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Camp Fire update: 88 fatalities, 18,804 structures destroyed; 153,336 acres; 196 persons unaccounted for; 100% contained 

It's a tough day in Butte County, which is recovering. The rains brought flash floods  yesterday. The Butte County Sheriff's Office also released this footage of body cam footage from a deputy.

EYE CANDY: Great travel write-up about Sacramento in NY Magazine. Kudos to T Street "neighbor" South for the inclusion. Damn, I need me some South fried chicken and the sun hasn't risen yet.

Happy Friday! You made it! Yes, my damn "e" key still requires a hefty press on the bottom right corner. 

What a week. I am exhausted; how about you? It's tough enough writing about falls from grace and addiction for me as longtime Noonerites, but you would not believe all of the behind-the-scenes pieces that I'm following. I try to give you a glimpse, but I can only publicly share about 20% of what I get. I never burn sources, which provides you a better, less gossipy, Nooner.

Never did I imagine that so much would be going on at the end of November. But, it's here, the calendar changes in a few hours and that San Diego election update will land a few hours from now. Who will be sworn in on Monday for AD77 (N. San Diego)? Will we know tonight?

As if I didn't have enough to write, we now have a devastating quake in Anchorage that just "broke"--literally and figuratively. I have my UC Davis Law hoodie on this morning (as often) and am thinking about Alaska as I write. UC Davis Law ("King Hall," as we don't need to change our name to sister formerly known as "Boalt) has had a long pipeline of judicial clerks and externs to the courts in Alaska, which doesn't have a law school. 

Sarah Palin  tweets that all of her humans are okay, but her house in Wasilla is not. I'm no political fan of hers, but she is an American and is thus in my heart today.

During my afternoon walk in a moment of respite from the rain, I went to one of the corner stores and loaded up with candy (which would have been a helluva lot cheaper had I gone to that big red circle store). I took it to the headquarters of the California Democratic Party headquarters, which is four blocks from The Nooner Global Headquarters. My message was "some of you are happy, some of you are sad, but you all can us chocolate at this time."

I'd do the same for the GOP staff in the same situation, although it's not as easy to find the office these days. Dems have Lady Persist, while the GOP is, well, "above Sharif's."

CA DEMS: As you know, chair Eric Bauman resigned yesterday afternoon. After Gavin Newsom and Senate President Pro Tem Toni Atkins called for him to do so, the only question was timing, and it was swift. I know many people want me to call him evil for his actions, but those in recovery wish the best on addicts and people affected by actions of them. He will have time to make amends and that it's up to those affected to decide on forgiveness--not the social media crowd.

First vice chair Alex Rooker assumes the responsibilities until the party's executive board meets (spring convention in San Francisco, unless there is a meeting before). In a correction to yesterday, Rooker now works for herself and no longer CWA. Ugh, I knew that.

For the Los Angeles Times, John Myers, Phil Willon and Taryn Luna look at how things quickly got ugly in what should have been a celebratory month for the party.

From my conversations yesterday with several executive board members incuding Bauman supporters and detractors, it seems clear that they are looking for a high profile name to come in to the role of chair. The name most frequently mentioned is Kevin de León. While his eye may be on LA City Council as a path to a mayoral bid, the state party role would keep that latter bid possible while also keeping his name in the news and delivering a paycheck until the 2002 mayoral race. And, from what I hear, KDL is interested. 

Councilmember Herb Wesson is intrigued by the idea, I hear, as it may indicate that de León is taking a pass on council district 1 in 2020 and make him a less attractive candidate for mayor in 2022. I'm not so sure about that, as the party brand is big in the city of Los Angeles, and that election will be the first to coincide with the statewide gubernatorial primary. (Previous elections for lots of LA munis were in BS off-year low-turnout elections (now questionably legal, I digress.)

de León is a "no go" with the most ardent #METOO crowd. His Sacramento roommate was disgraced former state senator Tony Mendoza and chaired the Senate Rules Committee that had a lax approach to harassment complaints. There are rumors against de León, but they are not unlike any other member that has political detractors.

That said, this would be a vote of the Executive Board and not all convention delegates. Those who chat on social media otherwise have not read the bylaws.

Many want a female chair, which is understandable. Of course, the same people oppose Rooker as she is seen as part of Bauman's inner circle. Had Maria Elena Durazo not been elected to the State Senate this month (to de León's seat), she would be the clear favorite. The others are in public office which currently means a lot of Democrats have a day job. Lorena Gonzalez Fletcher, the former San Diego labor fed leader, now has a solid spot as chair of the Assembly Appropriations Committee.

State senator Holly Mitchell is termed out in 2020 and could be a consensus candidate if de León takes a pass. The Los Angeles Democrat is known to be a fierce advocate for the underserved, is damn smart and a great orator, and was vice-chair of the committee that rewrote the Legislature's sexual harassment policies. As a big plus, before her election to the Legislature, she was the executive director of a large child care nonprofit.

Mitchell's seat is as safe as Dems can get--HRC got 87.5% there in 2016, so a special would be no issue. Assemblymember Reggie Jones-Sawyer, the party's former secretary, is termed out in 2024. He could easily win a special in Mitchell's SD30 and re-election there in 2020. From a term-limits perspective, it's all the same.

Whoever thought that the Republican Party's challenges were the December issue have nothing on the CDP's disarray.

BALLOT UPDATE as of November 29, 2018

  • Vote-by-mail: 126,982
  • Provisional: 245,811
  • Conditional Voter Registration Provisional: 23,638
  • Other (i.e. damaged): 20,063
  • Total: 416,094

TURNOUT as of November 29, 2018

  • Eligible to register: 25,200,451
  • Registered voters as of 10/22: 19,696,371
  • Ballots tallied: 12,343,657
  • Turnout of eligible: 48.98%
  • Turnout of registered: 62.67% 

I estimate that we will have 64.4% turnout of registered voters when all is said and done.

 

Outlook
(as of 11/29/18)
  U.S. House of Representatives State Assembly State Senate
As of Nov. 6, 2018 39 Democrats
14 Republicans
55 Democrats
25 Republicans
26 Democrats
14 Republicans
After Nov. 6, 2018 46 Democrats
7 Republicans
60 Democrats
19 Republicans
1 Toss-up (AD77)
29 Democrats
11 Republicans 

AND THEN THERE WAS ONE... 

  • AD77 (North San Diego): *Brian Maienschein (R)  98,205 (50.2%), Sunday Gover (D) 97,341 (49.8%)  - next update Friday PM

 

THE NEW RULES OF THE GAME: For the Chron, John Wildermuth and Tal Kopan look at how Democrats used changes in election laws to their advantage at the ballot box. In short, "harvesting" has replaced "chasing" and door knocks have replaced phone calls, and it's all legal.

THE BLUE WAVE IS REALLY A FLOOD: CALmatters's Ben Christopher looks at the trends for California Democrats beyond this year's election. Obviously, we saw that earlier this week as we looked at the congressional and State Senate voter registration numbers.

Share some birthday wishes below the jump... 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Education: Wharton School of Business: Executive MBA Informational Reception: Thursday, December 6
  • Job: Asian Pacific American Leadership Foundation: full-time program manager (Los Angeles)
  • Job: California Hospital Association: legislative advocate
  • Job: Disability Rights California: senior legislative advocate
  • Job: NorCal Cannabis: Legislative and Regulatory Strategist to Public Policy Strategist
  • Job: Reed and Davidson: Associate Attorney (Los Angeles)
  • Job: The University of California Office of the President: Associate Director of Strategy, Planning & Operations in its (Sacramento). 
  • Job: Victor Valley Community College Community College District: Vice President of Human Resources (Victorville)
  • Lobbying: The California Rental Housing Association: lobbying RFP
  • Training: Lobbying Seminars with veteran Ray LeBov: Next dates: December 13-14, February 7-8, April 4-5
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels 

 

Probolsky Research

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Aaron Bone and Lorraine Prinsky!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.

  • Disability Rights California
    We are seeking a Senior or Experienced Legislative Advocate for an aggressive disability rights organization. Join a lobbying team to advocate on issues that impact Californians with disabilities. Experience in special education and housing accessibility issues a plus. Salary based on experience. Apply here. Deadline is 12/7/2018.

  • The Victor Valley Community College District is currently recruiting for the position of Vice President of Human Resources. First date of review is scheduled for December 20, 2018. [full job description and application]

    This positions will plan, organize, direct and supervise a comprehensive human resources program, including recruitment and selection, classification and pay, employee-employer relations, benefits, unemployment and record keeping; may provide general supervision for the district’s campus police and safety program; promote, direct, and implement programs to ensure equal employment opportunity, tolerance, and cultural awareness; assure compliance with applicable district policies and procedures, state and federal laws, codes and regulations; serve as chief negotiator.

