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California Elections: Assembly District 38

Assembly District 38

All Districts > AD38: Santa Clarita
[incumbent: Christy Smith (D-Newhall) - term limit: 2030 - Directory Page]

Probable Candidates: 2020

District Projection: Safe Republican
  • Lucie Lapointe Volotzky (Republican) - Small Business Owner
    lucie4leadership.com  
  • Suzette Martinez Valladores (Republican) - Educator/Nonprofit Director
    www.suzettevalladares.com/  
  • Kelvin Driscoll ( (Democratic) - ) - County Program Director  
  • Susan M. Christopher ( (Democratic) - ) - Nonprofit Director (Inactive Candidate)  
  • Brandii Grace ( (Democratic) - ) - STEM Educator
    www.graceforassembly.com/  
  • Annie E. Cho ( (Democratic) - ) - Businesswoman/Parent
    anniechoforassembly.com  
  • Dina Cervantes ( (Democratic) - ) - Education Consultant/Businesswoman
    www.dinacervantes.com/  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    Republican consultants know that the 2020 cycle is not looking like a great opportunity to pick u . . .

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    District Geography

    Counties: Los Angeles (74.3%), Ventura (25.7%) of 288,394 registered voters.
     

    2018 Gubernatorial Race

    • Gavin Newsom (D) 50.3%
    • John Cox (R) 49.7%

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49.6%
    • Donald Trump (R) 44.4%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 43.2%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 56.8%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 46.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 50.8%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD38
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 9.7% 3.7% 16.7%
    Total Population 12.2% 3.4% 25.8%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)