Around The Capitol

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RECENT PODS:

  • Inside Golden State Politics (Bill Boyarsky and Sherry Jeffe): Rodney King To George Floyd: Can Reform Save The Day? (2021-04-25)
  • SacTown Talks (Jarheet Blonien): Shawnda Westly on MICRA (medical malpractice limits) (2021-04-23)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Susan Page on Nancy Pelosi's "Lessons of Power" (2021-04-22)
  • Then There's California (Senate Democratic Caucus): Senator Dave Cortese (2021-01-22)
  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): GOP political consultant Matt Rexroad on redistricting and the recall. (2021-01-18)
  • If I Could Change One Thing (SDSU School of Public Health): Dr. Monica Gandhi, Professor of Medicine and Associate Chief of the Division of HIV, Infectious Diseases, and Global Medicine at San Francisco General Hospital / UCSF on when/if mask mandates will go away. (2021-04-07)
  • California State of Mind (CapRadio): California Prepares for Wildfire; Disparity in Covid Deaths Highlight Need for Vaccine Equity (2021-04-16)

CLASSIFIEDS BELOW:

  • The Breakthrough Institute is seeking a Press Secretary (Berkeley)
  • Capitol Weekly presents A Conference on Housing Policy
  • New Sacramento-based thriller
  • Golden State Opportunity: Director of Operations, Director of Development and a Northern CA Coordinator
  • Exclusive Downtown Penthouse Near Capitol Building
  • Associate Position at CleanSweep Campaigns, San Francisco
  • McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific - MPA/MPP
  • McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific - Masters of Science in Law

MONEY MATTERS:

  • Nurses and Educators for Isaac Bryan for State Assembly 2021 sponsored by labor organizations reports $50,300 for digital and television as and $25,000 for polling. The committee also reports receiving $75,000 from the California Teachers Association.
  • The California Association of Realtors reports giving 535,000 to the California Democratic Party.

The Nooner for Thursday, April 29, 2021, presented by SYASL Partners

¡Buenos dias! Argh, the shoulder is still being a pain in the, well, shoulder. Certainly doesn't help with my quest for sleep. I'm trying my best and doing lots of physical therapy exercises. Thanks for your patience!

POLL POSITION: PPIC is out with its annual poll on Californians attitudes toward public schools and, of course, it's pandemic-heavy. I'll be diving into it over the next few days.

DO YOU RECALL? In the Times, Swetha Kannan and Sandhya Kambhampati look at where the signatures for the recall petition came from.

The data shows the continued influence of Republican voters in California politics despite the grip Democrats have on all statewide offices and the Legislature.

Newsom’s critics say his strict COVID-19 pandemic policies were a leading factor in the effort to recall the governor, arguing that these restrictions cost thousands of jobs and shuttered businesses.

The Times found, however, that coronavirus caseloads alone were not enough to predict which areas would provide the most signatures.

Many Republican-leaning counties that favored the recall had low case rates. But counties with predominantly Democratic voters that experienced similar caseloads, such as those in the Bay Area, were less supportive of the effort.

Shocking, I tell you...

Meanwhile, Lara Korte reports for The Bee:

The state Republican Party, the Republican Governors Association and several state political action committees are fundraising and promoting the recall. While organizers say they’re excited to see a wide swath of Californians join the cause, they worry the movement is being overtaken by the political establishment.

“We united the state under the one cause of recalling Gavin Newsom, which brought a lot of people together,” said Mike Netter, one of the leaders on the recall petition. “Now that it’s ready to hit the ballot, everybody’s jumping on the bandwagon to try to raise money and create publicity for themselves.”

Over the last few months, as the recall picked up steam and media attention, various individuals across California have launched their own campaigns, and asked voters to lend their voices, and bank accounts, to the cause.

Carl DeMaio, a San Diego Republican, is chair of Reform California, a political action committee that backs conservative initiatives in the Golden State. In the last several months, Reform California has encouraged its members to help it fight the recall and donate to the PAC.

Not everyone appreciates the support.

“There’s a lot of grifters that are coming through,” said Anne Dunsmore, campaign manager for Rescue California, which operates in partnership with the original committee, the Patriot Coalition.

The vitriol from recall leaders doesn’t mean DeMaio is using contributions illegally, but it’s caused a rift among those who want to see Newsom out of office.

Meanwhile, actor Randy Quaid is testing the waters because we all need a Vacation this year. Of course, he doesn't appear to be a California registered voter.

CENSUS: For The Bee, Kim Bojórquez looks at how California's Census leaders avoided the loss of more than one congressional seats in this reapportionment as had been feared.

