Around The Capitol

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RECENT PODS:

  • Nooner Conversations (Scott Lay): Media Consumption in a Pandemic Age: Roger Salazar and Hilary McLean of Alza Strategies [YouTube | Apple Podcasts | Simplecast] (2020-04-25)
  • Look West (Assembly Democratic Caucus): First Responders in a Covid-19 World: Assemblymembers Jim Cooper (sheriff's deputy) and Freddie Rodriguez (EMT) (2020-04-23)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): SEIU Local 2015 President April Verrett on representing workers in skilled nursing facilities that have been a focus during the pandemic. (2020-04-23) 
  • Inside Golden State Politics (Bill Boyarsky and Sherry Bebitch Jeffe): Bill and Sherry examine voting by mail in the midst of a pandemic.  They agree on the need but disagree over whether it can be implemented by the November election.  They also search for an answer to a big question: Where's Joe Biden? (2020-04-23)
  • Then There's California (Senate Democratic Caucus): Senator Bill Monning (D-Carmel) on legislative during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-04-14)

The Nooner for Wednesday, April 29, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners

  • Cruel, cruel summer
  • LA-LA land
  • Classifieds

I wanted yesterday to give a two-week outlook in the specials on May 12 in CA25 and SD28. Hell, we all want to. We have no clue.

Ugh. The U.S. economy contracted by 4.8% in the first quarter, the largest since the great recession. That's not the bad news. The bad news is that the first quarter impact of COVID-19 was essentially the last two weeks of March. The second quarter that we are in now will be much, much worse.

We expect 20% in California for the second quarter. Even with the laxitiy in the state's orders beginning in Q2, we're talking about a 20%+ reduction. I write that not only by news but also family who work in restaurants and accounting in the state. We are closed for many months.

CRUEL SUMMER: We may not be able to get a hair cut in California until July. By then, I'll fit in perfectly with any 80s tribute band. For those not following the bouncing ball, I should have had my hair cut in January. I had a an appointment for March 18 cancelled. I am super shaggy and have to rotate through my hats when I meet humans on Zoom.

Yesterday, Governor Newsom laid out a four-stage process of reopening the state. We're not going back to "normal" soon and our process for reopening will be very different than Georgia's. It is going to be months, not weeks.

Ana B. Ibarra reports for CalMatters that Newsom's announcement includes the possibility that schools open earlier than usual late this summer:

California could reopen for an earlier school year, perhaps as soon as late July, to make up for lost learning time, Gov. Gavin Newsom announced today in laying out a course for easing his shelter-in-place order. Pointing to the state’s stable hospitalization data, the governor delivered hopeful news for throngs of parents struggling with distance learning and “cautious optimism” that some retailers and manufacturers may be able to reopen with modifications in a matter of weeks.

The administration laid out a four-step plan to help resuscitate California’s economy while keeping everyone safe. As the state continues to acquire more masks and protective gear, Newsom said California could gradually reopen low-risk workplaces, allowing more workers back to their jobs — provided there are enough precautions such as curbside pickup at retail stores.

Schools and childcare facilities would have to be an essential part of that effort for working parents.

Here are the stages from the governor's presentation:

Stage 1
Goal: Make essential workplaces as safe as possible.

This is the current phase.
● Continue to build out testing, contact tracing, acquire protective equipment, and prepare hospital surge capacity.
● Continue to make essential workplaces as safe as possible.
● Prepare sector-by-sector safety guidelines for expanded workforce.

To move to Stage 2, the state will look for these indicators:
○ Hospitalization and ICU trends stable
○ Hospital surge capacity to meet demand
○ Sufficient protective equipment to meet demand
○ Sufficient testing capacity to meet demand
○ Contact tracing capacity statewide

Transition to Stage 2 will occur through a statewide modification to the shelter-in-place order.

Stage 2
Goal: Gradually opening some lower risk workplaces with adaptions.

In this phase, some sectors begin to reopen:
● Retail through curbside pickup
● Manufacturing
● Offices (when telework isn't possible)
● Opening more public spaces

Expand the workforce safety net, such as wage replacement so workers can stay home when sick.

School programs and childcare facilities reopen with modifications, such as summer programs and next school year potentially starting sooner (July/August).

Stage 3
Goal: Open high-risk spaces with adaptions and limits on gathering size.

In this phase, workplaces would include:
● Personal care (hair and nail salons, gyms)
● Entertainment venues (movie theaters, sports without live audiences)
● In-person religious services (churches, weddings)

Stage 4
Goal: Reopen highest risk workplaces with all indicators satisfied once therapeutics have been developed.

This would mark the end of shelter-in-place order and large gatherings can resume:
● Concerts
● Conventions
● Live audience sports

Stage 2 is "weeks, not months" away. But the latter stages are months away. Basically, summer is cancelled and the governor was clear that he expects local governments to follow the plan with law enforcement.

Remember that barbers and cosmetologists are licensed by the state so the threat is real. I know there is some underground hair cutting taking place during Prohibition, but don't expect shops to reopen before the state gives the green light.

