Around The Capitol

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ATCpro SUBSCRIBER UPDATES[A full list of recent election analysis is on the subscribers home page. If you have forgotten or haven't set a password, use the forgot password tool]

*=today's updates

  • CA21 (Coalinga-Lemoore-South Bakersfield): updated analysis and rating change from Leans Dem to Toss-up (2020-08-15)
  • CA25 (Santa Clarita-Palmdale):  updated analysis (Toss-up) - money update
  • CA39 (Diamond Bar-Fullerton-Yorba Linda): updated analysis (Leans Democrat) - money update
  • CA45 (Anaheim Hills-Tustin-Irvine): updated analysis (Likely Democrat) - money update

The Nooner for Thursday, August 20, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners

  • Money Matters
  • COVID-19
    • The numbers
    • State monitoring list
  • cakeday and classifieds

Yes, I was rooting for the Portland Trailblazers last night, because a big part of my family has nothing else going on. Sorry amazing sis and dad, but the Portland crew cares more about watching basketball.

MONEY MATTERS: (highlights from daily campaign finance reports):

I am generally only including main committees. I try to exclude feeder committee that gather money before sending it to a the main committee, which would lead to duplication. However, it's impossible to know. Generally, I am including daily reports exceeding $100,000.

  • No on 21 (rent control): $452,950 from 40 contributions, including 

¡Feliz juevas! I make my living on understanding and forecasting California politics. I'm pretty good, but four years ago there is no way that I would suggest that Kamala Harris would be on the ticket in 2020 let alone a fave for the top in 2024 or 2028. My head is spinning...

If the ticket wins on November 3 (well, likely sometime in December), I'm of course playing the parlor game. From my tweets yesterday:

I make my living on understanding and forecasting California politics. I'm pretty good, but four years ago there is no way that I would suggest that Kamala Harris would be on the ticket in 2020 let alone a fave for the top in 2024 or 2028. My head is spinning...

2020 is changing so many of our lives. I am verklempt, but there is a Californian on the ticket for the first time since 1988. Most of us still love Ronnie.

Let's get to it after the jump!


- The numbers: Yesterday, 157 deaths were added to the toll in California, bringing the total to 11,692. Namu Amida Butsu. We have an Assembly Chaplain for the second session in a row from the Buddhist Church of Sacramento and from private conservations, members in both parties (and Mayes) have loved the Oshitas. Reverend Bob served as chaplain in the 2017-18 session and his wife Reverend Patti is the chaplain in the 2019-2020 Assembly session, but of course, there are no "regular" sessions.

Yesterday, Placer was also removed the state monitoring list, joining Sandy Eggo. It will be very to see how the San Diego public officer joins the conservative group.

cakeday and classifieds after the jump...

Probolsky Research

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to former SPI Delaine Eastin, Sherri Loveland, Danny Martinez, Ngoc Nguyen, and Alex Vassar!


Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing, with a headline, a summary of up to 200 words, and what you'd like the end date to be. You can attach a PDF or provide a link for a bigger job description/info to apply. [Other advertising options]

California State University: Legislative Advocate

The California State University, Office of the Chancellor, is seeking a Legislative Advocate to accept primary responsibility for subject matter expertise, analysis, political strategy and advocacy in the areas assigned. In collaboration with the DSR, the Legislative Advocate will help identify and define issues that may impact the CSU; coordinate with Chancellor's Office (CO) staff and the DSR to develop comprehensive analysis of proposed legislation; and participate in the formulation of approaches and strategies for assigned issue areas.

For additional information and to apply, visit:


Research Analyst, Full-Time (remote)

Probolsky Research is a market and opinion research company based in Newport Beach, California. We are woman and Latina-owned. We are non-partisan, independent researchers passionate about accuracy, data security, and using storytelling to make data usable.

The Research Analyst is responsible for facilitating market and opinion research projects from instrument design to project fulfillment, final research deliverables and presentation to client.


  • Competitive salary commensurate with experience
  • Company-funded medical insurance
  • Paid vacation

Location: We are a virtual company – work from anywhere

California School Boards Association - Public Affairs & Community Engagement Representative (LA North/Ventura)
Serve as CSBA’s liaison to local schools and county boards of education, key decision makers, and the community-at-large. Execute grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. Remote position based in the following location: LA North/Ventura. Salary based on experience. Please apply at:
Between 1-3 unfurnished offices are available for sublease in the Wells Fargo office building, 400 Capital Mall Sacramento, CA 95814. The offices are approximately 12’X10’ each. Internet, gym. 24/7/365 key card access; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Tricia Horan at or 415-919-7990 with questions.
Offices available for sublease: Meridian Plaza

Between 1-3 offices are available for sublease in the Meridian Plaza office building, 1415 L Street, two blocks from the Capitol. The offices are approximately 150 SF each. Internet, gym, partially furnished (desk, chair, bookcases) are included. 24/7/365 key card access; floor-ceiling windows facing Sierras; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Jane at or (415) 577-9734 with questions.

Photos: 1 | 2 | 3

Political Data Inc.
For 30 Years PDI has been California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week: