Congressional District 31
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All Districts > CD31: San Bernardino
[incumbent: Gary G. Miller (R) - term limit: none]

Hourly election night report

June 3 Primary Election Results
Live Results
CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
Paul Chabot (R)14,16326.6%477 of 477
Pete Aguilar (D)9,24217.4%477 of 477
Lesli Gooch (R)9,03317.0%477 of 477
Eloise Gomez Reyes (D)8,46115.9%477 of 477
Joe Baca (D)5,95411.2%477 of 477
Danny Tillman (D)4,6598.7%477 of 477
Ryan Downing (R)1,7373.3%477 of 477

County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
Source: California Secretary of State

Candidates On The Ballot- 2014

District Projection: Leans Democrat | ATC Partisan Index = 54.9 D
  • Joe Baca (Democratic) - Public Policy Educator
    www.workingjoebaca.com  
  • Pete Aguilar (Democratic) - Mayor/Business Owner
    www.peteaguilar.com  
  • Danny Tillman (Democratic) - Member, Governing Board, San Bernardino City Unified School District
    www.dannytillmanforcongress.com  
  • Eloise Gomez Reyes (Democratic) - Businesswoman/Attorney
    www.eloiseforcongress.com  
  • Ryan Downing (Republican) - Political Consultant/Businessman  
  • Paul Chabot (Republican) - Military Officer/Businessman
    www.paulchabot.com  
  • Lesli Gooch (Republican) - Businesswoman/Policy Director
    www.lesligooch.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 57.2%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 40.6%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 48.8%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 41.6%

    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    Analysis

    Gary Miller has decided to not run for reelection in the hardest-to-defend GOP seat in the country, sources have confirmed. That doesn't mean Democrats will have a walk, and more analysis will be coming shortly.

    Redlands mayor Pete Aguilar came close but just short of the endorsement recommendation at the California Democratic Party's regional caucuses on the February 8-9 weekend, while Eloise Gomez Reyes posted strong fundraising numbers, fueled by the support of EMILY's list.

    Possible Republican candidates include businessman Paul Chabot, currently running for AD40, Fontana mayor Acquanetta Warren and San Bernardino councilmember John Valdivia.

    . . .
    More Analysis

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (Total for this cycle)
    CandidateContributionsExpendituresCash on HandDebtFiling Period Close
    Aguilar, Pete$1,041,656$657,404$402,756$02014-05-14
    Baca, Joe$162,207$151,692$19,786$38,9582014-05-14
    Chabot, Paul$54,651$88,061$28,590$67,1512014-05-14
    Gooch, Lesli E Mccollum$137,283$171,408$100,875$144,0942014-05-14
    Reyes, Eloise Gomez$792,999$738,264$169,438$100,0002014-05-14
    Tillman, Danny$35,146$29,931$6,215$1,0002014-05-14
     
    Source: Federal Elections Commission

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Gary G. Miller (R)88,96455.2%443 of 443
    Bob Dutton (R)72,25544.8%443 of 443

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Gary G. Miller (R)16,70826.7%439 of 439
    Bob Dutton (R)15,55724.8%439 of 439
    Pete Aguilar (D)14,18122.6%439 of 439
    Justin Kim (D)8,48713.5%439 of 439
    Renea Wickman (D)4,1886.7%439 of 439
    Rita Ramirez-Dean (D)3,5465.7%439 of 439

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD31
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 5.6% 12.7% 35.5%
    Total Population 7.1% 11.6% 49.4%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

  • Pete Aguilar (D) - Mayor, Redlands
  • Joe Baca (D) - Former Congressman
  • Eloise Gomez Reyes (D) - Attorney
  • ...[suggest additions]
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