Assembly District 16
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All Districts > AD16: Tri-Valley
[incumbent: Catharine Baker (R) - term limit: 2026]

Probable Primary Election Candidates: 2018

District Projection: Toss-up | ATC Partisan Index = 58.9 D
  • (i) Catharine Baker (Republican) - Member, State Assembly
    www.bakerforassembly.com  
  • Tom Tarantino (Democratic) -   
  • Rebecca Bauer-Kahan (Democratic) - Attorney
    www.rebeccabauerkahan.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Analysis

    This district stretches from the communities of Orinda and Moraga east of Berkeley, and then follows the 680 freeway from Walnut Creek south through the San Ramon Valley co . . .

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    June 3, 2014 Primary Election Results
    Live Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Catharine Baker (R)31,63236.7%338 of 338
    Tim Sbranti (D)25,21729.2%338 of 338
    Steve Glazer (D)19,63622.8%338 of 338
    Newell Arnerich (D)9,79411.4%338 of 338

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 57.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 40.1%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 50.7%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 45.2%

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (January 1-June 30, 2017 filing period)
    CommitteeContributionsExpendituresCash on HandContributions Since*
    Baker For Assembly 2018; Catharine [SOS]$369,017$111,246$297,434$429,075
    Rebecca Bauer-KahanThe FPPC does not have a report for this candidate
    Tom TarantinoThe FPPC does not have a report for this candidate
     
    * = Contributions of $5,000 or more
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Joan Buchanan (D)125,95259.2%366 of 366
    Al Phillips (R)86,80340.8%366 of 366

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Joan Buchanan (D)54,36856.7%325 of 325
    Al Phillips (R)41,44443.3%325 of 325

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD16
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 11.8% 2.5% 7.4%
    Total Population 18.1% 2.5% 11.0%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Incumbent term limit: 0
    • Newell Arnerich (D) - City Councilmember, Danville
    • Steve Glazer (D) - Councilmember, Orinda
    • Tim Sbranti (D) - Mayor, Dublin
    • ...[suggest additions]

    Discussion

    Mentions

    • 2017-10-06: THE NOONER for 10-06-17 . . .
    • 2017-09-07: THE NOONER for 09-07-17 . . .
    • 2016-11-29: AD16, AD40) to be on the table. Nobody can predict . . .
    • 2016-11-25: AD16 (Tri-Valley): District had no love for Trump, . . .
    • 2016-11-08: AD16: Catharine Baker (R) cvs. Catherine Cook-Call . . .
    • 2016-11-07: THE NOONER for 11-07-16If you don't see images in . . .
    • 2016-11-06: THE NOONER for 11-06-16If you don't see images in . . .
    • 2016-11-05: THE NOONER for 11-05-16If you don't see images in . . .
    • 2016-11-04: THE NOONER for 11-04-16If you don't see images in . . .
    • 2016-11-03: THE NOONER for 11-03-16If you don't see images in . . .
    [more]