Assembly District 16
[Get Scott's free daily political newsletter | premium subscribers receive alerts and back-end data]

All Districts > AD16: Tri-Valley
[incumbent: Joan Buchanan (D) - term limit: 2014]

Probable Candidates - 2014

District Projection: Leans Democrat | ATC Partisan Index = 54.6 D
  • Steve Glazer (Democratic) - Council Member, City of Orinda
    www.glazer4assembly.com  
  • Catharine Baker (Republican) - Small Business Counsel
    www.bakerforassembly.com  
  • Newell Arnerich (Democratic) - Danville Mayor/Architect
    www.arnerichforassembly.org  
  • Tim Sbranti (Democratic) - Dublin Mayor/Teacher
    www.timsbranti.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 57.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 40.1%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 50.7%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 45.2%

    District Map

    Display this map on your site.

    large map

    District Voter Registration

    Analysis

    New analysis for this district is being prepared.

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (January 1-March 17, 2014 filing period)
    CommitteeContributionsExpendituresCash on HandContributions Since*
    Arnerich For Assembly 2014 [SOS]$9,760$15,878$66,823$0
    Baker For Assembly 2014, Catharine [SOS]$50,990$18,524$139,965$21,815
    Glazer For Assembly 2014 [SOS]$150,189$48,950$429,608$103,550
    Sbranti For Assembly 2014, Tim [SOS]$117,761$97,577$126,443$30,100
     
    * = Contributions of $1,000 or more
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Joan Buchanan (D)125,95259.2%366 of 366
    Al Phillips (R)86,80340.8%366 of 366

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Joan Buchanan (D)54,36856.7%325 of 325
    Al Phillips (R)41,44443.3%325 of 325

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD16
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 11.8% 2.5% 7.4%
    Total Population 18.1% 2.5% 11.0%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Incumbent term limit: 0
    • Newell Arnerich (D) - City Councilmember, Danville
    • Steve Glazer (D) - Councilmember, Orinda
    • Tim Sbranti (D) - Mayor, Dublin
    • ...[suggest additions]

    Discussion

    Comments on the race for Assembly District 16 via Facebook

    Mentions

    [more]