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California Elections: Assembly District 73

Assembly District 73

All Districts > AD73: Coastal South Orange County
[incumbent: William P. Brough (R-Dana Point) - term limit: 2026 - Directory Page]

Probable Candidates: 2020

District Projection: Likely Republican
  • Laurie Davies (Republican) - Councilmember, Laguna Niguel  
  • Ed Sachs (Republican) - Councilmember, Mission Viejo  
  • Scott Rhinehart (Democratic) - Small Business Owner
    scottfor73rd.com  
  • Melanie Eustice (Republican) - Public Administrator  
  • (i) Bill Brough (Republican) - Member, State Assembly
    billbrough.org   [$$$]
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    Three-term Assemblyman Bill Brough was coasting to an easy victory in this safe Republican district in coastal south Orange County until late June when his former colleague on the Dana Point City Council Lisa Bartlett accused him of aggressive sexual advances "in recent years." Bartlett, a fellow Republican, now represents the region as an Orange County Supervisor. Two sources who wished to be unnamed corrobor . . .

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    District Geography

    County: Orange (100%) of 284,505 registered voters.
     

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.9%
    • Donald Trump (R) 50.4%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 37.9%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 62.1%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 38.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 59.4%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD73
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 6.7% 1.5% 10.3%
    Total Population 8.3% 1.2% 18.0%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)