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Congressional District 31
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All Districts > CD31: San Bernardino
[incumbent: Pete Aguilar (D) - term limit: none]

Probable Candidates: 2016

District Projection: Leans Democrat | ATC Partisan Index = 57.7 D
  • Paul Chabot (Republican) - Military Officer/Businessman
    www.paulchabot.com  
  • (i) Pete Aguilar (Democratic) - Mayor/Business Owner
    www.peteaguilar.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Analysis

    The 2016 cycle is looking to be a repeat of 2014, with first-term congressman Pete Aguilar (D), former mayor of Redlands, facing businessman Paul Chabot (R). Aguilar won in . . .

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    June 3, 2014 Primary Election Results
    Live Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Paul Chabot (R)14,16326.6%477 of 477
    Pete Aguilar (D)9,24217.4%477 of 477
    Lesli Gooch (R)9,03317.0%477 of 477
    Eloise Gomez Reyes (D)8,46115.9%477 of 477
    Joe Baca (D)5,95411.2%477 of 477
    Danny Tillman (D)4,6598.7%477 of 477
    Ryan Downing (R)1,7373.3%477 of 477

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 57.2%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 40.6%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 48.8%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 41.6%

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (Total for this cycle)
    CandidateContributionsExpendituresCash on HandDebtFiling Period Close
    Aguilar, Pete$799,325$246,228$560,807$02015-06-30
    Chabot, Paul R Dr.$101,340$55,721$39,464$90,8622015-06-30
     
    Source: Federal Elections Commission

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Gary G. Miller (R)88,96455.2%443 of 443
    Bob Dutton (R)72,25544.8%443 of 443

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Gary G. Miller (R)16,70826.7%439 of 439
    Bob Dutton (R)15,55724.8%439 of 439
    Pete Aguilar (D)14,18122.6%439 of 439
    Justin Kim (D)8,48713.5%439 of 439
    Renea Wickman (D)4,1886.7%439 of 439
    Rita Ramirez-Dean (D)3,5465.7%439 of 439

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD31
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 5.6% 12.7% 35.5%
    Total Population 7.1% 11.6% 49.4%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

  • Pete Aguilar (D) - Mayor, Redlands
  • Joe Baca (D) - Former Congressman
  • Eloise Gomez Reyes (D) - Attorney
  • ...[suggest additions]
  • Discussion

    Mentions

    • 2014-10-23: CD31 (San Bernardino): Aguilar (D) 42%, Chabot (R) . . .
    • 2014-04-28: CD31 (San Bernardino) CD33 (Coastal Los Angeles) . . .
    • 2014-03-24: CD31 (San Bernardino | ATC Partisan Index: 54.9 D) . . .
    • 2014-03-13: CD31 (Redlands): With John Valdivia (R) bowing out . . .
    • 2014-03-10: CD31 (San Bernardino) | ATC Score = 54.9 D CD07 ( . . .
    • 2014-03-07: CD31 (San Bernardino) Here's a list of all of t . . .
    • 2014-03-03: CD31 (San Bernardino): Eloise Gomez Reyes (D) is d . . .
    • 2014-02-28: CD31 race to SD20 to avoid the possible Democratic . . .
    • 2014-02-19: CD31 (Redlands): added ?former? congressional . . .
    • 2014-02-18: CD31 race, although the engine doesn't seem to be . . .
    [more]