Congressional District 36
[Get Scott's free daily political newsletter | premium subscribers receive alerts and back-end data]

All Districts > CD36: Coachella Valley
[incumbent: Raul Ruiz (D) - term limit: none]

Probable Candidates - 2014

District Projection: Toss-up | ATC Partisan Index = 51.9 R
  • (i) Raul Ruiz (Democratic) - Congressman/Emergency Physician
    www.drraulruiz.com  
  • Ray Haynes (Republican) - Small Businessman  
  • Brian Nestande (Republican) - State Legislator
    www.briannestande.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 50.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 47.5%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 43.3%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 49.6%

    District Map

    Display this map on your site.

    large map

    District Voter Registration

    Analysis

    Physician Raul Ruiz defeated incumbent Mary Bono Mack in 2012 during a year in which stars aligned for California Democrats. Democrats won all contested seats except one (CD10), and CD36 was one of the most difficult.

    This sprawling district stretches from Hemet to the Arizona border and includes pockets of both significant (and seasonal) wealth and deep poverty.

    However, the perception that Mary Bono Mack had become quite disconnected from the district found resonance with voters who had been deeply hurt by the sustained recession. Bono Mack, who was elected to the seat following the death of her then-husband Sonny Bono, was on the ballot at the same time as her husband Congressman Connie Mack, who unsuccessfully sought a U.S. Senate seat in Florida. Aside from the jet-setting part-time residents of the resort communities, the concept of a bi-coastal household just didn't play well.

    In likely GOP candidate Brian Nestande, Raul Ruiz will have a much more difficult tim . . .

    More Analysis

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (Total for this cycle)
    CandidateContributionsExpendituresCash on HandDebtFiling Period Close
    Nestande, Brian$596,005$273,263$322,742$8,1293/31/14
    Ruiz, Raul Dr.$1,929,110$462,427$1,516,642$03/31/14
     
    Source: Federal Elections Commission

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Raul Ruiz (D)110,18952.9%448 of 448
    Mary Bono Mack (R)97,95347.1%448 of 448

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Mary Bono Mack (R)52,47458.1%299 of 299
    Raul Ruiz (D)37,84741.9%299 of 299

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD36
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 2.4% 3.7% 27.5%
    Total Population 3.0% 4.0% 46.6%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Discussion

    Comments on the race for Congressional District 36 via Facebook

    Mentions

    [more]