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- KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Politico's Carla Marinucci on primary results and Warren's departure (2020-03-05)
- Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Paul Mitchell on the departure of Elizabeth Warren and what's next in the presidential (2020-03-05)
- KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Former Obama adviser Dan Pfeiffer and Paul Mitchell on the primary election (2020-02-13)
- Look West (Assembly Democratic Caucus): Assembly member Buffy Wicks and her husband, Giffords Executive Director Peter Ambler, as they discuss their efforts to prevent gun violence in California and nationwide, and how this work brought them together. (2020-02-13)
- Then There's California (Senate Democratic Caucus): Senate Majority Leader Bob Hertzberg (2020-02-11)
- Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer @ KQED): episode five of the eight-part series on Jerry Brown (2020-02-09)
- KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): New Hampshire primary and data guru Paul Mitchell on the California primary (2020-02-06)
- Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Granite State native Steve Maviglio on the New Hampshire primary (2020-02-06)
The Nooner for Tuesday, March 10, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners
- District updates
- Ballot update
- AD72 (Garden Grove-Westminster)
- LA-LA Land
- Cakeday and classifieds
- CA22 (Tulare): changed rating from leans Republican to likely Republican
- AD04 (Napa/Yolo/Dixon): changed rating from likely Democrat to safe Democrat
- AD35 (San Luis Obispo): changed rating from toss-up to likely Republican
Happy "Big Tuesday" or "Mini-Tuesday" or "Super Tuesday Jr." or "Super Tuesday 2.0" (I've heard all of them)! Whatever you choose to call it, today Idaho (20), Michigan (125), Mississippi (36), Missouri (68), North Dakota (14), and Washington (89) takes there place in the Democratic primary race. North Dakota is a caucus. While there is an obvious concern that Washington voters don't want to congregate given that they have one of the biggest hotspots of the COVID-19 virus, it's important to note that when they switched from a planned caucus to a primary, they made it all mail-in, like Oregon (and much like Voters Choice Act counties in California).
Obviously, the biggest state to watch is Michigan, where Bernie has been camped out. He won there in 2016. Biden claims credit for the auto bailout, while Bernie points out that while in the Senate Biden voted for free trade agreements that led to the vulnerability to the industry during the economic downturn. Polls have Biden ahead by double-digits, but many pundits believe it will be close.
Of course, like in California, delegates will be allocated proportionally between the two. Gabbard is unlikely to reach viability in any of the states up today, so Biden and Sanders will likely share in each state, although Washington may be Bernie-heavy, while Mississippi will be Biden heavy. Anyway, at least we'll have something to watch other than the molassas-like California vote-counting and accruing cases of COVID-19.
- Ballots counted: 7,443,779
- Unprocessed ballots:
- Vote-by-mail: 2,153,449
- Provisional: 339.573
- Conditional (late) voter registration: 164,813
- Other (i.e. damaged ballots): 231,490
- Total unprocessed: 2,889,325
Take the unprocessed ballots with a grain of salt. Twenty-six counties that continue to submit ballot count updates haven't updated their unprocessed ballots since election night. Based on the counted ballots and history are likely 2-2.25 million ballots left, with perhaps 80% validity. That's still a very large number.
more after the jump...
CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 Here are a few things we know as of Nooner publishing time with news changing by the hour.
- California cases: 153 (confirmed, +14 from yesterday), with 2 deaths (new one in hard-hit Santa Clara County), in 23 counties.
- Campuses: I started this item last night and then decided is was futile to list them here, so I've created a Google Spreadsheet that I will continue to update. I didn't turn editing on since the link will be broadly shared, but commenting is on. Anyway, I need your help as I can't track the hundreds of higher education institutions in California. Even if you don't know the details, let me know if you hear of any closures or complete conversion to online instruction. I'm not listing the restrictions on athletics audiences, cancellations of performances, events, and the like, as that's futile.
- Crew members: I offered my opinion yesterday about the 19 crew members of the Grand Princess who were ill with COVID-19 and some suggestions (from the President) that they would be returned to seat. They were indeed removed from the ship and sent to area hospitals. Bravo!
- Elk Grove Unified: Yesterday, a primary-grade student at a school in the Elk Grove Unified School District was confirmed as having the COVID-19 virus. This is the student who brought concern to the Elk Grove Unified School District board that led to a controversial districtwide closure this week of both instruction and activities. The student, who is not being named for obvious reasons, attends Maeola R. Beitzel Elementary School and is home doing well, reports Team Bee.
And, some good news. After intervention by Mayor Darrell Steinberg who reached the California Interscholastic Federation, the "scratch" of Sheldon from the men's basketball tournament was reversed and Sheldon will be playing Dublin today at 7pm at Dublin High School. Go Hawks!
- Riverside County: The BNP Paribas Tennis Tournament scheduled to begin Wednesday is expected to cost the region up to $400 million in tourism-related revenue. The Coachella and Stagecoach music festivals look to be moving to October, although no formal announcement has been made as of yet.
- Santa Clara: Santa Clara County, which has the most number of confirmed cases at 43 with 1 death) took the (to my knowledge) unprecedented step of getting judicial validation of its public health order banning any activities that involve over 1,000 attendees, with the only exemptions being "airports, shopping malls and centers, or other spaces where 1,000 or more persons may be in transit." It explicitly includes arenas and stadiums. That means no large conventions at the San Jose Convention Center, no Sharks games (with fan attendance), etc. Thank goodness it's not NFL season.
Obviously, the convention center's largest events are in the technology sector and likely have already been canceled, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Sharks gave a blessing to the move as sports leagues are already discussing that possibility. Santa Clara is one of the three biggest clusters ("hot spots") along with Kirkland, WA and Westchester County, NY. SJSU yesterday joined Stanford in suspending in-person classes.
- Monterey: The City of Monterey, which receives 15-20 cruise ship stops per year, has said "thank you, but no thank you" and asked them to stay away. The impact on the town, particularly its small businesses and restaurants on its famed wharf that rely on tourists, will be huge depending on how long it lasts. Santa Cruz County now has two confirmed cases.
- Legislature: People have asked what the California State Legislature is doing about the situation. While the number of confirmed cases in Sacramento County has been small (though it is now 10), people come from all over the state and sit in tight quarters hearing rooms. I know that discussions are occurring, but haven't seen any announcements yet.
more after the jump...
AD13 (Stockton): The hat trick of Democrats running in Stockton continues to be very close with a low vote count. Comparing the current combined total count of 30,581 for the three Democrats to those for the Democrat in 2018 for Susan Talamentes Eggman of 40,714 (not counting the Republican votes in that race), we can surmise that at least 25% of the vote remains. Here are the current results:
- Christine Fugazi (D): 9,675 (31.6%)
- Kathy Miller (D): 10,176 (33.3%)
- Carlos Villapadua (D): 10,730 (35.1%)
AD72 (Garden Grove-Westminster): Assembly member Tyler Diep's (R) lead for second place over Garden Grove councilmember Diedre Nguyen (D) continued to shrink yesterday and now stands at 291 votes. They are vying for the spot next to former state senator Janet Nguyen (R).
LA-LA LAND: Dakota Smith reports for the LAT that Los Angeles City Attorney Mike Feuer yesterday that he plans to run for mayor in 2022. Likely also in the race are former State Senate President Pro Tem Kevin de León (currently appearing to be winning a seat on the city council outright) and supervisor Mark Ridley-Thomas, who is term-limited.
CA43 (Inglewood): Of course, Rep. Maxine Waters (D) will coast to re-election in November, but the suspense is whether a man in jail when ballots were sent out, on Election Day, and likely in jail until after the ballots are counted will be on the ballot as #2. Grifter extraordinaire and San Francisco County jail inmate Omar Navarro (R) currently leads Joe E. Collins III (R) by 21 votes. I kind of feel bad for Joe. If you lose to a guy in jail...
No foolin', Omar's next court date is April 1. He faces 11 counts relating to stalking, violating a domestic violence restraining order, criminal threats, etc. (You can see them by searching for him here, but they don't provide direct links.) The subject of his alleged criminal behavior? His ex-girlfriend and fellow grifter Deann Lorraine (R), who currently is in fifth place in her challenge to Nancy Pelosi in CA12. Like Omar, she used fundraising lists to raise money mostly from retired folks angry at Pelosi.
cakedays and classifieds after the jump...
CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Stacy Dwelley, Jeff Koertzen, and Rodney Nickens!
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