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THE NOONER for July 10, 2013

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  • SD16 (Fresno/Bakersfield): updated analysis (included below)
  • AD09 (South Sacramento): added Sacramento councilmember Darrell Fong (D)

SUBSCRIBERS can download a spreadsheet of all candidates, with district geography, analysis, and outlook.


SD16: (Fresno/Bakersfield) 

Who would have thought that the epicenter of California politics in 2013 would be found in Delano?

Political parties and their allies are in the midst of an intensive get out the vote drive after a surprising comeback by Leticia Perez (D) kept Andy Vidak (R) from receiving 50% of the vote, forcing a runoff.

If anyone tells you they know what the outcome will be, ignore them. The result will be determined by the number of absentee ballots returned, and whether Democratic factions that did not vote for Perez in May coalesce behind the party's candidate.

Perez doesn't have a margin of error. If you add the 3,984 votes received in the primary by 2 other Democrats and a Peace & Freedom candidate to her 27,854 votes, you get 31,838. Vidak received 31,610 votes. We're talking razor-thin here, and turnout will be everything.

Why is this seat so important for both parties? Well, it's the only shot for Republicans to keep Democrats from a two-thirds majority for what is likely the remainder of the decade.

Democrats need 27 votes for the supermajority, and currently have 28 members. In 2014, one seat is lost, as Leland Yee's San Francisco district is teleported the conservative foothills. That puts Democrats at 27 and needing to defend SD34, where Jose Solorio (D) will try to win a tough district for Democrats in a mid-term election.

Thus, if Republicans win SD16, they have a chance of keeping Democrats at 26 after 2014. If Democrats win, they will likely hold the supermajority until the 2021 redistricting.


. . . we've got more Nooner lovin' after the jump . . . 



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CD17: Ro Khanna raises more than $1 million in race against Mike Honda [Josh Richman @ CCTimes] - "After a few months as one of the Bay Area's worst-kept political secrets, [Ro] Khanna formally announced his candidacy April 2. Khanna says his $1,034,022 haul in the ensuing three months makes him the first-ever House challenger to raise seven figures in an "out-of-the-gate" quarter without self-funding. Khanna's cash on hand as of June 30 was $1,744,761, according to figures released by the campaign but not yet filed with the Federal Election Commission."

Mike Honda is turning in a number of $345,143.

THE QUESTION: With a wide playing field, can the DCCC spend much to save incumbents Mike Honda and Eric Swalwell from intra-party challenges?

CD31: Aguilar Raises $300K in Second Quarter [Emily Cahn @ Roll Call] - "Redlands Mayor Pete Aguilar announced Tuesday night that he raised $300,000 in the second quarter for his highly contested primary bid in California’s 31st District. Aguilar now has almost $290,000 cash on hand in the race."

Also out today is the endorsement of Aguilar by Senator Dianne Feinstein.

CD31: Eloise Gomez Reyes Tops $203K For First Fundraising Quarter "Today (July 9) , 31st Congressional District Candidate Eloise Gomez Reyes released her first fundraising totals of the 2014 campaign, bringing in more than $200,000 in just a mere six weeks of her candidacy."

AD53Is Monica Garcia Running For State Assembly? [Hillel Aron @ LA School Report]

SPUN: Tribune to spin off L.A. Times, other papers into separate company [Walter Hamilton @ LAT] - "The new entity, to be called Tribune Publishing Co., would include the Los Angeles Times, the Chicago Tribune and six other daily papers. All other assets, including the company’s real estate holdings and stakes in several Internet sites, would remain part of Tribune Co."

THE 408: Santa Clara County supervisorial candidates confront employee retirement costs [Tracy Seipel @ SJMN] - "One of the few issues that separates the two candidates running for Santa Clara County District 2 supervisor in a race largely focused on their backgrounds and experience is how to tackle the county's ballooning employee retirement bill."

AMANDA, I'LL SEE YOU, AND RAISE: Justin Bieber Pisses Into Restaurant Mop Bucket -- 'F*** Bill Clinton!' [TMZ]

FACEPLANT: In my Facebook feed this morning, the site asks "Want to tag Anthony York?" Uh, no.


As my vice president likes to say to me "SQUIRREL!" Indeed, I lost focus on our little Nooner project to create a sofa degree curriculum. Here's the second draft of the "must read" books that will leave you prepared for a career in California politics and policy without taking out huge student loans. Yes, I understand the irony given my day job.

So, for a few bucks on Amazon or, as Will Hunting says, a $1.50 in late fees at the public library, you will be able to switch that tassle and recognized as a fully unaccredited graduate of Nooner college.

I have also posted the list on

BONUS: A reader recommended the four-part Orange County Register series by Dan Weintraub that followed the 2000 fight over recycling. The series is available on the Californians Against Waste website.


Boxer Pushes For Senate Vote On Epa Nominee Mccarthy
Curtis Tate @
Sen. Barbara Boxer, said Tuesday that the Senate could vote next week on Gina McCarthy, President Barack Obama's nominee to lead the Environmental Protection Agency.

Viewpoints: Raising cap on malpractice law will increase health care costs
on physicians, according to a story last month in The Bee. Their coalition has committed to spend $1 million for a political and public relations campaign to pass legislation that would increase lawyer payouts in lawsuits against doctors, hospitals, nurses, community clinics, firefighters, EMTs and other health workers who provide care for patients.

Critics Want Voters To Nix Madera Indian Casino
John Myers @
The debate over what some say would be California's first tribal casino on non-Indian land could be headed to the 2014 statewide ballot -- as critics file a referendum to overturn the casino's approval by legislators and Gov. Jerry Brown.

CalPERS To Post 500,000 Pensioners' Data Online
The nation's largest public pension fund announced Monday that it will post data online about nearly half a million pensioners in an effort to be transparent.

SEIU Local 1000 Members Overwhelmingly Approve Contract
Amy Gebert @
Ninety percent of SEIU Local 1000 voters approved a new contract with Gov. Jerry Brown, the union announced late Tuesday.

Willie Brown's Real Place In California History
Dan Walters @
A writer once described Willie Brown as "a piece of living art," thus perfectly capturing the venerable California politician.

Independence Day, Democracy And The Two-thirds Vote :: Fox&hounds
Property owners through higher property taxes pay off local general obligation bonds. In effect, these property owners must put up their home or property as collateral in case there are insufficient funds to pay the debt to bondholders.

Nothing Special About These Elections
Timm Herdt @
A great deal of seat-shuffling has taken place since Dec. 3, when 119 members of the California Legislature took their oaths of office to begin a two-year session.

Medical Staff Keep Tabs On Some California Inmates Who Refuse Food
Paige St. John and Chris Megerian @
Ten inmates who began refusing meals July 1 are under medical observation, prison officials said Tuesday.

CalPERS To Post 500,000 Pensioners' Data Online - Ap State News - The Sacramento Bee
SACRAMENTO, Calif. -- The nation's largest public pension fund announced Monday that it will post data online about nearly half a million pensioners in an effort to be transparent.

Effects of Same-Sex Marriage Ruling Start to Be Felt
The federal government began notifying workers of expanded benefit eligibility for same-sex couples, and the Senate is expected to take up a measure against discrimination.

Opponents File Referendum To Block Madera County Casino
Laurel Rosenhall @
Opponents of a Madera County Indian casino have lost with the Legislature but are hoping they can win with California voters.

Democratic Rifts Stymie Senate Bill on Student Loan Rates
A bipartisan Senate coalition blocked a Democratic proposal to retroactively cut interest rates on higher education loans in half, leaving any student loan rescue in doubt.

CalPERS delays pension database launch
Jon Ortiz @
California's mammoth public retirement system this month will launch a new online database that provides detailed information about retirees' pensions, according to a notice sent recently to member organizations.

Willie B. Kennedy - Longtime S.F. Supervisor - Dies - Sfgate
"The day before she died, we were together planning her 90th birthday party," said Toye Moses, a longtime friend and executive director of the city's Southeast Community Facility Commission, where Mrs. Kennedy served as the commission president. Supervisor Malia Cohen said a conversation with Mrs. Kennedy in her City Hall office when Cohen was in high school inspired the younger woman to pursue public office, and that Mrs. Kennedy was a force in the city's African American community and beyond. Then-Mayor Dianne Feinstein appointed her to the city's Human Rights Commission and the Redevelopment Agency Commission before tapping her in 1981 to fill the seat on the Board of Supervisors left vacant when Supervisor Ella Hill Hutch died. Among her legislative accomplishments were co-authoring the city's law that set aside a portion of city contracts for women- and minority-owned businesses and legislation that forbade the city from doing business with apartheid-era South Africa.

Sales Tax Measure To Go On Bankrupt California City's Ballot
Jim Christie @
Stockton, California's city council voted on Tuesday night to put a measure increasing the city's sales tax on the November ballot to raise revenue to help the city exit from bankruptcy and to increase spending on public safety.

Oakland: Port Deal Could Aid Stadium But Risk More Lawsuits
Matthew Artz @
A deal that could help net the city a waterfront baseball stadium also risks exposing the Port of Oakland to dueling lawsuits from two waterfront conglomerates each seeking fresh public concessions.

Yosemite Plan To Cut Amenities Draws GOP Ire On Capitol Hill
Michael Doyle, McClatchy Washington Bureau @
Conservative lawmakers used harsh rhetoric Tuesday to denounce a Yosemite National Park plan that they say would exclude park visitors.

State Worker blog: SEIU Local 1000 members overwhelmingly approve contract
Amy Gebert @
Ninety percent of SEIU Local 1000 voters approved their newly negotiated contract with Gov. Jerry Brown, the union announced late Tuesday.

House G.O.P. Pushes Delay on Individual Mandate in Health Law
After years of trying to repeal the health care law, Republicans believe they are getting traction thanks to what they see as a self-inflicted wound by the Obama administration.

California state workers approve union pact
Members of California's largest public employee union have overwhelmingly approved a three-year contract with Gov. Jerry Brown.

Pacifica council declares emergency, puts phone tax on ballot
Aaron Kinney @
The Pacifica City Council moved unanimously Monday night to place a measure on the Nov. 5 ballot that would expand the city's utility users tax, which places a 6.5 percent levy on gas and electric services, to include telecommunications.

Orange County Judge Postpones Ruling On Anaheim's At-Large Voting System
Ben Bergman @
Anaheim will have to wait a bit longer to know if a judge thinks it is violating the California Voting Rights Act. A judge on Tuesday once again put off ruling on how the city elects its council.

Ro Khanna Raises More Than $1 Million In Race Against Mike Honda
Josh Richman @
Former Obama administration official Ro Khanna says he raised more than $1 million in this year's second quarter for his bid to unseat fellow Democrat Mike Honda, a blockbuster sum by House campaign standards.