Assembly District 16
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All Districts > AD16: Tri-Valley
[incumbent: Catharine Baker (R) - term limit: 2026]

Probable Primary Election Candidates: 2018

District Projection: Toss-up | ATC Partisan Index = 58.9 D
  • Rebecca Bauer-Kahan (Democratic) - Attorney
    www.rebeccabauerkahan.com  
  • (i) Catharine Baker (Republican) - Member, State Assembly
    www.bakerforassembly.com  
  • Tom Tarantino (Democratic) - Veterans' service officer
    votetarantino.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Analysis

    This district stretches from the communities of Orinda and Moraga east of Berkeley, and then follows the 680 freeway from Walnut Creek south through the San Ramon Valley co . . .

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    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 64.5%
    • Donald Trump (R) 29.2%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmond G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 62.5%
    • Neil Kashkari (R) 37.5%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 57.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 40.1%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 50.7%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 45.2%

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (Total for this cycle)
    CandidateContributionsExpendituresCash on HandDebtFiling Period Close

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD16
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 11.8% 2.5% 7.4%
    Total Population 18.1% 2.5% 11.0%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Incumbent term limit: 0
    • Newell Arnerich (D) - City Councilmember, Danville
    • Steve Glazer (D) - Councilmember, Orinda
    • Tim Sbranti (D) - Mayor, Dublin
    • ...[suggest additions]

    Discussion

    Mentions

    • 2018-02-19: THE NOONER for 02-19-18 . . .
    • 2018-02-18: THE NOONER for 02-18-18 . . .
    • 2018-01-29: THE NOONER for 01-29-18 . . .
    • 2018-01-02: THE NOONER for 01-02-18 . . .
    • 2017-10-06: THE NOONER for 10-06-17 . . .
    • 2017-09-07: THE NOONER for 09-07-17 . . .
    • 2016-11-29: AD16, AD40) to be on the table. Nobody can predict . . .
    • 2016-11-25: AD16 (Tri-Valley): District had no love for Trump, . . .
    • 2016-11-08: AD16: Catharine Baker (R) cvs. Catherine Cook-Call . . .
    • 2016-11-07: THE NOONER for 11-07-16If you don't see images in . . .
    [more]