Assembly District 45
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All Districts > AD45: W. San Fernando Valley
[incumbent: Matt Dababneh () - term limit: 2024]

Probable Candidates - 2014

District Projection: Safe Democrat | ATC Partisan Index = 62.0 D
  • (i) Matt Dababneh (Democratic) - Assemblymember
    www.mattdababneh.com  
  • Susan Shelley (Republican) - Author/Publisher
    www.susanshelley.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 63.5%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 34.1%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 54.5%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 39.0%

    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    Analysis

    After escaping a 2013 special election scare with Republican Susan Shelley, Matt Dababneh likely has a clear path to serve in the Assembly through 2024.

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    More Analysis

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (January 1-March 17, 2014 filing period)
    CommitteeContributionsExpendituresCash on HandContributions Since*
    Dababneh For Assembly 2014, Matt [SOS]$61,097$18,266$70,907$48,806
    Shelley For Assembly 2014, Susan [SOS]$26,040$16,098$17,946$0
     
    * = Contributions of $1,000 or more
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Bob Blumenfield (D)100,42263.4%237 of 237
    Chris Kolski (R)57,99636.6%237 of 237

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Bob Blumenfield (D)31,94259.1%222 of 222
    Chris Kolski (R)22,11940.9%222 of 222

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD45
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 10.6% 4.3% 17.8%
    Total Population 12.3% 4.3% 30.4%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Incumbent term limit: 0
    • Damian Carroll (D) - District Director, Paul Krekorian
    • Matt Dababney (D) - District Director, Congressman Brad Sherman
    • Jeff Ebenstein (D) - Field Deputy, Paul Koretz
    • Fred Gaines (D) - Member, Calabasas City Council
    • Susan Shelley (R) - Writer
    • ...[suggest additions]

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