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California Elections: Assembly District 38

Assembly District 38

All Districts > AD38: Santa Clarita
[incumbent: Christy Smith (D-Newhall) - term limit: 2030 - Directory Page]

Probable Candidates: 2020

District Projection: Leans Democratic
  • Suzette Martinez Valladares (Republican) - Nonprofit Executive
    suzettevalladares.com  
  • (i) Christy Smith (Democratic) - Member, State Assembly
    www.christysmithforassembly.com   [$$$]
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    In 2018, Democrat Christy Smith defeated incumbent Dante Acosta 51.5%-48.5% in this district north of Los Angeles in a rematch from 2016. It looked like Acosta would seek a rematch in 2020 and filed a statement of intent, but appears to have decided against a run, reporting no contributions in the semi-annual 2019 report.

    Before the Assembly, Smith served two terms on the Newhall School District board. She has a B.A. in political . . .

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    District Geography

    Counties: Los Angeles (74.3%), Ventura (25.7%) of 288,394 registered voters.
     

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49.6%
    • Donald Trump (R) 44.4%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 43.2%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 56.8%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 46.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 50.8%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD38
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 9.7% 3.7% 16.7%
    Total Population 12.2% 3.4% 25.8%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)