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THE NOONER for October 25, 2012

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E-12

GAME 2: 5:07pm - Detroit's Fister (10-10, 3.45 ERA) v. SF's Bumgarner (16-11, 3.37 ERA)

I know some of you are getting the Nooner a little later in the afternoon and those of you that try to click links in the first hour are finding some lag. I'm working on it...it's the consequence of getting to 6,450 subscribers! 

DEADLINE: State campaigns have until midnight to file reports covering contributions and expenditures between October 1-20.

VBM REPORT: 1,532,323 voters have cast ballots, or 18% of registered VBMs.

POLL POSITION: Today brings a polling hat trick, with the Public Policy Institute of California, LATimes/USC Dornsife, and CBRT/Pepperdine and releasing results. PPIC tested Props 30, 31, 32, and 38. LAT/USC releases Props 30, 32, 37, and 38 today, and CBRT/Pepperdine tested all eleven in its online poll. LAT//USC will release results for 34 and 36 later this week.

I will be updating the AroundTheCapitol polling averages with all the new data around 6pm today.

PPIC: n=993 likely, landline/cell, 10/14-10/21/2012, +/- 4.0%
LAT/USC Dornsife/Greenberg:  n=1440 likely, landline/cell, 10/15-10/21/2012 [crosstabs]

Proposition 30: Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.

Public Policy Institute of California
Yes: 48%
No: 44%
Undecided: 8%

LATimes/USC Dornsife
Yes: 45%
No: 42%
Undecided: 12% 

Proposition 31: State Budget. State and Local Government. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.

Public Policy Institute of California
Yes: 24%
No: 48%
Undecided: 28%

Proposition 32: Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.

Public Policy Institute of California
Yes: 39%
No: 53%
Undecided: 7%

LATimes/USC Dornsife
Yes: 40%
No: 46%
Undecided: 13% 

Proposition 37: Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory Labeling. Initiative Statute.

LATimes/USC Dornsife
Yes: 44%
No: 43%
Undecided: 13%

Proposition 38: Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute.

Public Policy Institute of California
Yes:39%     
No: 53%
Undecided: 7%

LATimes/USC Dornsife
Yes: 31%
No: 56%
Undecided: 13%

The LAT/USC/Greenberg poll gives three different results for most ballot measures--one with a quick summary, one after title and summary, and one after "supporter/opponent" arguments. In each case, I reflect the percentages of likely voters after title and summary.

SACBEE: Editorial: FPPC must unravel $11 million mystery

SIREN: Larry Sabato's UVA Center for Politics moves CD07 (Lungren) and CD10 (Denham) from toss-up to "Leans Democrat." Further, the write-up says "By this time next week, Rep. Mary Bono Mack (R, CA-36) might join them in the endangered column."

CD10: Republican lawmaker Jeff Denham wants to sue over DCCC ad [Jake Sherman @ Politico]

CD21: We're politically blessed with increasing amounts of data, but it's also important to put it into proper context. Yesterday's item showing a 17-point VBM advantage in the race between John Hernandez and David Valadao in this Central Valley district certainly raised eyebrows. However, it's important to note that the vast majority of absentees that have been reported are from Kern and Kings counties. The numbers are likely to look more like registration (47.5% Dem, 32.8% Rep) as Fresno numbers come in. That said, this race could certainly be much closer than expected. I'm keeping it Leans Republican because of Valadao's fundraising and ground advantage, but watching it very closely.

Breakdown of CD21 voters:

  • Fresno (32.9% of CD21 voters): Dem 43.6% Rep 36.5%
  • Kern (40.1% of CD21 voters): Dem 57.8% Rep 22.1%
  • Kings (23.9% of CD21 voters): Dem 36.1% Rep 45.5%
  • Tulare (3.0% of CD21 voters): Dem 43.7% Rep 34.9%

I'd like to tip my hat to the county registrars. The demands on them have continuously been increasing with shorter registration windows, the shift to mail-in ballots (which most actually like), and the increasing demand for data. Go hug your registrar. 

CD35: Bloomberg Super-PAC Starts Spending for Negrete-McLeod [Ben Goad at PE]

SD05: The Bee's Torey Van Oot looks into who the "Barbarians at the Gate" spending against Galgiani are. No source of funds has been reported yet on the Secretary of State's site. 

