Around The Capitol

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RECENT PODS:

  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): Former Obama adviser Dan Pfeiffer and Paul Mitchell on the primary election (2020-02-13)
  • Look West (Assembly Democratic Caucus): Assembly member Buffy Wicks and her husband, Giffords Executive Director Peter Ambler, as they discuss their efforts to prevent gun violence in California and nationwide, and how this work brought them together. (2020-02-13)
  • Then There's California (Senate Democratic Caucus): Senate Majority Leader Bob Hertzberg (2020-02-11)
  • Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer @ KQED): episode five of the eight-part series on Jerry Brown (2020-02-09)
  • KQED's Political Breakdown (Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos): New Hampshire primary and data guru Paul Mitchell on the California primary (2020-02-06)
  • Capitol Weekly Podcast (John Howard and Tim Foster): Granite State native Steve Maviglio on the New Hampshire primary (2020-02-06)

PRIMARY ELECTION DAY: 5 days

ELECTION UPDATES:

ATCpro UPDATES (formerly Nooner Premium):

  • All of these are now on the ATCpro subscriber home page:
    • downloadable spreadsheet voter registration for each state legislative and congressional district
    • downloadable spreadsheet of 2016 presidential and 2018 gubernatorial results for each state legislative and congressional district
    • final downloadable candidate list for March 3 primary
    • 2020 ATCpro updates

The Nooner for Thursday, February 27, 2020, presented by SYASL Partners

  • Coronavirus
  • Poll position
  • SD15 (San José)
  • SD37 (Irvine-Anaheim Hills)
  • AD25 (Hayward-Santa Clara)
  • Housing
  • No Shipt, Sherlock
  • No rain
  • SacTown
  • Cakeday and Classifieds

BALLOT UPDATE (COURTESY PDI):

  • Ballots mailed: 16,044,592
  • Ballots returned: 2,596,905 (16.2% of mailed)
  • Democrats: 1,083,765 (15% of mailed)
  • NPP/Other: 532,219 (11%)
  • Republicans: 980,021 (25%)

Happy Thursday! You're almost there!

I'm under the weather and hardly slept last night. I don't think it's coronavirus, but the plane back spread germs. Actually, when waiting for immigration in CDMX, there was a rugrat in front of me in line. I kept sneezing and using a combination of Kleenex and his shirt. Everyone was watching and stepping back and looking to change lines but the officer who assigned us to lines was having none of it.

We're just getting started...

CORONAVIRUS: In the Bee, Darrell Smith and Cathie Anderson report that the first case of coronavirus among someone who has not traveled is being treated at UC Davis Medical Center in Sacramento.

“The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County. The individual had no known exposure to the virus through travel or close contact with a known infected individual,” California Department of Public Health officials said in a news release. State public health officials in Sacramento, citing the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said the case is the first person-to-person transmission of the COVID-19 virus.

Earlier cases of person-to-person transmission in Illinois and in San Benito County came “after close, prolonged interaction with a family member who returned from Wuhan, China, and had tested positive for COVID-19,” California Department of Public Health officials said in their Wednesday statement.

Dr. Sonia Angell, the state’s public health officer, called the outbreak an “evolving situation” that the state had been monitoring since the first cases in China late last year. but added “there is a lot we already know.”

POLL POSITION: KQED has a new Change Research poll on the California presidential.

 KQED/Change Research
02/20-02/23
PPIC 02/07-02/17CA120/Capitol Weekly 02/06-02/09KQED/Change Research
01/25-01/27
LAT/IGS
01/15-01/21
PPIC
01/03-01/12
CA120/Capitol Weekly
01/03-01/09
Bernie Sanders 37% 32% 29% 30% 26% 27% 24%
Elizabeth Warren 20% 13% 16% 16% 20% 23% 21%
Joe Biden 12% 14% 11% 15% 15% 24% 20%
Pete Buttigieg 11% 12% 14% 8% 7% 6% 11%
Michael Bloomberg 6% 12% 13% 4% 6% 1% (VOL.) 6%
Amy Klobuchar 5% 5% 5% 3%   4% 5%
Andrew Yang 4% n/a 4% 5%   3% (VOL.) 7%
Tulsi Gabbard   1% 3% 4%     2%
Tom Steyer 3% 3% 3% 2%     2%
Others (total) <2% 1%     6% 5%  
Undecided   8%   13% 12% 7%  

Change Research surveyed 1,822 likely general election voters in California, including 1,069 likely Democratic primary voters, and 544 likely Republican primary voters.

