Congressional District 07
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All Districts > CD07: E. Sac Co
[incumbent: Ami Bera (D) - term limit: none]

Probable Candidates - 2014

District Projection: Toss-up | ATC Partisan Index = 52.1 D
  • Elizabeth Emken (Republican) - Businesswoman/Nonprofit Executive
    www.elizabethemken.com  
  • Doug Ose (Republican) - Small Business Owner
    www.dougose.com  
  • Igor Birman (Republican) - Public Policy Advisor
    www.igorbirman.com  
  • (i) Ami Bera (Democratic) - Doctor/Teacher/Congressman
    www.beraforcongress.com  
  • Philip Tufi (No Party Preference) - Engineer  
  • Arthur "Art" Tuma (Libertarian) - Retired Civil Engineer
    www.arttuma.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 50.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 46.7%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 49.6%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 44.5%

    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    Analysis

    First term congressman Ami Bera will have to work to keep his seat in 2014 in this seat with a narrow voter registration edge for Democrats and in which independent voters will decide whether or not to return Bera to DC.

    Seeking to challenge Bera in November are three Republicans, including former congressman Doug Ose, who can self-finance and is the favorite to emerge from the top-two primary. Also running are Igor Birman, who is chief of staff for Congressman Tom McClintock (who beat Ose in 2008 in the race for the open congressional seat), and Elizabeth Emken, who ran for an open seat in congress in 2010 and carried the Republican party banner against Dianne Feinstein in 2012.

    Despite a toss-up district, Bera will be tough to beat in 2014, partially attributable to the "do-nothing" nature of the 113th Congress. The physician, who won election on his second bid against Dan Lungren, can campaign on what he would have done had Democrats controlled the gavel. The toughest vote for . . .

    More Analysis

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (Total for this cycle)
    CandidateContributionsExpendituresCash on HandDebtFiling Period Close
    Bera, Amerish$1,843,163$455,998$1,470,493$03/31/14
    Birman, Igor A$344,880$275,479$70,354$8,6263/31/14
    Emken, Elizabeth$274,499$272,468$220,352$238,8953/31/14
    Ose, Doug$853,584$462,678$417,736$327,3273/31/14
     
    Source: Federal Elections Commission

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Ami Bera (D)141,24151.7%556 of 556
    Dan Lungren (R)132,05048.3%556 of 556

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Dan Lungren (R)63,58652.7%506 of 506
    Ami Bera (D)49,43341.0%506 of 506
    Curt Taras (N)3,8543.2%506 of 506
    Douglas Arthur Tuma (L)3,7073.1%506 of 506

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD07
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 10.0% 7.3% 10.3%
    Total Population 13.9% 7.7% 16.1%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

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