Congressional District 33
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All Districts > CD33: LA Coast
[incumbent: Henry A. Waxman (D) - term limit: none]

Probable Candidates - 2014

District Projection: Likely Democrat | ATC Partisan Index = 59.6 D
  • Matt Miller (Democratic) - Public Radio Host
    www.mattmillerforcongress.com  
  • James Graf (Democratic) - Businessman/Entrepreneur
    www.graf33.com  
  • Marianne Williamson (No Party Preference) - Author/Entrepreneur
    www.marianneforcongress.com  
  • Barbara Mulvaney (Democratic) - Human Rights Attorney
    www.barbaramulvaneyforcongress.com  
  • Elan Carr (Republican) - Criminal Gang Prosecutor
    www.elancarrforcongress.com  
  • Kevin Mottus (Republican) - Environment Health Advocate
    www.kevinmottus2014.com  
  • Wendy Greuel (Democratic) - Businesswoman
    www.wendygreuel.org  
  • David Kanuth (Democratic) -
    www.kanuthforcongress.com  
  • Mark Matthew Herd (Libertarian) - Neighborhood Council Boardmember
    www.voteherd.com  
  • Brent Roske (No Party Preference) - Television Producer/Director
    www.RoskeForCongress.com  
  • Tom Fox (No Party Preference) - Lawyer
    www.tomfox4congress.com  
  • Lily Gilani (Republican) - Lawyer/CEO
    lilygilaniforcongress.com  
  • Zein Obagi, Jr. (Democratic) - Educational Equality Advocate
    www.zeinobagijr.com  
  • Michael Shapiro (Democratic) - Sports Executive, Filmmaker
    www.michaelshapiroforcongress.com  
  • Ted Lieu (Democratic) - Senator/Military Officer
    www.tedlieu.com  
  • Kristie Holmes (Democratic) - Social Worker/Professor
    www.kristieholmes.com  
  • Michael Ian Sachs (Green) - Environmental Technician  
  • Vince Flaherty (Democratic) - Producer/Entrepreneur/Historian
    www.vote4vinceflaherty.org  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 60.6%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 36.8%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 54.3%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 40.4%

    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    Analysis

    The unexpected retirement of Henry Waxman on January 30 launched one of the most interesting Democratic primaries in the nation. Waxman had a strong challenge by conservative independent Bill Bloomfield in 2012. The retirement announcement came amidst polls suggesting confidence in incumbents declining and with fellow committee ranking member George Miller deciding to retire weeks earlier.

    In the race at the time of Waxman's announcement and with strong fundraising performance for a liberal independent was author Marianne Williamson, who has raised (and spent) handsomely, along with producer Brent Roske--running as a more moderate independent.

    However, the prospect of an open safe Democratic seat ensured the field would grow. Within days (or hours), State Senator Ted Lieu and former Los Angeles Controller Wendy Greuel jumped in the race. Later, attorney Barbara Mulvaney jumped in, as did WaPo columnist and KCRW host Matt Miller. All four are Democrats.

    Bill Bloomfiel . . .

    More Analysis

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (Total for this cycle)
    CandidateContributionsExpendituresCash on HandDebtFiling Period Close
    Carr, Elan S.$328,624$72,800$285,825$36,8033/31/14
    Graf, James Andrew$3,390$121,627$881,763$1,000,0003/31/14
    Greuel, Wendy J$672,215$173,619$493,346$38,7573/31/14
    Kanuth, David$798,453$46,152$752,211$03/31/14
    Lieu, Ted$566,762$42,325$579,437$66,2393/31/14
    Miller, Matthew Louis$517,822$37,446$480,376$45,4653/31/14
    Mulvaney, Barbara$10,505$100,000$20,557$110,0503/31/14
    Williamson, Marianne$964,386$643,176$415,180$110,4353/31/14
     
    Source: Federal Elections Commission

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Henry A. Waxman (D)171,86054.0%468 of 468
    Bill Bloomfield (N)146,66046.0%468 of 468

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Henry A. Waxman (D)51,23545.3%450 of 450
    Bill Bloomfield (N)27,85024.6%450 of 450
    Christopher David (R)17,26415.3%450 of 450
    Bruce Margolin (D)5,0204.4%450 of 450
    Steve Collett (L)4,9164.3%450 of 450
    David William Steinman (G)3,9403.5%450 of 450
    Zein E. Obagi (D)1,9881.8%450 of 450
    Tim Pape (D)8470.7%450 of 450

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD33
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 9.9% 3.1% 8.9%
    Total Population 13.5% 2.9% 11.2%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Discussion

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