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RECENT PODS:

  • If I Couid Change One Thing (SDSU): Dr. David "Davey" Smith on Operation Warp Speed" and vaccinations (2020-12-02)
  • Inside Golden State Politics (Bill Boyarsky and Sherry Jeffe): Becerra: Another Bright Spot For California And The Rest of The Country (2020-12-10)
  • Then There's California (Senate Democratic Caucus): State Senator Maria Elena Durazo, the new Chair of the California Latino Legislative Caucus, talks about public policy, health, and social justice priorities for our Latinx communities in 2021. (2020-12-09)
  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Vaccines are coming with Dr. Dean Blumberg, Associate Professor of Pediatrics, UC Davis School of Medicine and Acting Chief, Pediatric Infectious Disease Section, UC Davis Medical Center. (2020-12-07)
  • Look West Podcast (Assembly Democratic Caucus): Introduction to new Assembly Democrats (2020-12-07)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Dr. Anthony Fauci on California's New COVID Restrictions and Lessons from the HIV/AIDS Epidemic (2020-12-04)

The Nooner for Sunday, December 13, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners

  • Yes, it sucks "bigly"
  • Juice free (in the Assembly)
  • COVID-19
    -the numbers
    -LA County
    -strip clubs
  • Cakeday and NEW classifieds  

Third night of Hanukkah

Hanukkah sameach!

I've waited, but we have no new state ICU capacity data as of 12:15pm today. Follow me on Twitter for the latest.

Well, hello there. Of course, the first real rain in 7 months arrives on a Sunday morning. Thus, I am cold and wet as I put the lipstick on this pig of a Nooner. Nevertheless, I now have NorCal sturgeon, black cod, dover sole and a PT Ranch chicken for my meals this week.

Supporting local fishermen (people?) is more important this year than ever. Like Nooner writers, they generally don't receive unemployment. However, for the fourth year in a row, the Dungeness crab season has been punted. The first couple of years it was because of a bacteria. The last two years have been a whale of a problem.

This year, the date has been extended from the scheduled commercial opening of early November to December 23. This year's delay (like last year's) is because whales don't remember that they are supposed to be in the Sea of California between Baja and the Mexican mainland by now. Lacking the normal blubber from the summer in Alaska, they are spending time off the Bay Area coast, gobbling up plentiful sardines.

Growing up in the OC, crab wasn't part of my holidays. However, since arriving hear in 1994 for UC Davis undergrad, I have learned how much crab is part of the holiday culture, starting with Thanksgiving and extending through the new year celebration. Even many of our Jewish friends take a day to skip being kosher to partake.

Anyway, think about our fisherpeople who are hurting as well. Buy some local and sustainable fish. I think tonight will be sturgeon from Passmore Ranch although I will have to figure out the strategy after we're done with this daily Nooner exercise. Sturgeon as part of a stew on a cold, wet day sounds amazing.

Meanwhile, by now you have likely seen video of Los Angeles County Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer choked up during a presser this week talking about the impact on the residents of California's largest county. The county press release that I read daily sounded particularly despondent late yesterday.

The Los Angeles County Department of Public Health (Public Health) has confirmed 70 new deaths and 11,476 new cases of confirmed COVID-19. To date, Public Health has identified 512,872 positive cases of COVID-19 across all areas of L.A. County and a total of 8,269 deaths.

All key Public Health indicators are increasing to record levels. One month ago, on November 12, the 5-day average of cases was 2,134 and today the 5-day average is 10,034; this is an increase of 370% in just one month. The 5-day average of deaths one month ago, on November 12, was 12; today, average daily deaths it’s 62. In just 30 days our deaths have increased 416% across the County. During that same time frame, the positivity rate has increased 141%; today, the daily test positivity rate is 14.2%. And hospitalizations increased 303% in one month; today we are reporting 3,850 COVID-19 hospitalizations, and 22% of COVID-19 patients are in the ICU.

Our daily case numbers are unlike any we have ever seen in our county and reflect extraordinarily high rates of community transmission; activities we were able to do just a few weeks back, now present far too much risk for virus transmission.

Before you continue, read those grafs again and think about where we are a couple of minutes.

Of course, people are complaining about not being able to eat outside when there are more options than ever to have food delivered to doorsteps.Is it more expensive? Yes, although it is not lucrative for anybody in the stream. And, the people I see complaining the most are people who still draw salaries and work at home who would be eating out and spending money regardless. Meanwhile, movie theaters are closed yet we have the broadest available of media ever, many of which are free. For those with a solid internet connection, governments, business, and community-based organizations have stepped up.

As vaccines roll out, you will hear the word "sniffs" a lot since they are a top priority. If you don't already know, that is shorthand for "skilled nursing facility," of which are mostly senior care homes that have been hit the hardest in the pandemic.

Here are the data as of this morning, which draws no emotion other than tears.

COVID data

JUICE-FREE (IN THE ASSEMBLY): Yesterday, Adam Gray (D-Merced) was removed by Speaker Anthony Rendon as chair of Assembly Governmental Organization.  The committee is considered the prime choice for members interested in fundraising and oversees state regulation of tobacco, alcohol, and gaming. Under a new system instituted last session, committee chairs could deny the hearing of bills. Gray initially refused to hear a bill by former state senator Jerry Hill (D-San Mateo) to ban many flavored tobacco products as the bill was "dual-referred" to Health and GO in the Assembly while only to Health in the Senate.

Rendon didn't act before the election, although Jim Frazier (D-Vallejo) is now the chair of Assembly GO. It's worth noting that Frazier is a "blue dog" Democrat and doesn't signify a big policy shift.

...COVID-19 after the jump

--IF YOU LIKE THE NOONER AND DON'T ALREADY, CONSIDER A SUBSCRIPTIONADVERTISING, OR OTHERWISE SUPPORT THE WORK USING SQUAREPAYPAL, OR CHECK.

COVID-19: Yesterday, 119 deaths were reported in the state, bringing the total to 20,976. Of course, the usual weekend reporting of lower numbers must be considered.

-Tiers for fears: There were no changes to the tiers yesterday.

  • Purple/Widespread=54 counties
  • Red/Substantial=3 (Alpine, Inyo, Mariposa -- total DOF est. population: 37,793)
  • Orange/Moderate=1 (Sierra -- total DOF est. population: 3,201)

-Stay at home: I am not including all of the main points and restrictions of the new stay at home order. You can find them in The Nooner for December 5, or read the state order or state guidance.

I missed it yesterday, but Sonoma County proactively adopted the state's stay-at-home order effective at 12:01 this morning, leaving only San Mateo, Santa Cruz, and Solano of the nine Bay Area region counties to not have such an order. Of course, it may be moot given the region's ICU capacity. Monterey's takes effect 10pm Sunday.

--Documents:

--Update on 12/03 with Governor Newsom and HHS Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly:

--Update on 12/07:

--Dr. Ghaly update on 12/08:

--Regions and numbers: Here is the latest ICU capacity by region, which is from this state page.

  • Northern California: Del Norte, Glenn, Humboldt, Lake, Lassen, Mendocino, Modoc, Shasta, Siskiyou, Tehama, Trinity
    ICU capacity as of 12/10: 26.6%
  • Bay Area: Alameda*, Contra Costa*, Marin*, Monterey (Sunday 10pm), Napa, San Francisco*, San Mateo, Santa Clara*, Santa Cruz, Solano, Sonoma*
    ICU capacity as of 12/10: 16.7%
  • Greater Sacramento: Alpine, Amador, Butte, Colusa, El Dorado, Nevada, Placer, Plumas, Sacramento, Sierra, Sutter, Yolo, Yuba
    ICU capacity as of 12/10: 14.8%
  • San Joaquin Valley: Calaveras, Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, Mariposa, Merced, San Benito, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, Tulare, Tuolumne
    ICU capacity as of 12/10: 4.5%

  • Southern California: Imperial, Inyo, Los Angeles, Mono, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, Ventura
    ICU capacity as of 12/10: 6.2%

*County has voluntarily adopted the state's Stay At Home Order

Cite: COVID19.CA.GOV: About COVID-19 restrictions (Under "Regional Stay Home Order")

Here is a look at how each region got to where it is since the Stay At Home Order was issued Thursday, December 3.

ICU capacity by region

ICU Bed Capacity by Region*
Region 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12
Northern California 18.6% 20.9% 24.1% 26.5% 28.2% 25.0% 27.1% 30.3% 26.6% 27.4%
Bay Area 25.3% 21.2% 21.7% 24.1% 25.7% 24.5% 20.9% 17.8% 16.7% 17.6%
Greater Sacramento 22.2% 21.4% 21.4% 18.2% 20.3% 18.8% 14.3% 13.3% 14.8% 12.7%
San Joaquin Valley 19.7% 14.1% 8.6% 6.6% 6.3% 5.6% 4.2% 1.9% 4.5% 0.0%
Southern California 20.6% 13.1% 12.5% 10.3% 10.9% 10.6% 9.0% 7.7% 6.2% 5.3%
*Beginning December 4, PICU and NICU beds were removed and adult ICU beds were standardized.  
Source: California Dept of Public Health, https://covid19.ca.gov/stay-home-except-for-essential-needs/#regional-stay-home-order

--Local orders: Some people have asked why counties and cities are issuing their own public health orders when the state has one. It comes down to enforcement. The state order itself has no enforcement mechanism. The Department of Alcoholic Beverage Control can suspend or yank a license from an establishment and licenses may be suspended or revoked of individuals such as a barber by a state board. However, local fines for not wearing a mask or on businesses operating outside the limits of the order require a local ordinance.

 --SacTown: Here are the available ICU bed numbers for the Greater Sacramento region, and my spreadsheet of all five regions is here. I have moved it to a Google spreadsheet so you can see the data without the Excel download.

Greater Sacramento Region
Available ICU Beds (all reasons)
  12/6 am 12/7 am 12/8 am 12/9 am 12/10 am 12/11 am 12/12 am 12/13 am
Alpine 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Amador                  1 1 2 2 2 2 0 0
Butte 15 9 15 13 7 6 8 8
Colusa 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5
El Dorado 6 6 6 5 4 4 5 3
Nevada 5 1 5 2 4 2 2 2
Placer 25 21 21 23 20 18 3 3
Plumas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sacramento 73 65 76 78 67 55 47 57
Sierra 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sutter 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Yolo 5 7 4 2 2 2 14 14
Yuba 5 3 9 7 3 4 1 1
Total 135 113 138 132 109 93 85 93

LA County: The despair In California's largest county was clear in yesterday's daily press release.

All key Public Health indicators are increasing to record levels. One month ago, on November 12, the 5-day average of cases was 2,134 and today the 5-day average is 10,034; this is an increase of 370% in just one month. The 5-day average of deaths one month ago, on November 12, was 12; today, average daily deaths it’s 62. In just 30 days our deaths have increased 416% across the County. During that same time frame, the positivity rate has increased 141%; today, the daily test positivity rate is 14.2%. And hospitalizations increased 303% in one month; today we are reporting 3,850 COVID-19 hospitalizations, and 22% of COVID-19 patients are in the ICU.

Our daily case numbers are unlike any we have ever seen in our county and reflect extraordinarily high rates of community transmission; activities we were able to do just a few weeks back, now present far too much risk for virus transmission.

These releases, which I read every day, used to be sanitized with no emotion. Clearly, we are at a breaking point.

-Strip clubs: Meanwhile, horny dudes gotta get it on and will go to any lengths (yes, you can laugh there). The amazing Laurel Rosenhall of CalMatters tweets on Governor Newsom's efforts to crack down on San Diego-area strip clubs under the stay-at-home order.

...cakeday and NEW classifieds after the jump 

 

Probolsky Research

  

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Jodi Balma, Ed Espinoza, and Nancy Farias Womack!

Classifieds

Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing scottlay@gmail.com, with a headline, a summary of up to 200 words, and what you'd like the end date to be. You can attach a PDF or provide a link for a bigger job description/info to apply. [Other advertising options]


Grants Program Director – California Business, Consumer Services and Housing Agency

Homeless Coordinating and Financing Council Division

Monthly salary: $8,173.00- $9,280.00

Application Deadline: Tuesday, December 22, 2020.

Expert in grant management directs all operations of grant programs, including developing and delivering public facing interactions with eligible grantees to provide technical guidance and evaluating data related to grant programs for the purpose of reporting and influencing statewide policy.

For more information about this position and to apply online please visit: https://jobs.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/Jobs/JobPosting.aspx?JobControlId=225782

For questions contact:

Debbie Gutman
CPS HR Consulting
dgutman@cpshr.us

McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

Built on the foundation of nationally ranked and world class programs, McGeorge School of Law offers an online master (MSL) degree for individuals seeking in depth knowledge of law and policy, but who do not require a traditional law degree. Our MSL’s two concentrations in Government Law & Policy and in Water & Environmental Law offer students the flexibility to work while they learn and still engage in a highly interactive master’s program. To learn more and to sign up for our monthly webinars, please visit our website, Online.McGeorge.edu, or contact us at graduatelaw@pacific.edu.

Statewide Coalition Manager – Preschool Development Grant

Are you a relationship builder? Do you love policy analysis? Do you have a background in public policy, public administration, child development, or a similar field? Do you want to work somewhere that makes a difference in the lives of children across the state? Then YOU’RE the person we’re looking for! Come join us at Child Care Resource Center as our new Statewide Coalition Manager!

You will work in partnership with regional Resource and Referral (R&R) hub agencies throughout the state of CA to nurture and build out the partnerships of Regional Hubs and their local R&R partners. This position will focus on expanding regional and local relationships and building regional strategies for the delivery of early childhood services, including Parent Café and Early Childhood Café programs, throughout California, and will also coordinate the development of other regional partners including California Quality Consortia, California County Offices of Education and Tribal partners appropriate to each region. Reporting to the Chief Strategy Officer, this position utilizes a high level of collaboration and relationship building to create effective internal and external relationships, communicate the CCRC Mission, Values and Vision to external stakeholders, and work in collaboration with other CCRC Departments and organizational partners.

Full announcement

Political Data Inc.
For 30 Years PDI has been California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week: