-442-5009.
  • The County Welfare Directors Association is hiring a Human Services Policy Analyst focusing on county-run programs serving children and adults. The Analyst supports the advocacy work CWDA is engaged in, at the direction of senior staff, including but not limited to legislative and budget efforts and implementation of policy changes enacted at the state and federal level. Competitive salary, excellent benefit package. Open until 8/1. Details: www.cwda.org/job-opportunities
  • CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER (CBO)
    SERNA CENTER Sacramento City USD 5735 47th Ave. Sac, CA 95824
    Salary Range: $157,252 – $197,031 yrly. Medical, Dental and Vision; $4,800 annual travel stipend
    CBO’s role is to create a structure incorporating the District’s annual budget process with the Local Control Accountability Plan (LCAP) and Single Plan for Student Achievement (SPSA) using the SCUSD Guiding Principle and Core Value Statement. The ability to incorporate them into one seamless process could lead to more equitable outcomes for all students.
    Apply: www.edjoin.org/Home/Jobs?stateID=24&countyID=34&districtID=583
    Contact: Monica Garland monicaga@scusd.edu
  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
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