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GENERAL ELECTION DATA POINTS
The Nooner for Wednesday, August 19, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners
MONEY MATTERS: (highlights from daily campaign finance reports):
I am generally only including main committees. I try to exclude feeder committee that gather money before sending it to a the main committee, which would lead to duplication. However, it's impossible to know. Generally, I am including daily reports exceeding $100,000.
Happy humpday! It's another crazy day at Nooner Global HQ. While I was up at 5, Senate Approps is taking up much of my morning. Like yesterday, I'll be short this morning and will send out a Nooner Nightcap if something can't wait until tomorrow.
Otherwise on my schedule for today is 5pm: Trash. Google just reminded me of that. Since we take recycle out every other week, I actually put it on the calendar. Tomorrow morning is not a recycle day. I tried to put the year 2020 in the trash can to haul out tonight, but it came with so much baggage that it didn't fit in the "can."
Can. The kiddoes today don't remember dragging those metal cans down the driveway and hearing that awful sound that the chore made. They probably see Oscar the Grouch popping out of his metal can and query why he's not in a modern plastic container with wheels. If I had kids, that would be my "walking to school through two feet of snow" story...
Anyway, it's day 3 of the Max Headroom Democratic National Politicalpalooza. Tonight's speakers include Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Elizabeth Warren, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, and Kamala Harris. Meanwhile, the Angels-Giants series continues although the stupid schedule required everybody to pack and move from Anaheim to San Francisco for another two games. Some climate watcher can share with me the emissions of those two flights. That said, everybody playing and coaching will be happy moving from temps of 100 yesterday to high 70s in the city by the Bay tonight.
Oh my, 2020 stands for a lot of things. At the one-person show at Nooner Global HQ, it feels like playing Whack-a-Mole daily and skimming the surface. ¡Lo siento, mis amigos!
Let's get to it after the jump!
- The numbers: The state added 185 deaths yesterday bringing the total to 11,527. The largest numbers were reported in Los Angeles (68), San Bernardino (48), Kern (12), and San Joaquin (11).
Again, this likely reflects low reporting over the weekend, which you can see in the chart below.
Source: Los Angeles Times
Meanwhile, while deaths are a lagging indicator and new confirmed cases and positivity rate are leading indicators, the current indicator of hospitalizations looks good in most counties. From yesterday's Los Angeles County release:
- The state monitoring list: As expected, San Diego was dropped from the state monitoring list yesterday. In the SDUT, Paul Sisson and Morgan Cook write:
Counties on the monitoring list for three consecutive days are required to shut down indoor operations in the following industries:
Indoor operations in ALL COUNTIES are still prohibited from allowing the operation of:
- School daze: Yesterday, I was listening to a podcast on my very sweaty afternoon walk. I can't remember which pod it was, but it was a teacher at a school that gives parents and kids the choice of in-person, distance, or blended learning. The teacher talked about how she essentially has two full-time jobs or providing instruction in-person and over the interwebs. She was not in California, but I would love to hear about how things are playing out in California.
WEATHER, ELECTRICITY, AND FIRE:
- Electricity: In the SDUT, Rob Nikolewski writes that California's increasing movement toward renewable energy raises questions about the reliability of the state's electricity grid.
Add in to the factors that we're mostly at home. Over this week and next, people aren't gathering for convention watch parties as in previous presidential cycles. We're watching in our own domiciles, while also doing New York Times crossword puzzles on our 'puters. Thus, we have so many more air conditioners and devices sucking down the juice just as that damn sun stops recharging us.
Tonight is going to be another close call between supply and demand and rolling blackouts are again possible.
When I went for my morning walk, the same was true in Sacramento. There was ash everywhere. It was like a mash-up of 2020 and 2018. Fortunately, we all have masks that are now a two-fer. It's unclear where the ash in Sacramento is coming from, as there are fires in the Sierras and a huge complex of several fires that started yesterday by a lightning strikes. The SCU Lightning Complex, which is in Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus counties is 85,000 acres and only 5% contained.
There is also a LNU Lightning Complex in Napa and Sonoma counties, which was 46,225 acres and 0% contained at the last update as well as CZU Complex in Santa Clara and Santa Cruz Counties, which was 10,000 acres and 0% contained.
As of this writing (around 10:00am), there were 33 fires active on the CalFire site, which include several complexes like those above. As we've seen in recent years, when fires merge they become a complex.
From several sources, I am told that the state's air resources are completely tapped out, including both fixed-wing and copters. Fortunately, while dozens of structures have been destroyed or damaged, most of the fires are still in undeveloped areas. This is largely because of the lightning-caused fires, which generally start in forested areas. That's good from a human cost perspective, but it is also because the fires are in terrain very difficult for firefighters to put down the flames.
There's also good news in the wind situation. Oddly for longtime SacTown folks who are used to hot days followed by hot nights with dry, warm winds coming from the northeast, the winds are coming onshore. Generally that means cooler. However, we have the combination of the high pressure system driving heat and the remnant moisture and disturbance from former Tropical Storm Fausto which is halfway between Baja and Hawaii now. It's truly a weird combination but, then again, it's 2020.
POLICING: For Politico, Jeremy B. White looks at how the legislative push for reform of police use of force in California is shaping the national agenda.
APPROPS AND TELE-TESTIMONY: Yesterday's Assembly Appropriations Committee hearing was wild and I am sure Senate Approps (listening to now) will be largely the same. The phone lines were packed with opponents of housing-density bills SB 902 (Wiener) and SB 1120 (Atkins) who support the SB 1299 (Portantino) relating to facilitating housing at idle retail sites, the "sons" of the controversial SB 50 that stalled last year.
There were also lots of callers opposing SB 9, the bill that would facilitate the sale of CalTrans residential property purchased through eminent domain but not used by CalTrans for the intended purposes and instead turned into rental properties, particularly in the longstanding project to extend the 710 to connect with the 210 in Los Angeles. The opponents of the bills are the renters, although low-income housing advocates support the bill as it would prioritize the sale by CalTrans to affordable housing organizations.
There were also several callers opposing SB 793 (Hill), the flavored tobacco bill.
This morning, I have been listening to Senate Appropriations and it's been, ugh. There has been a caller over the last week who keeps calling in and stating her name as "Open up California." She then goes on a rant about socialism and all sorts of other things that -- let me check my abacus -- have nothing to do with any bills on the agenda.
Anyway, the hopes of continued tele-testimony (which I support) die with each hearing. There needs to be a quick registration of me-toos with name, organization (if any), and position, after which a phone number is shown. That can easily be done by an intern at one of California's many tech companies. I'm sure Zuck would lend somebody.
AB 70 (Berman): Private, nonprofit colleges: On August 9th, I wrote about AB 70, Marc Berman's bill that seeks to continue state oversight over private, for-profit colleges that separate their functions into a nonprofit to evade oversight yet contracts back to the former for-profit entity.
Based on the withdrawal of the motion of Do Pass with Amendments to Appropriations that appears at 6:39:40 in the video, I thought the bill was dead for the year via request by the author.
But, it's 2020, so "it is what it is." The bill is up in Senate Appropriations with the hostile amendments today and the motion shows up in the bill's history.
SB 793 (Hill): Flavored tobacco products. Yesterday, I wrote about the ads by Reynolds America Inc. accusing legislators voting for the flavored tobacco ban of siding with the wealth with exemptions while disproportionately affecting Black and Latino consumers. Well, the television war continues on both sides, with the humorous, cartoon-like ads supporting the bill and with new ads opposing the bill by the convenience store industry and apparently funded largely by Altria according to the disclosure. Altria owns a large stake in JUUL.
cakeday and NEW classifieds after the jump...
CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Elizabeth Bojórquez, Olivia Lee, and former Assembly Member Cameron Smyth!