AD72: The OC Register gives the nod to Travis Allen in the intra-party race against Troy Edgar.

PROP30: Powerful new No on 30 ad. (sorry about yesterday's link mishap)

 

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Ballot Measure Endorsements
PaperP30P31P32P33P34P35P36P37P38P39P40
Bakersfield Californian N Y Y N Y Y Y N Y Y Y
LA Daily News Y Y Y N Y Y Y N N N Y
LATimes Y N N N Y N  Y N N Y Y
MercNews/BANG Y Y N N Y Y Y N N Y Y
OCRegister N N Y Y N Y Y N N N Y
Press-Enterprise N N Y N N N Y N N Y Y
SacBee Y N N N Y  N Y N N Y Y
SFChron Y Y N N Y Y Y N N N Y
UTSanDiego N Y Y N   Y Y N N N Y

 

Federal Independent Expenditure Reports
Independent SpenderCandidatePurposeAmountDate
House Majority PAC Tony Strickland (Oppose) Direct Mail $6,157.47 10/23/12
House Majority PAC Tony Strickland (Oppose) Direct Mail $8,835.40 10/23/12
House Majority PAC Tony Strickland (Oppose) Direct Mail $12,351.05 10/23/12
House Majority PAC Mary Bono Mack (Oppose) Media Production Costs $10,134.24 10/23/12
House Majority PAC Brian Bilbray (Oppose) Media Production Costs $12,690.70 10/23/12
House Majority PAC Brian Bilbray (Oppose) Television Advertising $49,896.00 10/23/12
House Majority PAC Mary Bono Mack (Oppose) Television Advertising $133,214.76 10/23/12
House Majority PAC Brian Bilbray (Oppose) Television Advertising $376,596.68 10/23/12
House Majority PAC Tony Strickland (Oppose) Television Advertising $109,430.06 10/23/12
Californians for Integrity in Government Brad Sherman (Support) Mailer $14,906.46 10/23/12
Californians for Integrity in Government Howard Berman (Oppose) Mailer $14,906.46 10/23/12
Californians for Integrity in Government Howard Berman (Oppose) Mailer $30,530.86 10/23/12
Californians for Integrity in Government Brad Sherman (Support) Mailer $8,574.12 10/23/12
SEIU COPE Jose Hernandez (Support) Radio Advertising Production $5,700.00 10/23/12
SEIU COPE Jeff Denham (Oppose) Radio Advertising Production $5,700.00 10/23/12
American Action Network Julia Brownley (Oppose) Mail Production $7,700.00 10/22/12
American Action Network Jose Hernandez (Oppose) Placement TV Purchase $628,287.12 10/17/12
American Action Network Jose Hernandez (Oppose) Cable Placement $74,745.12 10/11/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Jeff Denham (Oppose) Media Production $7,734.53 10/24/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Abel Maldonado (Oppose) Media Buy $59,568.08 10/23/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Dan Lungren (Oppose) Media Buy $157,588.20 10/23/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Ricky Gill (Oppose) Media Buy $157,588.20 10/23/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Jeff Denham (Oppose) Media Buy $405,357.75 10/23/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Tony Strickland (Oppose) Media Buy $10,413.90 10/24/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Mary Bono Mack (Oppose) Media Buy $125,212.50 10/24/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Mary Bono Mack (Oppose) Media Buy $130,480.88 10/24/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Mary Bono Mack (Oppose) Media Production $1,246.96 10/24/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Tony Strickland (Oppose) Media Production $5,000.00 10/24/12
Central Valley Independent PAC Jim Costa (Oppose) Media Buy $30,929.00 10/23/12
Congressional Leadership Fund Lois Capps (Oppose) Direct Mail $21,762.00 10/23/12
Spirit of Democracy America Paul Cook (Support) Campaign Literature and Mailings $13,669.02 10/23/12
Spirit of Democracy America Abel Maldonado (Support) Campaign Literature and Mailings $25,329.84 10/23/12
Independence USA PAC Gloria Negrete McLeod (Support) Direct Mail Services $64,979.20 10/23/12
American Society of Anesthesiologists PAC Joe Baca (Support) Radio Ad Placement and Production $75,000.00 10/24/12
American Society of Anesthesiologists PAC Joe Baca (Support) Mail Production and Placement $50,000.00 10/24/12
Planned Parenthood Action Fund Lois Capps (Support) Consulting for Online Advertisement $400.00 10/23/12
Planned Parenthood Action Fund Julia Brownley (Support) Consulting for Online Advertisement $133.34 10/23/12
Planned Parenthood Action Fund Tony Strickland (Oppose) Consulting for Online Advertisement $266.66 10/23/12
Planned Parenthood Action Fund Lois Capps (Support) Staff Time for Phonebanking $88.48 10/23/12
Planned Parenthood Action Fund Julia Brownley (Support) Online Advertisements $1,666.66 10/23/12
Planned Parenthood Action Fund Lois Capps (Support) Online Advertisements $5,000.00 10/23/12
Planned Parenthood Action Fund Tony Strickland (Oppose) Online Advertisements $3,333.34 10/23/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman/td> Howard Berman (Support) Slate Mail $2,057.00 10/24/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman/td> Howard Berman (Support) Slate Mail $1,617.00 10/24/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman/td> Howard Berman (Support) Slate Mail $861.00 10/24/12
California Nurses Association PAC/td> Pete Stark (Support) Mailer $10,052.64 10/24/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Brad Sherman (Support) TV Ad Costs $300,000.00 10/24/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Brad Sherman (Support) Consulting Services $100.00 10/24/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Brad Sherman (Support) Polling Expenses $21,000.00 10/24/12
