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THE NOONER for May 22, 2013
The shock of last night wasn't Panda's 10th inning home run to lift the Giants over the Nats, but rather Andy Vidak's apparent win in SD16. Democratic star Leticia Perez was considered the strong favorite to succeed Michael Rubio, although many thought it would require a runoff. If the win holds, expect Perez to look for a rematch next year with a more favorite electorate in the new SD14.
With Curren Price moving to the Los Angeles City Council and the loss, Dems drop to 27 votes, keeping the supermajority. This seriously complicates things for 2014 campaign strategy. Dems were expecting to hold old Rubio's SD16/new SD14, fight to hold Lou Correa's SD34, and make a run on Anthony Canella's SD12.
After Price's seat is filled (most likely by Assemblymember Holly Mitchell), Democrats will have 28 votes. Next year, Fiona Ma's SD08 is a Republican seat in the foothills. To keep the 27-vote supermajority, they must win one of the three on the playing field--SD12, SD14, or SD34.
Of these three, SD14 is the most favorable for Democrats, and if Perez runs and can make it in the top two with Vidak, she'll be the favorite in November.
Because of this, Democrats and their allies are likely to pour most resources into this seat and less into defense of SD34 and offense of SD12. SD12 is a far more Democratic seat than SD34, although former Assemblymember Jose Solorio's name ID and the fact that it's an open seat have most people believing it would be a higher priority than SD12 (where Tom Hallinan is running). Anyway you cut it, though, last night's Central Valley ramifications were not good news for Solorio and Hallinan, or other possible SD12 Democratic candidates.
Hat tip to Paul Mitchell for morning texts thinking this all through...
Meanwhile, Lorena Gonzalez easily won AD80, with 72.3% of the vote. The Assembly is now back to 54 Democrats, the bare supermajority, when Gonzalez is sworn in next week. After the vacancy election for Norma Torres's AD52, the green carpet will have 55 Dems--until Holly Mitchell moves to the red carpet!
In Los Angeles, there were few surprises. Of my predictions, two were wrong, and they were the two that Nooner readers provided me the most feedback that my gut might be wrong. City controller Ron Galperin won another term, defeating councilmember Dennis Zine, and Garcetti deputy Mitch O'Farrell defeated John Choi in district 13.
It is possible that races could still change with late absentees and provisional ballots, and expect to wait awhile. I'm told the city elections office won't provide another update until the full canvass is done in 21 days. The closest elections have Gil Cedillo over Jose Gardea by 796 votes and Curren Price over Ana Cubas by 541 votes.
GENTLEMENS CLUB: If the results hold, Los Angeles city government will have one woman--either Cindy Montanez or Nury Martinez--in the 16 elected city offices.
LOS ANGELES: [results link]
THE BIG MO: Pete Aguilar's campaign for CD31 is out with a list of congressional endorsements today, including Karen Bass, Julia Brownley, Judy Chu, Janice Hahn, Alan Lowenthal, Gloria Negrete McLeod, Scott Peters, Loretta Sanchez, Adam Schiff, Eric Swalwell, Mark Takano, and Henry Waxman.
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
To Save California Taxpayers, Protect Proposition 13 :: Fox&hounds
Under the Proposition 13 formula, during economic downturns property tax revenue does not fall as much as the sales and income tax because many properties are not tied to current market values. If properties taxes were based on market values, as they were before Prop 13 passed, California schools and local governments would have taken an additional major hit during the recent recession because the taxable value would drop dramatically and the tax take would fall with it.
San Jose votes to raise pot tax, legal budget for pension reforms
John Woolfolk @ mercurynews.com
The San Jose City Council voted Tuesday to increase the city's marijuana business tax to 10 percent and to increase its legal budget for pension reforms by $900,000.
Loophole In Health Care Law Could Stick Doctors With Tab
Jim Sanders @ sacbee.com
A loophole in California's upcoming health care overhaul could be exploited by families gaming the system or responding to hardship in a way that doctors say could leave a pile of unpaid bills.
Calif. To Post Raw Campaign Filings Online Daily
SACRAMENTO, Calif.—California Secretary of State Debra Bowen has agreed to expand the way her office presents campaign finance data online after initially rejecting the request from a coalition of good-government groups, research organizations and newspapers, her spokeswoman said Tuesday.
Costly Tax Loophole Remains Open
Darwin BondGraham @ eastbayexpress.com
Every year, wealthy investors and corporations avoid paying millions of dollars in property taxes in California by exploiting a large loophole in state law that homeowners are not allowed to use. Earlier this year, Assemblyman Tom Ammiano of San Francisco authored legislation that would finally close this loophole. But earlier this month, his bill, AB 188, stalled in the Assembly's Committee on Revenue and Taxation.
