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GENERAL ELECTION DATA POINTS
ATCpro SUBSCRIBER UPDATES: [A full list of recent election analysis is on the subscribers home page. If you have forgotten or haven't set a password, use the forgot password tool]
- CA21 (Coalinga-Lemoore-South Bakersfield): updated analysis and rating change from Leans Dem to Toss-up (2020-08-15)
- CA25 (Santa Clarita-Palmdale): updated analysis (Toss-up) - money update
- CA39 (Diamond Bar-Fullerton-Yorba Linda): updated analysis (Leans Democrat) - money update
- CA45 (Anaheim Hills-Tustin-Irvine): updated analysis (Likely Democrat) - money update
The Nooner for Friday, August 21, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners
- Money Matters
- The numbers
- State monitoring list
- Weather, Electricity, and Fires
- She's just a state and she's on fire
- Business impact of the twofer
- AB 5, Uber, and Lyft
- Teevee ads - special session?
- cakeday, farewell, and classifieds
MONEY MATTERS: (highlights from daily campaign finance reports):
I am generally only including main committees. I try to exclude feeder committee that gather money before sending it to a the main committee, which would lead to duplication. However, it's impossible to know. Generally, I am including daily reports exceeding $100,000.
- No on 15 (split roll): $20,000 from the National Association of Home Builders
- No on 21 (rent control): $20,000 from the National Association of Home Builders
- Yes on 22 (transportation network exemption from AB 5): $109,327 from DoorDash (nonmonetary, in-kind)
Buenos dias! I have four housecleaners in my place (9:30am). I had a housekeeper every other week in Davis and Amalia was great. After the divorce, I have had no others. Now the property owners are trying to sell the place. My 2020 is like most of yours.
Let's get to it after the jump!
I'm so tired, but I have certainly slept many winks! My stretch of sleep of 6 hours continues, but 2020 is exhausting. I know many Noonerites are also parents of school-age kiddoes, so I don't pretend that my life is more difficult than yours.
Meanwhile, on my morning walk, the sun was orange and you could look directly at it. That's not a good thing and we'll get to that below.
- The numbers: California added 141 deaths yesterday for a total of 11,833. The leading counties in yesterday's numbers were Los Angeles (51), Orange (23), and Stanislaus (11).
- The first case: A team at the LAT writes about the first case of COVID-19 in California and it's well before we knew of the virus' spread in California.]
The family arrived at Los Angeles International Airport on the way home from a Mexican vacation that had been short-lived and unpleasant. They had been exhausted, the father was battling a nasty stomach bug, and even before they settled into their Cancun hotel, they got word of the sudden death of the wife’s mother in their hometown: Wuhan, China.
The couple and their toddler son wanted to get back for the funeral and planned to be at LAX just long enough to switch planes. But as they passed through Tom Bradley International Terminal on Jan. 22, the father was overcome with a fever and body aches and approached a customs officer for help.
The family did not make their flight that Wednesday night and, indeed, would not return to China for more than a month. The father, Qian Lang, became the first confirmed case of COVID-19 in Los Angeles and the fourth in the United States. He remained the sole patient diagnosed with the virus here for five weeks, passing most of that time in top-secret isolation at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center.
The 38-year-old salesman played an important role, not widely known until now, in a frantic race to understand the deadly new virus before it hit the United States in full force. Public health officials and researchers looked to him as a real-time, flesh-and-blood case study.
Great story. If you are not a subscriber to the LAT and can afford to, be a subscriber. You know that I subscribe to around "20 papers," but if I was down to one in California, it would be the Times. As a kid, I used to practice diagramming sentences from the LAT and still love what's churned out daily although I've moved from diagramming sentences to the NYT crossword as the end of my day. Well, to be honest, I finish the crossword Monday through Wednesday and celebrate completed items on the other days.
- Business: For the SacBizJournal, Felicia Alvarez writes about the confluence of wildfires and COVID-19 with businesses allowed to operate only outdoors yet the air quality is now miserable. Alvarez writes:
In July, state health officials required businesses from bars that serve food to nail salons to move their operations outdoors, which is seen as lower risk for transmission of the coronavirus. Sacramento, Yolo and Placer counties saw additional closures of personal service-based businesses, due to surging Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations.
Since then, businesses including gyms, restaurants, nail salons, massage therapists and barbershops have been allowed to resume business — if they conduct it outdoors.
The recent heat wave and wildfires are forcing businesses to further alter their operations.
Yes, I debated whether this item goes under the COVID header or the Fires header. That is so 2020.
WEATHER, ELECTRICITY, AND FIRES:
- Fires: As I get up each morning, I look at the CalFire page, which is the other crisis we have. Look at the last reported sizes of the two largest. On my morning walk, the sun was orange and you could look directly at it, which of course is strange making it possible by the blanket of smoke.
The LNU complex is comprised of multiple fires in Napa, Sonoma, Lake, Yolo, and Solano counties and responsible for the ash many of us have seen in Sacramento. SCU is multiple fires in Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus counties.
-Déjà vu: A team at the Times reports that the fires are déjà vu for Bay Area residents and looks at why the region is so vulnerable.
From the Salinas Valley to wine country, smoke as thick as fog in some places made it feel as if flames were everywhere. Thousands fled to shelters and hotels, the pandemic ever present but posing a distant risk compared to fire. In the Sonoma County town of Healdsburg, under an evacuation warning, residents prepared to leave, some for the third time in four years.
