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REMINDER: My scott@scottlay.com email address is still in DNS hell. scottlay@gmail.com (where that other email usually goes anyway) is working just fine.

 

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DISTRICT UPDATE(S):

  • SD34 (Huntington Beach): New poll paid for the Senate Dems:
    • incumbent Janet Nguyen: 42%
    • former assemblymember Tom Umberg: 42%

 

BALANCE OF POWER: 

  • CA congressional delegation:
    • Current: 39 Democrats, 14 Republicans
    • My current projection for 116th Congress: 40 Democrats, 9 Republicans, 5 toss-ups
      - Hold of 39, pick-up in Open/Issa CA49; Toss-ups of Denham (CA10), Knight (CA25), Rohrabacher (CA48), Open/Royce (CA39), and Walters (CA45)
  • Senate:
    • Current: 26 Democrats, 14 Republicans
    • My current projection for 2019-20 session: 27 Democrats, 13 Republicans
      - Dems hold 13, pick up Open/Cannella (SD12)
  • Assembly:
    • Current: 55 Democrats, 25 Republicans
    • My current projection for 2019-20 session: 57-59 Democrats, 23-21 Republicans
      - Dems hold 55, pick up AD76 with tough holds for Dems in Salas (AD32) and Cervantes (AD60), likely pick-up in Open/Steinorth (AD40) and possible pick-ups for Dems in toss-up Acosta (AD38) and Open/Allen (AD72) and long-shot in Baker (AD16).

 Congressional delegation outlook

 

 

Senate – meets today at 11 am

  • In Committee – 4
  • 2nd Reading – 7
  • Conf Report – 1
  • Concurrence – 68
  • 3rd Reading – 78
  • Consent – 8
  • Held at Desk – 4
  • Total: 170

 

Assembly – meets today at 10 am

  • In Committee – 8
  • 2nd Reading – 7 + 2
  • Concurrence – 111
  • Conf Report – 1
  • 3rd Reading – 116
  • Consent – 3
  • Total: 248

 

Total: 418

 

 

--adblock--

 

First, on the electric bill, a correction. I stupidly wrote that Southern California Edison was a subsidiary of Sempra. No, that is Southern California Gas Company. SCE is of course is a subsidiary of Southern California Edison. I knew that and meant to fact check, but somebody told me on Tuesday not to trust Google anymore. ;-) I do take these things seriously and do thank those who corrected. 

More on electricity. I'm guessing that most of you know that I'm a bit of a fan of The West Wing. I might have been seen riding around the Capitol on a Jump Bike yesterday wearing a TWWW shirt asking Ok. Ok. What's Next? Yeah, that's this week.

Anyway, speaking of this week, there is a bill that totally brings up one of the best The West Wing episodes. Yes, episode 5 of season 6 is mostly remembered as when Josh ran a monster truck into a Prius. He was then ordered to convene a task force of "clean" energy producers. They sat around a table in the Roosevelt room (that's Theodore, Sam, not Franklin Delano) and debated the pros and cons of their source. Of course, the only interest concluded was that as self.

How the heck does an episode aired in 2004 have relevance in the 2018 final week of the California Legislature? 

Meet AB 893 (E. Garcia). The bill would require utilities to procure a certain percentage of their renewable energy from geothermal. Geothermal is generated from steam wells dug in the desert, which released to the surface, turn turbines that generate electricity. I've had a great education, but I sure as hell am not a physical scientist. But, that's irrelevant for the purposes of our discussion.

Where is geothermal energy produced? The majority is in Imperial County. If you have driven the region, you will have seen the facilities blossing from the desert floor.

Thus, this bill is put forward by Imperial County, Imperial Irrigation District (which largely owns the land and provides electrical connection to the generators), Calpine (which generates in Sonoma County), and Energy Source, which operates geothermal plants in the Salton Sea Authority territory. There is not room in The Nooner to write about the Salton Sea history, but it is fascinating.

The opposition comes from the utilities, wind, and solar producers. They argue that the state has been source-neutral on renewably generated electricity and should stay as such. 

Let's breathe for a second and hear from a sponsor before I continue. To be honest, I don't know which sponsor. The top one is fixed, and the other ones look just like "--adblock3--" to me. 

 

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Vote YES on SB 1017

 

We continue our story on AB 893. There are lots of interesting stories to be found in the 80th Assembly District. There is a surprising number of Chinese-American owned establishments on either side of the border that connects Calexico, CA, USA from Highway 111 to  with Mexicali, BC, MX. The story I have been told is that after the famous dam attempt failure flooded Imperial County that created the Salton Sea from the Colorado River, the first farmers to return were of Chinese heritage. Thus, visitors may be surprised to find this heritage in a very Latino region. 

Of course, the farms these days are at large scale. Those of us who love our greens and berries year-round buy from the Salinas Valley in the spring-early fall, and then it's largely from Imperial if domestic. Entire farm labor crews are moved from the (831) to the (442)/(760). 

The challenge in Imperial is unemployment. It routinely is the highest non-farm unemployment rate in California. In July, it was 19.3% compared to a statewide 4.4%. That is actually great news, as the year-over-year non-farm unemployment rate dropped from by 4.9% over the previous July, compared to a statewide reduction of 1%.

Of course, there has been little in economic development in the region other than prisons and geothermal. It's sad and I've been on the ground there in 100+ degree heat that doesn't persist for three days like in SacTown, but lasts for months. 

Many of the well paid prison employees, I've learned (and this is true in Susanville at the absolute opposite northern end of the state), work multiple shifts in a row and live elsewhere. In Susanville, it may be Reno (which you pass when driving from SacTown to Susanville) and in the Imperial County prisons outside Blythe, it is often Arizona. This is not a criticism of the employees, but rather a caution to regions that roll out the welcome mat only to find the economic benefits are not as promised.

Unfortunately, I believe the same thing is likely true with geothermal. Local economic developers are responsible to identify and attract job-creating/sustaining employers. That appears to be the case in AB 893, whereby carving out a slice of the renewable pie would provide economic gold. 

I don't take positions on legislation in this space, although I rarely hiding my cards. I do believe that a university or 2+2 expansion of Imperial Valley or Palo Verde colleges would be more sustainable, local, and beneficial, without the internecine fight between the generators of renewable energy.

Anyway, 36 hours to go.

 

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Event: Workforce development celebration: Tuesday, August 28th from 6pm to 8pm at the Citizen Hotel
  • Job: California School Boards Association: legislative advocate
  • Job: California School Boards Association: regional representatives
  • Job: Climate Resolve: Communications Director (Los Angeles)
  • Job: Climate Resolve: Outreach Program Coordinator (Los Angeles)
  • Job: Local Health Plans of California seeks a Program Manager
  • Job: OPR Communications Account Executive
  • Job: Southern California Association of Governments: Legislation Analyst (Los Angeles)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels

 

 

 

Probolsky Research

 

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.

 

  • Job Openings – Account Executive
    OPR Communications is seeking account executives for its media relations and public affairs teams. As the leading public relations firm in the Inland Empire, the award-winning OPR team specializes in developing and executing public affairs, media relations, public education and community outreach programs on behalf of a wide range of land-use, transportation, healthcare, energy and government agency clients. Salary DOE. Detailed info here
    Apply at aherrera@oprusa.com.
  • Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) is seeking an experienced Legislation Analyst with excellent writing and communication skills to assist the Legislation Department with advancing SCAG's policy interests and planning priorities through regional, statewide, and national engagement and advocacy. Under general direction of the Manager of Legislation, the Legislation Analyst III will navigate high-level policy discussions and communicate emerging issues to SCAG's staff and Regional Council. This role will assess the impact of proposed legislation and work with the Manager to coordinate a response to all applicable legislative proposals. This role requires a legislative expert who can navigate complex political environments to increase the visibility of SCAG's legislative efforts. This role requires an understanding of transportation, housing, and air quality legislation and policy and an ability to communicate how those issues will affect the SCAG region. To apply please visit scag.ca.gov/opportunities/Pages/CareerOpportunities.aspx.
  • Communications Director - Climate Resolve (Los Angeles)
    Reporting directly to the Senior Operations Director while working closely with the Executive Director, the Communications Director will lead the communications and media activities for the organization. This position will develop a vision and strategy to support policy, project-based, and funding/development initiatives, as well as maintain day-to-day communications for social media. The Communications Director will generate a workplan that elevates Climate Resolve’s brand in the public sphere and grow the organization’s audience. 4+ years experience desired; Knowledge of environmental and CA policy landscape preferred. 401K, medical benefits, dental/vision stipend. $69-78K DOE. Candidates with sense of humor, please apply here: www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/796664542
  • Outreach Program Coordinator - Climate Resolve (Los Angeles)
    Reporting to the Senior Operations Director, the Outreach Program Coordinator will assist the programmatic staff to uphold the mission of the organization via public-facing projects. The Outreach Program Coordinator will perform assignments promoting climate solutions related primarily to energy efficiency and water conservation, including online and in-person outreach, public speaking engagements, and media and communications generation while contributing to additional policy work and projects as needed. Willingness to drive for outreach work throughout both LA County and adjacent counties up to [3] days per week + automobile required (Reimbursement provided). 401K, medical benefits, dental/vision stipend. $48-52 DOE. www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/796648751
  • TBW Media/TBWB Strategies -  Seasonal campaign staffers needed for a variety of roles on campaigns for Democratic elected officials and nonpartisan ballot measures for the fall 2018 cycle. Looking for hard working day-to-day managers, communications, finance directors and staff, field directors and organizers. Also will be hiring for seasonal positions at our consulting firm. Send resume and cover letter indicating availability to bbarnes510@gmail.com. No Phone Calls.
  • Join the California Workforce Development Board, California Community College's Chancellor's Office, and the California Workforce Association for an evening of celebration, as we herald the best that regional workforce development has to offer on Tuesday, August 28th from 6pm to 8pm at the Citizen Hotel in Downtown Sacramento.

    This is your opportunity to network with the leaders of workforce development from across the state, and discover the ways that regional economies are coming together to put California forward as the leader in innovative, sustainable workforce strategies for the entire nation!

    Please register to attend the event here: buytickets.at/californiaworkforceassociation/176317

  • CA School Boards Assn- Legislative Advocate (West Sacramento) Under supervision of the Assistant Executive Director for Governmental Relations, researches, analyzes, and evaluates proposed and current state and federal legislation, legislative issues, statutes, regulations, and policies; communicates and advocates for the Association’s position to influence opinion in favor of public education; develops, summarizes, and maintains reports and records; fosters cooperative working relationships among Association staff and acts as liaison with various legislative, educational, community, public, and government agencies; and performs related work as required.

    Details here: onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=151143621  

  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Bay Area)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:
  • https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407117 
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Orange County)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407120
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Joaquin North)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407122

  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6

 

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California's Plan To Rely Entirely On Clean Energy By 2045 Heads To The Governor's Desk
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Mueller Wants To Review Emails Between Manafort, Former Lawyer - Politico

Manafort, the former campaign chief for President Donald Trump, has been charged with failing to register as a foreign agent and is set to stand trial next month in Washington. He was convicted earlier this month on eight charges of tax evasion and bank fraud in a separate trial in Alexandria, Virginia.

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Bill Aimed At Increasing Affordable Housing For Students Passes Legislature
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The existing Density Bonus Law says housing developers may build up to 35 percent more units than local zoning laws permit, if the development project includes a sufficient amount of affordable units. SB 1227 will allow 100 percent student housing to also benefit from the density bonus.

Graham: Trump's Handling Of Mccain's Death Was 'disturbing' - Politico

"It bothers me greatly when the president says things about John McCain," Lindsey Graham says. | Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo