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California Elections: Congressional District 51

Congressional District 51

All Districts > CD51: S. SD - Imperial
[incumbent: Juan Vargas Directory Page]

Districts will be redistricted in 2021 to take effect with the 2022 election.

Probable Candidates: 2022

District Projection: Safe Democratic
  • (i) Juan Vargas (Democratic) - Member of Congress  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    New analysis for this district is being developed. . . .

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    District Geography

    Counties: Imperial (22.0%), San Diego (78.0%) of 317,201 registered voters.
     

    2018 Gubernatorial Race

    • Gavin Newsom (D) 67.9%
    • John Cox (R) 32.1%

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 71.8%
    • Donald Trump (R) 22.8%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 66.2%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 33.8%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 69.4%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 28.9%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD51
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 8.5% 10.6% 51.0%
    Total Population 8.1% 7.4% 68.5%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)