So many fires burned in the numerous low mountain ranges surrounding the San Francisco Bay that the region was home to the world’s worst air quality Wednesday night and Thursday morning, according to the website PurpleAir.
In all, more than 492,000 acres have burned in Northern and Central California — the equivalent of 762 square miles, more than the land area of the city of Los Angeles. At least 134 structures have been destroyed, and while the combination of heat and wind eased slightly Thursday, it is not expected to taper off soon.
“In the past four days, there have been over 370 new wildfires, “said Daniel Berlant, a Cal Fire information officer, “with two dozen of the major fires still burning in California.”
He said 60,000 people are under evacuation orders, and 100,000 more are under warnings.
- FIRES: When I get both Jon Fleischman and Solano liberal Dem activist Don Lowrie retweet the same post, you know the ish is up! Of course, California is just a girl on fire.
- Newsom at Trump: Phil Willon writes in the Times about Governor Gavin Newsom's criticism of President Trump during his appearance during last night's conclusion of the Democratic National Convention.
In a video appearance Thursday at the Democratic National Convention, Gov. Gavin Newsom tore into President Trump for threatening to strip federal funding for wildfire prevention in California after nearly 500,000 acres burned in storm-related lightning strikes, criticizing him further for trying to dismantle the state’s landmark vehicle emission standards.
The Democratic governor’s attack of Trump, while not surprising during a presidential election, marked a departure from his hesitancy over the last months to attack the president’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Newsom has consistently said that the lives at stake in the crisis are more important than engaging in partisan politics.
But Newsom rekindled his criticism of Trump — which has focused on the president’s environmental and immigration policies — on national television Thursday evening.
“Just today, the president of the United States threatened the state of California, 40 million Americans who happen to live here in the state of California, to defund our efforts on wildfire suppression because he said we hadn’t raked enough leaves. I can’t make that up,” Newsom said in a three-minute video.
AB 5 (Gonzalez): For Politico, Jeremy B. White reports that the Ninth Circuit yesterday stayed the district court ruling that required Uber and Lyft to classify drivers as employees rather than the current status as independent contractors. Both companies, which are sponsoring a November ballot measure to exempt transportation network companies from AB 5, had threatened to shut down operations in California until after that election.
TEEVEE ADS: The California Teachers Association, SEIU State Council, and California Medical Assocation are on the air with ads calling on the Legislature to continue working after the scheduled end of session of August 31. As I have written, the Legislature can meet between September 1 and November 30, but can only pass urgency bills, bills providing for tax levies or appropriations for the usual expenditures of the state, or bills calling for an election. However, Governor Newsom can call one or more special sessions to give us the pretty colors of multiple daily files.
Hmmm...are Daily Files even being printed right now?
cakeday and classifieds after the jump...
CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to former State Senator Elaine Alquist and Bryan Miller!
FAREWELL: Former Assembly Member Gwen Moore (1940-2020)
That's another tough one for me. Gwen carried many higher ed bills in my early years of lobbying for community colleges including my time as a student advocate. Christopher Cabaldon was chief consultant to Assembly Higher Ed under chair Marguerite Archie-Hudson. While Elaine Alquist was chair, Paul Mitchell was chief consultant of Assembly Higher Ed when she chaired the committee after Archie-Hudson. Happy birthday Elaine and condolences to the family and friends of Gwen Moore.
Yes, I've been here THAT long.
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California State University: Legislative Advocate
The California State University, Office of the Chancellor, is seeking a Legislative Advocate to accept primary responsibility for subject matter expertise, analysis, political strategy and advocacy in the areas assigned. In collaboration with the DSR, the Legislative Advocate will help identify and define issues that may impact the CSU; coordinate with Chancellor's Office (CO) staff and the DSR to develop comprehensive analysis of proposed legislation; and participate in the formulation of approaches and strategies for assigned issue areas.
For additional information and to apply, visit: https://apptrkr.com/1982855
Research Analyst, Full-Time (remote)
Probolsky Research is a market and opinion research company based in Newport Beach, California. We are woman and Latina-owned. We are non-partisan, independent researchers passionate about accuracy, data security, and using storytelling to make data usable.
The Research Analyst is responsible for facilitating market and opinion research projects from instrument design to project fulfillment, final research deliverables and presentation to client.
- Competitive salary commensurate with experience
- Company-funded medical insurance
- Paid vacation
Location: We are a virtual company – work from anywhere
California School Boards Association - Public Affairs & Community Engagement Representative (LA North/Ventura)
Serve as CSBA’s liaison to local schools and county boards of education, key decision makers, and the community-at-large. Execute grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. Remote position based in the following location: LA North/Ventura. Salary based on experience. Please apply at: https://www.csba.org/About/Careers
OFFICES AVAILABLE TO SUBLEASE
Between 1-3 unfurnished offices are available for sublease in the Wells Fargo office building, 400 Capital Mall Sacramento, CA 95814. The offices are approximately 12’X10’ each. Internet, gym. 24/7/365 key card access; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Tricia Horan at Tricia.Horan@CALawyers.org
or 415-919-7990 with questions.
Offices available for sublease: Meridian Plaza
Between 1-3 offices are available for sublease in the Meridian Plaza office building, 1415 L Street, two blocks from the Capitol. The offices are approximately 150 SF each. Internet, gym, partially furnished (desk, chair, bookcases) are included. 24/7/365 key card access; floor-ceiling windows facing Sierras; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Jane at firstname.lastname@example.org or (415) 577-9734 with questions.
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