Around The Capitol

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  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Politico's Carla Marinucci on primary results and Warren's departure (2020-03-05)
  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Paul Mitchell on the departure of Elizabeth Warren and what's next in the presidential (2020-03-05)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Former Obama adviser Dan Pfeiffer and Paul Mitchell on the primary election (2020-02-13)
  • Look West (Assembly Democratic Caucus): Assembly member Buffy Wicks and her husband, Giffords Executive Director Peter Ambler, as they discuss their efforts to prevent gun violence in California and nationwide, and how this work brought them together. (2020-02-13)
  • Then There's California (Senate Democratic Caucus): Senate Majority Leader Bob Hertzberg (2020-02-11)
  • Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer @ KQED): episode five of the eight-part series on Jerry Brown (2020-02-09)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): New Hampshire primary and data guru Paul Mitchell on the California primary (2020-02-06)
  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Granite State native Steve Maviglio on the New Hampshire primary (2020-02-06)

The Nooner for Wednesday, March 11, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners

  • ATCpro updates
  • Ballot update
  • Coronavirus/COVID-19
  • SD37 (Irvine-Anaheim Hills)
  • AD72 (Garden Grove-Westminster)
  • LA-LA land
  • LA DA race
  • Cakeday and classifieds


  • SD37 (Irvine-Anaheim Hills): updated analysis - stays toss-up

Happy humpday! Well, that was an interesting election night. The best was when CNN's big display that Wolf Blitzer was reading from flashed the breaking news that Bernie Sanders won Mississippi. As Wolf read from the wall, you could almost see him soil his pants. While there were surprises last night, there was no way that was going to happen. The screen then went dark, flashed a couple of times, and then displayed that Biden won The Magnolia State. In the end, Biden won the state 81% to Bernie's 14.9%.

With Bernie staying in, Sunday night's debate will draw great ratings for CNN. After this morning's presser by Bernie, it sounds like he's taking more of the role of moderator than participant. Given that next Tuesday's primary states are not great for Sanders (Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Ohio), I wouldn't be shocked given the tenor this morning if the closing statement included an endorsement before a huge audience. It would go down as one of the most interesting moments in political history.


  • Ballots counted: 8,065,259
  • Unprocessed ballots:
    • Vote-by-mail: 1,761,596
    • Provisional: 330,587
    • Conditional (late) voter registration: 161,535
    • Other (i.e. damaged ballots): 120.075
    • Total unprocessed: 2,373,793

Take the unprocessed ballots with a grain of salt. Twenty-six counties that continue to submit ballot count updates haven't updated their unprocessed ballots since election night.

 more after the jump...

CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 Here are a few things we know as of Nooner publishing time with news changing by the hour.

  • California confirmed cases: 162 (+9 from yesterday), with 3 deaths (new one in Sacramento County). Confirmed cases in 24 counties (+1 from yesterday).
  • "Ground zero": For CalMatters, Dan Walters writes that California's economic and geographic location made it the perfect "ground zero" for the coronavirus. He also writes:

    "[Governor Gavin] Newsom’s engaged but calm approach would serve him well were coronavirus to trigger a serious recession that would slash state revenues and force him to adjust downward his ambitious plans for expanding public services from health care to early childhood education. Voters would see him as a victim of circumstance who is making the best of a bad situation and not hold him accountable for recession’s impacts.

    Newsom’s budgetary staff is already working on what’s known as the “May revise” of the 2020-21 budget proposal he unveiled in January and by then, two months hence, we’ll have a better grasp of both the disease’s human impact and its economic fallout."

  • Campuses:  Several more colleges and universities have been added to my Google Spreadsheet. I need your help as I can't track the hundreds of higher education institutions in California in this quickly developing situation. Even if you don't know the details, let me know if you hear of any closures or complete conversion to online instruction. I'm not listing the restrictions on athletics audiences, cancellations of performances, events, and the like, as that's futile.

    Also, all 90 Catholic schools will close in San Francisco, Marin and San Mateo counties from 03/12 through 03/25.
  • Crew members: The reports are conflicting as to whether the ill crew members on the Grand Princess were sent to area hospitals or not. Media reported they were, but The White House briefing said they were not. Maybe we did the right thing and snuck them off for advanced care.

