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California Elections: Congressional District 39

Congressional District 39 -- NRCC target

All Districts > CD39: Fullerton
[incumbent: Gil Cisneros Directory Page]

Probable Candidates: 2020

District Projection: Leans Democratic
  • Ignacio Cruz (Republican) - Author
    www.cruzusa.org  
  • (i) Gil Cisneros (Democratic) - Member of Congress  
  • Young Kim (Republican) - Business Owner
    www.youngkimforcongress.com  
  • Steve Cox (No Party Preference) - Photojournalist
    www.voteforcox.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    In 2018, the election of Gil Cisneros to replace thirteen-term retiring congressman Ed Royce signified the magnitude of demographic and political changes in Orange County. These changes led to four seats in/part of the county flipping from a Republican representative to a Democratic Party one.

    In 2020, Republicans hope to prove that 2018 was an aberration and are seeking a rematch in CD39. Running . . .

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    District Geography

    Counties: Los Angeles (27.7%), Orange (61.6%), San Bernardino (10.7%) of 370,443 registered voters.
     

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51.5%
    • Donald Trump (R) 42.9%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 44.5%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 55.5%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 47.1%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 50.8%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD39
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 24.2% 3.2% 23.0%
    Total Population 28.6% 2.5% 32.6%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)