”The initial results are surprising enough that once more details are released, we will be able to better determine to what extent the Latino population was fairly and accurately counted,” said Arturo Vargas, CEO of the NALEO Educational Fund, in a statement.

California bucked the trend somewhat in that demographers had expected it to lose at least one seat because of its slowed population growth.

In fact, it was closer to losing a second congressional seat than it was to keeping one, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

California was 284,400 residents away from losing a second seat in the House of Representatives, according to the Census Bureau. In order to keep its 53 congressional seats, California would have needed to count 478,806 additional people.

Anticipating the risk of an undercount, California officials spent about $200 million on Census outreach over four years.

The state’s efforts resulted in a 69.6% Census self-response rate, surpassing the national average of 67%.

COVID-19, more issues, cakeday, and classifieds after the jump...

COVID-19: California had 58 deaths yesterday for a total of 61,237 since the pandemic began.

-data dive: California's 7-day positivity rate is currently 1.3% (+0.1), far below the 7.1% peak amidst mass testing on December 30.

-vaccines:

  • vaccine doses administered in California: 29,000,025 (not the number of people vaccinated because of the two-dose Moderna and Pfizer vaccines)
  • vaccine doses delivered to California: 36,887,890

-variants: From the California Department of Public Health:

  • "UK strain": B.1.1.7 variants are associated with approximately 50% increased transmission, and likely with increased disease severity and risk of death. Appears to have minimal impact on the effectiveness of treatments with antibodies.
  • "South Africa strain" B.1.351 variants are associated with approximately 50% increased transmission. May have moderately decreased response to antibody treatments.
  • "Brazil strain": P.1 variants may have moderately decreased response to some antibody treatments.
  • "West Coast strain"": B.1.427 and B.1.429 are associated with approximately 20% increased transmission. There is significantly reduced efficacy of some antibody treatments.

Here are the variants of concern in California. Remember that this is just from 38,408 samples of the 3.6+ million cases in California.

Known Variants of Concern in California
As of April 21, 2021

Variant  Number of Cases Caused by Variant 
B.1.1.7   2,524
B.1.351    55
P.1    246
B.1.427   4,822
B.1.429   9,334

You can view a US map by strain prevalence on the CDC site. Note that, like the numbers above, this map is case numbers of a sample, and not a case rate. Obviously, California will have higher counts, but that doesn't translate into a higher case rate of the variant.

-tiers for fears: As a reminder, any county must remain at a tier for three weeks before progressing to a less-restrictive tier, even if the metrics continue to improve. The most recent changes are bolded and italicized.

Here's where the counties stand after today's changes bolded and italicized.

  • No county in the Purple (widespread) Tier.
  • 21 counties in the Red (substantial) Tier: Amador, Del Norte, Glenn, Inyo, Kern, Lake, Madera, Merced, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, San Joaquin, San Luis Obispo, Shasta, Solano, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, and Yuba.
  • 33 counties in Orange (moderate) Tier: Alameda, Butte, Calaveras, Colusa, Contra Costa, El Dorado, Fresno, Humboldt, Imperial, Kern, Kings, Lake, Los Angeles, Marin, Mono, Napa, Mariposa, Modoc, Monterey, Orange, Plumas, Riverside, San Benito, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Barbara, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, Siskiyou, Sonoma, Trinity, Tulare, Tuolumne, Ventura, and Yolo.
  • 4 counties in Yellow (minimal) Tier: Alpine, Lassen, Mendocino, and Sierra.

Statewide tiers map

more issues, cakedays, and classifieds after the jump...

Probolsky Research

LAW AND DISORDER: In The Bee, Sam Stanton and Wes Venteicher report on the continued problems at the state prison east of California's capital, an investigation which has now gone federal.

Federal agents are investigating potential wrongdoing by guards at California State Prison, Sacramento, the troubled institution where correctional officers have been accused of conspiring with inmates to orchestrate two murders of other prisoners, sources have told The Sacramento Bee.

Four law enforcement and correctional sources say FBI agents have spent months investigating allegations at the prison, also known as New Folsom, and that the probe dates back to incidents that occurred as early as 2016. The sources requested anonymity to discuss an ongoing investigation and for fear of retaliation.

Two sources said the investigation appeared to escalate on Friday, when federal agents appeared on prison grounds and at the home of at least one officer to interview employees about a murder in the prison’s B Facility.

CHARTERS: In the SDUT, Kristen Taketa reports on a bill to tighten up oversight of California's charter schools.