  • Homeless: Joel Fox writes that COVID-19 may force action on homelessness, a persistent problem that has drawn lots of rhetoric but not enough action to make a marked difference.

    "When “medieval diseases” like typhus appeared in homeless quarters, politicians were shocked and determined to act. Gov. Gavin Newsom, in his first State of the State speech, flatly stated, “Our homeless crisis is increasingly becoming a public health crisis.”

    While cities sent public health officials to confront the spread of disease, notably San Diego’s effort to confront a hepatitis outbreak, no warlike efforts have been marshaled statewide to deal with homeless encampments that have proven to be breeding places for the spread of diseases.

    Now the fear of the spread of Coronavirus joins a line of disease outbreaks of typhus, hepatitis, and an assortment of bacteria threating the homeless communities. With the dangers of the spread of this sometimes deadly flu-like disease that has caused event closures and panic buying, the government might be ready to declare an emergency that would include mandates to help the homeless to shelters and to demand that they follow health protective guidelines."

  • Elk Grove: Within hours yesterday, a woman in her 90s at the Carlton Senior Living facility both was confirmed as having COVID-19 and became the county's first fatality. County health officials are very concerned of seeing a repeat of the Kirkland, WA situation and are focusing most resources on it. A problem is that the entire county has the capacity of 20 tests per day and there are 120 residents and however many staff. While there has been a lot of media attention to the distribution of the CDC "test kits," those are for sample collection. The backlog now is at laboratories in both materials and labor. For now, residents are isolated to their apartments and meals are being delivered to them. 

    And, some GREAT news for Elk Grove in the midst of challenge. The Sherman High School boys' basketball team defeated Dublin 59-58 in the CIF tournament last night at Dublin High School. This is the game that almost didn't happen because of the closure of Elk Grove Unified School District over coronavirus concerns (an elementary school has since tested positive). You have to watch the ending. They play Bishop O'Dowd, an Oakland Catholic school, tomorrow night. 
  • San Francisco: This morning (literally in the last hour as I retype this section at 11am), San Francisco mayor London Breed and public health officials issued a directive banning all gatherings of more than 1,000 people for the next two weeks, meaning that tomorrow night's Warriors game against the Nets will be audienceless.

    This follows similar action in Santa Clara County, which will lead to hockey sans fans at the Shark Tank if something doesn't change before their next home game on March 19 or at Saturday night's San Jose Earthquakes soccer game. San Francisco supervisor Aaron Peskin had pushed the Warriors to take the step voluntarily, but no action followed. After tomorrow, if the order stands for only two weeks, it would only affect one other game--March 25 v. Atlanta--as they will be on a road trip.

    The Giants have canceled the March 24 exhibition game against the As at Oracle Park.

    Meanwhile, Governor Gavin Newsom says that professional sports leagues, including the NBA, owes fans an explanation of its COVID-19 plans, reports Sophia Bollag in the Bee. 

    "Newsom criticized the NBA, the National Hockey League, Major League Soccer and Major League Baseball for barring reporters from locker rooms in an effort to protect their players from the virus but not announcing plans to protect fans.

    “I found it quite curious that the four major organizations NHL, soccer, MLB and the NBA put out guidelines to protect their athletes but not their fans,” Newsom told reporters at the news conference. “I think they owe you and their fanbase an answer as to why is it more important to keep you as reporters away from their players in the locker room than keeping fans in highly contagious parts of the country together.”

    He stopped short of calling for games to be canceled, but said sports leagues and local health officials bear the responsibility to ensure that large events, including games, can be held safely. On Saturday, his office released guidelines for event organizers that advise canceling or delaying some events in communities where the virus is spreading."

    In a related story, Washington governor Jay Inslee is expected today to announce an order "to restrict gatherings of more than 250 people in King, Snohomish and Pierce counties, a move aimed at sports, concerts and other cultural events," reports Joseph O'Sullivan in the Seattle Times.