  • Looking to make a real difference?  The California Hospital Association is seeking a full-time Legislative Advocate.  This position will be responsible for representing and advocating the interests, policies and issues of CHA on state legislation, including high priority and complex state legislation. For more information and to apply, visit www.calhospital.org/job-opportunities
  • Learn how you can earn the top ranked Wharton MBA right here on the West Coast, without putting your career on hold. Join Admissions Director Barbara Craft for an Information Reception on Thursday, December 6and learn what it takes to earn the Wharton MBA while continuing to live and work in Sacramento. Barbara will be joined by local students and alumni who will share their perspectives on why Wharton is worth the commute. This event will provide an overview of the admissions process and discuss what makes the Wharton program unique, followed by time to network and ask additional questions while enjoying light refreshments. Register for the event here.

    The California Rental Housing Association (fresh off a win on Proposition 10) is looking for a lobbyist. For details please contact Russell Lowery at Russell@yourcea.com or call 916-710-2872. CalRHA represents 22,000 people who provide 500,000 homes for families across California. Are you interested in working with the Governor and Legislature on real solutions? Contact us today. [full description]

  • LEGISLATIVE AND REGULATORY STRATEGIST TO PUBLIC POLICY STRATEGIST – NorCal Cannabis
    NorCal Cannabis has been developing and shaping the legal cannabis industry since 2016. We are looking for spirited and motivated individual who will ensure NorCal Cannabis Company is engaged and strategic in its current regulations and future legislative changes affecting the company at the state and local level.

Responsibilities:

    • Legislative and regulatory tracking and strategy for California cannabis opportunities on a local and state level.
    • Support government relations and public affairs at the local and state level.
    • Follow and examine the legislation and regulations and provide detailed reports about how the legislation will influence the organization's activities.

      Please go to our website for the complete posting at norcalcann.com or email staffing@norcalcann.com with your resume and cover letter. 
  • WHY DOES CAPITOL SEMINARS DRAW PARTICIPANTS FROM ALL OVER CALIFORNIA? Because we offer comprehensive, cost-effective advocacy training you can put to immediate use. Our moderator, 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, and guest faculty are current practitioners in governmental advocacy or state government, and provide unique inside insights you won't find anywhere else. We're the No.1 advocacy training resource for nonprofits and private sector organizations, lobbying firms, government entities and trade associations. Professionals in government relations, public affairs, public policy, public administration and allied fields know that our training helps advocates, support staff, and execs who hire and manage lobbyists work together more effectively. Next dates: December 13-14, February 7-8, April 4-5. Learn more / register at www.capitolseminars.net or 916-442-5009.
  • The University of California Office of the President is looking for an Associate Director of Strategy, Planning & Operations in its Sacramento Office. The position serves as a key member of the office’s management team, facilitates issue management across legislative, budgetary and advocacy portfolios, produces briefings, memos, reports and presentations on a variety of matters affecting the University, and directs special projects. Job requires strong knowledge of UC, the executive and legislative branches of California government and higher education policy. Bachelor’s or advanced degree in public policy-related fields and 7 years of related experience is preferred. Salary commensurate with experience.
     
    To apply, visit:
  • Asian Pacific American Leadership Foundation seeks a full-time program manager in Los Angeles. The program manager will reach out to, educate, and involve key constituencies, including state and local elected officials, leaders of community groups, and their respective constituencies. A full job description can be found at tinyurl.com/ydez2t5a. Email cover letter and resume to info@apalf.org.
  • Small, downtown Los Angeles boutique law firm is looking for an associate attorney with a demonstrated interest and/or experience in political, election, and nonprofit organization law, as well as a broader interest and/or experience in business law and civil litigation. [full job description]
    Email resumes to Ana Simeonova, Office Manager, ana@politicallaw.com 
  • Director of Communications & Public Affairs – California Medical Association (Sacramento)
    Reporting directly to the VP of Strategic Communications, this position will develop/execute earned media and public affairs strategies in support of physician-focused health care advocacy. Seeking an assertive and tactful self-starter with the ability to effectively generate and shape media coverage. Must be driven with the ability to adapt to evolving priorities and deadlines. On-the-record experience required; health care or political experience strongly desired. Great culture and amazing benefits with 401k match. $85-100k DOE. View the full description and apply at: www.cmadocs.org/careers.

  • The Council of State Governments is seeking a Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator in Sacramento, CA.
    Position contributes to the organization's policy objectives and engagement with regional policy-makers and other stakeholders. This includes coordinating and providing policy committee and program support.

    • Provides administrative, logistical and communications support to policy committees and programs staff.
    • Conducts entry-level policy research, follow-up activities, and provides information to members.
    • Maintains communication, conducts outreach and establishes rapport with committee staff, legislators, representatives of the private sector, and with federal, state and local government officials.

    View full posting at csg.applicantpro.com CSG is an Equal Opportunity Employer (Minorities/Females/Veterans/Disabled)

  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu.
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
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