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GENERAL ELECTION DATA POINTS
ATCpro SUBSCRIBER UPDATES: [A full list of recent election analysis is on the subscribers home page. If you have forgotten or haven't set a password, use the forgot password tool]
- CA21 (Coalinga-Lemoore-South Bakersfield): updated analysis and rating change from Leans Dem to Toss-up (2020-08-15)
- CA25 (Santa Clarita-Palmdale): updated analysis (Toss-up) - money update
- CA39 (Diamond Bar-Fullerton-Yorba Linda): updated analysis (Leans Democrat) - money update
- CA45 (Anaheim Hills-Tustin-Irvine): updated analysis (Likely Democrat) - money update
The Nooner for Sunday, August 23, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners
- Electricity and Wildfires
- Session sked
Well, hello there. It is Sunday morning so I'm hoping that Our Lady of Guadalupe is selling tacos today. In 2020, it's all about the small victories in life. Like many of you, I'm exhausted.
As a reminder, I continue offer free ATCpro subscriptions to students, new graduates, and folks unemployed. All information is confidential and I thank the amazing subscribers who have given extra amidst the advertising downturn.
WILDFIRES AND ELECTRICITY:
- Fires: In the Chron, J.D. Morris and Rachel Swan look at the California wildfires challenge and whether it will continue to get worse.
In the past week, the extent and complexity of the blazes have stretched California’s firefighting resources to the limit. Over a few days, fires ignited by lightning in an intense heat wave torched an area more than twice the size of Los Angeles, forcing 119,000 people to flee in the middle of a pandemic.
And it’s only August. The most dangerous fire-prone months are still to come.
- The fires are huge: In The Bee, Maria Heeter reports that the LNU and SCU wildfires are now on the state's list of biggest wildfires -- in the second and third spots, falling only behind the mammoth Mendocino Complex two years ago. Heeter writes:
Nearly 12,000 firefighters are on the front lines of almost two dozen major wildfires and complexes, spanning the entire state of California. These wildfires have burned more than 770,000 acres as of Friday morning — roughly the state of Rhode Island — and some are burning uncontained as of Saturday.
And now, two of the largest wildfires raging in Northern California have shot to the top of the state’s superlatives list.
The LNU Lightning Complex became the second-largest wildfire in California history on Friday night, jumping up to 314,207 acres by Saturday. It’s still well behind the all-time largest fire, the Mendocino Complex, which erupted in July 2018 in Lake and Mendocino counties and reached 459,123 acres before it was put out several months later. That’s about half of the size of Sacramento County or five times the size of the city of Sacramento.
Even on its own, the Hennessy Fire would make it to the state’s top five. The fire is the largest of the LNU fires and is mostly contained to Napa County. It had charred 261,793 acres and was 15% contained as of Saturday morning.
Meanwhile, the SCU Lightning Complex became the third-largest fire after chewing through 291,968 acres (456.2 square miles), according to Saturday update. That’s the equivalent of 10 San Franciscos. The fires are burning in three distinct zones within Santa Clara, Alameda, Stanislaus, Contra Costa and San Joaquin counties, Cal Fire said. These fires overtook the Thomas Fire in total acreage, which scorched 281,893 acres in Ventura and Santa Barbara counties in 2017.
Five people have died and 570 structures have burned (as of this morning), primarily in the LNU Lightning Complex in Sonoma, Lake, Napa, Yolo & Solano counties.
Fortunately, the two complexes (lightning-caused fires that merged) have been in rural areas. Fortunately, the two fire complexesd have destroyed only 570 structures, while the Camp Fire in 2018 that destroyed Paradise claimed 18,804 structures and 85 lives. In 2020, we have to find solace wherever we can.
Here is the list of 20 largest wildfires. Seventeen were after year 2000 and ten were after 2010.
- Electricity: Dale Kasler asks in The Bee whether the events over the last week have dampened California's renewable energy goals.
- Federal assistance: President Trump yesterday declared a major disaster in the areas of the two biggest fires.
- Outlook: The National Weather Service extended the high risk red flag warning to include today through Tuesday as more lightning without significant precipitation is possible.
-The numbers: The state added 151 deaths yesterday for a total of 12,139. The trends are not good. Yesterday, reported large numbers of deaths in San Bernardino (62), Los Angeles (45), and Orange (14) counties.
Source: LA Times
-Unemployment: In the Chron, Kathleen Pender writes that California's application for the continue $300/week in supplemental unemployment benefits have been approved. The Trump Administration back off the initial proposal of requiring a $100/week state match.
The state will receive an initial amount of $4.5 billion, with the possibility of additional funding.
The $300 a week supplement will be available for a minimum of three weeks, retroactive to Aug. 1, to people who are “currently eligible to receive at least $100 per week in benefits, and who have provided a self-certification that they are unemployed or partially unemployed due to disruptions caused by COVID-19,” the department said.
The state agency did not say how soon it will be able to pay out benefits. It will require some system changes, because the eligibility requirements are somewhat different from other unemployment insurance programs.
SESSION: Lobbyist Chris Micheli shares the deadlines over the last eight days of the Legislature's regular session.
August 24 – 31 Floor Session only. Only Rules Committees or Conference Committees or policy committees hearing substantially amended bills on concurrence may meet during this time.
August 24 Last day to submit amendments to Assembly Desk in order to amend by August 25. Last day to adopt resolutions on Assembly Floor.
August 25 Last day to amend bills on either Floor; amendments to ABs on Senate Floor due by 5pm today.
August 27 Last day to adopt chaptering amendments on either Floor. Last day to notice intent to remove a bill from the Inactive File. Amendments to ABs on Senate Floor address chaptering or double jointing due by 12 noon today.
August 31 Last day for each house to pass bills, except urgency clause, tax levy measures.
cakeday and classifieds after the jump...
CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Barry Broad, Ed Emerson, Dani Kando-Kaiser, Rebecca Prozan, Kevin Sabo, and Karo Torossian!
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Research Analyst, Full-Time (remote)
Probolsky Research is a market and opinion research company based in Newport Beach, California. We are woman and Latina-owned. We are non-partisan, independent researchers passionate about accuracy, data security, and using storytelling to make data usable.
The Research Analyst is responsible for facilitating market and opinion research projects from instrument design to project fulfillment, final research deliverables and presentation to client.
- Competitive salary commensurate with experience
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Location: We are a virtual company – work from anywhere
California School Boards Association - Public Affairs & Community Engagement Representative (LA North/Ventura)
Serve as CSBA’s liaison to local schools and county boards of education, key decision makers, and the community-at-large. Execute grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. Remote position based in the following location: LA North/Ventura. Salary based on experience. Please apply at: https://www.csba.org/About/Careers
OFFICES AVAILABLE TO SUBLEASE
Between 1-3 unfurnished offices are available for sublease in the Wells Fargo office building, 400 Capital Mall Sacramento, CA 95814. The offices are approximately 12’X10’ each. Internet, gym. 24/7/365 key card access; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Tricia Horan at Tricia.Horan@CALawyers.org
or 415-919-7990 with questions.
Offices available for sublease: Meridian Plaza
Between 1-3 offices are available for sublease in the Meridian Plaza office building, 1415 L Street, two blocks from the Capitol. The offices are approximately 150 SF each. Internet, gym, partially furnished (desk, chair, bookcases) are included. 24/7/365 key card access; floor-ceiling windows facing Sierras; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Jane at firstname.lastname@example.org or (415) 577-9734 with questions.
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