  • Coachella/Stagecoach: Late yesterday, it was officially announced that the Coachella and Stagecoach festivals will be postponed to October. Coachella will be October 9-11 and 16-18, while Stagecoach will be October 23-25.
  • Big West Men's Basketball: The tournament games at Cal State Long Beach's "Pyramid" are being played without an audience. Meanwhile, GO AGS! tomorrow night.

more after the jump...

SD37 (Irvine-Anaheim Hills): Costa Mesa mayor Katrina Foley (D) concedes, sending an email with the subject line "Thank you. I'm back to work as Mayor & Consumer Rights Attorney." She had an uphill battle in name recognition as UC Irvine law professor Dave Min (D) was a candidate in the CA45 (Irvine) race in 2018 that resulted in his colleague Katie Porter flipping that district.

AD72 (Garden Grove-Westminster): Assembly member Tyler Diep (R) is holding on to a 17-point lead, which has declined to Garden Grove councilmember Diedre Nguyen (D) with each update.

  • Janet Nguyen (R): 35,199
  • Tyler Diep (R): 25,797
  • Diedre Nguyen (D): 25,780
  • Bijan Mohseni (D): 15,597

LA-LA LAND: So, I totally screwed up the item on the LA mayor's race yesterday. With so much going on, it is that kind of week around here and I apologize.

I felt it particularly important to send out the correction yesterday to ensure people didn't think I confused Councilman Herb Wesson with Supervisor Mark Ridley-Thomas, for obvious reasons. Both friends had been eyeing the race, but I should have remembered that MRT had become the candidate. So, here is the full list of who I have heard as possible or likely candidates, and there will likely be more:

  • Mike Bonin
  • Joe Buscaino
  • Gil Cedillo
  • Kevin de León
  • Rocky Delgadillo 
  • Mike Feuer
  • Robert Hertzberg
  • Alex Padilla
  • Mark Ridley-Thomas

I am sure there are some strong female candidates that look at this list and are seriously thinking about it, but that's what I've got for now. To be continued... It's 24 months away, or maybe 27, as some people want to move the primary back to June in non-presidential years given the odd timing of filing deadlines around the holidays among other reasons.

LA DA RACE: It looks like we're heading to a November runoff. Incumbent Jackie Lacey was above 50% but has slipped with valid ballots counted after Election Day.

  • Jackie Lacey: 691,958 (49.94%)
  • George Gascón: 383,183 (27.66%)
  • Rachel A. Rossi: 310,412 (22.40%)

If you're a newbie in this race, Gascón is a proponent of prosecutorial reform and resigned his position as district attorney of San Francisco before moving to Los Angeles, where he was an assistant police chief, and now his current challenge of Lacey.

cakedays and classifieds after the jump...


Probolsky Research


CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Joe Cislowski, Connie Sanders Emerson, Tom Kaptain, Carrie Nocella, and Martin Wisckol!



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California State University: Associate Legislative Advocate (Sacramento)

Join our team at the California State University, Office of the Chancellor, and make a difference. We are currently seeking experienced candidates for the position of Associate Legislative Advocate (Sacramento Office). To apply, visit Salary: DOE

Southern California Democratic Member of Congress seeks District Director

Southern California Democratic Member of Congress seeks District Director to oversee all operations of the district offices, including the development and implementation of policy objectives, strategies and operating plans, as well as direct all activities and staff of the district offices. This individual also serves as the primary liaison between the Congresswoman and constituents and special interest groups in the district; and, acts as an advisor for the Congresswoman on local concerns, district issues and politics, and other developments throughout the region.

Candidates should have a minimum of 3-5 years of management experience, a strong ability to provide necessary organization, leadership and motivation to manage a Congressional office; excellent oral and written communication skills; and thorough knowledge of the legislative process. Candidates should submit a cover letter, resume, and appropriate writing samples to with just “District Director” in the subject line.

Department of Water Resources – State Water Project Chief Financial Manager

The State Water Project (SWP) Chief Financial Manager (CFM) works under the direction of the Deputy Director, SWP and provides high-level policy advice to the Department of Water Resources' (DWR) Directorate and SWP senior management on matters affecting the investment of resources to improve and sustain SWP operations. Please visit the CalCareers website for instructions on how to apply:

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