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Thursday, June 2, 2011

Do You See What I See?

The Citizen’s Commission was playing with maps yesterday, and some of the eye-popping results can be seen at http://redistrictingpartners.com/2011/06/do-you-see-what-i-see/

These maps are very preliminary, but show the direction that the Commission is headed, and helps us make some early predictions about who will be upset, and who will be REALLY upset.  Take, for example, the County of Sacramento.  In the early visualizations the Commission has cut it up into six different Assembly seats, with only one district entirely within the county borders.  The City of Sacramento doesn’t get any love either, with one strongly Democratic district going out to Davis (nesting Dr. Pan, Mariko Yamada and Roger Dickinson), one new vacant Democratic seat going to Elk Grove, and a 1-point Republican Lean seat for Alyson Huber.

As more maps are online and analyzed we will announce them at http://twitter.com/udrawthelines  – should be an interesting next few days!  Until then, here are the headlines, including an article previewing the Commission’s early release by yours truly in Capitol Weekly.

State

Redistricting maps: The devil is in the details
Paul Mitchell in Capitol Weekly
The state Lottery hasn’t solved the education funding problem, and redistricting reform won’t create common sense districts that maintain all cities, unify all communities of interest, avoid funny shapes and “gerrymanders” and create competitive elections.  It is unlikely that the commission process will meet the voters' expectations, and the only real benefit to an early release is giving the public and media a chance to come to grips with that reality.

Capitol brief: Two redistricting plans pit Dickinson against Pan
Sacramento Bee
Sacramento Democratic Assemblymen Roger Dickinson and Richard Pan would be forced to run against each other for re-election under separate proposals for new legislative districts by two key minority groups, according to an analysis by Redistricting Partners, a political research firm. 

Portantino Fundraising for 2012 Congress Run, But in What District?
Monrovia Patch
Assemblyman Anthony Portantino, D- La Canada Flintridge, who represents Monrovia in the state Assembly, has already begun to raise money for a 2012 congressional race, but with the new congressional boundaries based on the 2010 census still not set, it's unclear which district he'll be eligible to run in.

Redistricting panel says it must split Oxnard, carve Ventura County
Ventura County Star
Citing the imperative of protecting minority voting rights in Monterey County, members of the Citizens Redistricting Commission on Wednesday said they see no choice but to carve up Ventura County as they piece together legislative districts farther down the Central Coast.

Redistricting lines coming into view
Pasadena Star-News
What's at stake in redrawing California legislative districts?  Everything, for current officeholders, not to mention voters who have not been well represented.

California’s Not so Non-Partisan Redistricting
California Independent Voting Network
This month, California’s Citizens Redistricting Commission will release its first draft maps of the boundaries for the state’s Assembly, Senate, Board of Equalization and Congressional districts.

From the Twitterverse

@KQED_CapNotes: Only #redistricting junkies (um, like me) can love terms bandied abt @ today's hearing: "Stanislaus Finger," "Modesto Curl"..

@KQED_CapNotes: Mappers 4 Citizens #Redistricting Comm. say they've now come up w/fully integrated maps 4 commish discussion. Draft maps in 9 days

@davidmcreager: AB420, the redistricting bill to change "captive constituent" rule of where prisoners are counted in census being heard now on Asm. floor.

@YourNastySac: [CapitolAlert] Roger Dickinson, Richard Pan would butt heads under redistricting proposals: Sacramento Democrati... http://bit.ly/m7NmYf

@CapitolAlert
: RT @paulmitche11: @CapitolAlert your readers can see the maps and partisan breakdowns at http://bit.ly/jDI364 & http://bit.ly/mJblPR 

Local

Redistricting Official Legally Registered To Vote in SD
Channel 10 News San Diego
The member of the city Redistricting Commission under fire for allegedly no longer living in San Diego is legally registered to vote in the city, the City Attorney's Office announced Wednesday.

City commissioner is properly registered to vote
San Diego Union Tribune
Embattled San Diego Redistricting Commission vice chairman Carlos Marquez will remain on the panel that is redrawing the city's political boundaries following population shifts documented by the 2010 U.S. Census.

County panel to revisit boundary changes
North County Times
Should Supervisor Dianne Jacob's East County district expand west and gobble up Rancho Bernardo? Might Supervisor Pam Slater-Price's meandering political territory jettison Escondido and regain Carlsbad? And should Supervisor Bill Horn relinquish rural areas north of Escondido?

Los Angeles County Seeks Redistricting Input Via Public App
Sacramento Bee
Los Angeles County is giving its citizens the opportunity to propose new district boundaries through a comprehensive online redistricting application built on Esri's geographic information system (GIS) technology.

Long Beach residents suggest a redistricting plan
Contra Costa Times
Cutting the fat from North Long Beach's overpopulated 9th District may be an easier task than it had at first appeared.

Supervisors propose boundary changes to split Pleasanton into 2 districts
Pleasanton Weekly
Two Alameda County supervisors took a plan for redrawing their district boundaries to Dublin last night in a public hearing that generated little interest and opposition only from Pleasanton.

National

Latinos and population growth: Five interesting tidbits
89.3 Southern California Public Radio
News about the nation’s growing Latino population has been rolling out almost continuously since the results of the 2010 Census were announced late last year.

Armed with novel statistic, UCLA researchers push back against partisan bias in redistricting
UCLA Newsroom
Voting districts are redrawn every 10 years — after each U.S. census — to reflect changes in population. The process can be manipulated by "gerrymandering," drawing districts that have irregular shapes to effectively "stack the deck" in favor of one party or another. Today, as mapping capabilities have evolved, political insiders can create districts with unremarkable shapes that still lock in safe seats for one party.