Scott Shafer writes for KQED:

Following a disastrous performance in his first debate last week where he was put on the defensive over treatment of women at his company and his previous support of stop-and-frisk policing tactics, the former New York mayor also has by far the highest negative ratings among the field, with a whopping 63% of voters rating him unfavorably. That gives him a net favorable rating of minus 42, compared with Sanders who has a net favorable rating of plus 48.

Bloomberg's negatives in the poll are only slightly lower than those for PG&E, the giant California utility whose equipment has been blamed for deadly wildfires in recent years.

Meanwhile, in the Bee, David Lightman and Kate Irby look at whether Bernie Sanders could actually help down-ballot candidates in California.

A Bernie Sanders surge in California, fueled by strong support in the Hispanic community and voters eager to protest the Washington establishment, could provide a boost for some of the state’s vulnerable House Democrats, according to political analysts.

“He could be better for Democrats in California than in other parts of the country,” said David Wasserman, U.S. House editor for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.

But not all of California. Wasserman warned that in the Los Angeles suburbs, vulnerable freshman such as Reps. Katie Porter, Mike Levin and Harley Rouda could be hurt running on a ballot topped by Sanders.

Sanders is holding a rally on Sunday at 1:30 in San José at South Hall on Market Street.

Christopher Cadelago and Sandy Goldenberg write for Politico that despite the huge spending by Bloomberg that things are not looking good for Super Tuesday.

The Mike Bloomberg bubble has burst.

After a steady, weekslong climb in national polls, fueled by extravagant spending on ads, staff and events, Bloomberg’s presidential campaign has plateaued. The abrupt reversal of fortune, triggered by his disastrous debate performance in Las Vegas, has tarnished the former New York mayor’s sheen and injected uncertainty about whether he will rack up enough delegates on Super Tuesday to keep his campaign alive.

SD15 (San José): KQED's Guy Marzorati looks at the hot Dem race in SD15 to succeed termed-out Jim Beall (D).

SD37 (Irvine-Anaheim Hills): The California Teachers Association  is mailing for UC Irvine law professor Dave Min (D) in the tight race between him and Costa Mesa mayor Katrina Foley in the fight to take on Senator John M.W. Moorlach (R) in November.

AD25 (Hayward-Santa Clara): The California Teachers Association is up with $50,000 in television supporting Anne Kepner (D) in the race to succeed Kansen Chu (D), who is running for Santa Clara supe. The California School Employees Association is also up with television for Kepner as is Consumer Attorneys of California.

more after the jump...

PG&E: In the Chron J.D. Morris reports that the Federal Emergency Management Agency is looking for $4 billion from Pacific Gas and Electric for FEMA's costs associated with wildfires caused by the utility's equipment.

The federal government believes it is owed nearly $4 billion from Pacific Gas and Electric Co. because the company’s failure to prevent its power lines from starting some of California’s worst wildfires is akin to intentionally starting the disasters.

An attorney representing the Federal Emergency Management Agency advanced that argument in court on Wednesday as U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Dennis Montali weighed the government’s claim. The lawyer, Michael Tye, was citing a federal law that FEMA is using as its basis to pursue payment from PG&E through its bankruptcy case.

PG&E poorly maintained its power lines despite knowing that they were likely to cause fires as a result, Tye said.

HOUSING/HOMELESSNESS: The Bee's Wes Venteicher and Sophia Bollag write that while Governor Gavin Newsom has housing and homelessness as his top priority, his housing agency is has plentiful vacant positions.

The Department of Housing and Community Development, which administers most of the state money for housing, has one of the highest vacancy rates among large state departments, with about 21 percent of its positions unfilled, according to figures provided by the department and the State Controller’s Office.

Voters in the last two years have approved at least $6 billion in new money for affordable housing in the state. That money, plus more in federal grants and additional state funding, has to pass through the funnel of the housing department, which had 170 vacancies and 672 employees this month, according to Deputy Director of Administration Russell Fong.

NO SHIPT, SHERLOCK: I've started seeing the ads for grocery shopping and delivery company Shipt. It's similar to Instacart and is now owned by Target. It had revenue of $1 billion in 2018 and locally in Sac, they deliver from Safeway, CVS, of course Target, and others. It's app-based and relies on independent contractors.

Anyway, like Uber, Lyft, DoorDash, and Instacart, Shipt has a problem with AB 5 under their business model but would be covered by the November ballot measure currently in circulation. That measure sets minimum wage guarantees, mileage reimbursement, health benefits, and insurance guarantees for the app-based transportation and delivery drivers.

As Joel Fox wrote yesterday, Assembly member Kevin Kiley (R) has AB 1928, which would suspend AB 5 and return to the Borello 12-point test rather than the more strict Dynamex A-B-C test. Obviously, that bill isn't going anywhere.

NO RAIN: For CalMatters,  Dan Walters reports on the lack of NorCal rain this winter and the impact might be.

The north has seen almost no precipitation since Christmas, the all-important Sierra snowpack is less than half of its average depth, and the region’s balmy, springlike weather shows no signs of ending.

A stubborn high-pressure area off the coast has been blocking Arctic Ocean storms from dipping into California, leaving water managers hoping for a “March miracle” like the one that rescued the state from an even worse winter dry spell in 1991.

Whatever happens this year, the abrupt end to what appeared initially to be a wet season is another reminder that California can never take its water supply for granted, especially given the forecasts of what climate change might wrought.

SacTown, cakedays and classifieds after the jump...

 

Probolsky Research

CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Cynthia Moreno and Alyssa Selogie!

 

Classifieds

Add your classified now both in The Nooner and online for $50/week or $150/month by emailing scottlay@gmail.com, with a headline, a summary of up to 200 words, and what you'd like the end date to be. You can attach a PDF or provide a link for a bigger job description/info to apply. [Other advertising options]


CA Federation of Teachers - Field Representative

The California Federation of Teachers is seeking an experienced Field Representative with a strong commitment to improving education and to the labor movement, a willingness to work long and irregular hours, an ability to communicate effectively with diverse staff and membership, and an organizing approach to the job. A field representative's responsibilities may include work with certificated and classified employees ranging from preschool through post-graduate. ">More information here.

Department of Water Resources – State Water Project Chief Financial Manager

The State Water Project (SWP) Chief Financial Manager (CFM) works under the direction of the Deputy Director, SWP and provides high-level policy advice to the Department of Water Resources' (DWR) Directorate and SWP senior management on matters affecting the investment of resources to improve and sustain SWP operations. Please visit the CalCareers website for instructions on how to apply: https://www.jobs.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/Jobs/JobPosting.aspx?JobControlId=174041

California School Boards Association - Public Affairs & Community Engagement Rep (4 positions)

Serve as CSBA’s liaison to local schools and county boards of education, key decision makers, and the community-at-large. Execute grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. Positions based in the following locations: North LA/Ventura, South San Joaquin, SF Bay Area, and North Coast. Salary based on experience. Please apply at: https://www.csba.org/About/Careers

Senior Policy Associate (Los Angeles)

The Alliance for Children’s Rights is seeking a Senior Policy Associate to support the organization in the areas of local government advocacy, strategic planning, public education, communications, and media relations. The Senior Policy Associate will be focused primarily on systemic change relevant to children living in foster care and in poverty in Los Angeles County. The Senior Policy Associate engages in legislative and regulatory advocacy, litigation, and communication efforts ensuring successful implementation of statewide reforms in Los Angeles County and assisting in the development and implementation of systemic solutions specific to Los Angeles County. This position is housed in our main office, located in the City of Los Angeles.

The Alliance’s Policy Program is based in Sacramento and works with Alliance program staff to identify and track child welfare practices that adversely impact our clients and helps to establish and implement responses to those practices which include legislative and regulatory advocacy, impact litigation and other reform efforts. A Bachelor of Arts is required, or a Master of Public Policy Administration or J.D. is preferred. For additional information on responsibilities, required experience, abilities, qualifications and application process, please visit our website: https://kids-alliance.org/job-opportunities/

The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific

In addition to a well-respected JD, the McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees. Both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working succeed in the program. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation in statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to governance. Learn at a beautiful campus three miles from the State Capitol:
go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or publicpolicy@pacific.edu.

Political Data Inc.
For 30 Years PDI has been California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week: