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REMINDER: My firstname.lastname@example.org email address is still in DNS hell. email@example.com (where that other email usually goes anyway) is working just fine.
Happy Saturday and GO AGS! The Aggies host Northern Iowa at 4pm in the second round of the Football Championship Series playoffs. (ESPN3 or, if you're a baller, Aggie Stadium. I'll be a baller today although look anything but the part.)
The new Secretary of the State Senate will be Ricardo Lara's chief of staff Erika Contreras, reports the LAT's Patrick McGreevy. "Contreras, who graduated from UC Santa Barbara, was born in Aguascalientes, Mexico, and raised in the San Fernando Valley, according to Atkins’ office. Her family was granted legal residency following the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986, and she later earned her citizenship."
Contreras will replace the retiring Danny Alvarez. Damn, I've known Danny for a long time from his state budget days. My friend Denise Ducheny would frequently say "You need to talk to Danny about that."
From amnesty under Ronald Reagan to the top staff person in California's State Senate--remarkable. Think about it. She is supported by a lesbian Pro Tem from Appalachia. This state is amazing.
On my morning walk, I listened to a great New Yorker podcast on what's actually happening with the migrants in Tijuana. It's a truly fascinating listen about the logistics for those seeking asylum. The refugees themselves are keeping the priority list--in order of sign-up. There are over 1,600 entries on the list representing over 5,000 people. Each day, US CBP announces how many applicants can be processed and the refugees call the list numbers. It can take over a month and the living conditions have meanwhile gotten awful, although going home to Honduras could be a death sentence.
Meanwhile, some Capitol offices have been shuffled around. New members start in the office of their predecessor, but presumably newly elected Democrat Tasha Boerner Horvath will get an office in the Capitol and not Rocky Chávez's in LOB across the street.
Here's an odd aside following the sad loss of George H.W. Bush that I posted to Facebook. "Fascinating family history I just got in re: George Herbert Walker Bush. "Herbie Walker" was a New York stockbroker used by 41's broker Prescott Bush, also used by my paternal grandfather, a Texas oil geologist."
I knew that granddaddy had a connection, but that's just wild.
Camp Fire update: 88 fatalities, 18,804 structures destroyed; 153,336 acres; 49 persons unaccounted for
Good news in the Camp Fire, as the number of people unaccounted for dropped by nearly 150 and no new remains were discovered yesterday. Bad news is reported by Paige St. John and Joseph Serna in the Times, as they find that more than one-third of Paradise residents who signed up for emergency alert calls did not received them. "Many of the town’s residents said they relied on calls from alarmed relatives and the sight of approaching flames to flee from California's worst fire on Nov. 8. Logs released Friday show the official warning system reached fewer than 6,200 of the 27,000 who live in the ridge-top community."
PG&E AND THE B-WORD: For CALmatters, Judy Lin looks at what would happen if Pacific Gas and Electric files for bankruptcy after wildlife liability is determined.
Bankruptcy could affect wildfire victims seeking damages because the filing triggers a stay on lawsuits against PG&E. Multiple victims of the Camp Fire have already sued PG&E alleging negligence and health and safety code violations by the utility. That comes on the heels of dozens of lawsuits related to fires in 2017.
“They can ultimately have their claim determined outside of the bankruptcy court, but it still is a claim of the bankruptcy,” [Sacramento bankruptcy attorney Steven] Felderstein said. “So if the creditors only end up getting paid a percentage of the amount they are owed, then that would affect the injured parties as well.”
If wildfire victims aren’t happy with the reorganization, it could be that their claims are so large that they can veto the plan. “It isn’t for sure that they’d be able to stop a plan, but obviously there’d be a chance that they could,” Felderstein said.
This is the stock of PG&E's parent company's in November. The 50% haircut is the evaporation of $13.7 billion in market cap.
CDP: I erred yesterday stating that Holly Mitchell is termed out of the State Senate in 2020. She was just re-elected through 2022. That's how much attention I paid to her very safe race. Also talked about yesterday are outgoing insurance commissioner Dave Jones and treasurer John Chiang. Kimberly Ellis, who narrowly lost the race for chair to Eric Bauman last year certainly sounds like a candidate and calls for unionization of party staff, campaign workers, and legislative staff. She also included one of her campaign signs in a tweet yesterday.
The replacement will be filled at the party's May convention. That sets up a lot of battles in caucuses held in January by Assembly district, which elect a large part of delegates to convention. I mistakenly yesterday said it would be the Executive Board, but that's only if a special meeting is called and it would be a temporary choice until convention. The most activist folks who weren't Bauman supporters seem focused on the January caucuses rather than calling a special meeting of the E-board, betting on electing an "outsider" at convention that is not an appointed interim installed by the more insider e-board.
Kevin de León appears very interested and has been talking to people about it, while detractors are obviously not enthused. He, however, did get the party's endorsement post-primary for his challenge of Dianne Feinstein even after MeToo hit the Capitol and his former roommate had resigned, although that was e-board and not the full convention.
Meanwhile, CALmatters's Laurel Rosenhall writes that what happened with the Democratic Party this week shows that the MeToo movement has staying power.
BALLOT UPDATE as of November 30, 2018 (neither San Diego nor Los Angeles counties updated after yesterday's results)
TURNOUT as of November 30, 2018
AND THEN THERE WAS ONE...
There are ~20,000 ballots left in Sandy Eggo county. AD77 is about 17.65% of voters so far this November. That's 3,530 ballots in AD77. Gover needs about 58.5% of the remaining ballots to overtake Maienschein.
Yes, crazies like me have spreadsheets open that are literally named "election-scratch."
IT'S THE VOTERS, STUPID: In the Times, Michael Hiltzik takes on former state GOP chair Shawn Steele's critique of California's voting laws that led to the party's defeat at the ballot box, as well as the allegations of fraud perpetrated by several on the losing side. "Steel may be right to warn Republicans that they face even stronger head winds in 2020. And he may be right that their ills have something to do with greater enfranchisement in states such as California. But it’s not about fraud — it’s about more voters coming to the polls with reasons to vote against GOP policies."
More below the jump...
VOTER REG: Earlier this week, we looked at congressional and State Senate districts so, today are the top tens for each party. Obviously, they are very similar to the previous ones. The full spreadsheet is in the Nooner Premium subscriber section.
Notably, five of these top 10 have flipped to Democrats during this period, whereas the relative best for the GOP below have been in mostly safe Democratic districts. Only AD01 and AD05 are currently in GOP hands.
WATER WARS: In the Bee, Emily Cadei and Dale Kasler report that Senator Dianne Feinstein and House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Bakersfield) have teamed up to try to get an extension of expiring federal law that delivers more Delta water to farmers. With the support of Jerry Brown, they hope to get the provision in the must-pass federal spending bill.
With everything going on, I missed yesterday the story by the Bee team about how the state's Delta Stewardship Council could be the final resting place for Jerry Brown's "twin tunnels" project to ferry water around the Delta.
THE OTHER CAPITOL: While Barbara Lee (D-Oakland) lost her bid to be chair of the House Democratic Caucus, Nancy Pelosi has announced that Lee will have a newly created position. Politico's Heather Caygle reports "Rep. Barbara Lee will be joining the House Democratic leadership team, filling a key void for the caucus after its elections earlier this week left the group without a woman of color in the top ranks. Lee is expected to fill a new position being created by Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi to oversee the Steering and Policy Committee, the panel that determines committee assignments for Democrats. Pelosi’s decision expands leadership of the panel from two co-chairs to three."
#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Logan Kemp!
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Ed Pastor, Arizonaâ
A son of a miner, he served 23 years in the House, championing immigration and education reforms as well as universal health care.
How do resource-constrained countries commit to universal health care?
What some countries have achieved on health coverage and AIDS treatment is quite remarkable.
North Carolina state elections board chairman resigns, saying he does not want his partisan views to hurt election fraud investigation
Andy PenryâÂÂs decision came a day after the state board voted to continue investigating possible fraud in the 9th Congressional District election.
Incoming Mexican president faces immediate border test
A populist leader, AndrÃ©s Manuel LÃ³pez Obrador, has proposed solutions to President Donald Trump that come with costs.
North Carolina Election That Looked to Be Republican Victory Now in Limbo
The state elections board said it would not certify the results in the Ninth Congressional District and instead would hold a December hearing to explore claims of fraudulent absentee ballots.
Trump Spoke With Putin At G-20 Dinner, Huckabee Sanders Confirms - Politico
President Donald Trump walks past Russian President Vladimir Putin as they gather for the group photo at the start of the G20 summit in Buenos Aires on Friday. | Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP Photo
Trump Cancels G-20 Press Conference - Politico
President Donald Trump has a strained relationship with the Bush family. | Andres Martinez Casares/Pool via AP
Trump to name Dec. 5 a national day of mourning for former president George H.W. Bush
White House press secretary Sarah Sanders said President Trump and the first lady would attend the funeral, which will be held at Washington National Cathedral. âÂÂPresident Trump is scheduled to speak with President George W. Bush this morning and offer his condolences on behalf of himself, the First Lady, and the entire country,âÂÂ Sanders said [âÂ¦]
Trump To Attend George H.w. Bush Funeral - Politico
President Donald Trump is scheduled to talk to George W. Bush by phone on Saturday to offer his condolences. | Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP Photo
The most quotable man in the Senate agonizes over leaving
The blunt-talking John Kennedy weighs a run for governor of Louisiana.
George H.w. Bush's Remarks At Son's Presidential Library Opening - Politico
The Many Times Trump Denied Ties to Russia
During the 2016 presidential campaign, Donald Trump repeatedly denied having business ties to Russia. Now that the presidentâÂÂs former lawyer has confessed to lying to Congress about a plan to build a tower in Russia, TrumpâÂÂs story has changed.
News Analysis: Mueller Exposes the Culture of Lying That Surrounds Trump
As a businessman, candidate and president, Mr. Trump has demanded loyalty of advisers, including an embrace of his habitual boasts, misstatements and outright falsehoods.
Cohen claims 'regular contact' with Trump legal team when crafting false statement to Congress
The president's former personal lawyer seeks leniency in a new court filing amid cooperation with special counsel Robert Mueller.
Triumphant Democrats offer a primer on how to beat Trump in Pennsylvania
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Gov. Wolf and Sen. Casey won handily in the midterms with an election strategy that will be key for whomever the Democratic Party nominates for president in 2020.
President Trump did not rule out a pardon for his former campaign chairman, while prosecutors say he violated a plea agreement and could face additional charges.
A president with a poetâ
With a pen and paper, the 41st president showed a depth greater than what his public persona suggested.
Politico Playbook: R.i.p. George H.w. Bush - Politico
Former President George Herbert Walker Bush died Friday. He was 94. | John Duricka/AP Photo
On Politics: The Biggest Stories of the Week
ItâÂÂs been a busy week in American politics. Here are some of the stories you might have missed.
George H.W. Bush dies at 94. The 41st president of the United States helped guide the world out of a four-decade Cold War.
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Bush was a steadfast force on the international stage for decades, from his stint as an envoy to Beijing to his eight years as vice president and his one term as commander in chief from 1989 to 1993. The last veteran of World War II to serve as president, Bush came to be seen as [âÂ¦]
Rand Paul Under Fire For Blocking Israel Bills - Politico
Trump Statement: Bush ‘always Found A Way To Set The Bar Higher’ - Politico
"Our hearts ache with his loss, and we, with the American people, send our prayers to the entire Bush family, as we honor the life and legacy of 41," President Donald Trump said in a statement with first lady Melania Trump. | Christian Hartman/AFP/Getty Images
Progressive Leader Rep. Jayapal Joins 'caravan' For Border Crossing - Politico
Rep. Pramila Jayapal's visit comes amid a tense standoff at the border. | Elaine Thompson/AP Photo
George H.w. Bush Remembered By Presidential Peers, Family - Politico
Marcy Nighswander/AP Photo
Pelosi Creates Leadership Position For Barbara Lee - Politico
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi created a new position for fellow California Democratic Rep. Barbara Lee after many of their colleagues were disappointed that Lee fell just short in her run for caucus chair. | Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo