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REMINDER: My scott@scottlay.com email address is still in DNS hell. scottlay@gmail.com (where that other email usually goes anyway) is working just fine.

 

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FIRES: Two more fatalities were discovered in the Camp Fire and the number of people reported missing stands at 563.  

  • Camp Fire: 83 fatalities, 13,631 single-family residences, 275 multi-family residences, 514 commercial destroyed; 153,336 acres; 90% contained
  • Woolsey Fire: 3 fatalities, 1,500 structures destroyed; 96,949 acres; 100% contained (no longer being updated as CALFIRE has left incident command)

DEADLIEST WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA RECORDED HISTORY OVER THE LAST 13 MONTHS:

#1 Camp Fire (Butte): 83 deaths (November 2018) - active fire
#4 Tubbs Fire (Napa/Sonoma): 22 deaths (October 2017)
#11 Redwood Valley Fire (Mendocino): 9 deaths (October 2017)
#14 Carr Fire (Shasta/Tehama/Trinity): 7 deaths (July 2018)
#15 Atlas Fire (Napa/Solano): 6 deaths (October 2017)

(source: CALFIRE plus Camp Fire incident update; as of 11/21/18) 

MOST DESTRUCTIVE WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA RECORDED HISTORY OVER THE LAST 13 MONTHS:

#1 Camp Fire (Butte): 14,420 structures destroyed (November 2018) - active fire
#2 Tubbs Fire (Napa/Sonoma): 5,636 structures destroyed (October 2017)
#7 Carr Fire (Shasta/Tehama/Trinity): 1,604 structures destroyed (July 2018)
#8 Woosley Fire (Los Angeles/Ventura): 1,500 structures destroyed (November 2018) - active fire
#9 Nuns Fire (Sonoma): 1,353 structures destroyed (October 2017)
#10 Thomas Fire (Ventura/Santa Barbara): 1,063 structures destroyed (December 2017)
#14 Atlas Fire (Napa/Solano): 783 structures destroyed (October 2017)
#20 Redwood Valley Fire (Mendocino): 546 structures destroyed (October 2017)

(source: CALFIRE plus Camp Fire incident update; as of 11/21/18)

THIRTEEN MONTH TALLY (only from top 20):

  • Fatalities: 120
  • Structures: 26,905 structures destroyed (excluding "minor structures" i.e. guest houses/"granny" units, barns)

Law firm Morrison & Foerster has prepared a handbook for individuals, families, and organizations affected by the fires. I've looked at it and it is comprehensive and definitely not a sales pitch. The firm provides it pro bono and it is current as of 11/20.

 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

EAR TICKLER: John Myers and Tim Foster sit down with former assemblymember and longtime Sacramento player Dennis Mangers for the Capitol Weekly Podcast.

To all Nooner readers, the hamsters and I extend to you wishes for a very happy Thanksgiving.

No, your clock is not wrong, but who the heck wants to get The Nooner midday today? Well, okay, some of you will want an "important" work email to vibrate your smart watch to read to rationalize ending that conversation with uncle Fred about his bone spurs, but you can feign that vibrate.

After the jump, join me in giving thanks to the California state and congressional elected officials who are leaving office, some in retirement and some who will likely be back. One thing I know about them is that they all care deeply about California. 

Since last Thanksgiving, we have had devastating fires and mudslides in Butte, Los Angeles, Shasta, Tehama, Trinity, and Ventura counties. Thank you to the first responders, government officials, and volunteer spirit of those on the ground and from afar. It has been a team effort for survival and will require an even bigger team for recovery.

A big thank you goes out today to Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who grew up in Chico and went to Butte College before Cal. Rodgers is writing a $1 million check to support recovery efforts and tweeted a video message to encourage support from others. Meanwhile, a businessman from Rancho Santa Fe is giving $1 million for grants to every student at Paradise High School. 

 

BALLOT UPDATE as of November 21, 2018

  • Vote-by-mail: 286,233
  • Provisional: 694,609
  • Conditional Voter Registration Provisional: 39,038
  • Other (i.e. damaged): 28,021
  • Total: 1,047,901

TURNOUT as of November 21, 2018

  • Eligible to register: 25,200,451
  • Registered voters as of 10/22: 19,696,371
  • Ballots tallied through 11/21: 11,725,825
  • Turnout of eligible: 46.5%
  • Turnout of registered: 59.5% 

 

Outlook
(as of 11/21/18)
  U.S. House of Representatives State Assembly State Senate
As of 11/06/2018 39 Democrats
14 Republicans
55 Democrats
25 Republicans
26 Democrats
14 Republicans
2019-20 45 Democrats
7 Republicans
1 Toss-up (CA21)
60 Democrats
20 Republicans
29 Democrats
11 Republicans 

 

As you see above, CA21, the seat in Fresno, Kern, Kings and Tulare counties is now in toss-up territory with 447 votes separating the GOP incumbent from the Democratic challenger. This would be the final district on the Democrats' wish list, and they may very well have picked up 9 seats in the devastating election for the GOP. Kern, where TJ Cox leads 60-40% is one-third of CA21 and has thousands of ballots left. The other county with significant ballots left and a large share of CA21 is Fresno, where Cox and David Valadao are tied. 

AND THEN THERE WERE THREE... 

  • CA21 (Kings): *David Valadao (R) 54,713 (50.2%), TJ Cox (D) 54,266 (49.8%)
  • SD34 (Westminster-Santa Ana): Tom Umberg (D) 130,739 (50.4%), Janet Nguyen (R) 128,877 (49.6%)
  • AD77 (North San Diego): *Brian Maienschein (R) 94,627 (50.7%), Sunday Gover (D) 90,345 (49.0%) 
 

Thank yous after the jump...

 

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Education: Wharton School of Business: Executive MBA Informational Reception: Thursday, December 6
  • Job: Asian Pacific American Leadership Foundation: full-time program manager (Los Angeles)
  • Job: California Hospital Association: legislative advocate
  • Job: NorCal Cannabis: Political, Legislative and Regulatory Strategist/Analyst
  • Job: Reed and Davidson: Associate Attorney (Los Angeles)
  • Job: The University of California Office of the President: Associate Director of Strategy, Planning & Operations in its (Sacramento). 
  • Job: Victor Valley Community College Community College District: Vice President of Human Resources (Victorville)
  • Lobbying: The California Rental Housing Association: lobbying RFP
  • Training: Lobbying Seminars with veteran Ray LeBov: Next dates: December 13-14, February 7-8, April 4-5
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels 

 

THANK YOU: We may not always have agreed, but I know your hearts were in the right place for the people you served. I hope I haven't missed anyone.

Some retired and some had unsuccessful election bids, but they all served California.

  • Dante Acosta, Member of the State Assembly
  • Travis Allen, Member of the State Assembly
  • Joel Anderson, Member of the State Senate
  • Catharine Baker, Member of the State Assembly
  • Tom Berryhill, Member of the State Senate
  • Edmund G. Brown Jr., Governor
  • Anthony Cannella, Member of the State Senate
  • Rocky Chávez, Member of the State Assembly
  • John Chiang, Controller
  • Vanessa Delgado, Member of the State Senate
  • Jeff Denham, Member of Congress
  • Jean Fuller, Member of the State Senate
  • Diane Harkey, Member, Board of Equalization
  • Matthew Harper, Member of the State Assembly
  • Ed Hernandez, Member of the State Senate
  • Jerome Horton, Member, Board of Equalization
  • Darrell Issa, Member of Congress
  • Dave Jones, Insurance Commissioner
  • Steve Knight, Member of Congress
  • Kevin de León, Member of the State Senate
  • Janet Nguyen, Member of the State Senate
  • Dana Rohrabacher, Member of Congress
  • Ed Royce, Member of Congress
  • George Runner, Member, Board of Equalization
  • Marc Steinorth, Member of the State Assembly
  • Tom Torlakson, Superintendent of Public Instruction
  • Andy Vidak, Member of the State Senate
  • Mimi Walters, Member of Congress

 

And, to the legislative staff and our Capitol community members who are retiring, thank you for your service to the people of our great state. I don't have your names, but you share in the Noonerific gratitude.

  

Probolsky Research

  

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Melehat Rafiei and Mariana Sabeniano!

DEPT OF CORRECTIONS: Yesterday, I wrote that Congressman Tom McClintock was from Long Beach before moving to NorCal. Of course, that was former congressman Dan Lungren. McClintock served in the State Senate from Thousand Oaks. Good catch, Josh Gross!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.

  • The Victor Valley Community College District is currently recruiting for the position of Vice President of Human Resources. First date of review is scheduled for December 20, 2018. [full job description and application]

    This positions will plan, organize, direct and supervise a comprehensive human resources program, including recruitment and selection, classification and pay, employee-employer relations, benefits, unemployment and record keeping; may provide general supervision for the district’s campus police and safety program; promote, direct, and implement programs to ensure equal employment opportunity, tolerance, and cultural awareness; assure compliance with applicable district policies and procedures, state and federal laws, codes and regulations; serve as chief negotiator.

  • Looking to make a real difference?  The California Hospital Association is seeking a full-time Legislative Advocate.  This position will be responsible for representing and advocating the interests, policies and issues of CHA on state legislation, including high priority and complex state legislation. For more information and to apply, visit www.calhospital.org/job-opportunities
  • Learn how you can earn the top ranked Wharton MBA right here on the West Coast, without putting your career on hold. Join Admissions Director Barbara Craft for an Information Reception on Thursday, December 6and learn what it takes to earn the Wharton MBA while continuing to live and work in Sacramento. Barbara will be joined by local students and alumni who will share their perspectives on why Wharton is worth the commute. This event will provide an overview of the admissions process and discuss what makes the Wharton program unique, followed by time to network and ask additional questions while enjoying light refreshments. Register for the event here.

