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REMINDER: My scott@scottlay.com email address is still in DNS hell. scottlay@gmail.com (where that other email usually goes anyway) is working just fine.

 

 

DISTRICT UPDATES

My Current Projections:

  • Congressional delegation: 39 Democrats/10 Republicans/4 Unknown
  • Senate: 26 Democrats/14 Republicans
  • Assembly: 55 Democrats/25 Republicans

 

TRIVIA ANSWER: It's former Assemblmember Steve Fox (D-AD36) that was the only Democrat fielded in a Hillary +6% district, raised and spent $0 between 4/22 and 5/19, and has had over $100,000 in payments from the state for harassment and other employment complaints, and hasn't filed the 06/30 filing statement due on Monday. And, he is an attorney.

Fox spent only $6,124 between January 1 and May 19. That was for a campaign statement ($4,000) in the ballot pamphlet, filing fee ($949), and $209 for contribution envelopes. Apparently, those envelopes are sitting in somebody's garage.

AD36 Democrats, what the hell is going on down there?

Congratulations Assemblymember Tom Lackey, you can take a vacation after session ends on August 31 through the election.

AURAL PLEASURE: On KQED's Political Beakdown podcast, Marisa Lagos and Guy Marzorati sit down with rising star Congressman Eric Swalwell (D-Livermore).  

Happy Friday! You made it! 

What the heck is happening in baseball? First, it was Tuesday's game, when the Nats beat the Mets 25-4. Then, last night, the Dodgers beat Milwaukee 25-4 and Texas beat the Orioles 17-8. I get that it last night was the first pre-season NFL game, but that doesn't mean that baseball should start scoring accordingly.

Anyway, Giants had a 8-1 great win against the tough Diamondbacks and MadBum gets the win. Nice end to a crappy day when Johnny Cueto had Tommy John surgery and is out for 10-12 months and it was announced that Pablo "Panda" Sandoval needed surgery on his hamstring after an awkward slide into home on Monday night and is out for the rest of the season. 

Last night, there was a nice going-away party for my friend Brian Micek, a consultant for the Senate Democratic Caucus. He and his wife Sydney are heading to North Carolina where she is taking a job after graduating from the famous UC Davis Vet School. Micek is the ultimate UC Davis Aggie. He was a couple of years behind me a couple of years in undergrad and I think we met at Aggie football games (at the old Toomey Field). Great guy. Best wishes for a safe trip across the country with your travel trailer Brian and Sydney!

Of course, we still have fires. The team at the LA Times has an explainer on what the Fornado ("fire tornado") in the Carr Fire was, beyond just being an ominous sign of the times. 

This was not typical wildfire damage. Rather, it was strong evidence of a giant, powerful spinning vortex that accompanied the Carr fire on July 26. The tornado-like condition, lasting an hour and a half and fueled by extreme heat and intensely dry brush as California heats up to record levels, was captured in dramatic videos that have come to symbolize the destructive power of what is now California’s sixth-most destructive fire.

. . .

The National Weather Service on Thursday said a preliminary estimate of maximum wind speeds in the vortex were in excess of 143 mph. That would make it equivalent to a twister with a rating of EF-3 out of a maximum of 5 on the Enhanced Fujita scale.

For those who watch Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, you know that look when he says "Holy S***!"

I’ll take sharks, thank you.

Perhaps in context, former governor Arnold Schwarzenegger  writes for Fox&Hounds that California will fight to retain its clean(er) air standards against the Trump Administration, which this week sought to block California's higher emissions standards. 

CARR (Shasta/Trinity): Carr captured another infamous spot yesterday at 131,896--the 20th largest in California recorded history. That is in addition to the 6th most destructive and 13th (tied) deadliest. In continued to burn in mostly wildlands yesterday, and containment picked up 4%. Here is the evacuation and repopulation map.

  • Acreage: 131,896
  • Containment: 39%
  • Deaths: 6 (2 firefighters, 4 civilians)
  • Structures destroyed: 1,555  (1,067 residences, 19 commercial, 481 other)
  • Structures damaged: 256
  • Structures threatened: 1,358
  • Personnel: 4,345
  • Engines: 380
  • Helicopters: 17
  • Dozers: 128
  • Expected full containment: Unknown 

MENDOCINO COMPLEX (Colusa/Lake/Mendocino): It's expected to be a rough weekend weather-wise and a Red Fire Warning was issued beginning today.

The two fires that the "complex" is comprised of have surpassed the Carr Fire in size, even though Carr started four days earlier. That makes it the 14th largest fire in recorded California history. The number of destroyed structures, including residences had a signficant increase in this morning's report, but it's unclear if these are new structures or ones destroyed earlier this week.

While many evacuation orders have been lifted, there were new ones yesterday as the fire burned through the Mendocino National Forest into Colusa County and to the east further south in the foothills above Clearlake Oaks. This morning at 10 am, Clearlake Oaks, Lucerne, and Glenhaven were added. While the fire has been burning east, there's now concern that it will also burn west down to the Clear Lake.

Things are moving so fast that residents of the new evacuations are just being told to head south on Highway 20 to Twin Pines Casino, where they will be given directions about new evacuation centers that haven't yet opened. Things are also moving fast for me to keep track of. One hour there is optimism and then things change. It has been a wild ten days.

The expected full containment date has been pushed back by a week to 08/15/18.

  • Acreage: 153,738
  • Containment: 30% 
  • Structures destroyed: 88 (41 residences, 47 other)
  • Structures damaged: 19 (10 residences, 9 other)
  • Stuctures threatened: 9,200
  • Personnel: 3,232
  • Engines: 402
  • Helicopters: 15
  • Dozers: 51
  • Expected full containment: 08/15/18

Stories below . . .

 

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Event: Capitol Seminars lobbying workshop
  • Job: Attorney General's Office: legislative advocate
  • Job: California School Boards Association: legislative advocate
  • Job: California School Boards Association: regional representatives
  • Job: California Welfare Directors Association: human services policy analyst
  • Job: Cargill Director of Governmental Relations (Newark-Bay Area)
  • Job: Local Health Plans of California seeks a Program Manager
  • Job: OPR Communications Account Executive
  • Job: Serna Center @ Sac City Unified: Chief Business Officer
  • Job: Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels   

 

U.S. SENATE: Joe Mathews writes that the California Democratic Party endorsement of Kevin de León was the right move, citing that until this cycle, Dianne Feinstein has largely been at odds with the party, while de León has towed the line that the activists care about.

GOV: For CALmatters, Dan Morain looks at the fundraising among small donors by the gubernatorial candidates:

"Newsom collected almost $1.8 million from people who gave $500 or less and nearly half of his 21,396 separate donations through June 30 were for less than $100. CALmatters Laurel Rosenhall detailed the small donor trend in this recent story.

Cox, a wealthy businessman who is helping to fund his campaign, received 1,627 donations of less than $100 and a total of $634,646 from people who gave $500 or less.

Cox is beating Newsom in one category: donors who list their occupation as retired. He received $676,409 from 3,005 retirees compared with Newsom’s $634,540 from 769 self-identified retirees."

Meanwhile, Capitol Public Radio's Ben Adler writes that the debate over debates continues`between the candidates.

AD76 (Oceanside): Rocky Chávez filed a Statement of Intent to run to return to his current Assembly seat in 2020. The seat is a certain flip this year, as two Democrats proceeded to November under top-two. Chávez has three possible terms left in the Assembly, but ran for the open CA49 (Darrell Issa) this year instead of re-election.

BIZFED: Joel Fox writes that the star at the Los Angeles BizFed reception in Hollywood for frosh electeds was the very-non newcomer Congresswoman Maxine Waters.

GASSY: John Myers reports in the Times that backers of the gas tax repeal are short on cash. "State campaign reports filed on Tuesday show most of the $2.9 million that Proposition 6 supporters have collected this year has already been spent, leaving little for the fall campaign season. Opponents of the repeal, a coalition of transportation advocates, have raised more and spent much less."

A big assist for the qualification campaign was from GOP members of the California congressional delegation who wanted it on the ballot to drive turnout to assist endangered incumbents and candidates in the two open seats. I don't believe that the actual repeal is their top priority now that the measure is qualified. I'm not saying they don't care, but I just think the money now will be going to directly support those targeted races and not to the gas tax repeal. So to speak, that tank is empty.

Meanwhile, the fundraising since qualification has basically been Benjamins. Benjamins don't buy TV in California.

CLIMATE: Uh, there's nothing going on here. At the Scripps pier, the highest ocean water temperature was recorded in its 102-year history. Good news for surfers except for the, well, sharks.

RESISTANCE: The LAT's Mini Racker writes "California Atty. Gen. Xavier Becerra announced Thursday that the state will join a lawsuit filed against the Trump administration to block the release of blueprints for 3-D-printed guns."

 

 

Probolsky Research

 

 

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Phil Giarrizzo and Fiona Moore Simon!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.

 

  • Job Openings – Account Executive
    OPR Communications is seeking account executives for its media relations and public affairs teams. As the leading public relations firm in the Inland Empire, the award-winning OPR team specializes in developing and executing public affairs, media relations, public education and community outreach programs on behalf of a wide range of land-use, transportation, healthcare, energy and government agency clients. Salary DOE. Detailed info here
    Apply at aherrera@oprusa.com.

