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- KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): former Rep. Katie Hill (2020-08-13)
- Inside Golden State Politics (Bill Boyarsky and Sherry Bebitch Jeffe): Kamala! and what's next? (2020-08-13)
- Inside Golden State Politics (Bill Boyarsky and Sherry Bebitch Jeffe): The media's challenge: Reporting the pandemic election. (2020-08-06)
- The Axe Files (David Axelrod @ CNN/UChicago): Rep. Karen Bass (D-Los Angeles) on her background and the veepstakes (2020-08-06)
- Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Dr. Barbara O’Connor, Professor Emeritus at CSU Sacramento (2020-08-02)
The Nooner for Friday, August 14, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners
- The numbers
- Federal aid
- State response
- Higher ed
- Sac County
- Trump v. USPS
- Taxing matters
- Governor's Office
- AB 5 and gig work
- Charter schools
- Living DaVita Loca
- cakeday and classifieds
GENERAL ELECTION DATA POINTS
ATCpro SUBSCRIBER UPDATES: [A full list of recent election analysis is on the subscribers home page. If you have forgotten or haven't set a password, use the forgot password tool]
- CA39 (Diamond Bar-Fullerton-Yorba Linda): updated analysis (Leans Dem)
- CA53 (SD Balboa Park-La Mesa-El Cajon): updated analysis (Safe Dem - Dem-Dem general)
- SD29 (Diamond Bar-Fullerton): updated anaysis (Toss-up)
- SD37 (Anaheim Hills-Irvine): updated anaysis (Leans Dem)
- AD68 (Anaheim Hills-Orange-Tustin-Irvine): updated anaysis (Toss-up)
- AD55 (Diamond Bar-Yorba Linda): updated analysis (Toss-up)
- AD77 (North San Diego): updated analysis (Safe Democratic)
- SD15 (San José): updated analysis (Safe Democratic)
- SD11 (San Francisco): updated analysis (Safe Dem - Dem v. Dem) - money update
- SD21 (Santa Clarita-Antelope Valley): updated analysis (Toss-up) - money update
- AD16 (Walnut Creek-Pleasanton-Livermore): updated analysis (Safe Dem) - money update
- AD38 (Santa Clarita): updated analysis (Safe Rep - Rep v. Rep) - money update
- AD65 (Buena Park-Fullerton): updated analysis (Safe Dem) - money update
- AD74 (OC Beach Cities-Costa Mesa-Irvine): updated analysis (Leans Dem) - money update
- AD76 (North San Diego Coast): updated analysis (Safe Dem) - money update
- *AD42 (Cathedral City, Twenty-Nine Palms, Yucaipa): updated analysis (Likely Independent)
MONEY MATTERS (highlights from daily campaign finance reports):
Most of the reports until closer to the election will be ballot measures and I am generally only including main committees. There are some, like agriculture against Prop 15, but I don't include it as it may be a feeder committee that ends up in the main committee, which would lead to duplication. On ballot measures, this is not every committee report, but generally receipts of over $10,000 in a day.
- No on 15 (split roll): $24,000 from 5 donors
- No on 21 (rent control): $47,200 from 2 donors
- No on 22 (dialysis): $21,871,991 from 2 donors ($19,585,683 from DaVita and 2,286,308 from US Renal Care)
¡Feliz viernes! The heat wave is hear, with a high of 108 forecast for today in SacTown. The stretch is expected to peak Monday-Tuesday at 111, without falling below triple digits until a week from Sunday. The weekend through Tuesday will likely be the worst with lows in the mid 70s before dropping into the high 60s on Wednesday. I'm guessing lots of people will eschew cooking in the heat (which is present in most parts of the state). If you use delivery, consider the heat and tip your driver well.
Albeit warm, I slept six hours straight last night and, instead of starting work at 3am yesterday, I didn't get out of my bed until 4:30. I got a bit of yoga in and have had a great morning of work.
As referenced in ATCpro updates above, I've moved AD42 (Cathedral City, Twenty-Nine Palms, Yucaipa) to "Likely Independent." That meant I had to figure out where in the code of the website I needed to adjust for that. I think I have it taken care of, but add that to an otherwise already busy morning.
Let's get to it after the jump!
- The Numbers: California added 186 deaths yesterday for a total of 10,999. The 7-day average is 139.1 deaths per day, and may have plateaued. The counties with the largest number of deaths were Los Angeles (60), Riverside (26), Orange (24), and Merced (15). Over the last 14 days, Merced leads the state in new confirmed cases per capital, with 927.6 cases per 100,000.
- Federal aid: Hopes for a deal on the next phase of federal relief as the crisis continues were dashed yesterday when Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell recessed the session until September 8. The hopes of receiving at least $14 billion in state assistance for California by October 15 to avoid the cuts and deferrals included in the 2020-21 Budget Act are dwindling. For state assistance between $2 billion and $14 billion, the cuts would be assessed proportionally.
- State response: In the Times, Taryn Luna and Melody Gutierrez write that resignations in the state's public health administration have impeded the state's response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The numerous changes have increased pressure on California’s underfunded state health departments as they try to keep pace with the governor’s flurry of announcements on new guidelines, programs and policy changes, which one former agency official likened to a daily fire drill. Public health leaders at the state and county levels have also become a target of hostility over business and mask restrictions.
Since September, four people have worked as director of the Department of Health Care Services, which oversees the state’s MediCal healthcare program that serves 13 million low-income and vulnerable residents.
When the director of the California Department of Managed Health Care retired last month, the acting chief deputy director of the department stepped in to fill both roles.
The exodus includes holdovers from former Gov. Jerry Brown’s administration that Newsom was slow to replace. Others have left under more unexpected circumstances.
- Evictions: The Judicial Council of California yesterday voted to have eviction and mortgage foreclosure hearings resume September 1, while urging the Legislature to take action on a statutory solution before session ends August 31. Obviously, this is a subject on which Governor Newsom could call a special session, thus allowing action after sine die August 31.
- Education: In The Bee, Hannah Wiley looks at what teachers and other school unions have won so far to protect the safety of their members and students during the pandemic and what else they are seeking before full reopening, and money is a big part of it at a time when .
Despite the victories, the association and other public employee unions argue the administration and Legislature are still falling woefully short in efforts to educate students while protecting them from COVID-19.
On Aug. 10, the groups announced a push to fill an eventual $17.8 billion hole in K-12 funding. They said the money is needed to send thousands of laptops and internet hot-spots into students’ and teachers’ homes, support deep-cleaning efforts and provide training opportunities for staff who work with students with disabilities.
“We can’t continue to kick the can down the road when it comes to funding our schools and students,” association President E. Toby Boyd said in a statement. “We are in the midst of historic and severe health, economic and racial crises and all eyes are on state lawmakers to provide leadership and address before it’s too late.”
Meanwhile, Kristen Taketa reports in the Union-Trib that mostly private schools have requested a waiver to reopen in-person instruction.
At least 48 schools in San Diego County have applied to reopen through the county’s waiver process — all but four are private or parochial schools.
One school district has applied — Rancho Santa Fe, an affluent district with two schools and 560 students.
Some observers say it’s a sign that children who attend private or small public schools are likely to be the first in the county to get to return to in-person learning. Meanwhile children attending the county’s largest school districts will likely have to wait months for their schools to reopen.
- Higher ed: Maria Heeter writes for The Bee on positive cases at Sac State.
Twenty-one students, faculty and staff who have been to the Sacramento State campus in the past three weeks have tested positive for COVID-19, university officials said.
In a letter to community members Thursday, President Robert S. Nelsen said the reason he shared the information was “not to raise alarm, but to ensure that everyone understands the seriousness of this virus.”
- Jail: In The Bee, Jason Pohl reports that Sacramento County Sheriff Scott Jones is refusing to share testing and case data with the state board overseeing the spread of COVID-19 among inmates and staff in the county's jails.
Following months of demands from experts, officials and advocates, the Board of State and Community Corrections recently launched an online dashboard tracking COVID-19 in California jails. The website includes data about the number of inmates with active cases, the number of tests conducted, and how many people are hospitalized.
But Sacramento County is one of just two counties that said it will not provide the information to the state. The other is Tehama County.
By not reporting the data, the public must rely on news reporters to ask for updates — and even then, Sacramento and other counties waited days to release the information.
“After a review of the BSCC tracking system, the Sheriff’s Office does not believe that the data being collected is comprehensive enough to show a complete picture related to COVID and our jail system,” spokeswoman Tess Deterding said in a statement. “For that reason, we have elected not to share information.”
- Sandy Eggo: In the SDUT, Paul Sisson reports that San Diego County is getting close to falling off the state's monitoring list, allowing certain businesses to resume operations.
Though leaving the list appeared imminent Thursday, local officials worked to temper expectations, noting that resuming indoor activities is at the state’s discretion and, with the exception of school districts, the governor has not yet said how long he will wait to lift restrictions for those who manage to keep their numbers of new cases within the bounds his administration has set.
This is not, leaders stressed, the kind of news that should have residents ripping off their masks. The most-watched number in San Diego since Tony Gwynn’s batting average must stay below 100 for 17 straight days for schools serving grades 7 to 12 to reopen, and businesses and churches are not likely to reopen for long if everyone abandons discipline to party like they used to.
The numbers are new confirmed cases less than 100 per 100,000 residents, test positivity rate below 8%, and ICU bed availability below 20% over the previous 14 days. San Diego is still at 151.6 with a test positivity rate of 9.6%, according to the state's page. San Diego's reopening does not appear to be imminent.
For Sacratomatoens, new confirmed cases over the last 14 days are 190.7. While the county is currently okay in test positivity (6.1%), the third metric used by the state is ICU bed availability below 20%. Sacto is currently exactly at 20%.
TRUMP V. USPS: Ben Christopher looks at whether President Trump's (and appointee Postmaster General Louis DeJoy) meddling with postal service operations could impede California's primarily all-mail election.
Speaking about the ongoing COVID relief negotiations on Fox Business, the president claimed that without new funding for the Postal Service, California and other states that plan to send every voter a ballot before the November election will be out of luck.
“Now, they need that money in order to have the post office work so it can take all of these millions and millions of ballots,” the president said. “If we don’t make a deal, that means they don’t get the money. That means they can’t have universal mail-in voting. They just can’t have it.”
“Without one additional dime, the Postal Service has both the capacity and the cash on hand to handle all the ballots that will be put in the mail this year,” [high-volume postal users lobbyist Alex] Sackler said. According to the Postal Service’s own number crunchers, the nation’s public mail delivery system has enough money to operate through the end of the year.
BUDGET: The Legislative Analyst's Office yesterday released its preliminary version of its overview of the 2020-21 state spending plan.
TAXING MATTERS: Yesterday, a group of some of the Legislature's more liberal Democrats unveiled a high-earner, high-wealth proposal that differs from the one announced earlier this year, for which a vote has likely been delayed until 2021 (as a new bill) but would be retroactive to cover tax year 2020.
The new proposal is reflected in the gut-and-amend AB 2088 (characterized as a "wealth tax," and lobbyist and friend of The Nooner Chris Micheli dives into the details.
The bill would impose a tax of 0.4% of a state resident’s worldwide net worth in excess of $30 million, or in excess of $15 million for married taxpayers filing separately. The bill defined worldwide net worth based upon reference to federal tax law. Worldwide net worth does not include specified assets such as directly-held real property or liabilities related to directly-held real property, pursuant to Section 50303.
Because AB 2088 would result in a change in state statute that would result in a taxpayer paying a higher tax within the meaning of Article XIIIA, Section 3 of the state constitution, it will require a 2/3 vote of both houses of the Legislature in order to reach the Governor’s Desk.
AB 2088, if signed into law by Governor Gavin Newson, would tax effect immediately as a tax levy. This bill constitutes a tax levy and, therefore, under Article IV of the state constitution, it goes into effect immediately upon chaptering. This is contained in Section 2 of the bill.
This should be fun...
Here are the members who are on the bill:
- Authors: Bonta, Carrillo, Chiu, Gonzalez, Kalra, Santiago, Mark Stone, Ting, and Wicks
- Principal Coauthors: Assembly Member Chu and Senator Skinner
- Coauthors: Assembly Member Jones-Sawyer and Senators Durazo and Gonzalez
I can't imaging Governor Newsom is super excited to see this bill pop up and is counting on mod Dems to make it go bye-bye before it reaches his desk.
GOVERNOR'S OFFICE: Emily Hoeven reports for CalMatters on the departure of three aides to Governor Newsom, including his top legislative liaison. They are:
- Legislative Secretary Anthony Williams
- Dan Seeman, deputy cabinet secretary who specialized in criminal justice and public safety policy (is departing to work on the campaign opposing Prop. 20)
- Chongtoua Mouavangsou, coordinator for external affairs - Central Valley
For the bill-signing period, special advisor Angie Wei and Chief Deputy Legislative Secretaries Joey Freeman and Stuart Thompson will manage the bill flow, reports Sophia Bollag in The Bee.
AB 5 AND GIG WORK: For CalMatters, Lauren Helper writes that the lawsuit by Attorney General Xavier Becerra against Uber and Lyft and Prop. 22 on the November ballot is just the beginning of California's war over the growing industry "gig" workers.
Whether or not the court order holds, the lawsuit brought by the state, combined with voters’ decision on Prop. 22, will be two big next steps in determining the fate of California gig workers, whose ranks have swelled amid record unemployment and pandemic lockdowns that have supercharged demand for delivery. At the same time, Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi is pleading his case in Washington, calling in a New York Times op-ed this week for a “third way” for gig workers, between full-time employment benefits and contract work with “almost no safety net.”
For labor groups, too, the battle over gig work in California has become a litmus test for 21st-century organizing. As unions align themselves with progressive activists and call for new taxes on businesses and wealthy individuals, advocates say they also aim to replicate gig workers’ push for benefits in other fragmented and fast-growing fields, like home health care.
CHARTER SCHOOLS: In the Register, Roxana Kopetman reports that four charter schools have sued the state over COVID-related actions funding schools based on February 2020 enrollment. The schools have seen average daily attendance increases while many regular public schools have struggled to get students to Zoom-in.
The four charters are among a number of schools in California that face financial problems because of what they claim is an unfair formula recently established by the state. Specifically, the schools expect their fall enrollment to exceed what they had in February, yet the state is allocating school funding for the upcoming year based on the February 2020 enrollment numbers.
LIVIN' DAVITA LOCA: With yesterday's $19.6 million, Denver-based dialysis clinic behemoth DaVita is up to $40,181,926 already in its effort to defeat SEIU-UHW's latest ballot measure to increase regulation of the industry. Wowzers...
CASINOS: For the Bee, David Kasler looks at the recent gaming compact between the state and Ione Band of Miwok Indians and asks whether the Sacramento region has room for another casino. It would be the third casino in Amador County, which most valley residents think of for the vineyards and farms among rolling hills.
The Ione Band’s venue would be the seventh casino in the greater Sacramento area, and possibly the eighth, depending on when a proposed tribal casino in Elk Grove gets built.
In any event, it will likely be years before the slot machines start chiming at the Ione Band’s facility, which would be located on 220 acres near Highway 49 in Plymouth. Tribal chair Sara Dutschke said Thursday that the Ione Band isn’t ready to announce a partnership with a casino development or management company — a crucial step in bringing any casino project to fruition.
Dutschke said the tribe is still in the early planning stages, and “coronavirus has made that process slow.”
The tribe is studying market conditions to “see what the market will bear,” she added. The compact with Newsom, which requires legislative approval, allows the tribe to operate as many as 1,200 slot machines, which would make it one of the smaller casinos in the Sacramento area.
Already the six tribal casinos in greater Sacramento operate nearly 13,000 slot machines, including the nearly 1,600 added when the area’s latest entrant, Hard Rock Resort & Casino, opened last October. The total rivals the Reno-Sparks market.
SAC COUNTY: For CapRadio, Scott Rodd looks at why the Sacramento County Sheriff's Office received more federal CARES Act funding than the county's public health department.
Sacramento County received $181 million in federal coronavirus aid but spent most of the funds on the sheriff’s office payroll and benefits, only approving $24 million for public health in recent weeks.
It’s taken over three months for the county to greenlight this federal funding for public health during the global pandemic, as Sacramento has seen a surge in coronavirus cases.
Meanwhile, the sheriff’s office does not have to worry too much about cost-saving cuts down the line, since it secured $104 million from the federal coronavirus fund early on.
Who’s to blame for the delay? Finger-pointing abounds. County officials say the public health office has secured funding from other sources, such as grants. But experts say taking that long to allocate federal coronavirus funds for public health has wasted critical time.
The story shows that the county is a total clusterf***. The county public health officer submitted a $45 million request that wasn't accepted by the committee overseeing the expenditure of funds.
In an interview, [county Health Services Director Dr. Peter Belienson] acknowledged he could have done more to help her navigate the request process. He also said the public health office has been “running now for six months on fumes,” despite days earlier indicating the office was in good shape.
But he was quick to take credit for the county’s recent approval of $24 million in federal aid for public health.
“[That] is mostly from me,” he said in an interview. “My requests in terms of contact tracers, in terms of testing, in terms of navigators.”
Meanwhile, the Sheriff's Office got bank.
cakeday and classifieds after the jump...
CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Dan Kalb, Ryan Morimune, Nina Kapoor Oliveira, Eva Spiegel, and Pamela Woudstra!
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Voices for Progress: Membership Associate
Voices for Progress (V4P) galvanizes the advocacy of business leaders, entrepreneurs, philanthropists, and other prominent individuals who unite to protect our climate, strengthen our democracy, and ensure economic and social justice for all. The Membership Associate will support the Membership team with activation of members for participation in public policy advocacy and other programmatic activities; ongoing member maintenance; maintaining data integrity within the membership and activities database; and assisting with the smooth functioning of the team. This position reports directly to the Membership Engagement Manager. The Membership Associate is a Non-Exempt position. Non-exempt employees are paid an hourly rate for hours worked and are eligible for overtime pay.
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Research Analyst, Full-Time (remote)
Probolsky Research is a market and opinion research company based in Newport Beach, California. We are woman and Latina-owned. We are non-partisan, independent researchers passionate about accuracy, data security, and using storytelling to make data usable.
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California School Boards Association - Public Affairs & Community Engagement Representative (LA North/Ventura)
Serve as CSBA’s liaison to local schools and county boards of education, key decision makers, and the community-at-large. Execute grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. Remote position based in the following location: LA North/Ventura. Salary based on experience. Please apply at: https://www.csba.org/About/Careers
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Between 1-3 offices are available for sublease in the Meridian Plaza office building, 1415 L Street, two blocks from the Capitol. The offices are approximately 150 SF each. Internet, gym, partially furnished (desk, chair, bookcases) are included. 24/7/365 key card access; floor-ceiling windows facing Sierras; professional offices. One year lease preferred. $1,500 per office. Contact Jane at firstname.lastname@example.org or (415) 577-9734 with questions.
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