The state Assembly Education Committee voted 5-2 to advance the bill to the Appropriations Committee. The education committee’s only Republican members, Kevin Kiley (R-Rocklin) and Megan Dahle (R-Nevada City), voted no.

Education Committee Chair Patrick O’Donnell (D-Long Beach) has said he introduced AB 1316 to prevent future charter school scandals, including ones like the A3 charter school case, in which operators of the online charter school network manipulated enrollment numbers to fraudulently obtain hundreds of millions of state education dollars. The sweeping bill contains a variety of measures that mostly address online charter school accountability, finance and operations.

About 40 people — mostly charter school leaders, teachers, families, and home schooling families — spoke against AB 1316 during the bill’s first hearing Wednesday. Representatives of three employee unions, including the California Teachers Association, voiced support for the bill.

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Evan Minton, Andre Quintero, and Tom White!

Classifieds

Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing scottlay@gmail.com, with a headline, a summary of up to 200 words, and what you'd like the end date to be. You can attach a PDF or provide a link for a bigger job description/info to apply. [Other advertising options]


CAPITOL SEMINARS’ INVALUABLE LOBBYING 101 COURSE OFFERED VIA ZOOM

Taught by 46-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov. Provides comprehensive coverage of California’s Legislative process, along with touch points and best practices you need to know for effective Legislative advocacy. Send your new lobbyists, support staff, legislative committee members, executives who hire and manage lobbyists. Capitol Seminars is the No.1 training resource for nonprofits and private sector organizations, lobbying firms, trade associations, state and local government entities. Next Zoom session is Tuesday, May 25th, 8:30am-1:30pm. Seats are limited. Reservations: (916) 837-0208. Further information: www.capitolseminars.net

Join the California Manufacturers & Technology Association Team!

Are you a legislative advocate? Know someone passionate about improving policies for manufacturers? Do they have 4+ years of government affairs experience with emphasis on legislative, regulatory and/or commercial environment? CMTA’s exciting and fast-paced State Government Relations team is searching for a Policy Director. Subject-matter expertise in energy, environment and/or workforce issues preferred. Apply here! cmta.net/job_post.php

The Breakthrough Institute is seeking a Press Secretary (Berkeley)

Are you a savvy communications professional with ecomodernist ideals? Are you an effective communicator and strong writer with a passion for solving humanity’s biggest challenges? The Breakthrough Institute, a Berkeley-based research center, is looking for a new Press Secretary to expand our reach in the media and build connections with journalists, reporters, and newsroom editors. The Press Secretary will develop, implement, and assist in guiding media and digital strategies rooted in climate, energy, food, and agriculture with an ecomodernist emphasis. Please visit our website for a detailed job description and application instructions.

The position is in Berkeley, although remote until later in 2021.

Capitol Weekly presents A Conference on Housing Policy

Join us for an informative update on California’s Housing Crisis. For years, the Golden State has had the highest home prices in the US, one of the lowest rates of home-ownership, and the most people living on the streets – now, the COVID-19 pandemic has made the situation even worse. Three panels of experts, insiders and elected officials will discuss the status of the state’s Housing Crisis and the policy solutions being proposed to help solve it.

This event will be hosted on ZOOM from 9AM – 1:45PM, Wednesday, May 26. There is no cost to attend, but registration is required. Attend one panel, or the whole day!

NEW SACRAMENTO-BASED THRILLER!

SET IN SACRAMENTO, ALL THAT FALL is "a white-knuckled, character-driven thriller, at once twisty and full of heart." In this first in a new series from award-winning author KRIS CALVIN, Investigator Emma Lawson has just 48-hours to stop a killer whose plans for revenge include upending California's government. "The story reads as if it happened. Emma and the rest of the cast will hook you." ORDER NOW from Amazon or your favorite bookstore at www.kriscalvin.com. Available in hardback, ebook & audiobook.

The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

In addition to a well-respected JD, the McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees. Both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working succeed in the program. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation in statutory interpretation and skills in public policy making and implementation. Learn at a beautiful campus three miles from the State Capitol:
go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy

McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

Built on the foundation of nationally ranked and world class programs, McGeorge School of Law offers an online master (MSL) degree for individuals seeking in depth knowledge of law and policy, but who do not require a traditional law degree. Our MSL’s two concentrations in Government Law & Policy and in Water & Environmental Law offer students the flexibility to work while they learn and still engage in a highly interactive master’s program. To learn more and to sign up for our monthly webinars, please visit our website, Online.McGeorge.edu, or contact us at graduatelaw@pacific.edu.

Political Data Inc.
For 30 Years PDI has been California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week: