The race to succeed Curt Hagman in the 55th Assembly District is one of the most interesting on the GOP side in 2014. The district stretches from the communities of Yorba Linda, Brea and Placentia up the 57 to Walnut and Diamond Bar, combining the northernmost part of Orange County, the easternmost part of Los Angeles County, and the westernmost part of San Bernardino County.
The district has large Asian and Latino populations, which combine for nearly half of the citizen voting age population. If you took that on its face, you would think the district would be toss-up, or even favorable for Democrats. However, much of the district is wealthy and conservative. Mitt Romney outpolled Barack Obama here in 2012 by 6.4%, and this race will safely be in the Republican column in 2014.
The floor for Democrats here is probably around 36% in off-year elections. Thus, if only one Democrat runs, one Republican and one Democrat will emerge in the top-two primary, sett . . .