Californians for Integrity in Government/td> Howard Berman (Support) Mailer $38,673.37 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Pete Stark (Support) Mailer $25,579.55 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Jerry McNerney (Support) Design for Online Advertisements $400.00 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Jose Hernandez (Support) Design for Online Advertisements $266.67 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Pete Stark (Support) Design for Online Advertisements $300.00 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Design for Online Advertisements $133.33 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Jeff Denham (Oppose) Design for Online Advertisements $133.33 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Ami Bera (Support) Design for Online Advertisements $266.67 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Jose Hernandez (Support) Staff Time Online Advertisements $533.34 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Staff Time for Online Advertisements $266.67 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Ami Bera (Support) Online Advertisements $3,333.33 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Jerry McNerney (Support) Online Advertisements $5,000.00 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Jose Hernandez (Support) Online Advertisements $3,333.33 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Pete Stark (Support) Online Advertisements $5,000.00 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Online Advertisements $1,666.67 10/22/12
We Vote - Nosotros Votamos/td> Jeff Denham(Oppose) Online Advertisements $1,666.67 10/22/12
Cooperative of American Physicians IE Cmte/td> Jim Costa (Support) Mailer $9,193.28 10/23/12
Cooperative of American Physicians IE Cmte/td> Jim Costa (Support) Mailer $9,193.28 10/23/12
House Majority PAC/td> Abel Maldonado (Oppose) Television Advertisement $15,120.00 10/22/12
CREDO SuperPAC/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Payroll $1,500.00 10/23/12
CREDO SuperPAC/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Phone Calls $25,000.00 10/23/12
CREDO SuperPAC/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Payroll $937.50 10/23/12
CREDO SuperPAC/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Payroll $1,050.00 10/23/12
CREDO SuperPAC/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Payroll $937.50 10/23/12
Restoring Our Community Brian Bilbray (Support) TV and radio production and airtime 40,000 10/22/12
CREDO SuperPAC/td> Dan Lungren (Oppose) Phone Calls $25,000.00 10/23/12
America Shining Ed Royce (Oppose) Website $1,079.00 10/23/12
America Shining Ed Royce (Oppose) Domain Name Purchase $95.88 10/23/12
Campaign for Community Change Dan Lungren (Oppose) Salary-blog content development and posting $14.68 10/23/12
Campaign for Community Change Ami Bera (Support) Salary-blog content development and posting $14.68 10/23/12
Americans for Tax Reform Scott Peters (Oppose) Media Buy TV $483,801.50 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Paul Cook (Support) TV or cable airtime and production costs $100,000.00 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Lois Capps (Oppose) Radio airtime and production costs $2,500.00 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Lois Capps (Oppose) Radio airtime and production costs $64,800.00 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Abel Maldonado (Support) Radio airtime and production costs $2,500.00 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Abel Maldonado (Support) TV or cable airtime and production costs $22,500.00 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Abel Maldonado (Support) TV or cable airtime and production costs $135,000.00 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Abel Maldonado (Support) Radio airtime and production costs $48,200.00 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Abel Maldonado (Support) Campaign Literature and Mailings $18,729.2600 10/22/12
Spirit of Democracy America Gregg Imus (Oppose) Campaign Literature and Mailings $28,596.74 10/22/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Staff Time $6.08 10/19/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Staff Time $6.08 10/19/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Staff Time $24.16 10/19/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Staff Time $8.27 10/19/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Staff Time $25.00 10/23/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Howard Berman (Support) Mass Mailings $7,221.65/td> 10/19/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Mass Mailings $4,263.99 10/19/12
America's Voice Brian Bilbray (Oppose) Radio advertisement $42,340.00/td> 10/19/12
National Emergency Medicine PAC Raul Ruiz (Support) Independent expenditure $52,656.45/td> 10/19/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman/td> Howard Berman (Support) Slate Mail $4,468.00 10/22/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman/td> Howard Berman (Support) Slate Mail $5,427.00 10/22/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman/td> Howard Berman (Support) Direct Mail $82,941.89 10/22/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Gary Miller (Support) Polling Expenses $11,917.00 10/23/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Gary Miller (Support) Consulting Services $100.00 10/23/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Gary Miller (Support) TV ad costs $400,000.00 10/23/12
Cooperative of American Physicians IE Cmte Brian Bilbray (Support) Radio & television advertisement $90,000.00 10/19/12
Cooperative of American Physicians IE Cmte Tony Strickland (Support) Mailing $48,994.00 10/23/12
Cooperative of American Physicians IE Cmte Tony Strickland (Support) Mailing $48,994.00 10/22/12
Cooperative of American Physicians IE Cmte Jim Costa (Support) Mailer $9,193.28 10/23/12
American Medical Association PAC Ami Bera (Support) Poll Costs $22,000.00 10/22/12
American Medical Association PAC Ami Bera (Support) Media Buy, Production, Mailing Costs $224,934.64 10/22/12
The American Congress of OB-GYNs PAC Pete Stark (Support) Mailing $28,999.68 09/26/12

