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THE NOONER for November 3, 2014

NOONER PAID SUBSCRIBERS at $39.99/year get these benefits:

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  • downloadable spreadsheet of all candidates, with district geography, analysis, and outlook
  • downloadable voter registration numbers for all districts
  • the joy in supporting nonpartisan analysis of California politics and policy

 

THE LANDSCAPE: As we delete our last fundraising emails (yeah, right) and prepare for election day, let's think about the landscape. The national story this weekend is largely of a Republican surge because of economic malaise, international crises that haven't been well managed/communicated by the White House, and a low turnout midterm election. Yes, Republicans will pick up House seats nationally and I would put them at 70% chance of winning a majority in the Senate, although it might take a couple of months for runoff elections in two states.

The Republican House majority could reach a high not seen since 1948, but that has as much to do with redistricting and a mid-term election than it does a political trend. Those numbers would likely keep Republicans holding the gavel until after the 2021 redistricting, and then Dems would likely have to wait for the presidential cycle of 2024.

However, the Nooner is about the Golden State, where tomorrow will be a pretty status quo election. I believe we're looking net gains of from zero to three in each of the three chambers (House, State Senate, and State Assembly). 

I could get into my predictions for individual legislative races, but that would skew The Nooner Election Contest. There are already 250 entrants. Your contest link is:

##CONTESTLINK##

Through Friday, 28.6% of absentee ballots had been reported to be turned in, according to Paul Mitchell and Political Data Inc. That is a ballot from 14.3% of registered voters. We can probably expect another 600,000-700,000 vote-by-mail ballots to have been received over the weekend and through tomorrow, which would get participation to 17.7% to 18.2%. Ugh, there is no question that this will be historically low turnout; the only question is how embarrassingly low it will be.

In the 2010 general, the voter composition was 45% Dem, 34% Rep, 21% Other. In 2012, it was 45% Dem, 31% Rep, 24% Other. Among ballots already received for tomorrow's election, the partisan breakdown is 42% Dem, 38% Rep 20% Other. Thus, it's no disaster for Dems, which historically have done a better job at the ground game of at-polling-place voters.

The LA Times/USC Dornsife poll uses a weighting of 46.7% Dem, 30.5% Rep, and 22.8% Other.

On statewides, I predict a sweep by Democrats. While Ashley Swearengin and Pete Peterson are great candidates and had a window of opportunity in this election, party leaders and funders decided that fighting the legislative races to remove the Democrats' supermajority was more important, denying the statewides of resources. Peterson could be close in the Secretary of State race.

The most interesting race is for Superintendent of Public Instruction, the nonpartisan office for which few voters could identify a job function. Both candidates are Democrats, although incumbent Tom Torlakson is supported by the teachers, and Marshall Tuck is an advocate for charter schools and other education reforms. That one could go either way.

In ballot measures, the water bond (Prop 1) will pass, and the rainy day fund (Prop 2) likely will too. Prop 45 (health care rates) and Prop 46 (malpractice caps, drug-testing). Prop 47 (criminal punishment) will likely pass, and Prop 48 (Madera tribal casino) will fail, meaning the legislatively passed compact will be repealed.

Finally, it is abhorrent what is being done to Prophet Walker in AD64 (look at this too). Frankly, I have no position on the race and believe that 95% of the votes would be the same between either Mike Gipson or Prophet. I frankly didn't know Prophet's story until I was invited to give a commencement speech at Ironwood State Prison in Blythe this spring, and then I learned he took community college classes there before completing his degree at Norco (after being transferred for good behavior), and then going on to Loyola Marymount. 

I don't know if the mailer was from Gipson or the IEs supporting him, and don't really care. The "we're not coordinating" thing is bunk.

The IEs--mostly business interests--that are trying to destroy Prophet over his criminal past care nothing about criminal law or the communities where Mike and Prophet come from. They care nothing about his redemption story or work to reduce recidivism.

Here are the IEs spending money against Prophet:

And, to take a black man who was a teenage criminal, did his time, and has now dedicated his life to keep others from doing the same, and photoshop him now by adding a hoodie and a gun is one of the most reprehensible things I have seen in 20 years of California politics. And, the racism is from a fellow African-American, purely for political purposes. This is worse than Pete Wilson's commercials for Prop 187 in 1994 and makes the Willie Horton ad look like Halloween candy.

Those responsible must retract and apologize.

 

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**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • The Future of California Elections seeks a strategic, collaborative leader to serve as Executive Director. The ideal candidate would have considerable experience achieving strategic goals from a policy and/or non-profit setting. Could be based in Sacramento, Los Angeles or elsewhere in CA. Competitive salary and benefits. Full details here: bit.ly/1wGaCmx. Deadline: November 14.

  • Learn the legislative process and best practices for effective lobbying. Cover the complete spectrum of governmental advocacy in two days. Veteran lobbyist Ray LeBov presents "Lobbying 101" and "Lobbying 201" seminars November 13-14. $250 each. Essential for lobbying firm principals / support staff, organizations that employ lobbyists, public agencies. Complete info / registration: www.capitolseminars.netor 916 442 5009.
  • New Leaders Council Sacramento is accepting applications for their 2015 NLC Institute. New Leaders Council is a premier leadership, and professional development organization for young progressive professionals. Our Institute is an intensive 5 weekend over 5 month program that gives emerging leaders the tools and networks to succeed. Apply at newleaderscouncil.nationbuilder.com/fellows_application_2015. Applications close Nov. 11, 2014.
  • The American Heart Association and American Stroke Association is building healthier lives free of cardiovascular diseases and stroke every day.  Consider joining us as our Government Relations Director for the State of California.  This position is based in Sacramento and is an integral member of the team that manages, plans, directs and implements our statewide advocacy program focused on cardiovascular public health.  We offer a competitive compensation and benefits package, ongoing professional development and a collaborative, results-oriented environment in which to work and grow.  To apply, visit our website at www.heart.org/careers.  EOE M/F/D/V

  • Capitol Weekly, UC Center and Leadership California Institute present A Post-Mortem of the Election, Nov 6 in Sacramento. Over two dozen participants, including Jim Brulte and Ace Smith.  The day concludes with a Welcome Reception for New Legislators. Click here for info or call 916-444-7665.
  • Please join us for Capitol Network's fall luncheon featuring Diane Boyer-Vine, Legislative Counsel, on Thursday, November 6 from 11:30 am – 1 pm. Ms. Boyer-Vine will be sharing information about the inner workings of the Office of Legislative Counsel, the legislature's official attorney. In addition, Ms. Boyer-Vine will offer insights about her professional career and how she got to her current position. Register HERE: www.eventbrite.com/e/capitol-network-luncheon-featuring-diane-boyer-vine-legislative-counsel-tickets-13192034731

  • The California Hotel & Lodging Association seeks a Communications & Legislative Coordinator to manage the association's legislative and regulatory effort and political action committees, including coordination with lobbying firm, outside accounting firm and staff accounting.  Skilled communication and writing skills are required to direct and manage member communications, including a printed magazine, an electronic newsletter and member/industry alerts, and updating the web site. Email your cover letter, resume and salary requirements to michelle@calodging.com

  • The San Diego County Water Authority is seeking applications for Assistant Management Analyst in the Government Relations Program.  This position is based in Sacramento and features a competitive salary ($30.59-41.14/hr) and fantastic benefits. The ideal candidate has strong written and verbal communication skills, is highly organized, is able to work independently, and is able to prioritize and manage multiple assignments on deadline with a "can-do" attitude.  The successful candidate will also demonstrate a strong interest in promoting the goals of the Water Authority and the Government Relations Program. For further details and to apply, please visit: 


 

EditorialProp 1: water bondProp 2: rainy day fundProp 45: health ratesProp 46: malpractice & testingProp 47: crim. penaltiesProp 48: gaming referendum
California Democratic Party Yes Yes Yes   Yes Yes
California Republican Party Yes Yes  No  No  No   
California Peace and Freedom Party No No Yes No Yes Yes
Bakersfield Californian  Yes  Yes No No No  No 
Fresno Bee  Yes Yes  Yes Yes  No No
LA Daily News Yes Yes No No  No No 
LA Times Yes Yes  No No  Yes Yes
OC Register Yes Yes  No No  Yes No
Sacramento Bee   Yes No No No  No
San Francisco Chronicle    Yes No No Yes No
SJ MercNews Yes   Yes Yes No Yes No
UT San Diego Yes  Yes  No No No  No 

 

EditorialGovernorLtGovSecOfStateAttGenContTreasInsCommSupPubInstr
Bakersfield Californian    Newsom   Harris Swearengin Chiang Jones Tuck
Fresno Bee Brown  Newsom Peterson  Harris Swearengin Chiang Jones  Tuck
LA Daily News Brown Newsom   Peterson Harris  Swearengin Chiang Jones Tuck
LA Times Brown Newsom Peterson Harris  Swearengin Chiang  Jones  Tuck
OC Register     Peterson    Swearengin Chiang   Tuck
SacBee Brown Newsom Padilla Harris Swearengin Chiang Jones Tuck
SF Chron Brown Newsom Peterson Harris Yee Chiang  Jones Tuck
SJ MercNews Brown Newsom  Peterson Harris Swearengin Chiang Jones Tuck
UT San Diego Kashkari   Nehring Peterson     Swearengin Chiang   Tuck

 

Independent Expenditure Reports

Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
Agnew & Brusavich, A Professional Corporation Yes On Prop 46 $0 10/20/2014 11/02/2014
Californians Against Wasteful Spending Janet Nguyen (Support) $1,899 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians Against Wasteful Spending Marc Steinorth (Support) $1,479 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians Against Wasteful Spending Young Kim (Support) $1,468 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians Against Wasteful Spending David Hadley (Support) $1,702 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians Against Wasteful Spending Mario Guerra (Support) $1,574 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians Against Wasteful Spending Andy Vidak (Support) $1,462 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians Against Wasteful Spending Tom Lackey (Support) $1,568 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians For Jobs And A Strong Economy Jose Solorio (Support) $20,000 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians For Jobs And A Strong Economy Darrell Fong (Oppose) $1,012 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Californians For Jobs And A Strong Economy Jim Cooper (Support) $23,036 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Fairpac Independent Expenditure Committee, Sponsored By The Civil Justice Association Of California Bonnie Garcia (Support) $18,537 10/20/2014 11/02/2014
Fairpac Independent Expenditure Committee, Sponsored By The Civil Justice Association Of California Jeff Stone (Oppose) $4,600 10/22/2014 11/02/2014
Families For An Affordable San Francisco, Sponsored By Labor And Community Organizations David Campos (Support) $1,101 10/31/2014 11/02/2014
Independent Voter Pac Mike Gipson (Support) $3,474 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Independent Voter Pac Ian Calderon (Support) $1,759 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Independent Voter Pac Sharon Quirk Silva (Support) $1,451 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Independent Voter Pac Rudy Salas (Support) $1,264 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Independent Voter Pac Jacqui Irwin (Support) $2,332 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Independent Voter Pac Tony Thurmond (Support) $3,787 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Perea Reviving Jobs And The Economy Ballot Measure Committee Rainy Day Budget Stabilization Fund Act (Support) $2,750 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Perea Reviving Jobs And The Economy Ballot Measure Committee Water Quality/supply/infrastructure Act (Support) $2,750 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Professional Engineers In California Government (pecg-pac) Elizabeth Echols (Support) $2,000 11/01/2014 11/02/2014
Torlakson For Superintendent Of Public Instruction 2014 (mpo); American Federation Of Teachers - Kids, Families And Teachers Supporting Marshall Tuck (Oppose) $3,000 11/02/2014 11/02/2014
California Republican Party David Hadley (Support) $22,254 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
California Republican Party Mario A Guerra (Support) $12,967 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $12,418 11/01/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $33,385 09/26/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Richard Pan (Support) $98,255 10/20/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Richard Pan (Support) $1,046 11/01/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $102,335 10/20/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Mike Gipson (Oppose) $49,920 10/21/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Richard Pan (Support) $11,000 09/19/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $28,116 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $22,808 10/28/2014 11/01/2014
California State Council Of Service Employees Political Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $11,162 09/24/2014 11/01/2014
Californians Allied For Patient Protection Independent Expenditure Account Assembly Member Roger Dickinson (Oppose) $27,000 11/01/2014 11/01/2014
Californians For Clean Water Jason Gardea-stinnett (Oppose) $5,597 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Californians For Clean Water Sergio Calderon (Oppose) $1,252 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Californians For Clean Water Roma Elba (Oppose) $1,252 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Courage Campaign Issues Committee Criminal Sentences. Misdemeanor Penalties. Initiat (Support) $7 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Courage Campaign Issues Committee State Budget. Budget Stabilization Account. Legisl (Oppose) $7 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Courage Campaign Issues Committee Healthcare Insurance. Rate Changes. Initiative Sta (Support) $7 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Garcia For Assembly 2014 Water Bond. Funding For Water Quality, Supply, Tre (Support) $2,200 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Garcia For Assembly 2014 State Budget Stabilization Account. Legislative C (Support) $2,200 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Gipson For Assembly 2014, Jobs Creation Council Pac To Support Mike Mike Gipson (Support) $4,125 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Golden State Leadership Fund Pac Darrell Fong (Support) $8,000 11/01/2014 11/01/2014
Independent Voter Pac Rudy Salas (Support) $1,189 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Independent Voter Pac Tony Thurmond (Support) $3,530 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Independent Voter Pac Mike Gipson (Support) $4,647 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Independent Voter Pac Sharon Quirk Silva (Support) $1,410 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Independent Voter Pac Jacqui Irwin (Support) $1,312 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Independent Voter Pac Ian Calderon (Support) $1,573 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Independent Voter Pac Rob Mccoy (Oppose) $1,312 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Orange County Dignity Pac, Sponsored By Orange County Federation Of Labor, Afl-cio Sharon Quirk-silva (Support) $7,894 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee Justify Rates (Support) $595 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee California Safety Act (Support) $195 10/20/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee California Safety Act (Support) $142 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee Jerry Brown (Support) $148 10/28/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee Justify Rates (Support) $987 10/28/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee Jerry Brown (Support) $609 10/20/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee Justify Rates (Support) $195 10/20/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee California Safety Act (Support) $987 10/28/2014 11/01/2014
Santa Barbara County Democratic Central Committee Jerry Brown (Support) $492 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Sbranti For Assembly 2014, Sponsored By The California Teachers Association And California State Council Of Service Employees; Californians For Economic Prosperity To Support Tim Tim Sbranti (Support) $13,950 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Taxpayers For Ethical Government Roman Reyna (Oppose) $9,783 10/31/2014 11/01/2014
Torlakson For Superintendent Of Public Instruction 2014 With Major Funding By The California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Tom Torlakson (Support) $15,000 11/01/2014 11/01/2014
African American Voter Registration, Education And Participation Project Criminal Sentences. Misdemeanor Penalties. Initiat (Support) $19,838 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
African American Voter Registration, Education And Participation Project Tom Torlakson (Support) $19,838 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Alliance For California's Tomorrow, A California Business Coalition Tony Thurmond (Support) $121,515 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Alliance For California's Tomorrow, A California Business Coalition Prophet Walker (Oppose) $54,538 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Alliance For California's Tomorrow, A California Business Coalition Kamala Harris (Support) $15,487 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Alliance For California's Tomorrow, A California Business Coalition Gavin Newsom (Support) $15,487 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
American Federation Of State, County And Municipal Employees, Afl-cio, Council 36 Mike Gipson (Support) $1,550 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Rick Cassar (Support) $3,666 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Dran Reese (Oppose) $3,399 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Adrian Arancibia (Support) $105 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Bertha Lopez (Oppose) $105 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Atlas Political Action Committee Steven Choi (Support) $4,146 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Atlas Political Action Committee Jeff Lalloway (Support) $4,600 11/01/2014 10/31/2014
Atlas Political Action Committee Jeff Lalloway (Support) $8,293 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Atlas Political Action Committee Jeff Lalloway (Support) $4,146 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Atlas Political Action Committee Measure V (Support) $4,146 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Atlas Political Action Committee Larry Agran (Oppose) $8,293 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Atlas Political Action Committee Measure W (Support) $4,146 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Alliance, A Coalition Of Consumer Attorneys, Conservationists And Nurses Roger Dickinson (Support) $1,800 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Apartment Association Political Action Committee Dominic Caserta (Support) $1,757 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Apartment Association Political Action Committee Patrick Kolstad (Support) $1,757 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Apartment Association Political Action Committee Jamie Matthews (Support) $1,757 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Association Of Psychiatric Technicians Pac Lori Heuer (Support) $3,061 10/29/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Renato Almanzor (Support) $533 10/08/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Jim Cooper (Support) $5,838 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Armando Benavides (Support) $781 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Elizabeth Block (Support) $18,140 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Peter Chau (Oppose) $22,334 10/27/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Renato Almanzor (Support) $158 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Hardy Brown Jr. (Support) $550 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Brenda Cayme (Support) $781 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Valerie Cuevas (Support) $18,140 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Jay Hansen (Support) $2,091 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Renato Almanzor (Support) $97 10/17/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Gino Borgioli (Support) $781 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Julie Hover-smoot (Support) $6,340 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Renato Almanzor (Support) $233 09/25/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Janine Moreno (Support) $781 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Darcie Green (Support) $3,202 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $5,000 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Homeowners Association Larry Agran (Oppose) $5,509 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Homeowners Association Jeffrey Lalloway (Support) $2,755 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Homeowners Association Indian Gaming Compacts. Refernedum. (Oppose) $3,080 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Homeowners Association Steven Choi (Support) $2,755 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Homeowners Association James Vanderbilt (Support) $1,293 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Homeowners Association Ann Gaido (Oppose) $5,509 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Homeowners Association Melissa Fox (Oppose) $5,509 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
California Real Estate Independent Expenditure Committee - California Association Of Realtors Darrell Fong (Support) $12,802 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Republican Party Al Muratsuchi (Oppose) $9,802 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Republican Party Luis Chavez (Oppose) $16,923 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Republican Party Adam Gray (Oppose) $15,000 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Republican Party Jack M. Mobley, Jr. (Support) $5,400 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Republican Party David Hadley (Support) $8,752 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
California Republican Party Marc Steinorth (Support) $24,185 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Californians Allied For Patient Protection Independent Expenditure Account Assembly Member Roger Dickinson (Oppose) $6,250 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Californians For Fiscal Accountability And Responsibility, Sponsored By Dentists, Physicians, Health Care Workers, Realtors And School Employees Dr. Richard Pan (Support) $49,819 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Californians For Jobs And A Strong Economy Jim Cooper (Support) $38,967 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Campos For Assembly 2014 Sponsored By Labor Organizations; Nurses, Teachers And Working Families United To Support David David Chiu (Oppose) $32,878 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Caring For Californians Sponsored By Service Employees International Union, United Healthcare Workers West And California Association Of Hospitals And Health Systems Richard Pan (Support) $102,780 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Caring For Californians Sponsored By Service Employees International Union, United Healthcare Workers West And California Association Of Hospitals And Health Systems Richard Pan (Support) $50,000 10/29/2014 10/31/2014
Caring For Californians Sponsored By Service Employees International Union, United Healthcare Workers West And California Association Of Hospitals And Health Systems Richard Pan (Support) $23,646 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Central Valley Young Republicans Political Action Committee Pedro Rios (Support) $15,000 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Democratic Party Of Orange County Mary Ann Gaido (Support) $2,271 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Democratic Party Of Orange County Melissa Fox (Support) $2,271 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Democratic Party Of Orange County Larry Agran (Support) $2,271 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Democrats For Quality Representation Sacramento Checks And Balances Act Of 2014, Measur (Support) $5,357 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Families For An Affordable San Francisco, Sponsored By Labor And Community Organizations David Campos (Support) $1,795 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Families For An Affordable San Francisco, Sponsored By Labor And Community Organizations David Campos (Support) $2,790 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Families For An Affordable San Francisco, Sponsored By Labor And Community Organizations David Chiu (Oppose) $254 10/23/2014 10/31/2014
Families For An Affordable San Francisco, Sponsored By Labor And Community Organizations David Chiu (Oppose) $5,499 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Fresno County Republican Central Committee Andy Vidak (Support) $4,167 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Fresno County Republican Central Committee Anthony Cannella (Support) $1,667 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Garcia For State Senate 2014, Taxpayers Opposing Bonnie Bonnie Garcia (Oppose) $12,491 10/27/2014 10/31/2014
Gipson For Assembly 2014, Jobs Creation Council Pac To Support Mike Mike Gipson (Support) $15,000 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Independent Voter Pac Mike Gipson (Support) $3,540 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Independent Voter Pac Jacqui Irwin (Support) $912 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Independent Voter Pac Sharon Quirk Silva (Support) $685 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Independent Voter Pac Rob Mccoy (Oppose) $912 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Independent Voter Pac Ian Calderon (Support) $495 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Independent Voter Pac Tony Thurmond (Support) $4,247 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Independent Voter Pac Rudy Salas (Support) $1,000 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Andy Vidak (Support) $21,254 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Luis Chavez (Oppose) $21,254 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Catharine Baker (Support) $36,453 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Tim Sbranti (Oppose) $11,704 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Keep Ca Strong Prophet Walker (Oppose) $14,489 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Keep Ca Strong Mike Gipson (Support) $3,500 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Keep Ca Strong Mike Gipson (Support) $12,300 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Million More Voters, Sponsored By The California Labor Federation, Afl-cio Mario Guerra (Oppose) $99,108 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Million More Voters, Sponsored By The California Labor Federation, Afl-cio Luis Chavez (Support) $30,839 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Nielsen Ballot Measure Committee, Golden State Leadership Council: Senator Jim Ab 1471 Water Quality, Supply & Infrastructure Imp (Support) $3,457 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
San Francisco Alliance For Jobs And Sustainable Growth - Eligible 501 (c)(4) Ie Report Additional Transfer Tax On Residential Property (Oppose) $4,347 08/15/2014 10/31/2014
Solorio Senate 2014 Sponsored By Labor And Public Safty Organizations, Working Families For Jose Solorio (Support) $30,264 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Solorio Senate 2014 Sponsored By Labor And Public Safty Organizations, Working Families For Janet Nguyen (Oppose) $14,305 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Torlakson For Superintendent Of Public Instruction 2014 With Major Funding By The California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Tom Torlakson (Support) $86,703 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Torlakson For Superintendent Of Public Instruction 2014 With Major Funding By The California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Tom Torlakson (Support) $200,000 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Torlakson For Superintendent Of Public Instruction 2014 With Major Funding By The California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Marshall Tuck (Oppose) $200,000 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Torlakson For Superintendent Of Public Instruction 2014 With Major Funding By The California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Marshall Tuck (Oppose) $58,203 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Tuck For State Superintendent 2014; Parents And Teachers For Marshall Tuck (Support) $280,400 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
Tuck For State Superintendent 2014; Parents And Teachers For Marshall Tuck (Support) $111,962 10/30/2014 10/31/2014
Vote Planned Parenthood Northern California, A Project Of Planned Parenthood Northern California Action Fund Tim Sbranti (Support) $922 10/19/2014 10/31/2014
Vote Planned Parenthood Northern California, A Project Of Planned Parenthood Northern California Action Fund Tim Sbranti (Support) $1,145 10/31/2014 10/31/2014
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Poll Finds Support For Gov. Brown And His Ballot Measures
latimes.com
Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown is coasting to a historic fourth term with record-high approval ratings, and the ballot measures that he has made the centerpiece of his reelection bid — a water bond and a rainy-day fund — are also supported by a majority of likely voters, according to a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll.

State lawmakers say rising school superintendent pay must be addressed
Melody Gutierrez @
sfgate.com
SACRAMENTO — State lawmakers said they were shocked to learn how much school superintendents in California are being paid and how auxiliary benefits such as district-financed home loans are becoming increasingly popular. The bipartisan dismay follows an Oct. 26 story in The Chronicle that analyzed state and public records to show both small and large public school districts regularly awarded pay and perks that topped — and sometimes doubled — those of Gov. Jerry Brown, who earns $176,000 in salary and benefits. The loan was included in Glenn “Max” McGee’s four-year contract along with annual pay starting at $295,000 to work 224 days, a $9,000-a-year car allowance, and $6,000-a-year for life insurance premiums. Last month, state Controller John Chiang added salary and benefit information for school employees to an online database of public worker pay, although nearly two-thirds of districts have failed to turn over information as requested. The controller’s database, available at publicpay.ca.gov, does not include names, but The Chronicle identified superintendents through additional online payroll databases, public records and interviews with school personnel. Topping the controller’s database for school employees was former New Haven Unified Superintendent Kari McVeigh, who made $630,000 in wages, benefits and severance pay in 2013 after the Union City district fired her and paid out 18 months of her contract, which was to expire in three years.

Midterm Calculus: Marijuana on the Ballot in Florida, Alaska, Oregon and D.C.
rss.nytimes.com
Alaska, Oregon and the District of Columbia will vote on legalizing marijuana for recreational use. Florida will vote on medical marijuana.

A Low Voter Turnout Isn't Good For California
latimes.com
Remember Willie Stark, the charming, corrupt character in "All the King's Men"? He had it right.

Can Obama Reboot? - Glenn Thrush And Carrie Budoff Brown - Politico Magazine
Glenn Thrush and Carrie Budoff Brown @
politico.com
Barack Obama is antsy. His aides can see it when he alights from Air Force One from the all-too-occasional campaign trips he has taken this fall. There’s a sigh, an unhappy-camper body language when he finds himself back in the depressing slipstream of Ebola confabs and national-security-crisis-of-the-day meetings. The vibe, according to people in his orbit, is not so much of being checked out as of being fed up.        

In Colorado, gubernatorial candidates court Latinos, talk leadership
latimes.com
At a quaint tamale shop on this city's north side, Democratic brass on Sunday gathered in support of Gov. John Hickenlooper, who this week faces one of the toughest election battles of his decadelong political career.

Five With A Fistful Of Dollars For 2014 California Elections | Faultlines | Kqed News
ww2.kqed.org
But now, more than ever, it’s a system dominated by big money from wealthy individuals. Some are well-known, others you’ve never heard of. No state, it seems, has more of wealthy players than California.

40% Of Voters Unaware Jerry Brown Is Seeking Another Term - Sfgate
sfgate.com
The lack of awareness cut across all voter groups and party lines.

Midterm Election Rides Wave Of Anger At Incumbents
latimes.com
The costliest midterm election in history draws to a bitter close with control of the Senate tilting toward Republicans even as governors, in red and blue states alike, face a well of anti-incumbent anger from New England to the Rocky Mountains.

Senate Control May Be Decided by Runoff Votes in Louisiana and Georgia
rss.nytimes.com
If control of the Senate is not settled on Tuesday, strategists foresee a frenzy that would make a runoff look like Iowa during a presidential campaign.

Op Ed: Why Politicians Run Knowing They’ll Lose
Chuck McFadden @
calbuzz.com
By Chuck McFadden Special to Calbuzz

Latest Poll: Obama Approval Rating Drops Again
blogs.rollcall.com
Updated 7:20 p.m. | With two days before election day, the Gallup poll has the President Barack Obama approval rating approaching the worst of his presidency.

Nearly Half Of Los Angeles Adults Double Up On Housing, Study Finds
latimes.com
When it comes to doubling up with roommates, crashing at your cousin’s or staying at your parents' house well into your 20s, there’s no place like Southern California.

A Post-mortem Conference On The 2014 Election
events.r20.constantcontact.com
 

Gridlock in Congress? Act locally
latimes.com
The voters casting ballots in Tuesday's election will disagree on many things. But on one thing, at least, Americans are in agreement: They're frustrated with gridlock.

Google gives $3 million to Nadine Burke Harrisâ
Joe Garofoli @
sfgate.com
Google’s philanthropic arm will give $3 million to pediatrician Nadine Burke Harris’ Bayview clinic, which has earned international acclaim for its work linking the physical ailments of low-income children to their traumatic experiences. The facility focuses on what is known as adverse childhood experiences and toxic stress — issues like neglect, abuse, exposure to violence and household dysfunction that can damage a child’s developing brain and body. Even though Burke Harris’ work has been lauded by former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton — who featured the doctor in a video for her Too Small to Fail philanthropic campaign last year — funders say it has been a challenge raising enough money to further test and expand the center’s work. What the Google gift allows us to do is really have the resources to hire the team and evaluate our outcomes and really try some of these novel approaches that would literally be impossible to do otherwise because this is not work that is reimbursed by insurance companies right now. In a sign of the issue’s growing prominence, the “Children Can Thrive” conference will feature appearances by state Attorney General Kamala Harris, Chief Justice of the state Supreme Court Tani Gorre Cantil-Sakauye, and the state Secretary of Health and Human Services Diana Dooley, in addition to medical and childhood experts from around the state. About a year ago, the mother began taking antidepressant medication and “literally, since that time we have not treated one severe asthma attack” and the youngest child’s heart palpitations have ceased.

Election conspiracy theories, an American staple
latimes.com
During this 2014 midterm election season, mainstream and social media have inundated voters with tales of schemes and skulduggery. Whatever the result of Tuesday's election, many will believe that the process was rigged, the outcome is fraudulent, and they were cheated. The pattern of...

Expecting Low Turnout, California Democrats Sharpen The Focus | The Sacramento Bee
Christopher Cadelago @
sacbee.com
Be sure to include your name, daytime phone number, address, name and phone number of legal next-of-kin, method of payment, and the name of the funeral home/crematory to contact for verification of death.

GOP Hopes To Catch Dems In Gotv - Capradio.org
capradio.org
The political ads are almost done, and you’ll soon have a lot more room in your mailbox. All that’s left is for the campaigns and political parties to get you to vote in Tuesday's election. In California, Democrats have held a clear edge in turnout operations in recent years. But Republicans say they’re catching up.

Clinton ends campaign sprint, for now
NICHOLAS WAPSHOTT @
politico.com
The likely 2016 presidential candidate wraps up her midterm campaigning in New Hampshire.