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GENERAL ELECTION DATA POINTS

The Nooner for Sunday, October 18, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners

  • The vote
  • Money matters
  • COVID-19
  • Fires
  • Cakeday and classifieds 

We're just getting started...

THE VOTE: Here is the latest from Political Data's ballot tracker. Topline is 21,508,716 ballots were mailed, with a breakdown of Dem: 43.4%, Rep: 24.2%, and NPP/other: 29.4%. Thus far, 2,947,941 have been returned (14%).

Partisan breakdown of returned ballots is:

  • Democratic: 1,675,35 (17% of mailed)
  • Republican: 614,288 (12% of mailed)
  • NPP/other: 658,218 (10% of mailed)

The PDI site has breakdowns by congressional and state legislative districts (click "Select for Filters") and a list of the top 25 districts searched.

MONEY MATTERS:

Independent expenditures

  • SD05 (San Joaquin): $50,230 for mail to SUPPORT Susan Eggman (D) by Firefighters, Realtors, and Neighbors for a Stronger California (Cumulative total: $100,460)
  • SD21 (Santa Clarita-Antelope Valley): $34,595 for mail to SUPPORT Scott Wilk (R) by Coalition to Restore California's Middle Class, Including Energy Companies who Produce Gas, Oil, Jobs and Pay Taxes (Cumulative total: $647,595)
  • SD21 (Santa Clarita-Antelope Valley): $8,649 for mail to OPPOSE Kipp Mueller (D) by Coalition to Restore California's Middle Class, Including Energy Companies who Produce Gas, Oil, Jobs and Pay Taxes (Cumulative total: $18,397)
  • SD21 (Santa Clarita-Antelope Valley): $56,458 for mail, digital to OPPOSE Kipp Mueller (D) by California Alliance for Progress and Education, an alliance of business organizations (Cumulative total: $265,333)
  • SD23 (Rancho Cucamonga-Redlands-Hemet): $24,697 for mail to SUPPORT Rosalicie Ochoa Bogh (R) by Coalition to Restore California's Middle Class, Including Energy Companies who Produce Gas, Oil, Jobs and Pay Taxes (Cumulative total: $296,147)
  • SD23 (Rancho Cucamonga-Redlands-Hemet): $50,143 for mail to OPPOSE Abigail Medina (D) by Coalition to Restore California's Middle Class, Including Energy Companies who Produce Gas, Oil, Jobs and Pay Taxes (Cumulative total: $641,166)
  • SD23 (Rancho Cucamonga-Redlands-Hemet): $80,750 for polling, digital media to SUPPORT Abigail Medina (D) by IE for Change supporting Medina for Senate 2020, sponsored by Labor Organizations
  • SD23 (Rancho Cucamonga-Redlands-Hemet): $80,750 for polling, digital media to OPPOSE Rosalicie Ochoa Bogh (R) by IE for Change supporting Medina for Senate 2020, sponsored by Labor Organizations
  • SD29 (Diamond Bar-Fullerton): $61,211 for mail to SUPPORT Ling Ling Chang (R) by Coalition to Restore California's Middle Class, Including Energy Companies who Produce Gas, Oil, Jobs and Pay Taxes (Cumulative total: $657,515)
  • SD29 (Diamond Bar-Fullerton): $61,211 for mail to OPPOSE Josh Newman (D) by Coalition to Restore California's Middle Class, Including Energy Companies who Produce Gas, Oil, Jobs and Pay Taxes (Cumulative total: $1,789,097)
  • SD37 (Anaheim Hills-Irvine-OC beach cities): $6,880 for mail to SUPPORT of Dave Min (D) by Firefighters, Realtors, and Neighbors for a Stronger California (Cumulative total: $27,520)
  • AD13 (Stockton): $74,484 for mail to OPPOSE Kathy Miller (D-D race) by Coalition to Restore California's Middle Class, Including Energy Companies who Produce Gas, Oil, Jobs and Pay Taxes (Cumulative total: $671,236)
  • AD36 (Antelope Valley): $28,278 for mail to OPPOSE Steve Fox (D) by California Alliance for Progress and Education, an alliance of business organizations (Cumulative total: $133,194)
  • AD55 (Diamond Bar-Yorba Linda): $31,657 for mail to SUPPORT Phillip Chen (R) by California Physicians for Quality Care, Sponsored by California Medical Association and California Academy of Family Physicians 
  • AD55 (Diamond Bar-Yorba Linda): $5,082 for WEB to OPPOSE Andrew Rodriguez (D) by California Alliance for Progress and Education, an alliance of business organizations (Cumulative total: $36,968) 
  • AD59 (South Los Angeles): $222,500 for radio, digital ads to SUPPORT Reggie Jones-Sawyer (D-D race) by Nurses and Educators for Reggie Jones-Sawyer for Assembly 2020, sponsored by labor and consumer attorneys organizations (Cumulative total: $609,095)
  • AD72 (Garden Grove-Westminster): $31,533 for mail to OPPOSE Diedre Thu-Ha Nguyen by Silicon Valley JobsPAC, Sponsored by the California Chamber of Commerce (Cumulative total: $146,836)

Large ballot measure contributions - cash only excluding in-kind contributions

Doing the Laundry 
If you're new to this game, this is how special interests can far exceed the $4,700 contribution limit for the November general. I explained the process on 9/15. After passing max $38,800 contributions through party committees, those committees can pass the money along far in excess of the $4,700. It's "washed" as long as the original donor doesn't "direct" the money. Of course, we all know the competitive races. I list them for ATCpro subscribers.

MONEY IN

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MONEY OUT

  •  

These don't include state party money. It's just "fun" to watch the flow if you like reading hundreds of campaign finance reports each day. The Republican Party doesn't have much of this activity which would be a good panel discussion to explore why. I have my thoughts. Of course, California's GOP has far less money to go around these days, although there's lots of business-side money found in independent expenditures.

All in the game, yo'.

COVID-19: California added 76 deaths yesterday for a total of 16,905.

 

FIRES:

  • August Fire (Mendocino, Humboldt, Trinity, Tehama, Glenn, Lake, Colusa counties) 1,032,209 acres, 80% contained as of 7:38am
    • 54 structures destroyed
  • Creek Fire (Fresno, Madera counties) 346,477 acres, 60% contained as of 8:20am
    • 856 structures destroyed
  • SQF Complex (Tulare County) 167,913 acres, 70% contained as of 7:11am
    • 228 structures destroyed
  • Glass Fire (Napa, Sonoma counties) 67,484 acres, 95% contained as of 10/12 9:16am
    • 1,555 structures destroyed

more after the jump...

 cakeday and classifieds after the jump...

Probolsky Research

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to former Assembly member Young Kim and Amy Warshauer!

Classifieds

Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing scottlay@gmail.com, with a headline, a summary of up to 200 words, and what you'd like the end date to be. You can attach a PDF or provide a link for a bigger job description/info to apply. [Other advertising options]


CCST Report Release: The Cost of Wildfires in California

How do you put a price on the devastating impacts of wildfire in California? As California endures its most destructive wildfire season to date, a new study from the California Council on Science and Technology assesses what we do and do not know about the societal costs of wildfire impacts. The study’s steering committee chair Michael Wara of Stanford and the lead authors will discuss the report’s findings and recommendations to help the state meet this challenge. Thurs, Oct 29, 12:30-1:30pm REGISTER.

Legislative Analyst – The City of Ontario

The City of Ontario is seeking a Legislative Analyst to play a critical role in navigating the City through the legislative process. This position will keep City officials up to date on pending and proposed legislation and any related issues that may impact City operations. In addition, the Legislative Analyst may assist the Assistant City Manager through attendance at meetings of federal, state, and local agencies, associations, organizations, committees, or other forums. Duties also include preparing statements of support or objection for proposed legislation and working with the City's state and federal lobbyists to craft successful strategies for legislative advocacy. Learn more and apply here: https://www.governmentjobs.com/careers/ontario

The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

In addition to a well-respected JD, the McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees. Both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working succeed in the program. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation in statutory interpretation and skills in public policy making and implementation. Learn at a beautiful campus three miles from the State Capitol:
go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy

California School Boards Association - Public Affairs & Community Engagement Representatives

Serve as CSBA’s liaison to local schools and county boards of education, key decision makers, and the community-at-large. Execute grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. Remote positions based in the following locations: Southeast L.A. and North L.A./Ventura. Salary based on experience. Please apply at: https://www.csba.org/About/Careers

California School Boards Association - Legislative Director

CSBA is seeking a Legislative Director to lead our Governmental Relations team to shape legislative and political strategy for CSBA’s statewide agenda. You will act as a liaison between legislative, educational, and public communities. If you are interested in leading a team of legislative advocates to influence opinion in favor of public education, please apply through our website. Position is located in West Sacramento. Learn more and apply here: https://www.csba.org/About/Careers

Offices available for sublease: Meridian Plaza

Between 1-3 offices are available for sublease in the Meridian Plaza office building, 1415 L Street, two blocks from the Capitol. The offices are approximately 150 SF each. Internet, gym, partially furnished (desk, chair, bookcases) are included. 24/7/365 key card access; floor-ceiling windows facing Sierras; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Jane at admin@stoneadvocacy.com or (415) 577-9734 with questions.

Photos: 1 | 2 | 3

Political Data Inc.
For 30 Years PDI has been California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week: