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Senate District 27
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All Districts > SD27: Ventura Co
[incumbent: Fran Pavley (D) - term limit: 2016]

Probable Candidates: 2016

District Projection: Likely Democratic | ATC Partisan Index = 56.8 D
  • Shawn Bayliss (Democratic) - Policy Director, Councilmember Koretz
    www.shawnbayliss.com  
  • Henry Stern (Democratic) - Policy Advisor, Senator Fran Pavley
    www.henrysternforsenate.com  
  • David Pollock (Democratic) - Councilmember, Moorpark
    www.pollockforsenate.com  
  • George Thomas (Democratic) - Publisher/Neighborhood Council President
    www.thomasforstatesenate.com  
  • Richard Mathews (Democratic) - Software engineer
    voterichard.org  
  • Steve Fazio (Republican) - Businessman  
  • Janice Kamenir-Reznik (Democratic) - Attorney  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Analysis

    The race to succeed termed-out Fran Pavley has drawn a wide field five Democrats and two Republicans (as of January 2016. The seat is Likely Democrat, a benefit of being an . . .

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    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 54.5%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 43.2%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 46.3%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 47.4%

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (July 1-December 31, 2015 filing period)
    CommitteeContributionsExpendituresCash on HandContributions Since*
    Bayliss For Senate 2016; Shawn [SOS]$176,677$59,771$343,483$198,660
    Fazio For Senate 2016; Steve [SOS]$292,727$39,702$255,719$311,193
    Janice Kamenir-ReznikThe FPPC does not have a report for this candidate
    Mathews For State Senate 2016; Richard [SOS]$10,443$11,399$100,484$9,490
    Pollock For State Senate 2016; David [SOS]$27,686$4,422$147,736$26,842
    Stern For Senate 2016 [SOS]$158,185$92,808$537,258$163,782
    George ThomasThe FPPC does not have a report for this candidate
     
    * = Contributions of $1,000 or more
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Fran Pavley (D)197,75753.6%557 of 557
    Todd Zink (R)171,43846.4%557 of 557

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Todd Zink (R)68,38451.1%518 of 518
    Fran Pavley (D)65,55248.9%518 of 518

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for SD27
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 2.9% 9.2% 14.4%
    Total Population 2.9% 11.0% 24.8%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Discussion

    Mentions

    • 2016-01-09: SD27 (Ventura): updated analysis (available to sub . . .
    • 2016-01-08: SD27 (Ventura): added attorney Janice Ka . . .
    • 2015-09-28: SD27 (Ventura): added businessman Steve Fazio (R) . . .
    • 2015-08-26: SD27 (Ventura): added businessman Steve Fazio (R) . . .
    • 2015-08-24: SD27 has only men running on the Democratic side. . . .
    • 2015-08-03: SD27 Fran Pavley Henry Stern SD29 Bob Huff . . .
    • 2015-07-31: SD27 Fran Pavley Henry Stern SD29 Bob Huff . . .
    • 2015-07-27: SD27 (Ventura): Changed from Leans Democratic to L . . .
    • 2015-06-09: SD27 (Pavley),, SD35 (Hall) Likely Republican:&nb . . .
    • 2015-06-08: SD27 (Pavley), SD29 (Huff), SD35 (Hall). I have m . . .
    [more]