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Earlier an blank email was sent to many folks unintentionally.  Belowis the content of the Redistricting Report that goes to subscribers only.  If you would like to subscribe you can visit the sign-up page at http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/redistricting-partners/.  There are also archives of old redistricting reports on the signup page. 

Sorry about the confusion.

Monday, August 29, 2011

Referendum Rolling On

The Redistricting Referendum has ticked off a couple more procedural steps, but may also be facing its first step backwards.  If hot rumors are correct, the eventual ballot measure would be pushed from the June ballot to November. 

Some referendum backers argue that their effort would be would be successful in June when there is a competitive Republican Presidential Primary and no reason for Democrats to get off the couch (or out of their hybrids).  However prospects dim further for a Republican-branded drive to upend the lines in a November election with higher turnout.

For the record, a referendum would be great for business, fun to watch, and give nay-saying commissioner Michael Ward something to do for the next 6 months… so best of luck to the backers.  We will continue to poke fun, but secretly hope someone dumps $5 million into the effort.

Starting this week we will be tracking Candidate filings– not every press release, but the opening of committees, news that someone is running (or wimping out) and major articles.  The goal will be to follow the impacts of redistricting on these new races.  All snarky comments will be totally bi-partisan. Third party candidates will be taken totally seriously... totally.  Check out the candidates in the second section of the report.

One noteworthy announcement comes from Tom Calderon, now a candidate for the 58th Assembly District.  According to Scott Lay's Around the Capitol site, this could put him at odds with Ricardo Lara.  The email announcement that just went out provides the following simple chart to give a hint about what they think will happen in 2012:

AD 58 Election History

Years

Member

2011-Present

Charles Calderon

2009-2010

Charles Calderon

2007-2008

Charles Calderon

2005-2006

Ron Calderon

2003-2004

Ron Calderon

2001-2002

Tom Calderon

1999-2000

Tom Calderon


The Calderotti now have Ron running for Congress, next generation Ian Calderon running for the neighboring 58th AD, and possibly more on the hoizon.  The Baca's have the possibliity of three candidates on the ballot with Joe, Joe Jr. and Jeremy all running for office, the Sanchez Sisters could have Congressional triplets with Linda, Loretta and cousin Norma Macias running for Congress, but a Calderotti Quartet could take the cake.

I'm sure this is exactly what the authors of Prop 11 were going for.

State

A Hefty Redistricting Referendum
KQED News
When the petition to overturn the new state Senate maps hits the streets this weekend, it's going to be not a page, but a packet. Signature gatherers are being required to tote along not just a page for voter signatures, but also a copy of the formal resolution certifying the districts, the entire statewide map, and maps of all 40 Senate districts.... thus running as much as eight pages.

GOP Group Can Start Collecting Signatures to Challenge Redistricting
Marina del Rey Patch
California Secretary of State Debra Bowen announced late Friday that ballot measure proponent Julie Vandermost, an Orange County businesswoman, and her supporters can start collecting the 504,760 signatures of registered voters needed to qualify the measure for the next statewide ballot. Vandermost and the GOP-supported Fairness and Accountability in Redistricting (FAIR) are leading the effort to overturn the new State Senate districts.

However lines are drawn, GOP finds a way to lose
The Sacramento Bee
"Illegal" and "probably unconstitutional," raged state GOP Chair Tom Del Beccaro, in announcing recently that the party would seek to qualify a referendum to overturn the new lines for Senate seats. Republican blogs have been filled with bilge and bile about the commission's work product and even individual commissioners themselves.

House veteran Waxman will run in new district that includes South Bay
DailyBreeze.com
It wasn't exactly the region he was banking on, but powerful Westside Rep. Henry Waxman will find himself seeking votes next year in a new congressional district that takes in most of the South Bay's coastal communities. Waxman, a Democratic fixture in Congress since 1975, says he will run for the new 33rd Congressional District, which runs from his home in Beverly Hills, stretches to Malibu and hugs the coast down to the Palos Verdes Peninsula.

Redistricting could cost California some clout in Washington
The Los Angeles Times
He seems to have everything — except a district to run in next year. New political maps threaten to cost California political clout in Washington by placing Dreier's San Dimas home in inhospitable territory for a Republican and robbing some of the state's other senior House members of their job security.

Following final redistricting map, Congressional hopefuls from Long Beach vie for the 47th district
Signal Tribune
So far, only well known faces to the Long Beach area political scene have announced that they want to run in a new Congressional district that covers Long Beach, Signal Hill and chunks of surrounding cities as far as Orange County. And following a controversial redistricting process, no one who is applying to be Congressmember of the 47th district is an incumbent.

Disconnect Along the North Coast
Marin Journal
The California Citizens Redistricting Commission thought it saw a community of interest along the California Coast when they crafted new boundaries for state and federal legislative districts. The idea that this strip formed a community was due to the area's proximity to the coast as well as perceived common environmental values typical of most coast zone residents. The hope was these factors would create sufficient commonality for this 375-mile long region stretching from the Golden Gate north to the Oregon border.

Redistricting complaints continue, except here
PleasantonWeekly.com
With the final vote of the 14-member California Citizens Redistricting Commission last week, Pleasanton will be part of the newly created 15th Congressional District next year with veteran Congressman Pete Stark (D-Fremont) already campaigning for reelection. For years, Stark has represented the 13th District, which included a sliver of Pleasanton's northwest side. Now he will have the entire city, replacing two-term Congressman Jerry McNerney (D-Pleasanton), who also will seek reelection, this time in the newly drawn 9th Congressional District that takes him out of Pleasanton and puts the district solidly in San Joaquin and east Contra Costa counties.

San Gabriel Valley could lose dollars, jobs in redistricting
Rankin Realty
Though it may not always feel like it, the San Gabriel Valley has friends in high places. Representing it on Capitol Hill, the Valley boasts a senior Republican leader, the top Democrat overseeing western water issues, a member of the money-controlling Appropriations Committee and two members on the powerful Transportation and Infrastructure Committee. Collectively, they have 77 years of experience in Congress.

Sherman irked by new political boundaries
Daily News Los Angeles
At a town hall meeting Sunday, U.S. Rep. Brad Sherman, D-Sherman Oaks, criticized the outcome of the redistricting process, which is expected to pit him against a fellow veteran congressman in the newly formed 30th District. During the meeting, where hundreds packed the Reseda High School auditorium, Sherman refused to answer a question about why voters should choose him over U.S. Rep. Howard Berman, D-Van Nuys, saying he would not use the event to campaign. He did, however, speak out against the redistricting process, questioning why it drew boundary lines in the middle of established communities.

Vietnamese-American Politics and Redistricting
Little Saigon Inside
Unless there are serious legal challenges, the redistricting map has been finalized by The California Citizens Redistricting Commission for  Santa Clara County and Orange County.  At first glance, there are many opportunities for Vietnamese-American candidates to be in a favorable position to run for offices at city, county, congressional and assembly levels.

State/Federal Race Filings

Doug Haaland, Republican, AD 8 [District Map] [ATC Summary]
Mark Stone, Democratic, AD 29 [District Map] [ATC Summary]
Patrick O'Donnell, Democratic, AD 54 [District Map] [ATC Summary]
Kevin Perez-Allen, Party affiliation not listed, AD 57 [District Map] [ATC Summary]
Ana Valencia, Democratic, AD 57 [District Map] [ATC Summary]
Jesus Andrade, Democratic, AD 59 [District Map] [ATC Summary]
Michael P. Soubirous, Republican, AD 61[District Map] [ATC Summary]
Mike Gipson, Democratic, AD 64 [District Map] [ATC Summary]
Michele Martinez, Democratic, AD 69 [District Map] [ATC Summary]

State/Federal Race Articles

Long Beach Councilman O'Donnell running for
Assembly

Press-Telegram
Long Beach City Councilman Patrick O'Donnell
said Friday that he will run next year for the city's new state Assembly seat
and has formed a committee to raise campaign cash. According to the California
Secretary of State's online records, O'Donnell has filed the appropriate
campaign papers. The California Citizens Redistricting Committee finalized its
new political borders this month.

Local

It's Politics: More redistricting in the works
Pasadena Star-News
Following arguable successes in the statewide redistricting process, the Mexican American Legal Defense Fund (MALDEF) is moving on to County Supervisor districts. The voting rights group will hold a workshop at the Whittier Community Resource Center this Tuesday, Sept. 6 from 6 to 8 p.m. The purpose of the workshop, said MALDEF national redistricting coordinator Steven Ochoa, "is to inform people of what's going on with the county redistricting process and present them with the maps presented so far and educate people on redistricting law."

County redistricting: Cities prefer status quo, minority groups want more representation
Pasadena Star-News
While Los Angeles County Supervisors and redistricting watchdogs debate how Latinos should be represented on the board of supervisors, many local officials are just concerned about who will represent them. The San Gabriel Valley and Whittier areas have become the center of a battle over the federal Voting Right Act and Latino voters, as new supervisorial boundaries are being redrawn as part of the redistricting process. Latino advocates and some supervisors say Latinos - who represent nearly half of all voters in L.A. County - should have greater representation on the board of supervisors. And several proposed new district maps would dramatically change the county supervisor districts to reflect that.