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Assembly District 16
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All Districts > AD16: Tri-Valley
[incumbent: Catharine Baker (R) - term limit: 2026]

Probable Candidates: 2016

District Projection: Leans Democratic | ATC Partisan Index = 58.9 D
  • (i) Catharine Baker (Republican) - Member, State Assembly
    www.bakerforassembly.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Analysis

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    June 3, 2014 Primary Election Results
    Live Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Catharine Baker (R)31,63236.7%338 of 338
    Tim Sbranti (D)25,21729.2%338 of 338
    Steve Glazer (D)19,63622.8%338 of 338
    Newell Arnerich (D)9,79411.4%338 of 338

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    District Map

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    District Voter Registration

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 57.7%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 40.1%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 50.7%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 45.2%

    Fundraising

    Reported Fundraising
    (January 1-June 30, 2015 filing period)
    CommitteeContributionsExpendituresCash on HandContributions Since*
    Baker For Assembly 2016; Catharine [SOS]$427,067$126,863$328,363$14,644
     
    * = Contributions of $1,000 or more
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Joan Buchanan (D)125,95259.2%366 of 366
    Al Phillips (R)86,80340.8%366 of 366

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Joan Buchanan (D)54,36856.7%325 of 325
    Al Phillips (R)41,44443.3%325 of 325

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD16
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 11.8% 2.5% 7.4%
    Total Population 18.1% 2.5% 11.0%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)

    Incumbent term limit: 0
    • Newell Arnerich (D) - City Councilmember, Danville
    • Steve Glazer (D) - Councilmember, Orinda
    • Tim Sbranti (D) - Mayor, Dublin
    • ...[suggest additions]

    Discussion

    Mentions

    • 2015-05-26: AD16 (Tri-Valley): Sbranti won't seek Assembl . . .
    • 2015-05-21: THE NOONER for 05-21-15If you don't see images in . . .
    • 2015-03-09: AD16--a window of opportunity was opened to get at . . .
    • 2014-12-10: AD16, but could transfer all of that to a race for . . .
    • 2014-11-05: AD16, Catharine Baker beats Tim Sbranti (D). . . .
    • 2014-09-10: AD16 (Tri-Valley): The state Democratic Party has . . .
    • 2014-08-06: AD16 (Tri-Valley-D - Baker v. Sbranti)--both LEANS . . .
    • 2014-05-07: AD16, the Tri-Valley seat currently held by Susan . . .
    • 2014-04-28: AD16 (Tri-Valley) AD17 (E. San Francisco) AD25 ( . . .
    • 2014-04-18: AD16 candidate Tim Sbranti was "termed out" a . . .
    [more]