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California Elections: Congressional District 25

Congressional District 25 -- NRCC target

All Districts > CD25: Santa Clarita-Palmdale
[incumbent: Mike Garcia Directory Page]

Probable Candidates: 2020

District Projection: Toss-up
  • Mike Garcia (Republican) - Small Businessman/Father  
  • Christy Smith (Democratic) - California Assemblywoman/Mother
    www.christyforcongress.org/  
  • David Lozano ( (Republican) - ) - Attorney
    www.dlbklaw.com/  
  • Daniel Mercuri ( (Republican) - ) - CEO
    www.danielmercuri.com/  
  • Getro Franck Elize ( (Democratic) - ) - Patient Resource Worker  
  • Steve Knight ( (Republican) - ) - Small Business Owner
    www.steveknight.org/  
  • Cenk Uyger ( (Democratic) - ) - Progressive Journalist
    www.cenk2020.com/  
  • Christopher C. Smith ( (Democratic) - ) - Documentary Filmmaker
    www.christophersmithforcongress.com/  
  • Robert Cooper III ( (Democratic) - ) - University Professor  
  • Anibal Vald?z-Ortega ( (Democratic) - ) - Attorney/Community Organizer
    www.valadezortegaforcongress.org/  
  • Otis Lee Cooper ( (No Party Preference) - ) - Legal Defense Investigator
    www.vote4cooper.com/  
  • George Papadopoulos ( (Republican) - ) - Businessman/Author/Speaker
    www.georgeforcongress.com/  
  • Kenneth Jenks ( (Republican) - ) - Telecommunications Executive
    www.kennethjenksforcongress.com/  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    In the special election to fill the seat left vacant after first-term congresswoman Katie Hill (D . . .

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    District Geography

    Counties: Los Angeles (82.5%), Ventura (17.5%) of 394,998 registered voters.
     

    2018 Gubernatorial Race

    • Gavin Newsom (D) 51.1%
    • John Cox (R) 48.9%

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50.3%
    • Donald Trump (R) 43.6%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 42.8%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 57.2%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 47.8%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 49.7%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD25
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 6.7% 7.8% 22.5%
    Total Population 7.7% 8.4% 35.3%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)