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RECENT PODS:

  • SacTown Talks (Jarhett Blonien): Assemblymember Mike Gipson (2021-04-30)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown(Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Supervisor Katrina Foley on Her Historic Victory in Orange County (2021-04-29)
  • Inside Golden State Politics (Bill Boyarsky and Sherry Jeffe): Rodney King To George Floyd: Can Reform Save The Day? (2021-04-25)

CLASSIFIEDS BELOW:

  • The Breakthrough Institute is seeking a Press Secretary (Berkeley)
  • Capitol Weekly presents A Conference on Housing Policy
  • New Sacramento-based thriller
  • Golden State Opportunity: Director of Operations, Director of Development and a Northern CA Coordinator
  • Exclusive Downtown Penthouse Near Capitol Building
  • Associate Position at CleanSweep Campaigns, San Francisco
  • McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific - MPA/MPP
  • McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific - Masters of Science in Law

DISTRICT UPDATES:

  • GOV: added engineer Luis Huang (D)
  • LG: added football coach Scott Sebel (R)

MONEY MATTERS:

  • Nurses and Educators for Isaac Bryan for State Assembly 2021 sponsored by labor organizations reports receiving $75,000 from Dignity Health CA Local 2015

RECALL WATCH:

  • Stop the Republican Recall of Governor Newsom reports receiving:
    • $100,000 from Bentley and More, LLP (Newport Beach) - personal injury law firm
    • $25,000 from California Water Service Company (San Jose)

The Nooner for Friday, April 30, 2021, presented by SYASL Partners

Happy Friday! You made it! Today is the filing deadline for state committees for the first quarter. Tons of report reading in the next couple of days. That and the California Democratic Party Convention, which continues virtually today -- of course without an ice cream social hospitality suite hosted by Democrats for Israel.

Of course, the shoulder is still being a pain in the, well, shoulder. Certainly doesn't help with my quest for sleep, particularly since I've slept on that shoulder for 48 years. I'm trying my best and doing lots of physical therapy exercises. Thanks for your patience and helpful hints! I'll probably get a deep tissue massage next week. Anyway, I am at about 50% capacity and my 16-hour days have been reduced in half.

DO YOU RECALL? In the Times, Nicholas Goldberg writes that if the effort to recall Gavin Newsom succeeds, it'll be the go-to play for California Republicans.

For California Republicans, the decline in influence over the last three decades has been long, slow and frustrating. Their party is as weak as it has ever been in the state.

So it’s no wonder they’ve turned to the recall — that dubious and deeply flawed vestige of California’s turn-of-the-20th-century romance with direct democracy. They hope it will once again open a back door to power, propelling them to victory in a race for governor despite their obvious numerical disadvantages.

In the Register, Brooke Staggs reports that Orange County Republicans are hopeful that new activists during the recall effort will have a lasting impact.

Heading into the 2020 election, Orange County Republicans had about 2,000 volunteers helping to knock on doors and make phone calls for GOP candidates.

Today, party chair Fred Whitaker says his party is on the verge of tripling that army, and that some 6,000 people have contacted the local GOP asking how they can help.

In terms of political engagement, 2021 should be an off year. Instead, the effort to recall Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom has been a shot in the arm for the Republican Party of Orange County, which clawed back two House seats in November but has otherwise been losing ground for years as the county has become more diverse, more Democratic, and less supportive of Donald Trump-brand Republicanism.

GOP leaders believe the energy that’s boosting the Newsom recall effort will extend though next year and help Republicans hold or win back House, state and local seats in the 2022 midterms.

Meanwhile, one of the candidates seeking to replace Governor Newsom is named Chancey "Slim" Killens who was part of the events at the United States Capitol on January 6. With that name, yes he is a retired prison guard.the

Yesterday, the Assembly Committee on Public Employment and Retirement passed AB 94 (Jones-Sawyer) to require California's correctional officers to undergo an annual mental health evaluation. The bill, which is strongly opposed by the California Correctional Peace Officers Association, passed 6-0-1, with Kelly Seyarto (R-Murrieta) not voting.

REAPPORTIONMENT: For Capitol Weekly, Chuck McFadden looks at the consequences of California's loss of a congressional seat in the decennial federal Census.

California’s impending loss of a congressional seat may set off vicious intraparty fights not seen in California for nearly a decade.

The conflict may happen because the state’s congressional districts will be redrawn on the basis of population figures from the 2020 census.

The state’s new figures will not be enough to sustain California’s current 53 districts, meaning one district, somewhere in the state but most likely in Southern California, will have to go.

There is a real probability that two congressional incumbents – maybe more — will have to face off in a newly drawn district. And since the census-driven map-drawing also affects the boundaries of legislative and local districts, there is the potential for multiple bloodlettings up and down the political ladder.

“We could have more than one incumbent-on-incumbent situation,” says Garry South, a Los Angeles-based Democratic political consultant. That could happen if more than one district wound up containing two incumbents.

California did grow in population since the last decennial nose count in 2010, but its 6.1 percent increase didn’t match the 7.4 percent jump in the national population.

For the SDUT, Charles T. Clark looks at why California lost a congressional seat even after an aggressive (and successful) outreach campaign.

California spent $187 million on census outreach, more than any other state in the nation.

Community groups across the state and in San Diego launched unprecedented outreach campaigns. Members of San Diego’s sprawling Count Me 2020 coalition volunteered more than 3,500 hours to bolster response rates.

They were largely successful, despite a pandemic knocking out face-to-face interactions and attempts by the Trump administration to suppress participation.

In San Diego County nearly 74 percent of households responded to census surveys — a more than 5 percent increase over the 2010 census — and California’s response rate, 70 percent, exceeded the national average.

CONTROLLER: Board of Equalization member Malia Cohen, a former SF county supe, announced last night that she is indeed running for State Controller next year and has the support of current Controller, Betty Yee, who is termed out. Lots of people have filed Statements of Intent for the office (e.g. Frommer and Lockyer), although that's a frequent parking lot for campaign money.

COVID-19, more issues, cakeday, and classifieds after the jump...

SINGLE-PAYER HEALTH CARE: For CapRadio, Sammy Caiola reports on the death of the latest bill to provide a state system of single-payer health care in California. The bill, AB 1400 by Assemblymembers Ash Kalra, Alex Lee, and Miguel Santiago, died after not being referred to a policy committee by today's deadline for policy committees to send bills to Approps.

Californians who support a single payer health care system say it’s time for Gov. Gavin Newsom to keep his campaign promises and take steps toward making the model a reality.

Calls to move away from private insurance and have the state government take on all health care costs have come and gone during the past four years. But a contingent of progressive advocates, including the prominent labor union California Nurses Association, has continued to push for the change.

“We don’t really have a public health system,” said Shirley Toy, a retired nurse and an organizer with the Sacramento chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America. “Some peoples’ lives seem to count and some peoples’ don’t, and it’s just very sad.”

Critics of single payer have voiced concern about the cost of an overhaul, and contended that getting everyone covered won’t ensure they have timely and equitable access to care.

REMOTE WORK: The LAT's Liam Dillon looks at how the move to working from home is changing lives and destination locations.

The Lake Tahoe property boom is a vivid example of a trend that emerged last spring when white-collar workers got the mandate to start working remotely. Those with the money and newfound freedom to work from anywhere have headed to the mountain, beach and desert wonderlands where they used to only be able to spend their weekends.

Housing markets are hot nationwide, but few areas have seen the surge in home prices and residents as outdoor vacation destinations.

“You can live your life on vacation,” said Rich La Rue, a real estate broker in the Palm Springs area. “All the things that you love to do: hiking, biking, whatever it is. A property comes on the market here and it’s a feeding frenzy.”

Case in point: the average asking price of a home in the desert city is now $1 million, a 30% one-year increase.

It’s not just California. Areas with easy access to the outdoors have seen overwhelming demand — and rising housing costs — over the last year. Median rents in Boise, Idaho, are up 23%, the nation’s highest jump. In Bend, Ore., where locals boast that you can see no fewer than three mountain peaks from town, the average home now lasts on the market for only three days. East Coast destinations such as Cape Cod, Mass. and Palm Beach, Fla., have seen a surge in buyers from Boston and New York City.

 For the Chron, Julie Brown looks at the booming town of Truckee and Wired also takes a look at the issue.

COVID-19: California had 77 deaths yesterday for a total of 61,314 since the pandemic began.

-data dive: California's 7-day positivity rate is currently 1.3%, far below the 7.1% peak amidst mass testing on December 30.

-vaccines:

  • vaccine doses administered in California: 29,262,215 (not the number of people vaccinated because of the two-dose Moderna and Pfizer vaccines)
  • vaccine doses delivered to California: 37,500,880 
  • In the Times, Colleen Shalby reports that the Dodger Stadium mass vaccination site will cease operations by late May amidst waning demand.

