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Monday, June 13, 2011


A Congressman, Realtor and Therapist walk into a bar…

For some, the release of maps seemed like a big joke.  For others, the response to the “draft/preliminary/really-really-early/gonna-change-so-don’t-go-announce-for-congress” maps was the cause of real laughter.

Fortunately, while we were falling out of our chairs, the data nerds were working overtime.  If your boss is a California Congressman, Legislator or future Candidate, then nothing goes better with that cup of coffee than a nice color map of their proposed district showing where all the Dems and Reps are… except if you’re working for Dave Dreier or Gary Miller, in which case this should suffice.

Citizen’s Commission Draft Congressional Plan

[Overview MAPS] + [Individual District Maps]
[Data Overview w/Party/Incumbents]  [Full PDI Data Sheets]

Draft Assembly Plan

[Overview MAPS] [Individual District Maps]
[Data Overview w/Party/Incumbents] [Full PDI Data Sheets]

Draft Senate Plan

[Overview MAPS] [Individual District Maps]
[Data Overview w/Party/Incumbents] [Full PDI Data Sheets]

Main Page


And, as always, here is the growing list of stories you might have missed.


California’s new political maps may boost Democrats in US House
Los Angeles Times
In California, where congressional elections have been as predictable as traffic gridlock, new political maps are likely to set the stage for more competitive races and give the state a higher profile in the battle for Congress.  “I don't think that there's any way the Democratic Legislature and Democratic governor would have been able to create a plan that created five Democratic pickups. They wouldn't have been able to pull it off," Mitchell said.

Incumbents lose, Democrats win with California redistricting proposal
The Washington Post
A new redistricting proposal in California would draw nearly half the state’s congressional incumbents into districts with one another and significantly expand Democrats’ ability to win seats in the Golden State in 2012 and beyond.  Democratic redistricting expert Paul Mitchell projects that the proposed map includes 32 Democratic seats and five Democratic-leaning seats, with 13 Republican seats and three seats that lean Republican.

New CA Redistricting Maps “Worst-Case Scenario” for Latinos?
New America Media
The first batch of political maps by California’s new Citizens Redistricting Commission is having exactly the effect that government reformers intended—shaking up the political status quo by ignoring incumbents and promising to make many statewide elections more competitive.

New California Lines Create Upheaval
Roll Call
California Members got their first look at a proposed new Congressional map on Friday, and early analyses showed Democrats will likely benefit from the new lines.

California’s new political maps may boost Democrats in U.S. House
Los Angeles Time
In California, where congressional elections have been as predictable as traffic gridlock, new political maps are likely to set the stage for more competitive races and give the state a higher profile in the battle for Congress.

Calif. Moves Closer to New Political Map
Californians got their first look Friday at political maps being drafted by an independent panel of citizens, a process expected to influence the kind of politicians sent to Sacramento and Washington.

Draft district remap stirs talk of Blakeslee run for Congress
Sacramento Bee
It didn't take long last week after draft district maps began to leak for the Capitol's lobbying corps to start chattering about state Sen. Sam Blakeslee’s interest in a promotion to Congress.

Early analysis gives Dems advantage in California Redistricting
The Hill
California released its initial redistricting map Friday and while observers are still poring over the new lines of 53 House seats the early analysis is giving the advantage to the Democrats.

California Legislature may see more swing districts under draft political maps
Sacramento Bee
California's intensely partisan political system could see more swing districts, new faces and the most significant shake-up in decades under draft legislative and congressional maps released Friday by the state's redistricting commission.

New redistricting maps promise to reshape California politics
The Bakersfield Californian
An independent citizens panel on Friday released its draft of new maps for California's congressional and legislative districts in a process that's expected to reshape California's political landscape.

To survive, California GOP must reinvent itself
Los Angeles Times
With the unveiling of the state's new political boundaries last week, California Republicans are contemplating their very survival: Without a course correction, they could be headed for the wilderness.

California redistricting – “musical chairs with switchblades”
90.3 Southern California Public Radio
That’s one description of the redistricting of California’s Senate, Assembly and congressional districts: The group of citizens charged with redrawing California’s district lines is slated to release its first draft maps today.

Political expert: Redistricting’s proposed maps could create ‘tsunami’
Contra Costa Times
California's grand experiment with citizen redistricting produced sweeping angst across the state's political landscape Friday as the first round of draft congressional and legislative maps hit the streets.