 

State Independent Expenditure Reports
Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
Alliance To Get California Working Political Action Committee Joe Baca, Jr. (Support) $29,866 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Alliance To Get California Working Political Action Committee Richard Alarcon (Oppose) $39,066 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Yes On Proposition 30 (Support) $159 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) No On Propositon 32 (Oppose) $159 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Bob Filner (Support) $159 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Asian American Small Business Pac Ed Chau (Support) $10,215 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Asian American Small Business Pac Matthew Lin (Oppose) $9,365 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Bonta For Assembly 2012, With Major Funding By The California Professional Firefighters And California School Employees Association, Support Rob Rob Bonta (Support) $10,462 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
Bonta For Assembly 2012, With Major Funding By The California Professional Firefighters And California School Employees Association, Support Rob Rob Bonta (Support) $47,553 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California 2020 Temporary Taxes To Fund Education. Local Public Sa (Support) $23,500 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
California Alliance, A Coalition Of Consumer Attorneys And Conservationists. Betsy Butler (i) (Support) $21,000 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
California Alliance, A Coalition Of Consumer Attorneys And Conservationists. Marc Levine (i) (Oppose) $246,248 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Alliance, A Coalition Of Consumer Attorneys And Conservationists. Richard Bloom (i) (Oppose) $21,000 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Richard Roth (Oppose) $31,984 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Jeff Miller (Support) $35,944 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Jerry Hill (Support) $27,613 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
California Black Political Action Committee Cheryl Brown (Support) $3,581 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
California Dental Association Independent Expenditure Pac Pedro Rios (Oppose) $29,630 10/19/2012 10/24/2012
California Dental Association Independent Expenditure Pac Pedro Rios (Oppose) $26,500 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Dental Association Independent Expenditure Pac Jack Mobley (Oppose) $40,000 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Hispanic Chamber Of Commerce Independent Expenditure Committee Fran Pavley (Oppose) $22,330 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Hispanic Chamber Of Commerce Independent Expenditure Committee Todd Zink (Support) $7,443 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Real Estate Independent Expenditure Committee Cathleen Galgiani (Support) $23,678 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Senior Advocates League Pac Rocky Chavez (Support) $4,921 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Senior Advocates League Pac Sherry Hodge (Oppose) $14,762 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Senior Advocates League Pac Rico Oller (Oppose) $26,252 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Senior Advocates League Pac Rico Oller (Oppose) $24,870 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
California State Council Of Service Employees Issues Committee Auto Insurance Companies. Prices Based On Drivers (Oppose) $1,305 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California State Council Of Service Employees Issues Committee Tax To Fund Education And Early Childhood Programs (Oppose) $1,305 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California State Council Of Service Employees Issues Committee Tax Treatment For Multistate Businesses. Clean Ene (Support) $1,305 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California State Council Of Service Employees Issues Committee State Budget. State And Local Government. Initiati (Oppose) $1,305 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California State Council Of Service Employees Issues Committee Redistricting. State Senate Districts. Referendum. (Support) $1,305 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Marty Block (Support) $1,354 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Fran Pavley (Support) $18,478 10/19/2012 10/24/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Al Muratsuchi (Support) $750 10/18/2012 10/24/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Al Muratsuchi (Support) $605 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Marty Block (Support) $850 10/18/2012 10/24/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Fran Pavley (Support) $1,600 10/18/2012 10/24/2012
California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Jim Beall (i) (Support) $57,296 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Chau For Assembly 2012, Independent Doctors For A Better Future To Support Ed Ed Chau (Support) $2,539 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Citizens Against Wasteful Spending Jose Medina (Oppose) $130,290 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Citizens For California Reform Bill Berryhill (Support) $12,307 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
Citizens For California Reform Cathleen Galgiani (Oppose) $12,307 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
Committee For The Right To Know: Vote Yes On 37!!!, The California Right To Know Genetically Engineered Fo (Support) $9,095 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Consumer Advocates For Safe Food And Wataer, Sponsored By Food & Water Watch Proposition (Support) $58,309 10/08/2012 10/24/2012
Consumer Advocates For Safe Food And Wataer, Sponsored By Food & Water Watch Proposition (Support) $5,400 10/12/2012 10/24/2012
Cooley For Assembly 2012, Local Businesses And Employees Supporting Ken Ken Cooley (i) (Support) $38,720 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Cooley For Assembly 2012, Local Businesses And Employees Supporting Ken Ken Cooley (i) (Support) $45,092 10/15/2012 10/24/2012
Defending The Republic Pac Bill Berryhill (Support) $9,999 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 40 (Support) $620 10/22/2012 10/24/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 35 (Support) $658 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 40 (Support) $651 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 35 (Support) $974 10/22/2012 10/24/2012
Hughes Jr.; B Wayne And Wendy Hughes And Subsidiaries Jackie Lacey (Support) $39,706 10/18/2012 10/24/2012
Hughes Jr.; B Wayne And Wendy Hughes And Subsidiaries Proposition 36 - Three Strikes Law, Sentencing For (Support) $13,235 10/18/2012 10/24/2012
Ibew 332 Issues Account (sponsored By International Brotherhood Of Electrical Workers Local 332) Political Contributions By Payroll Deductions (Oppose) $1,013 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Kern County Associates, Dba Golden West Casino Proposition (Oppose) $5,000 10/15/2012 10/24/2012
Los Angeles County Federation Of Labor, Afl-cio Issues And Initiatives Committee Pol Contribs By Payroll Ded. Contribs To Candidate (Oppose) $4,789 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Ong For Assembly 2012, Sponsored By California Optometric Association Political Action Committee; Doctors Of Optometry For Better Healthcare In Support Of Dr. Dr. Jennifer Ong (Support) $29,891 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Operating Engineers Local Union 3 Statewide Pac Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction. Cont (Oppose) $4,500 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Bill Batey (i) (Oppose) $53,505 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Jeff Miller (i) (Oppose) $22,871 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Peter Tateishi (i) (Oppose) $55,755 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Richard D. Roth (i) (Support) $4,500 10/22/2012 10/24/2012
Parents And Teachers For Putting Studentsfirst Cheryl Brown (Support) $55,307 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Restore California Pac Jeff Miller (Support) $29,959 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Restore California Pac Bill Berryhill (Support) $25,342 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Santa Clara County Republican Party Measure D (Oppose) $18,672 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
Seiu - United Long Term Care Workers Local 6434 State Pac Fernando Armenta (Support) $2,943 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Seiu - United Long Term Care Workers Local 6434 State Pac Mark Van Gorder (Support) $1,437 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Seiu - United Long Term Care Workers Local 6434 State Pac Erin Hannigan (Support) $1,774 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Southern California Pipe Trades District Council 16 Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction. Con (Oppose) $7,097 10/24/2012 10/24/2012
Spirit Of Democracy California Jose Medina (Oppose) $18,595 10/23/2012 10/24/2012
Spirit Of Democracy California Ken Cooley (Oppose) $250,000 10/23/2012 10/24/2012

