Congressional District 04
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All Districts > CD04: Foothills
[incumbent: Tom McClintock (R) - term limit: none]

General Election Candidates: 2018

District Projection: Leans Republican
  • (i) Tom McClintock (Republican) - United States Representative
    www.tommcclintock.com  
  • Jessica Morse (Democratic) - Candidate for Congress
    www.morse4congress.com/  
  • Regina Bateson (Democratic) - Professor
    www.bateson4congress.com  
  • Roza I. Calderon (Democratic) - Scientist
    www.electroza.org  
  • Robert Lawton (Democratic) - Businessman  
  • Richard James Martin (Democratic) -   
  • Rochelle Lyn Wilcox (Democratic) - Attorney
    www.rochelle2018.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Analysis

    Admittedly, I have waited to tackle analysis for this race that is on the radar of many. On a generic ballot in a generic year, this would be a safe Republican district. Af . . .

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    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39.2%
    • Donald Trump (R) 54.0%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 44.9%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 55.1%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 39.5%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 57.9%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 37.7%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 55.4%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD04
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 3.2% 1.4% 7.4%
    Total Population 4.1% 1.3% 12.4%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)