    The California Rental Housing Association (fresh off a win on Proposition 10) is looking for a lobbyist. For details please contact Russell Lowery at Russell@yourcea.com or call 916-710-2872. CalRHA represents 22,000 people who provide 500,000 homes for families across California. Are you interested in working with the Governor and Legislature on real solutions? Contact us today. [full description]

  • POLITICAL, LEGISLATIVE AND REGULATORY STRATEGIST/ANALYST – NorCal Cannabis
    NorCal Cannabis has been developing and shaping the legal cannabis industry since 2016. We are looking for spirited and motivated individual who will ensure NorCal Cannabis Company is engaged and strategic in its current regulations and future legislative changes affecting the company at the state and local level.

Responsibilities:

    • Legislative and regulatory tracking and strategy for California cannabis opportunities on a local and state level.
    • Support government relations and public affairs at the local and state level.
    • Follow and examine the legislation and regulations and provide detailed reports about how the legislation will influence the organization's activities.

      Please go to our website for the complete posting at norcalcann.com or email staffing@norcalcann.com with your resume and cover letter. 
  • WHY DOES CAPITOL SEMINARS DRAW PARTICIPANTS FROM ALL OVER CALIFORNIA? Because we offer comprehensive, cost-effective advocacy training you can put to immediate use. Our moderator, 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, and guest faculty are current practitioners in governmental advocacy or state government, and provide unique inside insights you won't find anywhere else. We're the No.1 advocacy training resource for nonprofits and private sector organizations, lobbying firms, government entities and trade associations. Professionals in government relations, public affairs, public policy, public administration and allied fields know that our training helps advocates, support staff, and execs who hire and manage lobbyists work together more effectively. Next dates: December 13-14, February 7-8, April 4-5. Learn more / register at www.capitolseminars.net or 916-442-5009.
  • The University of California Office of the President is looking for an Associate Director of Strategy, Planning & Operations in its Sacramento Office. The position serves as a key member of the office’s management team, facilitates issue management across legislative, budgetary and advocacy portfolios, produces briefings, memos, reports and presentations on a variety of matters affecting the University, and directs special projects. Job requires strong knowledge of UC, the executive and legislative branches of California government and higher education policy. Bachelor’s or advanced degree in public policy-related fields and 7 years of related experience is preferred. Salary commensurate with experience.
     
    To apply, visit:
  • Asian Pacific American Leadership Foundation seeks a full-time program manager in Los Angeles. The program manager will reach out to, educate, and involve key constituencies, including state and local elected officials, leaders of community groups, and their respective constituencies. A full job description can be found at tinyurl.com/ydez2t5a. Email cover letter and resume to info@apalf.org.
  • Small, downtown Los Angeles boutique law firm is looking for an associate attorney with a demonstrated interest and/or experience in political, election, and nonprofit organization law, as well as a broader interest and/or experience in business law and civil litigation. [full job description]
    Email resumes to Ana Simeonova, Office Manager, ana@politicallaw.com 
  • Director of Communications & Public Affairs – California Medical Association (Sacramento)
    Reporting directly to the VP of Strategic Communications, this position will develop/execute earned media and public affairs strategies in support of physician-focused health care advocacy. Seeking an assertive and tactful self-starter with the ability to effectively generate and shape media coverage. Must be driven with the ability to adapt to evolving priorities and deadlines. On-the-record experience required; health care or political experience strongly desired. Great culture and amazing benefits with 401k match. $85-100k DOE. View the full description and apply at: www.cmadocs.org/careers.

  • The Council of State Governments is seeking a Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator in Sacramento, CA.
    Position contributes to the organization's policy objectives and engagement with regional policy-makers and other stakeholders. This includes coordinating and providing policy committee and program support.

    • Provides administrative, logistical and communications support to policy committees and programs staff.
    • Conducts entry-level policy research, follow-up activities, and provides information to members.
    • Maintains communication, conducts outreach and establishes rapport with committee staff, legislators, representatives of the private sector, and with federal, state and local government officials.

    View full posting at csg.applicantpro.com CSG is an Equal Opportunity Employer (Minorities/Females/Veterans/Disabled)

  • Administrative Assistant for Lobby Firm
    Qualifications: Experience working in a governmental affairs office, outstanding communications skills, working knowledge of the legislative process, calendaring and arranging travel, proficient in Microsoft Outlook, Excel and Word. Salary based on experience.

    Send resume to jmccoy@aaronread.com For questions, call Joelle at (916) 448-3444.

  •  
  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu.
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
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