Assembly District 17
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All Districts > AD17: East SF
[incumbent: Tom Ammiano (D) - term limit: 2014]

Probable Candidates - 2014

District Projection: Safe Democrat | ATC Partisan Index = 88.3 D
  • David Campos (Democratic) - San Francisco Supervisor
    www.davidcampossf.com  
  • David Chiu (Democratic) - President, San Francisco County Supervisors
    www.votedavidchiu.com  
  • David Salaverry (Republican) - Independent Contractor
    www.davidcarlos2014.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 87.0%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 9.3%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 81.4%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 12.8%

    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    Analysis

    The race to succeed Tom Ammiano in this San Francisco district is expected to feature two bright, rising politicians representing two strong demographics in the district--gay and Chinese voters.

    The two are Harvard law graduates born five months apart, although their personal stories are very different. David Chiu was born in Cleveland to Taiwanese immigrants and raised in Boston, while David Campos was born in Guatemala before immigrating illegally to Los Angeles at age 14.

    On the Board of Supervisors, Campos is seen as further to the left than Chiu, although either would be among the most liberal in the Legislature.

    Campos starts with a bit of an advantage as gay and Latino voters outnumber Asian voters in this district, which includes the Castro and Chinatown, but falls short of the number of Chinese voters found in Phil Ting's AD19.

    . . .
    More Analysis

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (January 1-March 17, 2014 filing period)
    CommitteeContributionsExpendituresCash on HandContributions Since*
    Campos For Assembly 2014, David [SOS]$118,714$102,577$178,487$38,400
    Chiu For Assembly 2014, David [SOS]$160,167$140,534$422,365$60,932
    David SalaverryThe FPPC does not have a report for this candidate
     
    * = Contributions of $1,000 or more
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Tom Ammiano (D)161,12486.2%345 of 345
    Jason P. Clark (R)25,72813.8%345 of 345

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Tom Ammiano (D)63,45484.2%345 of 345
    Jason P. Clark (R)11,93315.8%345 of 345

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD17
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 22.6% 9.0% 12.3%
    Total Population 28.0% 8.1% 18.9%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Incumbent term limit: 0

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