Around The Capitol

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  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Carmela Coyle, president of the California Hospital Association to talk about the challenges that hospitals face as they deal with this once-in-a-lifetime pandemic, “an order of potential magnitude that we just haven’t seen before.”
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Senator Richard Pan (D-Sacramento) on California's COVID-19 response  (2020-03-19)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Lenny Mendonca, Chief Economic and Business Advisor to Governor Gavin Newsom, on the economic impact of the COVID-19 (2020-03-12)
  • Then There's California (Senate Democratic Caucus): Senators Jim Beall (D-San José) and Tom Umberg (D-Anaheim) on the Census (2020-03-12)
  • Look West (Assembly Democratic Caucus): Assembly member Marc Berman (D-Palo Alto) and Secretary of State Alex Padilla on the Census (2020-03-12)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Politico's Carla Marinucci on primary results and Warren's departure (2020-03-05)
  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Paul Mitchell on the departure of Elizabeth Warren and what's next in the presidential (2020-03-05)

The Nooner for Monday, March 23, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners

  • State budget
  • Coronavirus/COVID-19
    • The numbers
    • The demos
  • Ballot update
  • Ballot measures
  • DeSaulnier
  • Cakeday and classifieds

It's not just another Manic Monday and more like Panic Monday. Don't really wish it was Sunday (sucked with without the usual Mexican food in the neighbhood). That wasn't my usual fun day. Anyway, the late Prince wrote Manic Monday, Nothing Compares 2 U, and Chaka Khan's "I Feel for You," among many more.

Again, this is probably the first of at least two Nooners today. The White House task force briefing is scheduled for 5:30 EDT, so I'll likely have any readouts from that and any major state developments this evening.

On my morning walk, I walked past a woman coughing. It is surreal to think that what came to mind was whether she was coughing because of the pot she was smoking or the virus.

Here is Sacto Buddhist Church's Reverend Matt's dharma message given while practicing social distancing from yesterday.

Lake County northwest of Sacramento has closed its public waterways, including the mammoth Clear Lake that many NorCal folks have spent time on via houseboat or have passed on their way to the glorious North Coast. The economic devastation to destinations is incomprehensible. While the media likes too focus on cities, the economic impact in counties such as Lake, Mendocino, Sonoma, El Dorado (Tahoe), and Mono (Mammoth) will be beyond belief.

I have a friend who is the dean of the Cerro Coso College center in Mammoth. The world-renowned ski destination was already having a brutal season. Like most parts of California north of the Tehachapis, there was almost no precipitation. In January, my friend told me that she hadn't been skiing but rather mountain biking.

There are parts of California that will fare okay economically, oddly including areas the hardest hit by the virus in Silicon Valley. The hospitality industry will be hit by canceled tech industry conference conventions, but the tech workforce is largely tele-working. For communities that rely on tourism (like my beloved Mendocino), it's complete devastation and the Legislature needs to be prepared for that. We could very well be talking several local government bankruptcies, and not just the couple we've seen in the recent past in Orange County and Stockton.


    • California confirmed cases: 1,890 (up 20.5% since yesterday) , with 35 deaths (+7 from yesterday). Confirmed cases in 39/58 counties (+3 from yesterday). [h/t SFChron]

    Age 0-17: 25 cases
    Age 18-49: 837 case
    Age 50-64: 442 cases
    Age 65+: 415 cases
    Unknown: 14 cases

  • THE HUGE UNKNOWN: Also from CDPH: "As of 2 p.m. PDT on March 22, approximately 26,400 tests had been conducted in California. This includes the latest numbers California has received from commercial and private labs. At least 14,317 results have been received and another 12,100 are pending."

more after the jump... 

BALLOT UPDATE: We're getting closer...

  • Ballots counted: 9,479,805
  • Ballots counted are up +11.2% from 2016's 8,548,301
  • Turnout in 2016: 8,548,301 of 19,023,417 registered 15 days out (45.49%)
  • Turnout so far in 2018: 9,479,805 of 20,660,465 registered 15 days out (45.88%) 

BALLOT MEASURES: The Chron's John Wildermuth writes that the public health orders are shutting down hopes of getting a spot with an initiative in November.

Even before Newsom’s order Thursday, it was tough going for advocates of many initiatives. The coronavirus threat already had people shying away from signature gatherers anxious to get up close and personal with their clipboards and much-used pens in hand.

“Even a lot of people who wanted to sign didn’t want to sign,” said Fred Kimball, whose Southern California company runs petition drives across the state. “These are tough times, and you have to get creative.”

For Kimball, that meant buying some 300,000 pens, so everyone who might want to sign could get their own.

That wasn’t enough, even before the ban.

“We were getting 70,000 signatures a week until a couple of weeks ago, when it almost stopped,” said Jamie Court, president of Consumer Watchdog, which is working to qualify an initiative to raise the award limits in medical negligence cases. “Circulators who normally get 14 to 20 signatures an hour were getting maybe five.”

Here are the eight ballot measures that reported they had reached the 25% signature threshold for the November 3 ballot. There are 14 more in circulation and the next ballot for initiatives is November 8, 2022.

  • "Split" roll for local governments and education
  • AB 5 (independent contractors) changes for app-based drivers
  • MICRA-medical malpractice cap limit increase
  • Expansion of California Consumer Privacy Act
  • Stem cell bonds
  • Regulation of dialysis clinics (again)
  • Plastics
  • Sports books/other games for tribal casinos and racetracks

The above is a huge amount of money being spent and the news from the street is not good. The last I heard, the tech companies were paying $5-6 per signature when the normal these days is $1.50 to $3. That $5-6 was BEFORE the state "stay at home" order.

DESAULNIER: From what I have heard, on Congressman Mark DeSaulnier (D-Concord) is still in critical condition. Stay tuned to his Twitter for updates and watch those The West Wing episodes on point.

DeSaulnier update

LA-LA LAND: From the inbox, LA City Council candidate Grace Yoo sends an email with the subject "GRACE YOO WINS PRIMARY ELECTION, MOVES ON TO RUN-OFF ELECTION FOR LA CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 10." A check of the results shows she'll meet with Supe. Mark Ridley-Thomas in November for the council seat. However, he received 44.4% to her 23.9%. I don't know if I'd call it "winning."

cakeday and classifieds after the jump...

Probolsky Research


CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Marty Hittelman, Alva Johnson, and Randy Perry!



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