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THE NOONER for January 9, 2015

 

 

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Tobacco money doesn't belong in CA politics


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Happy Budget Day! I'll have a special Nooner tomorrow with some take-aways from the proposed budget. The budget summary is available here.

The LAO notes that the governor's budget includes $1.3 billion more in revenue from the "Big 3 sources"--personal income, sales, and corporate taxes--across the three fiscal years (2013-14, 2014-15, and 2015-16). Perhaps that is from the $1.9 billion in higher December revenues reported today by the State Controller and an additional $1.1 billion received on December 31, which will be included in January's total.

The LAO and DOF use a different accounting/reporting mechanism than the Controller to tally revenues, but it certainly looks like December was a good month as the stock market reached new highs (before receding). Everything can change, however, if there was a December pre-payment surge reducing PIT payments over the last half of the year.

The LAO will release it's preliminary analysis next week.

The big winners in the budget appear to be K-12 schools and community colleges, which are benefiting from increases in 

The Barbara Boxer news continues, with lots of speculation who might jump in to take a shot. 

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti announced yesterday that he will not be running for the seat.

One name I didn't include yesterday is Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez. Sanchez has been calling around seeking endorsements and claims to have $1 million in pledges. She is seen as the most likely candidate from the California House delegation.

What's difficult for House members about seeking a bid amidst a crowded field is that they would be giving up there spot in Congress if they are unsuccessful. So, it's a make or break shot, which is why we're not hearing much about people like Xavier Becerra or Jackie Speier, who some advocate for women in office are pushing to run. Of course, the House is a lot less fun for Democrats in the minority, and with the unlikelihood that there is a real shot at regaining the majority until after the 2021 redistricting.

Another name being floated is Senate President Pro Tem Kevin de León. It would be a free ride for him, as he is termed out in 2018. However, it would probably be difficult for him to hold on to the Pro Tem position for a run against a crowded field of connected Democrats.

And, some have mentioned Sheryl Sandberg, Chief Operating Officer at Facebook. Before Facebook, the Harvard grad (undergrad and MBA) worked at Google and as chief of staff to Secretary of Treasury Larry Summers. Oh yeah, she's worth over $1 billion, so fundraising wouldn't be a problem.

On the Republican side, Carl DeMaio says he has no plans to run "at this time," politically speak for "please beg me to run." Steve Poizner, the only Republican besides Arnold Republican to win statewide in the last 14 years, has also been mentioned. Poizner, who served as Insurance Commissioner from 2007 to 2011, lost in the 2010 primary to Meg Whitman. Don't look for any Republican members of the House, who are now in the majority, to give up their seats for what would be a longshot campaign, particularly in a presidential year.

A few of the Boxer reads:

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Rachel Richman, Terry Schanz, and Doug Yoakam! Weekend wishes to Darcy Brown and Alex Rooker (Sunday)!

 

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TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Dawn of a brand-new day for Oakland City Council
Chip Johnson @
sfgate.com
Gibson-McElhaney’s election is an outward expression of the council majority’s desire to ditch the political theater and focus on the enormous policy, financing and growth challenges now facing the city. In the past, some Oakland city leaders have drummed up red-herring political objections to halt or kill sound policy initiatives. Gibson-McElhaney is no political whiz, but she is the undisputed peacemaker on the council, a nonconfrontational consensus-builder whose demeanor represents neutral ground. The change was a necessity in Oakland, where 84 percent of all robberies in the first five months of 2014 included the theft of a cell phone. Kalb also authored ballot measure CC, approved by voters in November, to provide dedicated funding and give much-needed authority to Oakland’s Public Ethics Commission. Noel Gallo is a hard-working councilman who doesn’t possess all the political skills but whose spirit and willingness to put his shoulder to the wheel inspires communities and volunteerism. The council’s newest members, Abel Guillen in District Two and Anne Campbell-Washington in District Four, are both more policy wonks than career politicians — and should improve the council if they can remain independent of the unions that contributed heavily to their campaigns. Guillen, the former board president of the Peralta Community College District, is a champion of public education, and his expertise in municipal financing will help the budget process and perhaps even the efforts to aid the improvement of the city’s public school system. [...] there is Desley Brooks, a dissenting voice on the council for a decade.

California's Soaring Healthcare Costs Bode Ill For The Budget
latimes.com
California's budget, which bounced back after years of deficits, is now being squeezed by rising healthcare costs for the poor and for retired state workers.

Big CCSF decisions loom: collegeâ
Nanette Asimov @
sfgate.com
The commission trying to revoke its accreditation voted privately this week on whether to grant the college two more years to comply with standards, and could announce its decision at the end of its three-day meeting Friday in Sacramento — or delay the announcement for days or weeks. Students, faculty and education officials are also waiting anxiously to learn whether a judge will uphold the commission’s original decision that City College should lose its accreditation and be shut down, or whether he’ll side with the city of San Francisco, which sued the commission and is asking the judge to toss out the negative judgment on grounds that the evaluation process was flawed. At stake is the future of City College, a school of nearly 80,000 full- and part-time students that serves as a bridge to the middle-class for thousands of low-income people who rely on it to learn a trade or transfer to a university. “People are very concerned,” said Tim Killikelly, president of the faculty union at City College. At the California Community College chancellor’s office, officials initially backed the commission but have since criticized it as overly harsh. The college has made tremendous progress over the past two years and has entered a phase of stability and sustained improvement. If he hands the victory to San Francisco City Attorney Dennis Herrera and rules that the evaluation process was flawed and invalid, expect to hear cheering from students and other college advocates up and down the state. In that case, the judge could order the commission to perform a fresh evaluation of the college, and the question of a two-year extension for City College would be moot. A court victory for the commission would give it the power to revoke City College’s accreditation immediately. The college had to apply for the extension, and the decision depends on whether the commission believes the school has a reasonable chance of coming into compliance within two years. Conceivably, a decision to extend time for City College could influence the judge’s decision and give him a helpful way out of a sticky legal dilemma: Under the two-year extension, City College would be placed on restoration status, a new option that the commission reluctantly established last spring at the urging of the U.S. Department of Education, which oversees the commission but cannot overrule it.

More education, healthcare spending expected in Brown's budget proposal
latimes.com
Four days after taking the oath of office for the fourth time, Gov. Jerry Brown is scheduled to release a new budget proposal Friday.

US Senate 2016: Treasurer John Chiang has better favorable ratings than Gov. Jerry Brown
calnewsroom.com
John Chiang has better favorable ratings than Gov. Jerry Brown, according to California’s oldest and most-respected polling firm.

Press Conference: Governor Brown's 2015-16 Budget Proposal - California Politics, News, Video And More | The California Channel : California Politics, News, Video And More | The California Channel
calchannel.com
Press Conference: Governor Brown’s 2015-16 Budget Proposal

La Political Power Brokers Put Weight Behind Moving Election
Southern California Public Radio @
scpr.org
A coalition of Los Angeles City Hall's movers and shakers have formed a committee to back two ballot proposals to move the city of L.A.'s elections so that they sync up with state and federal races and increase voter participation.

Senate Majority Asks Attorney General To Guard Against Gas Price Hikes
latimes.com
A majority of the state Senate members wrote to California Atty. Gen. Kamala Harris on Thursday, asking that her office watch to make sure gas prices are not increased without justification by the oil industry to undermine the state's cap-and-trade program.

Boxer Retirement Suck-up Watch: Which Would-be Replacement Can Kiss Up Best?
Joe Garofoli @
blog.sfgate.com
Nothing like a political power vacuum to elicit the quality present in all politicians: the innate ability to suck up.

Gov. Brown Releases $164.7-billion Budget Plan; Schools See Boost
latimes.com
Four days after taking the oath of office for the fourth time, Gov. Jerry Brown released his $164.7-billion budget proposal on Friday morning in the Capitol.

US Senate 2016: Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom: Same consultants, different style logos
calnewsroom.com
Ponder this: The two candidates share consultants, SCN Strategies. That means their websites should have a similar look and feel. It also means their advisers have the same outlook on things like branding and logos.

House Fires Shot at Health Care Law, Seeking to Alter Critical Coverage Rule
rss.nytimes.com
The House passed a bill changing the definition of the workweek from 30 hours to 40 hours, which proponents say would save businesses with 50 or more employees from having to make cuts in other parts of their businesses to pay for health care coverage.

Obama Plan Would Make Community Colleges Nearly Free For Millions
latimes.com
Aiming to dramatically expand access to higher education, President Obama on Thursday proposed making community college virtually free for millions of high school graduates — a potential boon for California's system, the largest in the nation.

Will California's Next U.S. Senator Please Stand Up?
John Myers @
ww2.kqed.org
There is no shortage of possible contenders for California's newly open U.S. Senate seat.

Obama Proposes Free Community College Education for Some Students
rss.nytimes.com
President Obama will announce Friday that the federal government will work with states to waive the first two years of community college tuition in some cases.

Barbara Boxer says Anita Hill saga helped propel election to Senate
latimes.com
Sen. Barbara Boxer, who announced Thursday she would not run for reelection in 2016, told reporters that she probably never would have won her seat in the first place were it not for Anita Hill, the law professor who accused Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas of sexual harassment.

L.A.'s Choice Of UC Berkeley Institute To Study Wage Plan Is Criticized
latimes.com
A research team that provided a largely favorable analysis of Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti 's plan for raising the citywide minimum wage has been tapped by city leaders to conduct a politically sensitive review of his proposal — and a move to push base pay even higher.

Sen. Barbara Boxer's Impending Retirement To Set Off A Scramble
latimes.com
Sen. Barbara Boxer's announcement Thursday that she would not seek reelection in 2016 is expected to set off a scramble among California Democrats who have been waiting more than two decades for a Senate seat to open.

A California First Lady Unlike Any Other - Capradio.org
Ben Adler @
capradio.org
The Assembly chambers were packed as Jerry Brown made history – the first California governor ever to be sworn in for a fourth term. And Anne Gust Brown stepped up to the podium to introduce her husband.

State worker lies to boss about telecommuting to take 2nd full-time job in SF
Melody Gutierrez @
sfgate.com
A state employee with the Department of Industrial Relations lied to his boss about needing to telecommute — saying he needed to care for his ailing mother — in order to secretly take a second full-time job at a San Francisco hospital, according to a report from the state auditor.

Barbara Boxer's Highs And Lows
Josh Richman @
mercurynews.com
Leveraging billions of dollars to create millions of jobs in transportation infrastructure.

Former L.A. Board Member To Head Embattled Magnolia Schools
latimes.com
A local charter school group that is battling for survival has turned to a well-known and sometimes controversial education figure to take charge. Magnolia Public Schools, under fire for money management and other issues, has hired former L.A. school board President Caprice Young as its new chief executive.

US Senate 2016 GOP Longshots: Former CA GOP Chairmen Del Beccaro, Sundheim exploring bids
calnewsroom.com
Tom Del Beccaro and Duf Sundheim, two former chairmen of the California Republican Party, are exploring bids for U.S. Senate in 2016.