Congressional District 53
[Get Scott's free daily political newsletter | premium subscribers receive race analysis, alerts and other back-end data]

All Districts > CD53: La Mesa
[incumbent: Susan Davis (D) - term limit: none]

Probable Primary Election Candidates: 2018

District Projection: Safe Democratic | ATC Partisan Index = 62.7 D
  • Matthew James Mendoza (Republican) - Retired  
  • Bryan Robert Kim (No Party Preference) -
    www.bryankim2018.com  
  • (i) Susan Davis (Democratic) - Member of Congress  
  • Larry Wilske (Republican) - Retired  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Analysis

    This is a very safe seat for Democrats, and eight-term congresswoman Susan Davis will easily win reelection. The only question is when she--who is 71--plans to retire, as t . . .

    Subscriber Log-in | Learn about subscriptions.

    District Map

    Display this map on your site.

    large map

    District Voter Registration

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 64.5%
    • Donald Trump (R) 29.6%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmond G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 60.0%
    • Neil Kashkari (R) 40.0%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 61.4%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 36.4%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 51.9%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 40.1%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD53
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 10.8% 8.1% 20.9%
    Total Population 13.0% 8.3% 31.8%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Discussion

    Mentions

    • 2017-11-06: THE NOONER for 11-06-17 . . .
    • 2017-10-30: THE NOONER for 10-30-17 . . .
    • 2015-08-27: CD53 (San Diego): updated analysis [avai . . .
    • 2014-03-24: CD53 (La Mesa | ATC Partisan Index: 58.9 D) - Cand . . .
    • 2014-01-17: CD53 (Davis). AGUA NO PRESENTE: The long awaited . . .
    • 2014-01-06: CD53 (San Diego): added retired military Larr . . .
    • 2013-05-14: CD53 (La Mesa) - Safe Democrat *Susan Davis (D) . . .
    • 2013-05-13: CD53 (La Mesa) - Safe Democrat *Susan Davis (D) . . .
    • 2013-05-02: CD53 La Mesa 60.70% 61.40% 0.70% 51.90% 9.50 . . .
    • 2013-04-02: CD53 (La Mesa) 25.2%   Congres . . .
    [more]