    The pending closure comes amid a broader slowdown in demand across the region and country, a trend that is concerning public health officials. Appointments for the first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine have decreased by about 50% at Los Angeles County-run clinics, county health officials announced Thursday.

    Deputy Mayor Jeff Gorell said the city has also seen a significant drop in appointment slots at city-run clinics, and that closing Dodger Stadium is aimed at dispersing access and availability at other city sites. Officials hope that a shift to this new system will mean that people unable to set a specific appointment time — due to work schedules, internet access or some other obstacle — will have more flexibility to get a shot.

-variants: From the California Department of Public Health:

  • "UK strain": B.1.1.7 variants are associated with approximately 50% increased transmission, and likely with increased disease severity and risk of death. Appears to have minimal impact on the effectiveness of treatments with antibodies.
  • "South Africa strain" B.1.351 variants are associated with approximately 50% increased transmission. May have moderately decreased response to antibody treatments.
  • "Brazil strain": P.1 variants may have moderately decreased response to some antibody treatments.
  • "West Coast strain"": B.1.427 and B.1.429 are associated with approximately 20% increased transmission. There is significantly reduced efficacy of some antibody treatments.

Here are the variants of concern in California. Remember that this is just from 38,408 samples of the 3.6+ million cases in California.

Known Variants of Concern in California
As of April 21, 2021

Variant  Number of Cases Caused by Variant 
B.1.1.7   2,524
B.1.351    55
P.1    246
B.1.427   4,822
B.1.429   9,334

You can view a US map by strain prevalence on the CDC site. Note that, like the numbers above, this map is case numbers of a sample, and not a case rate. Obviously, California will have higher counts, but that doesn't translate into a higher case rate of the variant.

-tiers for fears: As a reminder, any county must remain at a tier for three weeks before progressing to a less-restrictive tier, even if the metrics continue to improve. The most recent changes are bolded and italicized.

Here's where the counties stand after today's changes bolded and italicized.

  • No county in the Purple (widespread) Tier.
  • 21 counties in the Red (substantial) Tier: Amador, Del Norte, Glenn, Inyo, Kern, Lake, Madera, Merced, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, San Joaquin, San Luis Obispo, Shasta, Solano, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, and Yuba.
  • 33 counties in Orange (moderate) Tier: Alameda, Butte, Calaveras, Colusa, Contra Costa, El Dorado, Fresno, Humboldt, Imperial, Kern, Kings, Lake, Los Angeles, Marin, Mono, Napa, Mariposa, Modoc, Monterey, Orange, Plumas, Riverside, San Benito, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Barbara, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, Siskiyou, Sonoma, Trinity, Tulare, Tuolumne, Ventura, and Yolo.
  • 4 counties in Yellow (minimal) Tier: Alpine, Lassen, Mendocino, and Sierra.

Statewide tiers map

more issues, cakedays, and classifieds after the jump...

Probolsky Research

THE A's: The Chron's Sarah Ravani writes up the proposal by the Oakland Athletics for a waterfront stadium in a mixed-use project.

The Oakland A’s released a term sheet April 23 that details their financial plans to develop a new ballpark and mixed-use development along the city’s waterfront. But City Hall officials were surprised by the long-awaited details.

Dave Kaval, the president of the A’s, said his team of attorneys and consultants met with the city three times a week for close to eight months to develop their proposal and he added that city officials “were fully aware of all the terms and conditions in the agreement.”

Now, he wants City Council feedback and is pushing for a council vote by July.

“We had gotten to the point where we had really felt strongly that this document needed to be something where we got the perspective and input from the City Council,” he said. “We thought the best way to do that was make it public.”

Mayor Libby Schaaf, who has supported the project, told The Chronicle she is committed to getting the term sheet ready for a City Council vote by July. But, she said, in the weeks ahead, the city will be in “continual dialogue” with the A’s to make sure this is a good deal for city residents.

“This is a very expensive and complicated project,” she said. “Not only, is there the ballpark... but there are a lot of improvements to our transportation system and community benefits that Oaklanders deserve as part of this project. That is the part we are looking at now.”

Opponents say the fine print makes clear the project isn’t a good deal for the city’s taxpayers.

DISNEYLAND: With Disneyland set to reopen today, the LAT's Todd Martens looks at what has changed.

When Disneyland re-opens today after 13 months of closure — essentially its second grand opening after July 1955 — it will do so as a Californians-only locale due to pandemic restrictions. But a quick scan of the Disneyland reservation calendar — both a ticket and a park reservation are required to visit — reveals slim options for those who solely want to visit Disneyland without purchasing a ticket that also grants access to Disney California Adventure. Dining reservations too are in short supply, if they’re available at all.

Don’t act surprised. The park’s popularity doesn’t rest solely on the fact that Disney owns the Marvel, Lucasfilm and Pixar franchises.

Meanwhile, Disneyland will return a membership program this year to replace the old annual pass program, reports Brady MacDonald in the Register.

Disneyland will launch a new membership program this year to replace the annual pass program that was canceled in January out of concern that demand by a million passholders could overwhelm the parks once they reopen following a yearlong coronavirus closure.

Disneyland resort president Ken Potrock said on the D23 Inside Disney podcast that the new membership program for the Anaheim theme parks will be launched this year.

“We’re working on that right now and we will clearly be launching something before the end of the year,” Potrock said on the D23 podcast. “It’s going to be an exciting program that people — our biggest fans, quite honestly, our most loyal fans — I think are going to be very responsive to.”

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Geoff Kors and Renee Sanchez!

Classifieds

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CAPITOL SEMINARS’ INVALUABLE LOBBYING 101 COURSE OFFERED VIA ZOOM

Taught by 46-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov. Provides comprehensive coverage of California’s Legislative process, along with touch points and best practices you need to know for effective Legislative advocacy. Send your new lobbyists, support staff, legislative committee members, executives who hire and manage lobbyists. Capitol Seminars is the No.1 training resource for nonprofits and private sector organizations, lobbying firms, trade associations, state and local government entities. Next Zoom session is Tuesday, May 25th, 8:30am-1:30pm. Seats are limited. Reservations: (916) 837-0208. Further information: www.capitolseminars.net

Join the California Manufacturers & Technology Association Team!

Are you a legislative advocate? Know someone passionate about improving policies for manufacturers? Do they have 4+ years of government affairs experience with emphasis on legislative, regulatory and/or commercial environment? CMTA’s exciting and fast-paced State Government Relations team is searching for a Policy Director. Subject-matter expertise in energy, environment and/or workforce issues preferred. Apply here! cmta.net/job_post.php

The Breakthrough Institute is seeking a Press Secretary (Berkeley)

Are you a savvy communications professional with ecomodernist ideals? Are you an effective communicator and strong writer with a passion for solving humanity’s biggest challenges? The Breakthrough Institute, a Berkeley-based research center, is looking for a new Press Secretary to expand our reach in the media and build connections with journalists, reporters, and newsroom editors. The Press Secretary will develop, implement, and assist in guiding media and digital strategies rooted in climate, energy, food, and agriculture with an ecomodernist emphasis. Please visit our website for a detailed job description and application instructions.

The position is in Berkeley, although remote until later in 2021.

Capitol Weekly presents A Conference on Housing Policy

Join us for an informative update on California’s Housing Crisis. For years, the Golden State has had the highest home prices in the US, one of the lowest rates of home-ownership, and the most people living on the streets – now, the COVID-19 pandemic has made the situation even worse. Three panels of experts, insiders and elected officials will discuss the status of the state’s Housing Crisis and the policy solutions being proposed to help solve it.

This event will be hosted on ZOOM from 9AM – 1:45PM, Wednesday, May 26. There is no cost to attend, but registration is required. Attend one panel, or the whole day!

NEW SACRAMENTO-BASED THRILLER!

SET IN SACRAMENTO, ALL THAT FALL is "a white-knuckled, character-driven thriller, at once twisty and full of heart." In this first in a new series from award-winning author KRIS CALVIN, Investigator Emma Lawson has just 48-hours to stop a killer whose plans for revenge include upending California's government. "The story reads as if it happened. Emma and the rest of the cast will hook you." ORDER NOW from Amazon or your favorite bookstore at www.kriscalvin.com. Available in hardback, ebook & audiobook.

The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

In addition to a well-respected JD, the McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees. Both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working succeed in the program. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation in statutory interpretation and skills in public policy making and implementation. Learn at a beautiful campus three miles from the State Capitol:
go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy

McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

Built on the foundation of nationally ranked and world class programs, McGeorge School of Law offers an online master (MSL) degree for individuals seeking in depth knowledge of law and policy, but who do not require a traditional law degree. Our MSL’s two concentrations in Government Law & Policy and in Water & Environmental Law offer students the flexibility to work while they learn and still engage in a highly interactive master’s program. To learn more and to sign up for our monthly webinars, please visit our website, Online.McGeorge.edu, or contact us at graduatelaw@pacific.edu.

Political Data Inc.
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