Note that Governor Newsom repeatedly talked about statewide orders. Many local governments continue to ignore that including here in Sacramento. Police and park rangers regularly ignore the soccer games and barbecues in Southside Park and I'm sure elsewhere.

Miles from the state emergency operations headquarters where he holds his daily presser, Sacramentans were not paying attention and instead frolicking in the rivers during the heat wave. Rosalio Ahumada reports for the Bee:

Many others sunbathing, picnicking or simply relaxing on the beach also were not wearing masks Tuesday. Guidelines in the United States instruct people to wear masks in public, stand 6 feet apart and stay inside until further notice to prevent further spread of the coronavirus. 

Mostly, those on the beach were gathering in their own groups. Each seemed to be maintaining a safe distance from other groups on the beach.

“People are staying in their own areas,” Reber said. “You’re in the open air. You’re not shaking hands with everyone. You’re not sharing food with everyone.”

California, Florida, and South Carolina are among the states relaxing some lockdown guidelines for beaches, media outlets report. California Gov. Gavin Newsom has said he didn’t want a surge in COVID-19 cases because people head to beaches and parks, so he urged residents to maintain social distancing, The Guardian reported.

Well, the Guardian clearly didn't interview the governor...

I am trying folks...I'm really trying! We are all exhuasted.

LA-LA LAND: The Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors approved its draft budget yesterday that projects a loss of $1 billion in revenue in the current year and another $1 billion in the fiscal year beginning July 1. However, as Jaclyn Cosgrove reports in the LAT, the cutting is likely only beginning while demands for health and human services increase.

The county’s chief executive, Sachi A. Hamai, predicted a budget process “unlike any we’ve ever faced.”

“We are in a profoundly challenging economic environment that may get worse before it gets better,” Hamai said in a statement. “There are many factors outside the county’s control, including the length and severity of the COVID-19 crisis, and the amount of assistance we will receive from the state and federal governments.”

cakeday and classifieds after the jump...

Probolsky Research

 

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Evan Michael Minton, Andre Quintero, and Tom White!

 

Classifieds

Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing scottlay@gmail.com, with a headline, a summary of up to 200 words, and what you'd like the end date to be. You can attach a PDF or provide a link for a bigger job description/info to apply. [Other advertising options]


Happy birthday John Kopp!

Happy 75th Birthday to John Kopp, a friend to all and mentor to many!

John is the former Controller for the Riverside County Democratic Party, Former Member of the CDP Executive Board and current Treasurer of both the Truman Club of the Inland Empire and the Corona-Norco Democratic Club - along with many other titles throughout his 75 years. He is a tremendous asset to candidates and campaigns as he willingly provides his wealth of knowledge and experience.

Happy Birthday, John! Saul Alinsky would be proud of all you’ve accomplished these past 75 years!

In Solidarity, your friend Steve.

JOB OPENING: Director of Government and Community Relations for World Energy, a renewable fuel producer in Paramount, California.

Exciting position as a leader in sustainable aviation fuel. This position recommends and provides strategic direction and operating guidance, supports management, establishes and maintains relationships and implements programs to enhance local-state-federal government and public relations, community relations and direct media relations functions. We need a proven professional with the expertise and passion necessary for fostering and building on our commitment to do good in the communities we serve within Paramount and throughout California. Strong ties to LA government is an asset. Salary commensurate with experience. Details here: https://bit.ly/2VoIrgW

REMOTE PART-TIME POSITION- Communications & Development Manager, Close the Gap California
Close the Gap California (CTGCA) seeks a highly motivated Manager to work across Communications, Development and Operations functions to support and promote the campaign. This is a mid-level, part-time contract position with potential for growth into a full-time staff position. CTGCA is a statewide campaign launched in 2013 to close the gender gap in the California Legislature by 2028. By recruiting accomplished, progressive women in targeted districts and preparing them to launch competitive campaigns, we are changing the face of the Legislature one cycle at a time. Nine CTGCA recruits are serving today, eight of them women of color. This position will execute and help design our communications strategy, manage programmatic elements, and oversee some campaign operations. Seeking a manager who has demonstrated writing ability, facility for data, and a passion for advancing women in politics. 20-30 hrs/week contract to start, reporting directly to Executive Director. Remote from anywhere in California with preference for Sacramento, Bay Area or Los Angeles.
[Full description and application info]
OPEN POSITION: Public Affairs & Community Engagement Rep – California School Boards Association

(4 New positions) Serve as CSBA’s liaison to local schools and county boards of education, key decision makers, and the community-at-large. Execute grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. Remote positions based in the following locations: North LA/Ventura, South San Joaquin, SF Bay Area, and North Coast. Salary based on experience.
Please apply at: https://www.csba.org/About/Careers

The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

In addition to a well-respected JD, the McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees. Both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working succeed in the program. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation in statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to governance. Learn at a beautiful campus three miles from the State Capitol:
go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or publicpolicy@pacific.edu.

Political Data Inc.
For 30 Years PDI has been California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week: