Around The Capitol

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RECENT PODS: Obviously, there are lots of pods these days. I try to select a few of those most relevant to California's politics and policy, rather than every episode from the pods I follow.

  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): The recall in polling (2021-08-01)
  • Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos @ KQED: Gubernatorial candidate Assemblymember Kevin Kiley (R-Rocklin) (2021-07-29)
  • Then There's California (Senate Democratic Caucus): Senator Melissa Hurtado (D-Sanger) on SB 464, her "Comida Para Todos" (Food For All) legislation (2021-07-27)
  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Randall Hagar, Policy Consultant and Legislative Advocate for the Psychiatric Physicians Alliance of California on the Lanterman Act, Laura's Law, and Britney Spears (2021-07-26)
  • SacTown Talks (Jarhett Blonien): Labor Law Regulation Panel with Tom Sheehy, Ashley Hoffman, and John Kabateck (2021-07-23)
  • Nooner Conversations (Scott Lay): Lobbyist, lawyer, and adjunct law faculty Chris Micheli and I talk about the first 7 months of the legislative year and what to expect in the final month. Additionally, we talk about his two new casebooks on California's Direct Democracy and Legislative Process. (2021-07-23) [YouTube | Apple Podcasts | Amazon PodcastsSimplecast]

CLASSIFIEDS BELOW:

  • CalTax Seeks a Research Analyst
  • Children’s Council of San Francisco is seeking an experienced Public Policy Communications Associate
  • Miller & Olson LLP Seeks Political Reports Specialist
  • Aaron Read & Associates Office Space for Rent
  • McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific - MPA/MPP
  • McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific - Masters of Science in Law

RECALL WATCH:

Rescue California -To Support the Recall of Governor Newsom reports receiving:

  • $10,000 from Lucky Lippa (owner, Lippa Insurance, Laguna Niguel)
  • $1,000 from Rebecca Pollack-Rude (owner, Rude Enterprises, El Cajon)
  • $1,000 from Paul Sheldon (insurance agent, Newport Beach)

The Gualco Group AJW KBH Advocacy
Bill Quirk | Cathy Unger | Dave Walrath

More information on Nooner Sustainers.

The Nooner for Tuesday, August 3, 2021, presented by SYASL Partners

LEGISLATURE RETURNS: 13 days
BALLOTS MAILED:
 13 days
ELECTION DAY: 42 days

¡Buenos dias! It'll be another toasty day in SacTown, so I walked Fitzi early this morning. The turkeys weren't in Southside Park this morning so the little mutt was safe and this is my last day as her dogsitter.

DO YOU RECALL?

  • Recall election key dates:
    • July 16 5pm: Candidate filing deadline
    • July 19: Randomized alphabet drawing for ballot order
    • July 21: Certified list of candidates and ballot order rotation (by county) 
    • July 31: Ballot mailing to military and overseas voters
    • August 5: First pre-election campaign finance statement
    • August 16: Ballot mailing begins to all registered voters
    • September 2: Second pre-election campaign finance statement
    • September 14: Election Day

POLL POSITION: While we are all talking about Andrew Cuomo this morning, we have a new recall election poll today from Emerson College. No, New York doesn't have a recall provision for state officers, although the New York State Assembly can impeach him. The asshat is up for reelection next year.

Meanwhile, on the recall election poll, here's what we have.

  • Vote to recall: 46%
  • Vote to keep: 48%
  • Undecided: 6%

Education appears to impact voter attitudes toward the recall as respondents without a college degree were more in favor of the recall (54% recall/39% keep) than those with a college degree (36% recall/59% keep). 

Hispanics are the only racial group in favor of the recall (54% recall/41% keep), while White respondents were split (48% recall/49% keep). Majorities of Black respondents (41% recall/57% keep) and Asian respondents (30% recall/49% keep) were in favor of keeping Newsom as Governor.

Majorities of Republicans (80% recall/16% keep) and Independents (54% recall/ 34% keep) are in favor of the recall. Democrats are largely in favor of keeping Newsom, but almost a quarter plan to vote to recall the Governor (23% recall/73% keep). 

Men are split (47% recall/47% keep), while women are more in favor of keeping Newsom (44% recall/51% keep).

A plurality of voters (40%) are unsure which candidate they will choose for the second ballot question, who should replace Gov. Newsom in the case of his recall. Leading the field of candidates is talk radio host Larry Elder, at 23%. Since July’s poll, Elder has gained seven percentage points. Businessman John Cox and former Olympian and television personality Caitlyn Jenner are both polling at 7%, followed by California State Assemblyman Kevin Kiley at 5%, former San Diego mayor Kevin Faulconer at 4%, and social media influencer Kevin Paffrath at 1%. Thirteen percent (13%) of respondents reported that they plan to vote for someone else.

"Social media influencer." Paffrath is actually on the ballot as an Financial Educator/Analyst.

A plurality (44%) of Republicans and nearly a third (29%) of Independents are planning to vote for Elder. A majority of Trump voters from 2020 (55%) are supporting Elder, while 70% of Biden 2020 voters are either undecided or voting for someone else.

Multiple "pluralities" in this poll, which is an oxymoron. 

Fundraising through 08/02/21

includes only contributions $1,000 or more required to be reported withing 24 hours

John
Cox

Larry
Elder

Kevin Faulconer

Ted
Gaines

Jeff
Hewitt

Caitlyn Jenner

Kevin Kiley

Kevin Paffrath

Candidate

$5,580,843

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$90,000

Non-candidate

$263,300

$998,473

$960,299

$265,300

$56,410

$409,805

$212,370

$257,367

Source: cal-access.sos.ca.gov

Stop the Republican Recall of Governor Newsom

Cash contributions  $36,415,270

COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2:

  • Vaxx stats: 
    • Californians fully vaccinated: 21,368.344 (63.0% of 12+) - 17th among U.S. states
    • Californians partially vaccinated: 3,251,984 (9.6% of 12+) - 12th among U.S. states
    • Californians with no vaccine: 27.4% (of 12+)
    • Doses on hand: 5,107,721 (74 days of inventory)
    • full data, including demographic breakdown
  • Positivity rate: The 7-day positivity rate is 6.4%, a 1.0% increase from seven days ago and hasn't been at that rate since February 9. Of course, this has to be considered in light of fewer tests, with vaccinated folks not actively seeking regular tests unless required for travel or work.  

EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE:  For The Bee, Amelia Davidson reports on the Dixie Fire and the news is not good.

The massive Dixie Fire roared back to life heading into Tuesday, causing officials to issue new evacuation orders and ending a period of relative calm at the fire.

And with hot and dry conditions forecast for Tuesday, officials do not expect the growth to slow just yet.

“Firefighters worked through the night to protect structures in the Greenville area after the explosive fire growth experienced during late afternoon yesterday,” wrote Cal Fire in a Tuesday morning incident update. “Today, dry, hot and windy conditions are expected and the forecast calls for the return of active fire behavior.”

 
Largest Active Fires with Least Containment
  County Cause Acres Consumed Containment Structures Destroyed Fatalities Personnel On Scene Updated
Dixie Fire Butte, Plumas power lines suspected 248,820 35% 67 0 5,463 08/02
07:46
Notes:

u/i= under investigation 

PLASTICS! For CalMatters, Marissa Garcia looks at Senator Ben Allen's plastics reduction bill.

Every morning, when state Sen. Ben Allen would grab the newspaper from outside his Santa Monica home, he’d pull off the plastic sleeve bearing the triangular recycling symbol and throw it where he thought it belonged: in a blue recycling bin. 

But Allen soon learned that he was “wishcycling”— carefully sorting items with the recycling symbol, only to discover they weren’t getting recycled.  

“It is technically recyclable under the best of conditions at 1,000 degrees in some lab in San Marino. But… they’re not recycled in the real world,” the Democrat said at an Assembly Natural Resources committee hearing in June. 

This scenario isn’t unique. Despite the best intentions of Californians who diligently try to recycle yogurt cups, berry containers and other packaging, it turns out that at least 85% of single-use plastics in the state do not actually get recycled. Instead, they wind up in the landfill.

Sac County, cakeday, and classifieds after the jump...

Probolsky Research

 

SAC COUNTY: In The Bee, Sam Stanton writes on the Sac County DA race, which has apparently lost a contestant.

Paris Coleman, one of three announced candidates to replace Sacramento County District Attorney Anne Marie Schubert, has told people he is dropping out of the race, sources say.

Schubert is running for Attorney General.

Coleman, a deputy district attorney Schubert endorsed as she runs for California attorney general, did not respond to requests for comment Monday night. His campaign website was not functioning Monday.

The sources, who were not authorized to speak on Coleman’s behalf, said they were told by the candidate he was dropping out.

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Phil Giarrizzo, John Popoch, Fiona Moore Simon, and Assemblymember Chris Ward!

Classifieds

Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing scottlay@gmail.com, with a headline, a summary of up to 200 words, and what you'd like the end date to be. You can attach a PDF or provide a link for a bigger job description/info to apply. [Other advertising options]


CalTax Seeks a Research Analyst

The California Taxpayers Association (CalTax), the state's oldest and largest association representing California taxpayers, is seeking a Research Analyst to join our policy team. The ideal candidate is a self-starter, and should have a background in public policy analysis, strong written and verbal communication skills, and the ability to produce objective and thoughtful research and analysis. For details and information on how to apply, please go to https://www.caltax.org/jobs/2021-research-analyst.pdf.

Children’s Council of San Francisco is seeking an experienced Public Policy Communications Associate

The Public Policy & Advocacy Team works on early care and education issues at the local, state and federal
levels, whether legislative or budgetary. The position is based in San Francisco, three days in office and two days remote.

Responsibilities:

  • In collaboration with our Public Policy Communications Director, you will advocate for the organization’s
    local, state, and federal priorities—engaging in multiple simultaneous advocacy campaigns.
  • Track notable legislation, assist with developing public comment and ensure we send notifications out to community
    members to ensure the community has an opportunity to respond.
  • Engage staff in advocacy via advocacy trainings and preparing bi-weekly staff advocacy updates
  • Meet with advocacy community organizations about our advocacy work, priorities &
    opportunities to collaborate
  • See full job description linked below for full responsibilities

Preferred Qualifications:

  • Two to four years of experience in public affairs, public policy, advocacy, community organizing, digital
  • advocacy or similar roles
  • Demonstrated ability to execute legislative and administrative advocacy and/or advocacy campaigns
  • Expected to attend evening and weekend meetings and travel to meetings and conferences (approximately
  • 15 – 25% of time, depending on the time of year)
  • Experience drafting policy update documents and emails
  • Ability to read, understand, and succinctly summarize policy or legislation to different audiences

Qualified candidates should apply here: https://childrenscouncilsf.bamboohr.com/jobs/view.php?id=74

The Office of Orange County Supervisor Katrina Foley is seeking an experienced Communications Director

The Office of Orange County Supervisor Katrina Foley is seeking an experienced Communications Director. The ideal candidate is a self-starter with excellent written and communication skills with the ability to deliver high quality work under tight deadlines. Knowledge of Orange County & 3-5 years of political experience is preferred.

Responsibilities:

  • Managing press requests
  • Staffing the Supervisor at interviews and media events
  • Drafting content for social media and website
  • Preparing written materials including press releases, speeches, op-eds, talking points, newsletters and e-blasts
  • Determining creative ways to expand the Supervisor’s coverage on key initiatives
  • Working collaboratively with staff to maximize press coverage and visibility at events

Qualifications:

  • BA in a related field (e.g., English or media production), or equivalent work experience
  • Demonstrated track record of managing professional social media accounts
  • Familiar with graphic and video programs, (e.g., Canva and iMovie)
  • Ability to create and turn around content in a short time
  • Experience in working with print, digital, radio, TV bookers and producers

Qualified candidates should submit a cover letter, resume, two writing samples, video sample, and professional references to Debbie Lumpkin at Debbie.Lumpkin@ocgov.com with the title “Communications Director” in the subject line. No calls or walk-ins.

Miller & Olson LLP Seeks Political Reports Specialist

Miller & Olson LLP is seeking a Political Reports Specialist for its downtown Sacramento office. The Specialist position is responsible for administering the books for candidates, political action committees, as well as non-profit organizations. Specifically, the position requires bookkeeping and administering client bank accounts, preparing and filing campaign finance reports and communicating timely financial information to clients. For more information and to apply, click here: https://www.millerpoliticallaw.com/miller-olson-llp-is-hiring/.

AARON READ & ASSOCIATES OFFICE SPACE FOR RENT

Since some of us at ARA like partial remote working and less office time, we have some additional Office Space for rent.

Stunningly beautiful offices on the 11th Floor of the Meridian at 1415 L St, full of original art work. Beautifully furnished with cherry desks and credenzas.

Floor-to-ceiling widows, great views, access to two conference rooms, including one very large with a panoramic view of the Capitol.

Access to a large kitchen and work room. 1-3 offices could be available. Parking is also available, but additional.

Aaron Read & Associates, call Aaron 916-425-2260

The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

In addition to a well-respected JD, the McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees. Both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working succeed in the program. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation in statutory interpretation and skills in public policy making and implementation. Learn at a beautiful campus three miles from the State Capitol:
go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy

McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

Built on the foundation of nationally ranked and world class programs, McGeorge School of Law offers an online master (MSL) degree for individuals seeking in depth knowledge of law and policy, but who do not require a traditional law degree. Our MSL’s two concentrations in Government Law & Policy and in Water & Environmental Law offer students the flexibility to work while they learn and still engage in a highly interactive master’s program. To learn more and to sign up for our monthly webinars, please visit our website, Online.McGeorge.edu, or contact us at graduatelaw@pacific.edu.

Political Data Inc.
For 30 Years PDI has been California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week: