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LEGISLATIVE DIRECTORY UPDATES:
Good morning! For many of you, it's welcome back to the office day, while for the lucky ones, that doesn't come until Monday. It's been a busy time here preparing for the session that gets rolling on Monday. Fortunately, the hamsters have been running in synch and the Pepper Peddler coffee has been flowing.
For those also doing Whole30 this month, email me!
Those who have read the last few days know I've been building out the legislative directory for the new session, with a public version and a Nooner Premium version for those who need a little more. I want to say "thank you" to the Nooner reader who sent me an Amazon gift card over the holiday. You'll be glad to know that you are omnipresent during writing as I used it to buy an Amazon Echo Dot. You likely have annoyed your fellow readers as there will now be more song references as I can now summon music as I write without changing windows.
FEDERAL SHUTDOWN: So, things get serious today as tourists find the Smithsonian Museums and National Zoos closed and next Friday's payday for furloughed employees (and those working without appropriations authority) coming onto the radar. The "Big Five" (since that term is no longer the same in California, we'll use it for Trump, McConnell, Schumer, Ryan, and Pelosi are meeting at this hour. Before anyone sends hate mail about the ordering, remember that the House leadership doesn't change until Monday.
Things have gotten really crappy in the national parks, which could be a significant blow to non-government employees who rely on visitor traffic. This ranges from small monuments to Yosemite. So, while some government employees who are furloughed are counting on an eventual paycheck for the furloughed time, the family-owned grocery that relies on employees and visitors going to/from the parks are permanently screwed for the downtime. And, it's not like there is a Walmart down the street from Manzanar to pick up a shift.
Meanwhile, you can watch Smithsonian panda Bei Bei play in the snow back in November. It's the best thing you'll see all day.
Time for California politics. "Alexa, play Going Back to Cali by LL Cool J."
EUREKA! With the state's reserves exceeding constitutional minimums and billions more expected to be set aside this year, the first and likely largest budget proposal by Governor-elect Gavin Newsom is out--$1.8 billion for early education and child-care programs. The LAT's John Myers reports:
"The spending would boost programs designed to ensure children enter kindergarten prepared to learn, closing what some researchers have called the “readiness gap” that exists based on a family’s income. It would also phase in an expansion of prekindergarten, and offer money to help school districts that don’t have facilities for full-day kindergarten.
A broad overview document reviewed by The Times shows that most of the outlay under the plan — $1.5 billion — would be a one-time expense in the budget year that begins July 1. Those dollars would be a single infusion of cash, an approach favored by Gov. Jerry Brown in recent years.
Most of the money would be spent on efforts to expand childcare services and kindergarten classes. By law, a governor must submit a full budget to the Legislature no later than Jan. 10. Lawmakers will spend the winter and spring reviewing the proposal and must send a final budget plan to Newsom by June 15.:
Particularly in good years, "highlights" are leaked for several news cycles in advance of the spending plan's release for a steady flow of stories rather than one big budget release. Expect that in particular this year the governor's budget is released by the constitutionally required Thursday, January 10, which is not a great day of the week to drop big news.
The hungry hippos are rushing to the trough.
"Alexa, play Money by Pink Floyd."
"Alexa, play Mo Money, Mo Problems by Notorious B.I.G."
Sorry, Kanye, you don't get a Gold Digger play. Love the song, but that Oval Office stunt was cringeworthy for everybody in politics, including POTUS.
HEALTH CARE: In the Bee, Sophia Bollag looks at the Governor-elect's early hires that signal that he has big ambitions on health care:
"Incoming chief of staff Ann O’Leary helped develop the Children’s Health Insurance Program when she worked in the Bill Clinton White House.
His cabinet secretary — typically the second-highest-ranking cabinet member — Ana Matosantos helped lead negotiations to expand health insurance access under former Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.
And several other key appointees in the new administration have spent years advocating to make health care more affordable and expand immigrants’ access to insurance."
As Bollag notes, don't expect a quick run to single-payer, but rather a patchwork to close gaps and the above players have experience in exactly that. Remember, the health care industry opponents to SB 562--e.g. insurers, hospitals, physicians--welcome universal coverage as long as it doesn't immediately significantly disrupt the cost/payment structure of those already covered. That's true both in California and nationally.
FROM ACROSS THE POND: The Brits are taking notice of California's law that took effect yesterday that limits pet shops to selling only rescued dogs, cats, and rabbits. John Gabbatiss reports in the Independent:
The law, which takes effect from 1 January, was conceived as a way to crack down on so-called “kitten factories” and “puppy mills”.
Such “high volume” operations that breed animals for profit have been associated with inhumane conditions and long-term health problems for the animals.
LAW SCHOOL FLASHBACK: For the legal beagle readers, why does a British story about dogs immediately bring me back 21 years to Pierson v. Post? Pierson is a foundational case in property law relating to the hunting dogs chasing a fox. One of the first cases read, assigned before the first class, with a paranoia of the reputation of the brutal Socratic style of Professor Dobris. Dobris, an amazing professor emeritus, used index cards with photos to call on people. While students frequently took a break from aggressively studying the cases for the next class after being called upon, he took joy in starting a class mid-semester with a shuffle of the cards at the beginning of the class.
"The Census Bureau estimated California’s population, as of July 1, at 39.6 million, while the Department of Finance tabbed it at 39.8 million."
Since the 2010 census, which found 37.3 million Californians, the state has added just 2.3 million people, the Census Bureau data confirm, for an overall growth of 6.1 percent. That’s virtually identical to the nation’s, 5.96 percent, and puts California in some danger of losing one of its 53 congressional seats, which will be redistributed after the 2020 census.
“If the next census does a poor job of reaching traditionally hard-to-count populations and immigrant communities, more than 1.6 million Californians could be missed and the state could easily lose a seat,” the Public Policy Institute of California says in a recent report. “This scenario assumes a generally inaccurate count, similar to the 1990 Census, and a 10 percent undercount among households with one or more undocumented immigrants."
If California loses a congressional seat, the California Citizens Redistricting Commission would likely be faced with eliminating a seat in either Los Angeles or the Bay Area. I don't see a scenario where a Republican loses a seat after redistricting, particularly after losing seven on November 6. A loss would only likely hit a Democrat in an urban area.
In Los Angeles, the politics were ugly in 2011 as the African-American community sought to protect three "African-American" seats. One has now flipped and is currently held by Nanette Barragán, which reflects the emergence of Latino majorities in not just population but citizen voting age population in many communities in south Los Angeles. There will be a big focus in 2021 with hopes of holding on to the other two, currently held by Karen Bass and Maxine Waters. Neither have had a serious challenge thus far, but lines will be very important if the general region is slated to lose a seat. To the east who could be affected is Linda Sanchez.
If there is a Bay Area shift with the loss of one congressional seat, look to the East Bay. The three affected would be CA11 (Mark DeSaulnier), CA13 (Barbara Lee), and CA15 (Eric Swalwell). I need not tell you of the political pressure to protect Lee's seat as the only African-American member of Congress in Northern California (and one of three in California--all women) who is also in Democratic leadership.
Here's a map of those districts. I'll get to LA tomorrow as I'm out of time!
95814->37188 HOPES, MUSIC STYLE: "Alexa, play California Über Alles by the Dead Kennedys." For those who haven't read the lyrics lately (or ever), it's pretty fun. It was the band's first single, written in 1979 during the second presidential election. Of course, the song was remade by the Disposable Heroes of Hiphopcrisy. Again, the lyrics are fun to read in the context of California political history.
Will there be a remake about the incoming governor? Time will tell...
SANDY EGGO and #CAKEDAY after the jump...
SANDY EGGO: This morning, Councilmember Barbara Bry announced her candidacy for San Diego mayor. Bry is a high-tech entrepreneur and has a Master’s Degree in Business from Harvard. She is the first candidate to announce and is expected to be joined in the race by Assemblymember Todd Gloria and Congressman Scott Peters. With the above all being Democrats, councilmembers Chris Cate and Mark Kersey are Republicans rumored in the mix.
The city is currently 40.6% D, 21.4% %, and 32.7% NPP. That said, it's also the city that produced Governor Pete Wilson. The independents are truly independent and the race is non-partisan, at least as it appears on the ballot. Of course, a March 3 primary is likely to be very strong for Democratic turnout with the presidential primary likely still quite competitive and few top-of-the-ticket interests for GOP voters. The race proceeds to November with the top two, even if a candidate gets over 50%.
#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Roxanne Gould and Jay Hansen!
DEPT. OF CORRECTIONS: Yes, the Legislature was sworn in December 3 and reconvenes January 7. When asked, Alexa told me that Gavin is being sworn in January 7, as well as who the heck the guy is.
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Changes May Be Ahead For Criticized Georgia Election System - Politico
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS @
Stacy Abrams and her allies accused Brian Kemp of suppressing minority votes and mismanaging the election. Kemp, now Georgia's governor-elect, has vehemently denied those allegations. | Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images
Voting Issues and Gerrymanders Are Now Key Political Battlegrounds
The fairness of elections and voting have become political flash points in key states like Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Trump Says He Was Lonely Over The Holidays - Politico
President Donald Trump decided not to leave town as the federal government entered a shutdown thanks to an impasse over his demands for border wall funding. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo
The president kept tweeting during the government shutdown, but his claims were often suspect.
In Newly Divided Government, Priorities of Trump and Democrats Diverge
As Democrats take control of the House, they will push an anti-corruption agenda while President Trump tries to keep the focus on immigration controls.
Rnc Chair Mcdaniel Sides With Trump Over Uncle Mitt Romney - Politico
Ronna Romney McDaniel has long sought to minimize intra-party disputes while remaining a loyal soldier for President Donald Trump and the GOP. | AP Photo/Jeff Roberson
Nadler: Trump Administration 'Apparently Willing' To Have Migrant Kids Die
Oli Okun @
Incoming House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler blasted the Trump administration Wednesday for the recent deaths of two migrant children in government custody, placing the blame squarely on the White House and its policies.
Five Ways Elizabeth Warren (and Other 2020 Hopefuls) Will Campaign When Thereâ
Democrats will move quickly to try to build grass-roots support and raise money: two prerequisites for any candidate hoping to break out of what is likely to be a congested pack of contenders.
Harry Reid: Trump is â
The former Senate majority leader also told New York Times Magazine that President Trump is âÂÂamoralâÂÂ and âÂÂoblivious.âÂÂ
Trump aims to jump-start shutdown talks in meeting with congressional leaders
WednesdayâÂÂs meeting is the first between the president and top lawmakers since the shutdown started before Christmas.
Trump urges Romney to be a team player hours after scathing op-ed
The president responded in a tweet to a piece in which the incoming senator said Trump has not risen to the job.
Why Trump has spared Pelosi from his personal vitriol -- so far
Racheal Bad @
The president genuinely respects the incoming speaker, and needs her if he's going to get anything done in the next two years. But the government shutdown is about to test his restraint.
Mitt Romney Says Trump â
The Utah senator-elect criticized the president in an op-ed essay in The Washington Post days before he enters Congress, raising speculation that he could try to challenge Mr. Trump in 2020.
A new lawsuit was filed against the Trump administration over the government shutdown, alleging it's illegal for agencies to force employees to work without pay.
Romney savages Trump's leadership in Washington Post op-ed
The president 'has not risen to the mantle of the office,' writes the incoming Utah senator.
Pompeo 'Hopeful' For Consular Access To Detained American In Russia
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on Wednesday expressed hope that U.S. officials in Russia would get consular access to an American citizen who has been detained in Moscow on charges of spying.
Rand Paul Rips Romney For Criticizing Trump - Politico
Sen. Rand Paul is spending much of his time on Wednesday pushing back against Mitt Romney, tweeting a defense in the morning, then holding the conference call and also planning to appear on national TV. | Aaron P. Bernstein/Getty Images
'You don't hire an airline pilot who has never flown a plane': Andrew Cuomo talks up a Joe Biden presidential bid
John Wagner @
The governor of New York said in a radio interview that the former vice president has Ã¢ÂÂthe best caseÃ¢ÂÂ among Democrats for the nomination.
Trump Hits Back At Romney: 'I Won Big, And He Didn't
Eli Okun @
Donald Trump and Mitt Romney have long had an uneasy relationship. | Drew Angerer/Getty Images
Former Pelosi Critic Says Dems 'Absolutely' United Behind Her Now
Eli Okun @
Rep. Tim Ryan had been among Nancy Pelosi's most prominent critics, mounting a bid to unseat her as Democratic leader in 2017. | AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin
U.S. Fires Tear Gas Across Mexico Border To Stop Migrants - Politico
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS @
A migrant runs from tear gas thrown by U.S. Border Protection officers to the Mexican side of the border near Tijuana on Jan. 1. The agents were trying to repel about 150 migrants trying to breach the border fence. | Daniel Ochoa de Olza/AP photo
House Dems feuding before new Congress even begins
Progressives are slamming Nancy Pelosi's rules package to govern the House.
Liberal revolt threatens to derail House Democrats on their first day in charge
signing up you agree to our @
Two prominent liberals say they will oppose the leadership-proposed rules package over the inclusion of fiscal rules.
Cuomo: 'Biden Has The Best Case' Among Potential 2020 Contenders
So which potential candidates does he like?
In a tweet Wednesday, the party chairwoman criticized her own uncle for criticizing the president.