Legislative Dems Want To Restore Budget Cuts, But Priorities Differ
Ben Adler @ capradio.org
As budget talks head into their final weeks, supporters of programs suffering from years of cuts are asking for help. Gov. Jerry Brown opposes any new spending. But Assembly and Senate Democrats have different programs in which they'd like to invest.
Apple Defends Shelters, Finds GOP Ally
Carolyn Lochhead @ sfgate.com
Apple CEO Tim Cook defended the Cupertino computer giant's use of Irish subsidiaries to avoid paying tens of billions of dollars in U.S. taxes in Senate testimony Tuesday, finding an enthusiastic ally in Republican Sen. Rand Paul, who said he was "offended" that the executive of a great American company was "dragged" before Congress to explain its overseas tax dodges.
Jerry Brown downplays analyst's budget forecast, pledges to 'stay the course'
David Siders @ blogs.sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown this morning downplayed an estimate by the nonpartisan legislative analyst that California will collect about $3.2 billion more in revenue than Brown projected in his budget revision last week, saying the difference is minor and he will hold the line on spending.
Duncan Defends Preschool Funding Proposal To House Committee | Edsource Today
U.S. Secretary of Education Arne Duncan appeared Tuesday before the House Education and Workforce Committee to promote what he called the “centerpiece” of the administration’s 2014 education budget proposal, the $75 billion plan to expand public preschool through a funding initiative that would encourage states to offer preschool to low-income and middle-class children.
Higher County Water Bills May Be On Tap
Brad Branan @ sacbee.com
Water rates in Sacramento County would go up 5.6 percent in August and another 3.8 percent next year under a proposal supervisors will consider in July.
Gov. Brown's Prickly-Pear Scenario
Timm Herdt @ vcstar.com
Two years ago this summer, Gov. Jerry Brown and Democratic legislative leaders were able to rescue an on-time budget by concocting at the last-minute a rosy scenario that projected an additional $4 billion in tax revenue.
Apple Ceo Tim Cook Stands Up To Senators On Company's Tax Policies
Troy Wolverton @ mercurynews.com
Apple CEO Tim Cook defended the companys tax practices at Congressional hearing Tuesday that alternated between fawning and testy.
Turnout Appears Small As L.A. Votes For New Mayor
Kate Mather @ latimes.com
Though turnout numbers were not yet available from election officials Tuesday afternoon, voters were few and far between at many polling places across the city.
California State Bar Bill Hits Competition
Dan Walters @ sacbee.com
"Unauthorized" legal practice is already a crime, as it should be. There are certainly bad apples who prey on consumers by offering quasi-legal services such as promising to stop mortgage foreclosures. AB 888, however, would give the State Bar powers similar to those of district attorneys, the attorney general and other law enforcement agencies, and allow it to collect civil penalties from those it pursues.
Three Californians To Receive Harvey Milk Award At White House
Patrick McGreevy @ latimes.com
Lara’s selection comes a month after the California Senate approved his measure stripping an exemption from state taxes for groups including the Boy Scouts of America that do not allow gays as members.
Budget Plan Makes Foster Youth A Priority, But Takes Away Dedicated Funding
Susan Frey @ edsource.org
Students in foster care will be moving to the front of the class if the new school accountability rules the governor proposed in his budget revision become law.
House Immigration Talks Hang On Health Care
Jake Sherman and John Bresnahan @ politico.com
House immigration negotiators have given themselves until the end of the week to hash out language on what kind of health benefits should be available to undocumented immigrants seeking U.S. citizenship, a crucial issue for the talks.
Prospective Kings Owners Are Buying Downtown Plaza - Business - The Sacramento Bee
An artist's conception shows a Downtown Plaza arena. A city term sheet estimates 18,500 seats for basketball, with up to 70 suites.
Assembly bill tweaks state's five-day AWOL determination law
Jon Ortiz @ blogs.sacbee.com
The Assembly has passed a bill that gives state employees more due-process protections if they are prematurely terminated for being off work without permission.
In Disarming Testimony, Apple Chief Eases Tax Tensions
Tim Cook came to Capitol Hill prepared to face down senators furious over evidence that Apple had avoided paying billions in taxes, but he left having won many of them over.
Immigration reform bill heads to full Senate
Lisa Mascaro and Brian Bennett @ latimes.com
WASHINGTON – A sweeping bipartisan plan to overhaul the nation’s immigration system headed to the Senate floor after a key committee approved it Tuesday, but not before tilting the bill to the political right with amendments designed to attract more Republican support.
Voters Oust Carmen Trutanich As City Attorney
Abby Sewell, Laura J. Nelson and Jean Merl @ latimes.com
Los Angeles City Atty. Carmen Trutanich was defeated in his bid for reelection by former Assemblyman Mike Feuer .