Around The Capitol

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GENERAL ELECTION DATA POINTS

  • Election Day: 53 days
  • Ballots mailed to all California registered voters: 24 days (w/in 5 days)
  • RealClearPolitics presidential average: Biden 50.5, Trump: 43.0% (8/28-9/10): Biden+7.5
  • RealClearPolitics generic congressional average: Dems+6.0 (8/1-9/10)

MONEY MATTERS:

  • JUUL Labs Inc.: $25,000 to the California Republican Party

ATCpro SUBSCRIBER UPDATES[A full list of recent election analysis is on the subscribers home page. If you have forgotten or haven't set a password, use the forgot password tool]

  • CA08 (SB High Desert-Barstow-Eastern Sierra): updated analysis - move from Likely Rep to Safe Rep

The Nooner for Friday, September 11, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners

  • COVID-19
  • Wildfires
  • Voting
  • Ballot fun
  • Cakeday and classifieds 

Happy Friday, whatever that means in 2020 and of course Septemver 11. I can barely see my screen this morning as my eyes are stinging like crazy from the smoke. And my lungs aren't much happier, and sleeping has been a huge casualty. This morning is another weird orange day, and that's not a comment about the Giants. The Giants and Padres face off again at Petco Park at 6:10pm. I should have awoken in Mexico City today, although things are quite bad there now. The government doesn't want to acknowledge that. Oh, that sounds quite familiar.

Meanwhile, former governor Jerry Brown came through with his contribution against the November initiative to roll back public safety reforms, contributing $855,000 to no on Prop. 20 yesterday using his still fefty campaign warchest. He also contributed $25,000 to the California Democratic Party and $25,000 to Senator Holly Mitchell's campaign for Los Angeles supe.

COVID-19:

-The numbers: 108 more Californians lost their lives to COVID-19 yesterday, bringing the total to 14,096. The Times reports:

The number of cases in California is now on pace to double every 157.7 days, a number used to measure how quickly the virus is spreading.

...

Over the past week, the state has averaged 3,586 new cases and 85.9 new deaths per day.

The top five counties in number of new deaths were Los Angeles (41), Kern (10), Riverside (9), Sacramento (7), and Sonoma (7).

WILDFIRES: The North Complex Fire east of Chico is now 252,234 acres and only 23% containment as of 8:11am. It is eerily similar to the destructive Camp Fire in Butte County two years ago. While there is not a city the size of Paradise in the current path, the rural towns make it very difficult to track the human toll. A team at the Times reports:

Even before the peak of fire season, a record 3 million acres have burned across California this year, with so many blazes simultaneously whipping through dry wilderness that many have converged into massive “complexes,” the scope of which the state has never seen.

On Thursday, the August Complex — the product of 37 fires in and around Tehama County — became the largest ever recorded in California at 471,000 acres.

But its remoteness made it less a priority than several other major fires edging closer to mountain towns and foothill suburbs.

One of those, the North Complex blaze near Oroville, mushroomed this week into an inferno that was blamed for 10 deaths as of Thursday evening, with 16 people missing. It has scorched more than 252,000 acres and forced some 20,000 residents in Plumas, Butte and Yuba counties from their homes. The smoke layer was so thick midweek that officials were just getting a grasp of the devastation Thursday as the winds died down.

In the far north, the Slater fire took off Wednesday night, growing from 30,000 acres to more than 120,000 by 7 a.m. Thursday. It crossed the border into Oregon, a state already besieged by its own fires, with half a million people under evacuation orders. Two bodies have been recovered in the footprint of the blaze.

With that fire’s expansion, Gov. Gavin Newsom added Siskiyou County to its list of 17 other counties in a state of emergency.

Cal Fire spokesman Daniel Berlant said dangerously dry conditions led “to explosive fires that have really just skyrocketed us past the 3-million mark for the first time in our recorded history.”

VOTING: PPIC's Eric McGee looks at Proposition 18 on the November ballot to allow 17-year-olds to vote in primary elections if they will turn 18 be the general election.

The legislature has placed a constitutional amendment on the ballot this fall, Proposition 18, that would let any 17-year-old citizen vote in a primary or special election as long as that person turns 18 by the following general election. How many people could this change affect, how would they be different from existing voters, and how might that change elections in California?

We can get a sense of the law’s impact by looking at the state’s voter registration data base and identifying those who would have been affected by this law in the past two election cycles. Let’s call them “Prop 18 voters.” They amounted to more than 200,000 people in 2016 and 2018. They also comprised a substantial share of all new registrants who became old enough to vote for the first time at some point in each election cycle: 19% in the 2016 cycle and 22% in the 2018 cycle.

BALLOT FUN: Two measures were cleared for circulation yesterday, including the referendum on flavored tobacco (SB 793) and yet another initiative to break California off from the United States. Well, it creates a commission to study it.

cakeday and classifieds after the jump...

Probolsky Research

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Kristin Jacinto, Dean Murukami, Jenn Pae, and Ben Tulchin!

Classifieds

Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing scottlay@gmail.com, with a headline, a summary of up to 200 words, and what you'd like the end date to be. You can attach a PDF or provide a link for a bigger job description/info to apply. [Other advertising options]


California Council on Science and Technology briefing

On Monday, September 14th, at 12:00 PM, the California Council on Science and Technology hosts a panel of experts to discuss the role of app-based contact tracing as part of a strategy to reduce the spread of COVID-19. Assembly Member Jacqui Irwin will moderate. Please register here.

Automobile Club of Southern California (AAA): Legislative Advocate

Represent and advocate for the interests of Automobile Club of Southern California (AAA) members and policyholders before the Legislature, Administration, state agencies, industry and trade associations, and related forums. Based in Sacramento. Excellent salary and benefits.

https://careers.calif.aaa.com/job/11359638/legislative-advocate-costa-mesa-ca/

OFFICES AVAILABLE TO SUBLEASE
Between 1-3 unfurnished offices are available for sublease in the Wells Fargo office building, 400 Capital Mall Sacramento, CA 95814. The offices are approximately 12’X10’ each. Internet, gym. 24/7/365 key card access; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Tricia Horan at Tricia.Horan@CALawyers.org or 415-919-7990 with questions.
Offices available for sublease: Meridian Plaza

Between 1-3 offices are available for sublease in the Meridian Plaza office building, 1415 L Street, two blocks from the Capitol. The offices are approximately 150 SF each. Internet, gym, partially furnished (desk, chair, bookcases) are included. 24/7/365 key card access; floor-ceiling windows facing Sierras; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Jane at admin@stoneadvocacy.com or (415) 577-9734 with questions.

Photos: 1 | 2 | 3

Political Data Inc.
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