Proposed new political maps would make Central Coast a congressional battleground
Ventura County Star
Ventura and Santa Barbara counties could become Ground Zero for congressional campaign politics in California over the next decade, if draft district maps put forth Friday by the Citizens Redistricting Commission are ultimately adopted.

Our View: Drawing the lines in redistricting
San Gabriel Valley Tribune
Every Californian without a dog in the political fight - that is, every one of us not elected to office or working as a staffer for an incumbent - should have been for the state measure that took redistricting away from politicians and gave it back to the citizens.

S.J.’s political puzzle
Stockton Record
Political boundary lines won't cut across Stockton for the first time in a decade based on first-draft maps released Friday.

Nestande, Perez could seek same Assembly seat
My Desert
Tough questions loom for several Coachella Valley elected leaders weighing their political futures, now that drafts of the state's redrawn districts have been unveiled.

Redistricting map offers drama, but its just a draft
Bakersfield Californian
There's no sense in getting too worked up over the California Citizens Redistricting Commission's preliminary maps, released Friday, no matter where you stand. Come Aug. 15, when the final district boundaries will be revealed, things may look quite different.

Editorial: Good faith is the key
San Diego Union Tribune
California’s last redistricting effort in 2001 created legislative and congressional districts that almost always decisively favored one party.

Redistricting: Rohrabacher says he’s staying put
The Orange County Register
With the release of a round of redistricting maps Friday, I mentioned that GOP Reps. Dana Rohrabacher, John Cambpell, Ed Royce and Gary Miller could be playing musical chairs.

Mapping the future of SCV’s political scene
The Santa Clarity Valley Signal
In the late 1990s, when Democrats in the SCV truly constituted a rump party, two active Democratic clubs existed that constantly argued over ideology in a way analogous to the high school chess club and mathletes throwing down on the quad to determine the toughest group while the jocks all laugh uproariously.

Draft map would alter Inland congressional delegation
San Bernardino Press-Enterprise
Draft legislative and congressional lines unveiled late last week promise to shake up Inland Southern California's political scene, bringing plenty of campaign drama between now and the 2012 elections.

Pundits ponder new districts’ potential
My Desert
The maps are out. Now the speculation begins.  Like sports fans design their fantasy football leagues, political junkies are poring over the just-released redistricting maps to determine the best match-ups for 2012.

From the Twitterverse

@KQED_CapNotes: Democrats declare their own jolly holiday over #CARedistricting draft Congress maps "Redistmas" http://ow.ly/1tHiZw

: W00t! Rep. Bilbray (Mr "I can spot illegals by their shoes") set to lose seat in CA redistricting! http://is.gd/XYhT9i

@sfcaadam: Loving reaction to CA redistricting. Basic gist seems to be that districts based on natural boundaries are fine, so long as WE get our seat

@CalNewsEditor: Feckless Republican outraged over fair redistricting plan http://goo.gl/a0ZNk

@wasabinoir I have a feeling the redistricting might land in the Supreme Court and frankly it should. It's a weaklings way to look better

@AliciaInMtnView: Is it just a coincidence that I'm seeing political candidate FB pages on the same day the draft of the #redistricting has been published?

@CalifCrackup: Bee is calling 113 legislative seats safe for either D's or R's. As we wrote, #redistricting reform "has the heartbreak already built in."

@ShaneGoldmacher: The new Oxnard-Santa Barbara Senate seat looks a lot like a mini Texas. #redistricting

@KevinMGross: Best news of the month: Calif redistricting plan should eliminate many political hacks


How the state’s new political lines could affect the S.F. mayor’s race
San Francisco Chronicle
The wide open field. Ranked choice voting. Public financing. The push for interim Mayor Ed Lee to run for a four-year term despite vowing not to. Whether the field of declared candidates could be any more boring.

New map could reshape political landscape
San Francisco Chronicle
The wide-open field. Ranked-choice voting. Public financing. The push for interim Mayor Ed Lee to run for a four-year term despite his vow not to. Whether the field of declared candidates could be any more boring.


For Republicans, Redistricting Offers Few Gains
New York Times
On paper, the sweeping gains Republicans enjoyed last year in statehouses across the country gave the party a profound advantage in the nascent and increasingly contentious power struggle to create new Congressional districts.