  • Former Compton Board of Education member LYNN DYMALLY discusses what makes Compton politics unique in this exclusive interview: vimeo.com/282368059
  • CA School Boards Assn- Legislative Advocate (West Sacramento) Under supervision of the Assistant Executive Director for Governmental Relations, researches, analyzes, and evaluates proposed and current state and federal legislation, legislative issues, statutes, regulations, and policies; communicates and advocates for the Association’s position to influence opinion in favor of public education; develops, summarizes, and maintains reports and records; fosters cooperative working relationships among Association staff and acts as liaison with various legislative, educational, community, public, and government agencies; and performs related work as required.

    Details here:onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=151143621

  • Attorney General's Office is seeking a Legislative Advocate with subject matter expertise in areas such as civil law, criminal law, public rights and law enforcement. The Advocate represents the Department of Justice on legislative matters before the State Legislature. The job can be viewed here.   
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Bay Area)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:
  • https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407117 
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Orange County)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407120
  •  CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Joaquin North)

    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407122

  • WE CAN HELP MAKE YOUR LOBBYING EFFORTS MORE EFFECTIVE. Numerous nonprofits and private sector organizations, lobbying firms, trade associations and government entities use Capitol Seminars as their No.1 training resource -- for new lobbyists, support staff, executives who hire and manage lobbyists. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, our Lobbying 101 & 201 seminars offer you comprehensive coverage of the Legislative process, along with best practices for Legislative, Budget, and Regulatory Agency advocacy, Lobbying the Administration, and Media Strategies. You’ll refer to the extensive curriculum materials long after the seminars are over. Next dates: August 2-3, October 4-5, December 13-24. More information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916-442-5009.
  • The County Welfare Directors Association is hiring a Human Services Policy Analyst focusing on county-run programs serving children and adults. The Analyst supports the advocacy work CWDA is engaged in, at the direction of senior staff, including but not limited to legislative and budget efforts and implementation of policy changes enacted at the state and federal level. Competitive salary, excellent benefit package. Open until 8/1. Details: www.cwda.org/job-opportunities
  • CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER (CBO)
    SERNA CENTER Sacramento City USD 5735 47th Ave. Sac, CA 95824
    Salary Range: $157,252 – $197,031 yrly. Medical, Dental and Vision; $4,800 annual travel stipend
    CBO’s role is to create a structure incorporating the District’s annual budget process with the Local Control Accountability Plan (LCAP) and Single Plan for Student Achievement (SPSA) using the SCUSD Guiding Principle and Core Value Statement. The ability to incorporate them into one seamless process could lead to more equitable outcomes for all students.
    Apply: www.edjoin.org/Home/Jobs?stateID=24&countyID=34&districtID=583
    Contact: Monica Garland monicaga@scusd.edu
  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Backers Of California's Gas Tax Repeal Don't Have Much Campaign Cash Left In The Tank
John Myers @
latimes.com
Supporters of an effort to repeal California’s fuel tax increase are looking for someone to fill the tank of their campaign bank account as new reports show the effort to pass Proposition 6 has spent most of the money it has raised.

Supreme Court Rules San Diego Skipped Key Legal Step In Taking Pension Reform To Voters - The San Diego Union-tribune
David Garrick @
sandiegouniontribune.com


Trump 'cares Deeply' About Russian Election Hacking, Top Security Leaders Say - Politico

The gathering of top law enforcement and intelligence officials came less than 100 days before the midterms and amid increasing reports that Russia is continuing to meddle in the elections and U.S. politics more broadly through cyberattacks and social media disinformation campaigns.

U.S. Supreme Court Articles, Photos, And Videos - San Diego Union Tribune
Tribune Taxonomy @
sandiegouniontribune.com


Tennessee Democrats tap a popular former governor for Senate â

Former Democratic governor Phil Bredesen and GOP Rep. Marsha Blackburn were projected to win their parties’ nominations for Senate on Thursday.

La City Animal Shelters Are Full. Hundreds Of Dogs, Cats And Rabbits Could Be Euthanized: Laist
laist.com
LAist is a website about Los Angeles

Senate Democrats to end boycott, plan to meet with Kavanaugh later this month

Democrats plan to press the Supreme Court nominee on providing documents from his tenure as White House staff secretary and question him about health care, women’s rights.

The Bermuda Triangle Enigma - Channel 5
channel5.com
Corporate

Can Angola's new president get rid of corruption and revive his party's reputation?

Can the country's first new president in 38 years live up to his campaign promises?