advertise on aroundthecapitol
California Elections: Assembly District 12

Assembly District 12

All Districts > AD12: Modesto
[incumbent: Heath Flora (R-Ripon) - term limit: 2028 - Directory Page]

Probable Candidates: 2020

District Projection: Likely Republican
2019-12-11 1700: While filing has closed for all non-special elections, lists are still pending from several counties. This candidate list will continue to be updated for several days. The official list will be published by the Secretary of State on December 26.
  • (i) Heath Flora (Republican) - Farmer / Firefighter / Assemblymember
    heathflora.com  
  • Paul Akinjo (Democratic) - Councilmember / Technologist / Analyst
    www.paulakinjo.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    New analysis for this district is being prepared . . .

    Subscriber Log-in | Learn about subscriptions.

     

    District Geography

    Counties: San Joaquin (35.2%), Stanislaus (64.8%) of 245,309 registered voters.
     

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.1%
    • Donald Trump (R) 51.1%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 47.0%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 53.0%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 45.1%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 52.4%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for AD12
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 4.7% 2.8% 21.0%
    Total Population 5.8% 2.9% 34.4%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)