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Union Contributions Push No On Prop. 32 Money Past $60 Million
Jon Ortiz @
blogs.sacbee.com
With two weeks remaining before Election Day, the donations to the labor-backed campaign committee to defeat Proposition 32 have reached $61 million.

Molly Munger's Prop. 38 Is Spoiling Jerry Brown's Prop. 30. She's Not Sorry.
Patrick Range McDonald @
laweekly.com
Molly Munger, whose Proposition 38 tax increase is up against Gov. Jerry Brown's Proposition 30 tax increase on the Nov. 6 ballot, was sitting in her beautiful Pasadena home one fall day last year when her private pollster emailed her some fresh survey results. To her great surprise, they showed a major shift in the state's anti-tax zeitgeist, with 57 percent of California voters willing to back a tax hike to fund schools.

School Initiative's Bumpy Road To The Ballot Box
Louis Freedberg @
edsource.org
The thicket of obstacles Governor Brown and his allies have run into in trying to convince voters to approve his initiative to raise funds for schools and the state budget underscores the extreme hazards of trying to convince California voters to raise taxes, even for a cause they’re predisposed to support.

Online Voter Registration Proves Popular As State Nears Record
John Howard @
capitolweekly.net
More than a million Californians used the state's new online voter registration system to sign up for the Nov. 6 election, putting the state nearer to a registration record set in 2009 of 17.33 million.

Beware The Barbarians? New Group Sends Mail In Senate Race
Torey Van Oot @
blogs.sacbee.com
With less than two weeks to go until Election Day, barbarians are entering the fray in the heated 5th Senate District race.

Data Center: See the big money behind every California ballot proposition
sacbee.com
Campaigns backing state ballot propositions have cumulatively raised more than $250 million in contributions - roughly $17 for every California resident likely to vote in a couple of weeks, according to data from the California Secretary of State.

Support plunges for Prop. 30, Gov. Jerry Brown's tax initiative
Chris Megerian and Anthony York @
latimes.com
Only 46% of registered voters now support Prop. 30, a drop of 9 percentage points over the last month, and 42% oppose it.

Poll shows voters wary of November tax initiatives
JULIET WILLIAMS, Associated Press @
utsandiego.com
Support is slipping for Gov. Jerry Brown's tax initiative, with 48 percent of likely voters saying they favor the proposal to raise the statewide sales tax and increase income taxes on the wealthy, according to a poll released Wednesday by the Public Policy Institute of California.

Prop 36 And How California's Three Strikes Law Came To Be
Evan George @
blogs.kcrw.com
Back in 1994, California voters overwhelmingly voted to pass a ballot measure that promised to “keep career criminals, who rape women, molest innocent children and commit murder, behind bars where they belong.” It became the state’s “Three Strikes” law, under which a person convicted of a felony who has two or more prior convictions for serious or violent felonies is sentenced to 25 years to life. Now, Proposition 36 would amend the law so that a convict’s third strike must stem from a violent offense for that 25-year sentence to be triggered. We talk to supporters and foes on “Which Way LA?”

Prop 30 And The Gas Tax Increase Argument :: Fox&hounds
foxandhoundsdaily.com
Tom Hiltachk, attorney of the No on 30 campaign, sets out why gasoline prices, indeed, will go up if Proposition 30 passes.

Mary Hayashi Tops List Of Assembly's Late Votes
Hannah Dreier and Juliette Williams @
contracostatimes.com
Assemblywoman Mary Hayashi, D-Hayward, cast more votes after bills fates already had been decided than any other Assembly member this year.

Amid Speculation About Pelosi's Future, House Dems Set Nov. 29 Leadership Vote
Mike Lillis @
thehill.com
House Democrats will hold their leadership elections after the Thanksgiving break, a leadership aide announced Wednesday.

Food Labeling Initiative Draws Most Mentions On Twitter
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Facing a crowded California ballot in November, tech-savvy voters seem to be focusing their attention on one initiative in particular: Proposition 37, the genetically engineered food labeling measure. According to an analysis by Twitter, Golden State users of the social...

California To Start Regaining Control Of Prison Healthcare
Paige St. John @
latimes.com
Court's overseer says 1st steps will include handing over authority to the state to staff, equip new facilities. He says full state control could occur in 2 years.

Ca, Mi Senators Place Wager On World Series
ibabuzz.com
By Josh Richman Wednesday, October 24th, 2012 at 2:30 pm in Barbara Boxer, Dianne Feinstein, U.S. Senate.

PPIC Survey: How Gov. Brown Might Save Prop. 30
calbuzz.com
How Molly Munger can live with herself -- after virtually every independent political analyst in California advised her that she would crush school finances by going ahead with her self-indulgent ballot measure -- we have no bloody idea.

Keep Secret Arizona Money Out Of California Politics
George Skelton @
latimes.com
A California PAC that opposes Prop. 30 and supports Prop. 32 received $11 million from an Arizona nonprofit. But who really gave the money?

L.A. Council Votes To Ban Stores From Selling Non-rescue Dogs, Cats
Kate Linthicum @
latimesblogs.latimes.com
L.A. lawmakers voted in favor of a new ordinance that will make L.A. the largest city in America to ban pet stores from selling dogs, cats and rabbits obtained from commercial breeders.

Debating The Death Penalty And Three Strikes
Warren Olney @
kcrw.com
Crime in California is at an historic low. Financial shortages threaten public schools and other vital services. State prisons are so overcrowded that federal courts have ordered inmates to be released. Two measures on next month's ballot are designed to ease the financial burdens on the justice system and resolve moral issues that trouble some people as well. Proposition 36 would ease the impact of Three Strikes and You're Out. Prop 34 would repeal the death penalty. Opponents are as passionate as supporters. On our rebroadcast of today's To the Point, targeted killings, unmanned drones and militarizing the CIA.

Liberal Critics Worry About Romney Connection To Voting Machines In Ohio
Bill Turque @
washingtonpost.com
Hart InterCivic is an Austin-based voting machine company that serves local governments nationwide. Its clients include Hamilton County, Ohio, which administers elections in Cincinnati. Hart InterCivic also has in its DNA just enough traces of Bain & Co. and Mitt Romney campaign donors to trigger serious angst in the liberal blogosphere about the fate of Ohio’s must-have 18 electoral votes.

Analyst: Proposition 30 Will Not Affect Gasoline Prices
latimesblogs.latimes.com
On politics in the Golden State

Romney Campaign: We Still Support Mourdock
Rachel Weiner @
washingtonpost.com
Mitt Romney has disavowed the comments made Tuesday by Indiana Senate candidate Richard Mourdock, who called pregnancies resulting from rape “something that God intended.” But the Republican presidential candidate still supports Mourdock’s bid for the Senate.

Election 2012: State GOP Slams Dutton In Mailers | Breaking News | Pe.com - Press-enterprise
JIM MILLER @
pe.com


Campaign Finance Watchdog May Sue Arizona Group
latimesblogs.latimes.com
California's campaign finance watchdog plans to decide on Wednesday whether to sue a mysterious Arizona nonprofit that pumped $11 million into two California initiative campaigns last week. The legal action could become a test of a new state regulation requiring...

Viewpoints: Should voters modify '3-strikes' law? No
Scott Jones @
sacbee.com
No initiative on this ballot has the potential of placing the citizens of California at greater risk of becoming a victim of violence than Proposition 36.